Boston Smith

C Arkansas Travelers
Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 195 lbs AA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP45OGV rank#123ETA2028MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202623AA/A+/A/INTL3 orgs547.259/.414/.5223114103—.218/.327/.454
2027PROJMLE24MLBSEA4.222/.325/.433001150.0
2028PROJ43% MLB25MLBSEA186.224/.325/.433931161.1
2029PROJ62% MLB26MLBSEA278.225/.325/.4311341151.6
Next 3 projected WAR 2.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$4M2034Arb-2$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
ISO94
Chase%94
BB%90
wRC+88
wOBA83
Speed33
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 9.8, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 84%
CompsPedro Álvarez (age 24) · Cal Raleigh (age 24) · Miguel Sanó (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†115
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .325 / .433
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%12
BABIP285
ISO210
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.01.12.20.01.11.61.71.61.41.20.90.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$65M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.7$11M+$10M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$9M+$9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$8M+$7M
2033Arb-1$4M+1.2$6M+$4M
2034Arb-2$5M+0.9$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$2M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $37M +$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202623 AAArkansas Travelers — 243194 517117 46753 33 263412572984 309333 3119 427 110 — — — — — —
202623 A+Winston-Salem Dash — 216163 472314 48572 73 2884555951.050 307347 2622 448 120 — — — — — —
202623 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 3430 8300 3121 10 267353367720 100444 359 330 40 — — — — — —
202623 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 5442 5000 11190 31 119302119421 208 3520 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202623 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 243208 446114 32923 33 212325452777 240290 3813 331 110 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEWinston-Salem Dash — 216183 422313 28752 73 230338486824 257276 3513 345 120 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEKannapolis Cannon Ballers — 3431 6200 2161 10 194265258523 65386 476 228 40 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE4 teams — 547469 10010429 682036 147 213320437758 224295 3712 330 109 — — — — — —
202623 AA RAW4 teams — 547429 11112431 1081636 147 259414522937 263335 3020 410 109 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLE4 teams — 547468 10010429 682036 147 214320438758 224290 3712 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202623 AA MLE4 teams — 547468 10010429 682036 147 214320438758 224290 3712 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESEA 2% 380327 7411219 461214 62 225327440767 215288 3212 339 115 +7 +0 -1 +7 +8 1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXSEA 2% 44 0000 010 00 222325433757 210285 250 335 115 +0 +0 -0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESEA 43% 431373 8513221 511344 73 227327441768 214288 3112 339 116 +8 +0 -1 +8 +9 2.5
202926 MLB MLESEA 62% 445385 8713221 521375 73 227327439766 211288 3112 338 115 +8 +0 -1 +8 +10 2.5
203027 MLB MLESEA 69% 445386 8814221 521364 73 227326434760 207288 3112 336 114 +7 +0 -1 +8 +10 2.4
203128 MLB MLESEA 72% 445387 8814220 511354 63 226323428751 202287 3011 333 111 +6 +0 -2 +8 +10 2.2
203229 MLB MLESEA 72% 445388 8714219 501344 53 225320421741 196285 3011 329 108 +4 -0 -2 +8 +10 2.0
203330 MLB MLESEA 72% 438382 8513219 491334 54 222317412729 191283 3011 324 105 +3 -1 -3 +8 +9 1.7
203431 MLB MLESEA 72% 411358 7812217 461274 36 217312402714 185279 3111 318 101 +1 -2 -4 +7 +9 1.1
203532 MLB MLESEA 72% 381333 7011115 421193 318 212306389694 177275 3111 310 96 -2 -7 -4 +7 +8 0.2
203633 MLB MLESEA 72% 285250 517111 31912 263 205298373671 168269 3211 301 90 -3 -25 -5 +5 +6 -2.2
202825 MLB CTXSEA 43% 186160 36519 22582 31 224325433758 209285 3112 335 116 +3 +0 -0 +3 +4 1.1
202926 MLB CTXSEA 62% 278240 548113 33853 42 225325431756 206285 3112 334 115 +5 +0 -1 +5 +6 1.6
203027 MLB CTXSEA 69% 306264 599114 36933 52 225323427750 202285 3012 332 114 +5 +0 -1 +5 +7 1.7
203128 MLB CTXSEA 72% 322279 6310214 37973 42 224321421742 197284 3011 329 111 +4 +0 -1 +6 +7 1.6
203229 MLB CTXSEA 72% 321279 6210114 36973 42 222318413731 191283 3011 325 108 +3 +0 -2 +6 +7 1.4
203330 MLB CTXSEA 72% 315274 599113 35963 33 219314405720 186280 3011 320 105 +2 -1 -2 +6 +7 1.2
203431 MLB CTXSEA 72% 296258 569112 33913 34 215310395705 180277 3111 314 101 +0 -1 -3 +5 +6 0.9
203532 MLB CTXSEA 72% 274240 518111 30862 213 209303382686 173272 3111 307 96 -1 -5 -3 +5 +6 0.2
203633 MLB CTXSEA 72% 205179 37518 22652 145 203296367663 164267 3211 298 90 -3 -18 -4 +4 +4 -1.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 25032173 4777310108 28476824 2974 220316411728 192282 3111 322 108 +20 -24 -17 +45 +54 8.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650564 12419328 741996 819 220316413729 193282 3111 322 108 +5 -6 -4 +12 +14 2.1
Career— MLE — 44833892 85912721203 517141642 62114 221319421739 200286 3212 328 108 +36 -33 -24 +70 +85 13.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650564 12418329 752056 917 220317417734 197285 3212 328 108 +6 -5 -4 +12 +14 2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAArkansas Travelers · 243 PAwOBA .415 → .331 (−84)K% 30.9% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.86%÷1.000×1.220——37.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.52%÷1.000×0.700—×1.01213.12%
HBP% /PA1.23%—×0.870—×1.0121.09%
Singles /BIP21.85%÷1.000×0.920×0.982×1.01219.98%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.840×0.982×1.0124.91%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷1.000×0.940×0.982×1.0120.79%
Home runs /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.800—×1.01211.57%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .415 → .331; ISO .309 → .248; BABIP .333 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 216 PAwOBA .442 → .345 (−97)K% 26.4% → 34.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.39%÷1.000×1.310——34.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.76%÷1.000×0.600—×0.98812.90%
HBP% /PA0.93%—×0.770—×0.9880.70%
Singles /BIP26.42%÷1.000×0.870×0.950×0.98821.57%
Doubles /BIP1.89%÷1.000×0.780×0.950×0.9881.38%
Triples /BIP2.83%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×0.9882.26%
Home runs /BIP13.21%÷1.000×0.880—×0.98811.48%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .442 → .345; ISO .307 → .277; BABIP .347 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 34 PAwOBA .321 → .228 (−94)K% 35.3% → 48.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.29%÷1.000×1.360——48.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.82%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9805.97%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.780—×0.9802.25%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.000×0.920—×0.98025.04%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷1.000×0.830—×0.98013.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9800.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .321 → .228; ISO .100 → .067; BABIP .444 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .