Jac Caglianone — OGILVIE

Jac CaglianoneRF Kansas City Royals

Age 23 L/L 6'4" / 250 lbs MLB HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.686 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.4 · 2029

wRC+†vL 7399vR 32

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .295 / .412

PA352

HR15

K%23

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45↗49

PWR

65↗75

SPD

41→41

FLD

50→50

EYE

44↘39

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$12M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.4	$13M	+$7M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+1.2	$11M	+$4M
Totals		$19M		$47M	+$28M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	2 teams	226	212	41	11	1	3	8	58	4	4	1	.193	.237	.297	.534	.104	.248	26	4	.238	40	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.1
2025	22	MLB	3 teams	536	485	110	18	1	24	38	123	8	4	1	.227	.294	.416	.710	.190	.251	23	7	.309	95	-3	+0	-7	-6	+15	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	23	MLB	Kansas City Royals	83	75	19	4	1	1	6	25	2	0	1	.253	.325	.373	.699	.120	.367	30	7	.313	98	-0	-0	+1	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	KC	269	243	57	10	1	10	20	65	4	2	1	.235	.303	.407	.711	.173	.277	24	7	.316	100	-0	+0	-5	-3	+8	-0.1
TOT	23	MLB	KC	352	318	76	14	2	11	26	90	6	2	2	.239	.309	.399	.708	.160	.298	26	7	.315	99	-0	-0	-5	-4	+10	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	24	MLB	KC	533	479	115	20	2	23	40	111	9	4	2	.240	.311	.434	.745	.194	.264	21	8	.328	109	+5	+0	-10	-6	+15	0.5
2028	25	MLB	KC	539	484	119	20	2	26	41	111	9	4	2	.246	.316	.457	.773	.211	.266	21	8	.340	118	+11	+0	-10	-6	+15	1.0
2029	26	MLB	KC	539	483	121	20	2	28	42	111	9	4	2	.251	.322	.474	.796	.224	.267	21	8	.348	124	+15	+0	-10	-6	+15	1.4
2030	27	MLB	KC	534	478	120	20	2	28	42	111	9	4	2	.251	.323	.477	.800	.226	.267	21	8	.348	124	+15	+0	-10	-6	+15	1.4
2031	28	MLB	KC	526	470	117	19	2	27	42	110	9	3	2	.249	.322	.470	.793	.221	.267	21	8	.347	124	+14	-0	-11	-6	+15	1.2
2032	29	MLB	KC	514	460	113	18	2	26	41	109	8	2	1	.246	.318	.463	.781	.217	.266	21	8	.345	122	+13	+0	-11	-6	+15	1.1
2033	30	MLB	KC	502	448	110	18	2	25	41	108	8	1	1	.246	.320	.462	.782	.217	.265	22	8	.342	120	+11	-0	-12	-5	+14	0.8
2034	31	MLB	KC	487	437	105	17	2	24	39	107	8	0	0	.240	.314	.453	.767	.213	.263	22	8	.338	117	+9	+0	-12	-5	+14	0.6
2035	32	MLB	KC	468	420	100	16	2	23	38	105	7	0	0	.238	.312	.450	.762	.212	.261	22	8	.333	113	+7	+0	-13	-5	+13	0.3
2036	33	MLB	KC	438	393	93	15	2	21	35	101	7	0	0	.237	.310	.445	.756	.209	.260	23	8	.327	108	+4	+0	-13	-5	+12	-0.1
2037	34	MLB	KC	392	352	81	13	1	18	31	94	6	0	0	.230	.303	.426	.729	.196	.258	24	8	.320	103	+1	+0	-12	-4	+11	-0.4
2038	35	MLB	KC	338	304	67	10	1	15	26	85	5	0	0	.220	.293	.408	.700	.188	.255	25	8	.311	96	-1	+0	-12	-4	+10	-0.8
2039	36	MLB	KC	279	252	53	8	1	11	21	73	4	0	0	.210	.282	.381	.663	.171	.252	26	8	.301	89	-4	+0	-12	-3	+8	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7120	6400	1522	253	26	332	545	1582	114	32	15	.238	.309	.441	.750	.203	.263	22	8	.329	110	+82	+0	-162	-76	+202	4.7
/ 162G	—			650	584	138	23	2	30	50	144	10	3	1	.236	.307	.437	.744	.200	.261	22	8	.329	110	+7	+0	-15	-7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	126	116	28	9	1	2	7	26	3	2	0	.241	.302	.388	.690	.147	.295	21	6	.309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	100	89	21	4	0	5	8	19	1	2	1	.236	.306	.449	.756	.213	.239	19	8	.327	109	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	22	MLB	Kansas City Royals	232	210	33	6	1	7	18	52	4	1	0	.157	.237	.295	.532	.138	.172	22	8	.244	45	-14	+0	-7	-6	+7	-2.1
2025	22	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	129	112	40	6	0	11	12	20	3	1	0	.357	.433	.705	1.138	.348	.349	16	9	.481	226	+18	+0	—	—	+4	2.3
2025	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	175	152	49	8	0	9	19	37	1	2	1	.322	.401	.553	.954	.230	.367	21	11	.411	173	+14	+0	—	—	+5	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			232	210	33	6	1	7	18	52	4	1	0	.157	.237	.295	.532	.138	.172	22	8	.244	45	-14	+0	-7	-6	+7	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jac Caglianone (OGILVIE)	23	45→49	65→75	41	39	.233/.301/.407	.175	.256	13	3	19%	7%	100	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mike Moustakas 2012 · MLB	23	46→54	51→65	44→45	42	.239/.277/.399	.160	.268	19	5	19%	4%	86	+0.8	.237/.288/.389	.152	.267	17	4	18%	6%	89	+0.9	.258/.320/.491	.233	.260	33	2	16%	7%	121	+3.2
●Matt Adams 2013 · MLB	24	48→57	57→65	45→40	41	.254/.289/.447	.193	.290	26	4	23%	4%	105	+2.1	.268/.308/.453	.185	.319	23	4	23%	5%	114	+2.7	.253/.313/.496	.243	.279	34	0	23%	7%	122	+1.9
●Triston Casas 2023 · MLB	23	45→50	54→60	48→40	53	.235/.318/.415	.180	.281	22	6	25%	10%	108	+2.3	.245/.337/.451	.206	.302	27	3	27%	12%	125	+3.5	.244/.344/.461	.217	.298	29	0	27%	13%	121	+1.6
●Matt Joyce 2009 · MLB	24	44→54	52→60	39→50	46	.226/.290/.400	.174	.280	19	4	26%	8%	92	+1.2	.239/.318/.429	.190	.293	20	10	24%	10%	111	+2.5	.258/.351/.454	.197	.305	21	9	21%	12%	122	+2.5
★Anthony Rizzo 2013 · MLB	23	46→56	57→65	43→45	45	.245/.305/.443	.197	.291	25	7	25%	7%	110	+2.4	.258/.343/.464	.206	.287	25	7	19%	10%	131	+3.9	.281/.390/.519	.238	.293	28	9	15%	12%	152	+6.1
●Josh Naylor 2020 · MLB	23	49→59	49→60	43→50	48	.248/.303/.396	.148	.282	17	5	19%	7%	96	+1.5	.249/.305/.405	.156	.279	18	6	17%	7%	100	+1.7	.276/.340/.455	.179	.295	22	16	15%	8%	120	+3.0
●Franmil Reyes 2019 · MLB	24	46→52	55→65	41→45	43	.243/.297/.424	.181	.307	24	3	29%	7%	102	+1.8	.252/.316/.475	.223	.313	32	3	29%	9%	123	+3.3	.249/.319/.493	.243	.303	36	2	30%	9%	126	+2.4
●Jay Bruce 2010 · MLB	23	48→55	59→65	46→50	45	.255/.310/.468	.212	.300	27	8	25%	7%	118	+3.0	.256/.329/.461	.205	.302	26	8	23%	10%	124	+3.4	.253/.334/.464	.210	.300	26	7	24%	10%	115	+2.9
●Josh Reddick 2010 · MLB	23	44→54	53→60	49→50	42	.231/.270/.405	.173	.264	21	8	22%	5%	85	+0.7	.227/.271/.407	.180	.257	21	7	21%	6%	86	+0.8	.283/.343/.446	.162	.302	18	9	13%	8%	122	+2.9
●Randal Grichuk 2016 · MLB	24	44→51	57→70	47→45	38	.234/.277/.439	.205	.286	24	8	28%	5%	97	+1.5	.242/.289/.478	.236	.298	30	7	29%	6%	113	+2.6	.237/.287/.481	.244	.284	32	5	29%	5%	111	+2.1
●Eloy Jiménez 2020 · MLB	23	49→56	58→65	41→40	42	.262/.304/.464	.202	.306	27	2	24%	5%	115	+2.8	.266/.314/.471	.205	.317	28	2	25%	6%	121	+3.2	.268/.321/.438	.170	.313	23	0	22%	7%	113	+1.7
●Kerry Carpenter 2023 · MLB	25	45→53	59→65	36→45	40	.243/.292/.449	.207	.290	28	5	27%	5%	107	+2.2	.258/.312/.477	.219	.309	29	5	26%	6%	122	+3.3	.257/.312/.484	.226	.299	31	3	25%	6%	120	+2.2
●Ji Man Choi 2014 · AAA	23	50→51	50→60	42→45	50	.249/.323/.415	.167	.293	16	3	21%	8%	110	+2.4	.245/.316/.383	.138	.294	14	5	20%	9%	98	+1.6	.251/.341/.447	.196	.310	23	3	25%	11%	123	+2.4
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2014 · MLB	23	49→53	54→60	42→45	42	.251/.306/.439	.188	.327	22	4	30%	6%	109	+2.4	.228/.288/.410	.182	.294	24	4	30%	6%	95	+1.4	.213/.292/.399	.186	.286	24	3	33%	8%	91	+0.6
★Adrián González 2006 · MLB	24	49→59	53→65	47→30	46	.256/.303/.424	.168	.280	21	3	18%	6%	104	+2.0	.281/.342/.480	.199	.317	24	2	19%	8%	134	+4.1	.298/.399/.529	.230	.321	29	1	16%	14%	146	+5.7
●Jordan Luplow 2018 · MLB	24	45→47	50→65	45→50	47	.229/.295/.388	.159	.271	17	6	23%	8%	92	+1.2	.242/.316/.418	.176	.288	19	8	22%	9%	108	+2.3	.236/.326/.439	.203	.276	23	8	23%	11%	114	+1.5
●Anthony Santander 2018 · MLB	23	47→49	51→65	44→45	40	.237/.289/.397	.159	.305	18	7	28%	5%	91	+1.1	.235/.275/.398	.163	.277	19	6	22%	5%	85	+0.7	.242/.317/.473	.231	.257	31	2	20%	9%	120	+3.4
✕Jesús Sánchez 2022 · MLB	24	47→53	56→60	45→50	43	.245/.302/.435	.190	.306	25	5	28%	7%	106	+2.2	.246/.311/.434	.188	.309	23	7	27%	8%	110	+2.4	.243/.311/.415	.172	.306	20	10	26%	8%	100	+1.4
★Rafael Devers 2019 · MLB	22	48→58	54→65	46→45	44	.249/.297/.429	.180	.296	22	7	24%	6%	102	+1.9	.274/.329/.495	.221	.311	28	6	21%	7%	134	+4.1	.277/.351/.516	.240	.303	32	4	20%	9%	138	+4.7
●Nomar Mazara 2018 · MLB	23	48→51	50→55	40	49	.245/.308/.395	.150	.284	18	3	21%	8%	98	+1.6	.250/.310/.414	.164	.297	20	4	22%	7%	105	+2.1	.251/.310/.413	.162	.302	20	3	23%	7%	98	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)