Jac Caglianone — OGILVIE

Jac CaglianoneRF Kansas City Royals

Age 23 L/L 6'4" / 250 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.686 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION511 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 112122vR 125

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP314

ISO184

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 49 / POW 72

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT49

Whiff%

904.0%

xAVG

690.267

POWER72

Barrel%

8313.2

Avg EV

9091.9

Bat Spd

9076.0

EYE47

Chase%

9012.9%

SPEED37

Sprint

4027.0

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%·24% over 72 PA (30d) · proj 24%

BB%5%▼▼2% over 125 PA (45d) · proj 7%

ISO.207▲.231 over 156 AB (60d) · proj .184xISO .224 vs .194 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB6.2%·6.3% over 126 BBE (60d) · proj 6.0%barrel% 13.7% vs 12.0% prior

BABIP.287▲.364 over 118 BIP (60d) · proj .276xBABIP .351 vs .300 prior — approach backs the move

SLASH.250/.292/.457▲proj .236/.298/.420

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 315 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

226

—

wRC+

◀L

wOBA

267

258

◀L

ISO

172

118

◀◀L

BABIP

222

224

—

27.0%

23.4%

▶R

BB%

4.5%

8.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.9M	+$0.8M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$11M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+1.7	$11M	+$7M
2030	Arb-2	$10M	+1.7	$10M	+$4M
2031	Arb-3	$13M	+1.6	$9M	+$1.0M
Totals		$30M		$53M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	126	116	28	9	1	2	7	26	3	2	0	241	302	388	690	147	295	21	6	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	100	89	21	4	0	5	8	19	1	2	1	236	306	449	756	213	239	19	8	327	108	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	232	210	33	6	1	7	18	52	4	1	0	157	237	295	532	138	172	22	8	244	51	-13	+0	-7	-6	+5	-2.1
2025	22	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	129	112	40	6	0	11	12	20	3	1	0	357	433	705	1.138	348	349	16	9	481	211	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.0
2025	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	175	152	49	8	0	9	19	37	1	2	1	322	401	553	954	230	367	21	11	411	164	+13	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	232	210	33	6	1	7	18	52	4	1	0	157	237	295	532	138	172	22	8	244	51	-13	+0	-7	-6	+5	-2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	126	119	23	6	1	2	4	34	3	2	0	193	238	311	549	118	252	27	3	235	45	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	22	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	232	210	34	6	1	8	18	52	4	1	0	162	241	314	556	152	172	22	8	247	53	-13	+0	-7	-6	+5	-2.1
2025	22	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	129	116	32	5	0	8	8	24	3	1	0	276	339	526	864	250	274	19	6	369	136	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	175	159	44	7	0	7	12	44	1	2	1	277	331	453	784	176	326	25	7	337	114	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	226	212	40	11	1	3	8	61	4	4	1	189	232	292	525	104	247	27	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	226	205	49	13	1	7	15	45	4	4	1	239	304	415	718	176	271	20	7	317	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	536	485	109	18	1	22	38	120	8	4	1	225	292	402	694	177	250	22	7	306	93	-4	+0	-7	-6	+12	-0.5
