Micah Ottenbreit

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	APHI	19	19	94	4.88	3.41	24.1%	10.0%	—	K 17.9% · BB 11.8% · FIP 4.33
2025	22	A+PHI	6	6	24	4.81	2.48	19.0%	3.8%	—	K 14.7% · BB 4.4% · FIP 3.04
2026	23	MIX3 levels	21	0	33	4.86	2.74	25.3%	11.3%	—	K 20.9% · BB 14.5% · FIP 3.84
2027PROJ	24	MLBPHI	17	0	18	4.70	4.70	20.0%	10.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPHI	12	0	13	4.59	4.54	20.8%	10.2%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJeff Niemann (age 25) · Brad Deppermann (age 25) · Shohei Tomioka (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.70

FIP4.70

K%20.0%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%9.1%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	5	0	6	25	4	3	0	0%	1.2	16.0%	12.0%	4.0%	0.0%	4.50	3.27	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	5	0	6	25	4	3	0	0%	1.2	16.0%	12.0%	4.0%	0.0%	4.50	3.27	—
2022	19	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	2	2	6	28	4	5	1	100%	2.8	14.3%	17.9%	-3.6%	3.6%	7.94	6.12	—
2022	19	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	2	2	6	28	4	5	1	100%	2.8	14.3%	17.9%	-3.6%	3.6%	7.94	6.63	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	2	2	2	13	0	2	0	100%	1.2	0.0%	15.4%	-15.4%	0.0%	11.57	5.05	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	2	2	2	13	0	2	0	100%	1.2	0.0%	15.4%	-15.4%	0.0%	11.57	5.67	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	19	19	94	410	99	41	8	100%	4.9	17.9%	11.8%	6.1%	2.3%	4.88	4.33	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	19	19	94	410	99	41	8	100%	4.9	17.9%	11.8%	6.1%	2.3%	4.88	4.33	—
2024	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	19	19	94	410	99	41	8	100%	4.9	24.1%	10.0%	14.1%	2.0%	4.88	3.41	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	6	6	24	105	20	4	1	100%	4.1	14.7%	4.4%	10.3%	1.1%	4.81	3.04	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	6	6	24	105	20	4	1	100%	4.1	14.7%	4.4%	10.3%	1.1%	4.81	3.04	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	6	6	24	105	20	4	1	100%	4.1	19.0%	3.8%	15.2%	1.0%	4.81	2.48	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	33	150	38	17	1	0%	1.6	20.9%	14.5%	6.4%	1.2%	4.86	3.84	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	0	33	150	38	17	1	0%	1.6	20.9%	14.5%	6.4%	1.2%	4.86	3.84	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	0	33	150	38	17	1	0%	1.6	25.3%	11.3%	14.0%	0.7%	4.86	2.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	PHI	17	0	18	76	15	8	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.9%	9.1%	2.8%	4.70	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	29	0	30	128	27	13	4	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	2.8%	4.59	4.54	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	12	0	13	55	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	2.8%	4.59	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	2.8%	4.59	4.16	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	92	31	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	2.8%	4.59	4.16	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		55	29	166	731	128	85	13	53%	3.0	17.5%	11.6%	5.9%	1.8%	5.05	4.09	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	35	200	882	155	102	16	53%	3.0	17.5%	11.6%	5.9%	1.8%	5.05	4.09	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Micah Ottenbreit (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	20.0%	10.9%	2.8%	—	4.54	20.8%	10.6%	30	-0.16	—	—	—
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	86
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	85
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	80
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	80
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	80
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	80
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	80
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	79
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	79
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	79
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	77
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	77
Chad Bettis R 2013 · 4.38 FIP	24	SP-	4.38	14.4%	8.7%	2.6%	.318	3.81	17.4%	10.4%	365	-0.57	3.67	672	77
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.10	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.04	3.84	249	76
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	76
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	76
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	76
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	75
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	75