Sam Ruta — OGILVIE

Sam Ruta3B Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 200 lbs AA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .273 / .305

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%9

BABIP277

ISO111

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	291	248	54	15	2	6	35	108	3	0	1	218	321	367	687	149	348	37	12	308	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	291	261	46	13	2	4	23	129	3	0	1	176	251	287	538	111	310	44	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	291	261	46	13	2	4	23	129	3	0	1	176	251	287	538	111	318	44	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	291	248	54	15	2	6	35	108	3	0	1	218	321	367	687	149	348	37	12	308	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	291	263	46	13	2	4	23	129	3	0	1	175	251	285	536	110	310	44	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	291	263	46	13	2	4	23	129	3	0	1	175	251	285	536	110	310	44	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	2%	341	306	60	12	2	6	29	106	3	5	1	199	275	311	585	112	278	31	9	266	66	-14	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	KC	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	196	273	305	577	108	277	40	0	263	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	31%	267	239	48	10	1	5	23	82	3	4	1	201	277	317	594	116	279	31	9	269	69	-10	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	42%	319	286	58	12	2	6	27	97	3	4	1	202	278	319	597	116	279	30	8	271	69	-12	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	31%	83	75	14	3	0	1	7	25	1	1	0	199	275	310	585	112	277	30	8	266	69	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	42%	134	121	24	5	1	2	11	41	1	2	1	200	276	312	588	112	277	31	8	267	69	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	217	196	38	8	1	3	18	66	2	3	1	194	269	291	559	97	273	30	8	267	64	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	114	24	3	9	54	198	6	9	3	194	269	291	560	97	274	30	8	267	64	-24	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1109	994	194	44	6	19	93	380	11	11	4	195	271	309	580	114	290	34	8	262	64	-31	+1	+0	+3	+18	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	114	26	4	11	55	223	6	6	2	196	272	310	583	115	291	34	8	262	64	-25	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	222	4	3	203	276	319	+1	+0	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	13	9	+2.4	+1.5	-0.2	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sam Ruta (OGILVIE)	25	30	45	40	55	197/273/308	111	278	4	3	31%	8%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Rortvedt 2023 · MLB	25	39	46→45	46→40	39	199/262/323	124	288	15	4	35%	7%	65	-1.2	209/289/320	111	287	12	5	29%	9%	75	-0.5	198/286/289	91	268	9	2	27%	9%	67	-0.5
✕Will Robertson 2023 · AA	25	38→41	46→50	39→45	38	193/255/322	129	283	13	4	35%	6%	63	-1.4	199/261/350	151	283	17	6	34%	7%	71	-0.8	194/259/347	153	271	17	5	34%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	40	43→40	45→50	44	196/280/303	107	288	12	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	187/282/293	106	278	11	11	34%	10%	67	-1.1	158/269/254	96	234	10	12	34%	11%	53	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	39→36	41→40	42→45	42	192/264/290	98	282	8	6	33%	8%	58	-1.7	196/260/297	101	290	9	6	33%	7%	58	-1.7	195/256/298	103	279	10	4	32%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/274/298	107	258	11	5	29%	9%	64	-1.3	195/276/301	106	276	9	7	31%	8%	65	-1.2	110/220/193	83	161	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Tristan Gray 2021 · AA	25	39→36	49→50	37→40	46	204/272/353	148	253	16	5	26%	8%	76	-0.4	196/250/344	148	275	18	5	35%	6%	65	-1.2	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2018 · A	25	43→39	45→50	41→45	41	212/273/337	124	300	13	5	32%	7%	72	-0.7	209/258/312	103	289	10	6	30%	6%	60	-1.6	162/194/237	75	208	11	0	28%	4%	16	-1.0
✕Eric Jagielo 2017 · AA	25	41→37	45	47→30	39	204/268/322	118	297	13	2	34%	6%	68	-1.0	184/246/279	95	267	9	3	33%	6%	49	-2.4	163/226/248	85	234	8	1	32%	6%	33	-2.4
✕Davis Wendzel 2022 · AAA	25	43→32	45→50	43→40	43	215/289/338	123	285	13	5	28%	7%	79	-0.2	194/269/332	138	249	18	5	29%	8%	71	-0.8	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA	25	42	43→45	41→45	46	208/276/318	109	276	11	5	28%	8%	69	-0.9	191/261/300	109	279	12	7	34%	8%	60	-1.6	145/223/242	97	216	12	4	37%	7%	31	-2.5
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	40	43→45	41→50	39	197/259/307	110	292	10	6	34%	7%	60	-1.6	222/280/332	110	315	9	14	30%	7%	73	-0.6	229/287/336	107	321	8	17	29%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	46	212/294/326	114	295	10	10	30%	8%	78	-0.3	203/284/321	118	290	11	14	31%	9%	73	-0.6	183/271/304	121	262	11	17	32%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	207/273/338	131	273	14	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/284/324	110	273	10	7	24%	8%	74	-0.6	194/281/260	67	243	5	0	21%	9%	55	-0.7
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	193/270/272	79	283	7	5	32%	8%	57	-1.8	215/305/341	126	282	13	8	26%	10%	86	+0.3	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA	25	42→33	45	45→50	38	200/276/323	123	326	12	8	40%	7%	70	-0.8	213/312/335	122	359	12	11	40%	9%	88	+0.4	193/330/295	101	347	8	16	39%	12%	84	+0.1
✕Scott Hurst 2021 · AA	25	42→32	39→40	44→50	41	202/259/288	86	292	7	6	32%	7%	55	-2.0	208/277/299	91	302	8	15	31%	8%	65	-1.2	209/284/299	90	295	9	17	30%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Aaron Antonini 2023 · AA	25	37	43→40	46→45	45	188/274/289	101	242	12	5	27%	8%	63	-1.4	210/289/330	120	289	13	9	30%	7%	78	-0.3	182/272/311	129	273	14	8	36%	7%	66	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps