Sam Ruta3B
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 24
L/R
6'2" / 200 lbs
AA
HR -5%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2029
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .262 / .311
PA276
HR7
K%39
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
45→45
SPD
40→40
EYE
49↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $1M | $-8M | -$9M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 291 | 261 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 137 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .169 | .244 | .287 | .531 | .119 | .317 | 47 | 8 | .235 | 38 | -20 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | KC | 276 | 248 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 107 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .185 | .263 | .315 | .577 | .129 | .289 | 39 | 8 | .262 | 59 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | KC | 321 | 287 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 118 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .195 | .274 | .331 | .605 | .136 | .290 | 37 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | KC | 372 | 332 | 66 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 133 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .199 | .279 | .340 | .619 | .142 | .291 | 36 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | KC | 394 | 352 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 139 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .199 | .279 | .335 | .614 | .136 | .291 | 35 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | KC | 406 | 362 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 143 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .202 | .283 | .343 | .625 | .141 | .291 | 35 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +12 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | KC | 405 | 361 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 143 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .197 | .279 | .330 | .608 | .133 | .290 | 35 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | KC | 403 | 359 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 144 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .280 | .331 | .611 | .134 | .288 | 36 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 91% | KC | 391 | 348 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 141 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .195 | .278 | .330 | .609 | .135 | .287 | 36 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | KC | 374 | 333 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 137 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .192 | .275 | .321 | .596 | .129 | .285 | 37 | 9 | .266 | 61 | -16 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | KC | 346 | 309 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 129 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .184 | .265 | .304 | .570 | .120 | .283 | 37 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | KC | 303 | 270 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 116 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .178 | .260 | .285 | .545 | .107 | .281 | 38 | 9 | .254 | 52 | -16 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +9 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4282 | 3822 | 734 | 146 | 21 | 104 | 381 | 1587 | 43 | 45 | 8 | .192 | .273 | .323 | .596 | .131 | .292 | 37 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -177 | +6 | -20 | +15 | +121 | -5.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 111 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 58 | 241 | 7 | 7 | 1 | .191 | .273 | .322 | .596 | .131 | .291 | 37 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -27 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 291 | 248 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 35 | 108 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .218 | .321 | .367 | .687 | .149 | .348 | 37 | 12 | .308 | 94 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +8 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sam Ruta (OGILVIE) | 24 | 30 | 45 | 40 | 55 | .185/.262/.311 | .127 | .289 | 7 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 59 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA |
24 | 32 | 50 | 48→40 | 41 | .175/.260/.318 | .143 | .256 | 19 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .194/.275/.340 | .146 | .266 | 18 | 6 | 33% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .173/.250/.301 | .128 | .246 | 17 | 2 | 35% | 8% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA |
25 | 39→42 | 47→55 | 39→45 | 37 | .196/.258/.331 | .135 | .292 | 14 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .202/.263/.363 | .161 | .288 | 19 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.263/.366 | .168 | .274 | 20 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kyle McCann 2022 · AA |
24 | 35→33 | 44→50 | 48→40 | 36 | .168/.245/.281 | .113 | .310 | 13 | 5 | 47% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .196/.270/.351 | .155 | .325 | 21 | 4 | 43% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .202/.277/.366 | .164 | .320 | 23 | 2 | 42% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA |
24 | 36→41 | 48→55 | 48→50 | 44 | .188/.265/.331 | .144 | .271 | 15 | 11 | 35% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .204/.278/.369 | .165 | .296 | 18 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .207/.288/.362 | .155 | .320 | 17 | 12 | 37% | 10% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Omar Meregildo 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→32 | 48→50 | 42→30 | 37 | .188/.258/.325 | .137 | .309 | 17 | 4 | 43% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .194/.258/.338 | .144 | .299 | 19 | 4 | 39% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .178/.242/.323 | .145 | .256 | 20 | 2 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.4 |
|
✕Greyson Jenista 2021 · AA |
24 | 41→34 | 42→50 | 40→45 | 40 | .198/.258/.300 | .101 | .297 | 10 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .192/.254/.362 | .170 | .309 | 24 | 7 | 43% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .172/.234/.356 | .184 | .260 | 28 | 6 | 45% | 7% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA |
25 | 39 | 44→45 | 45→50 | 44 | .194/.280/.302 | .108 | .290 | 12 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .186/.282/.297 | .111 | .284 | 12 | 10 | 36% | 10% | 64 | -0.8 | .157/.270/.260 | .103 | .237 | 12 | 12 | 35% | 11% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Neil Medchill 2012 · A |
25 | 36→27 | 47→50 | 45 | 38 | .184/.250/.313 | .129 | .297 | 16 | 7 | 42% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.256/.328 | .125 | .338 | 15 | 7 | 41% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .198/.246/.315 | .117 | .332 | 14 | 5 | 42% | 6% | 48 | -0.8 |
|
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA |
24 | 41→44 | 47→50 | 44→45 | 38 | .212/.255/.346 | .135 | .285 | 15 | 6 | 31% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .217/.264/.338 | .121 | .287 | 12 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .224/.282/.338 | .114 | .277 | 10 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A |
23 | 38→34 | 47→55 | 42→40 | 39 | .198/.249/.339 | .141 | .275 | 14 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.266/.351 | .149 | .261 | 17 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.246/.354 | .168 | .235 | 23 | 3 | 32% | 6% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Mitch Walding 2018 · AA |
25 | 40→45 | 46→50 | 43→40 | 40 | .197/.268/.326 | .129 | .309 | 14 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .202/.291/.355 | .153 | .332 | 18 | 4 | 41% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .182/.280/.329 | .147 | .322 | 19 | 3 | 45% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Eric Jagielo 2017 · AA |
25 | 40→35 | 46→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .201/.265/.327 | .126 | .295 | 15 | 2 | 36% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .183/.246/.281 | .098 | .271 | 10 | 3 | 34% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .160/.225/.251 | .090 | .235 | 10 | 1 | 35% | 6% | 24 | -2.4 |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Michael Ratterree 2015 · AA |
24 | 37→30 | 48→45 | 44→40 | 41 | .190/.262/.337 | .147 | .283 | 15 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .172/.250/.277 | .105 | .288 | 9 | 4 | 40% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .105/.198/.161 | .056 | .199 | 4 | 0 | 44% | 8% | -6 | -2.6 |
|
✕Aaron Palensky 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→32 | 48→55 | 48→55 | 42 | .203/.283/.350 | .147 | .312 | 14 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .201/.287/.362 | .161 | .274 | 18 | 19 | 32% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .184/.279/.346 | .163 | .237 | 19 | 25 | 30% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A |
24 | 37→39 | 46→45 | 43→45 | 37 | .192/.258/.321 | .130 | .283 | 14 | 3 | 36% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.276/.318 | .116 | .274 | 12 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .195/.276/.303 | .107 | .255 | 12 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A |
23 | 41→39 | 41→45 | 44→55 | 45 | .195/.271/.299 | .104 | .290 | 8 | 6 | 34% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .192/.292/.304 | .112 | .255 | 10 | 14 | 26% | 12% | 69 | -0.4 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A |
24 | 37→38 | 48→50 | 44→30 | 44 | .191/.278/.326 | .135 | .272 | 16 | 3 | 34% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .197/.269/.322 | .125 | .285 | 14 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .170/.239/.264 | .094 | .250 | 11 | 0 | 35% | 7% | 33 | -1.0 |