2025	22	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	536	474	122	20	1	27	49	109	8	4	1	257	337	475	812	217	277	20	9	355	93	-4	+0	-7	-6	+12	-0.5
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	226	212	40	11	1	3	8	61	4	4	1	189	232	292	525	104	252	27	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	536	485	109	18	1	22	38	120	8	4	1	225	292	402	694	177	247	22	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	226	212	40	11	1	3	8	61	4	4	1	189	232	292	525	104	252	27	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	536	485	109	18	1	22	38	120	8	4	1	225	292	402	694	177	247	22	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB MLE	KC	—	511	475	138	28	2	25	30	132	5	6	2	291	339	516	855	225	354	26	6	365	133	+20	+0	+1	-5	+11	2.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	KC	—	511	475	134	27	2	23	30	132	5	6	2	282	331	493	824	211	346	26	6	361	133	+20	+0	+1	-5	+11	2.7
YTD	23	MLB RAW	KC	—	511	475	134	27	2	23	30	132	5	6	2	282	331	493	824	211	346	26	6	361	131	+19	+0	+1	-5	+11	2.6
ROS	23	MLB MLE	KC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		319	22	11	348	122	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	23	MLB CTX	KC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		314	22	11	331	122	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	KC	—	520	483	135	27	2	23	31	134	5	6	2	280	329	487	816	207	343	26	6	361	133	+20	+0	+1	-6	+11	2.7
TOT	23	MLB MLE	KC	—	520	483	139	28	2	25	31	134	5	6	2	288	337	509	847	222	351	26	6	364	133	+20	+0	+1	-6	+11	2.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	KC	82%	563	516	139	27	2	26	36	141	6	6	2	269	324	481	805	211	317	25	6	349	122	+15	+0	-4	-6	+12	1.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	82%	552	505	137	26	2	27	36	137	6	6	2	271	327	491	818	220	318	25	7	357	128	+18	+0	-4	-6	+12	2.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	KC	82%	544	497	135	26	2	27	36	135	6	6	2	272	328	495	823	223	318	25	7	358	129	+18	+0	-4	-6	+12	2.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	KC	82%	539	492	133	25	2	27	36	134	6	6	2	270	328	494	822	224	317	25	7	358	129	+18	+0	-4	-6	+12	2.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	KC	82%	531	484	131	25	2	26	36	133	6	6	2	271	329	492	821	221	316	25	7	357	128	+17	+0	-5	-6	+12	2.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	KC	82%	519	472	127	24	1	26	36	131	6	5	2	269	329	489	818	220	315	25	7	355	126	+16	+0	-5	-6	+11	1.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	KC	82%	507	462	123	23	1	25	35	129	5	4	1	266	325	483	807	216	313	25	7	351	124	+14	+0	-6	-5	+11	1.5
2034	31	MLB MLE	KC	82%	492	450	118	22	1	24	34	127	5	4	1	262	321	476	797	213	310	26	7	346	121	+12	+0	-6	-5	+11	1.2
2035	32	MLB MLE	KC	82%	479	438	112	21	1	22	33	125	5	3	1	256	315	459	774	203	305	26	7	340	116	+9	+0	-7	-5	+10	0.8
2036	33	MLB MLE	KC	82%	443	406	101	18	1	20	30	118	4	2	1	249	307	446	753	197	299	27	7	331	110	+5	+0	-7	-5	+10	0.3
2037	34	MLB MLE	KC	77%	397	363	87	15	1	17	27	109	4	1	0	240	299	427	726	187	290	27	7	320	102	+1	+0	-8	-4	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	KC	82%	462	424	111	21	2	20	30	116	5	5	2	262	318	462	780	200	312	25	6	332	122	+12	+0	-3	-5	+10	1.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	82%	453	415	111	21	2	21	30	113	5	5	2	267	324	480	804	212	312	25	7	339	128	+15	+0	-3	-5	+10	1.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	KC	82%	446	408	108	20	2	21	30	111	5	5	2	265	323	478	801	213	312	25	7	340	129	+15	+0	-3	-5	+10	1.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	KC	82%	442	404	107	20	2	20	30	110	5	5	2	265	323	473	796	208	312	25	7	340	129	+15	+0	-3	-5	+10	1.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	KC	82%	435	397	104	20	1	20	30	109	5	5	1	262	322	469	790	207	311	25	7	339	128	+14	+1	-4	-5	+9	1.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	KC	82%	426	389	101	19	1	19	29	108	5	4	1	260	319	460	779	201	310	25	7	337	126	+13	+0	-4	-5	+9	1.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	KC	82%	416	379	98	18	1	19	29	106	5	4	1	259	320	462	781	203	308	25	7	334	124	+12	+0	-5	-4	+9	1.2
2034	31	MLB CTX	KC	82%	403	368	94	17	1	18	28	104	4	3	1	255	315	454	769	198	305	26	7	329	121	+10	+0	-5	-4	+9	0.9
2035	32	MLB CTX	KC	82%	393	359	89	16	1	17	27	103	4	2	1	248	308	440	748	192	300	26	7	322	116	+7	+0	-6	-4	+9	0.6
2036	33	MLB CTX	KC	82%	363	331	80	14	1	15	25	97	4	2	1	242	303	426	729	184	294	27	7	314	110	+4	+0	-6	-4	+8	0.2
2037	34	MLB CTX	KC	77%	308	281	66	11	1	12	21	84	3	1	0	235	295	409	704	174	285	27	7	303	102	+1	+0	-6	-3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4788	4373	1103	203	16	209	328	1215	54	42	14	252	312	449	762	197	301	25	7	327	117	+106	+3	-56	-55	+104	10.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	150	28	2	28	45	165	7	6	2	253	313	448	761	195	302	25	7	327	117	+14	+0	-8	-7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6337	5790	1493	281	18	292	422	1602	71	57	18	258	316	464	780	206	305	25	7	341	117	+133	+4	-67	-65	+126	13.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	154	29	2	30	43	164	7	6	2	259	317	466	783	207	307	25	7	341	117	+15	+0	-8	-7	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Justin Uptonlast yr '22 AS×4SS×2 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA	11.5	7,649	325	151	261	342	469	-82	-91	29.7	27.0
/162	664	28	13	-7.1	-7.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#2Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	9.5	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
/162	664	26	1	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#3Hunter Pencelast yr '20 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,006 PA	10.6	7,006	244	120	279	334	461	-68	-67	24.3	22.9
/162	664	23	11	-6.5	-6.4	2.3	pk7: 22
#4Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	9.9	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
/162	664	32	7	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.8	5,841	271	53	260	315	468	-63	-42	22.5	19.4
/162	664	31	6	-7.1	-4.7	2.6	pk7: 16
#5Yoenis Cespedeslast yr '18 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,456 PA	5.2	3,456	163	43	274	328	498	-37	-13	16.8	16.8
/162	664	31	8	-7.1	-2.4	3.2	pk7: 17
#6Khris Davislast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,804 PA	5.7	3,804	221	18	242	314	491	-40	-39	13.3	13.4
/162	664	39	3	-7.0	-6.9	2.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jac Caglianone (OGILVIE)	23	45→49	66→72	37	47	265/320/470	205	319	25	6	25%	6%	122	+2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Kerry Carpenter 2023 · MLB	25	45→53	57→70	35→45	40	242/291/440	199	288	26	5	26%	5%	103	+1.6	261/316/484	223	311	29	5	26%	6%	122	+3.0	264/319/501	237	307	32	3	25%	6%	125	+2.2
★Chris Davis 2010 · MLB	24	49→53	59→65	43→40	40	255/302/466	211	331	28	4	31%	6%	114	+2.3	250/299/430	180	337	23	4	31%	6%	103	+1.6	239/338/503	264	295	37	3	31%	12%	126	+3.4
★Prince Fielder 2007 · MLB	23	49→59	58→70	45	50	259/332/463	204	296	26	8	22%	8%	124	+3.1	278/376/542	264	298	34	4	19%	12%	157	+5.5	284/393/568	284	299	37	2	19%	14%	152	+6.0
●Franmil Reyes 2019 · MLB	24	48→52	55→65	41→45	44	248/303/429	181	312	24	3	29%	7%	105	+1.7	254/320/480	226	316	33	3	29%	9%	123	+3.0	252/322/499	246	307	36	2	30%	9%	125	+2.2
★Kyle Schwarber 2017 · MLB	24	49→48	58→70	45	52	253/338/459	206	319	27	6	28%	11%	124	+3.1	238/337/486	248	286	34	4	29%	12%	130	+3.5	233/355/495	262	275	38	5	29%	15%	133	+4.3
★Rafael Devers 2020 · MLB	23	54→59	59→65	42→45	48	280/331/499	220	313	26	7	20%	7%	131	+3.6	278/338/512	234	314	29	5	21%	8%	137	+4.0	263/360/519	256	312	33	1	25%	13%	137	+4.4
✕Eloy Jiménez 2020 · MLB	23	49→55	58→65	42→40	42	263/306/465	202	305	27	2	24%	6%	114	+2.4	265/314/468	203	316	28	2	25%	6%	118	+2.7	269/323/463	194	320	28	0	24%	7%	119	+1.3
★Jorge Soler 2015 · MLB	23	49→54	57→70	49→45	46	257/310/462	205	304	24	7	24%	7%	115	+2.4	241/316/415	174	313	21	4	28%	9%	106	+1.8	244/336/505	261	277	36	1	26%	11%	132	+3.0
●Matt Adams 2013 · MLB	24	48→57	56→65	45→40	41	255/290/445	190	295	25	4	23%	5%	104	+1.6	271/311/458	187	323	23	4	23%	5%	114	+2.4	254/314/497	243	280	35	0	23%	7%	120	+1.6
●Jay Bruce 2010 · MLB	23	47→54	58→65	45→50	46	252/309/460	209	291	27	9	24%	7%	114	+2.4	256/330/465	209	301	26	8	23%	10%	123	+3.0	254/334/470	216	299	27	7	24%	10%	115	+2.5
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2015 · MLB	24	47→53	56→60	42→45	43	245/306/441	196	313	24	4	29%	7%	109	+2.0	218/280/389	171	285	22	3	31%	7%	87	+0.4	216/295/403	187	291	24	3	33%	8%	94	+0.5
●Pedro Álvarez 2011 · MLB	24	47	55→65	42→45	45	241/304/433	192	317	23	4	31%	8%	105	+1.7	234/303/428	194	307	25	3	31%	9%	105	+1.7	241/313/470	229	291	33	4	29%	9%	111	+2.0
★Anthony Rizzo 2013 · MLB	23	47→56	58→65	43→45	46	252/312/457	206	293	26	7	24%	7%	115	+2.4	262/349/478	216	288	26	7	19%	10%	133	+3.7	279/388/521	242	289	29	9	15%	12%	148	+5.5
★Austin Riley 2021 · MLB	24	43→53	58→65	41→45	41	235/290/436	202	294	27	3	30%	6%	102	+1.5	278/346/507	229	334	30	2	25%	8%	139	+4.1	282/354/518	236	335	31	1	25%	8%	140	+4.9
●Wily Mo Peña 2005 · MLB	23	46→51	63→65	47→40	42	253/311/481	229	306	34	9	30%	6%	120	+2.8	261/318/470	209	343	28	5	31%	7%	120	+2.8	263/321/460	198	351	26	2	31%	6%	116	+1.4
●Mark Reynolds 2008 · MLB	24	50→55	57→65	43→50	45	254/318/456	203	330	25	3	30%	8%	116	+2.5	244/330/476	232	329	30	11	33%	11%	125	+3.2	231/329/474	243	306	33	13	34%	12%	121	+3.0
●Randal Grichuk 2016 · MLB	24	45→50	57→70	47→45	39	237/282/443	206	293	24	8	28%	5%	100	+1.3	243/291/484	241	298	31	7	29%	6%	114	+2.3	239/289/489	249	285	33	5	29%	5%	112	+1.9
✕Jesús Sánchez 2022 · MLB	24	48→52	57→60	46→50	43	252/310/447	194	314	25	4	28%	7%	112	+2.2	251/316/438	187	317	22	8	27%	8%	112	+2.2	249/317/430	181	314	21	10	26%	8%	107	+1.5
●Paul DeJong 2018 · MLB	24	48→51	57→65	43→45	38	251/294/447	196	316	26	4	29%	5%	106	+1.8	245/313/448	203	294	26	5	26%	8%	113	+2.3	238/319/437	198	281	25	5	24%	9%	111	+1.6
★Pete Alonso 2019 · AAA	24	45→52	58→70	37→40	45	240/313/444	204	296	26	3	28%	8%	112	+2.2	256/343/524	268	290	37	3	25%	9%	141	+4.3	259/348/490	231	299	31	3	24%	10%	130	+4.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps