Jay Allen II

OF Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #771MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AACIN	482	.227/.312/.343	8	21	54	—	.205/.265/.296
2026	23	AAACIN	88	.211/.318/.250	0	6	40	—	.167/.261/.192
2026	23	AACIN	377	.280/.377/.483	15	17	100	—	.247/.326/.413
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBCIN	6	.198/.273/.316	0	0	65	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	25	MLBCIN	85	.202/.277/.324	2	3	68	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed89

Max EV48

Z-Con%42

BB%29

Whiff%24

Chase%14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsBradlee Beesley (age 24) · Alerick Soularie (age 25) · Kenedy Corona (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .273 / .316

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP285

ISO118

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	75	61	20	3	1	3	8	12	5	14	1	328	446	557	1.003	230	362	16	11	436	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	84	74	17	1	2	0	4	19	4	12	4	230	305	297	602	68	304	23	5	273	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	299	241	54	13	2	3	40	73	12	31	6	224	362	332	694	108	305	24	13	319	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	105	91	14	3	0	1	8	40	5	10	3	154	260	220	479	66	260	38	8	231	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	24	13	3	0	0	1	8	4	3	6	2	231	583	462	1.045	231	250	17	33	487	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	456	362	81	10	2	10	65	98	23	35	10	224	376	345	721	122	275	21	14	334	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	482	423	96	19	3	8	43	118	9	21	10	227	312	343	654	116	291	24	9	295	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	88	76	16	3	0	0	7	31	5	6	0	211	318	250	568	39	356	35	8	275	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	377	321	90	18	1	15	35	80	15	17	5	280	377	483	860	202	328	21	9	377	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	75	64	17	2	1	2	5	17	5	14	1	266	365	422	787	156	308	23	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	84	75	16	1	2	0	3	23	4	12	4	213	280	280	560	67	282	27	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	299	252	49	11	2	3	29	97	12	31	6	194	307	290	597	95	279	32	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	105	93	11	2	0	1	6	52	5	10	3	118	212	172	384	54	249	50	6	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	24	16	3	0	0	1	5	6	3	6	2	188	458	375	833	188	194	25	21	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	456	379	67	8	2	6	48	124	23	35	10	177	307	256	563	79	233	27	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	482	439	90	16	3	6	27	143	9	21	10	205	265	296	561	91	275	30	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	88	78	13	2	0	0	5	37	5	6	0	167	261	192	454	26	340	42	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	377	332	82	17	1	12	24	98	15	17	5	247	326	413	739	166	298	26	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	75	64	17	2	1	2	5	17	5	14	1	266	365	422	787	156	326	23	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	75	61	20	3	1	3	8	12	5	14	1	328	446	557	1.003	230	362	16	11	436	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	383	327	64	11	4	3	32	120	16	43	10	196	299	281	580	86	295	31	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	383	315	71	14	4	3	44	92	16	43	10	225	349	324	673	98	305	24	11	309	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	129	110	15	2	0	2	10	58	8	16	5	136	258	209	467	73	260	45	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	129	104	17	3	0	2	16	44	8	16	5	163	320	250	570	87	259	34	12	278	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	456	379	67	8	2	6	48	124	23	35	10	177	307	256	563	79	241	27	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	456	362	81	10	2	10	65	98	23	35	10	224	376	345	721	122	275	21	14	334	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	482	439	90	16	3	6	27	143	9	21	10	205	265	296	561	91	285	30	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	482	423	96	19	3	8	43	118	9	21	10	227	312	343	654	116	291	24	9	295	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	465	410	96	19	1	12	29	135	20	23	5	234	316	373	689	139	316	29	6	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	465	397	106	21	1	15	42	111	20	23	5	267	366	438	804	171	332	24	9	358	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	75	65	17	2	1	2	5	17	5	14	1	262	365	415	780	154	308	23	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	383	332	64	11	4	3	32	120	16	43	10	193	299	277	576	84	280	31	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	129	110	15	2	0	2	10	58	8	16	5	136	258	209	467	73	239	45	8	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	456	382	67	8	2	6	48	124	23	35	10	175	307	254	561	79	233	27	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	482	443	90	16	3	6	27	143	9	21	10	203	265	293	559	90	275	30	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	465	413	96	19	1	12	29	135	20	23	5	232	316	370	686	138	306	29	6	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	456	382	67	8	2	6	48	124	23	35	10	175	307	254	561	79	233	27	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	482	443	90	16	3	6	27	143	9	21	10	203	265	293	559	90	275	30	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	465	413	96	19	1	12	29	135	20	23	5	232	316	370	686	138	306	29	6	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	380	342	68	13	1	8	24	128	11	13	4	197	271	309	581	113	284	34	6	265	65	-16	+1	+1	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	CIN	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	198	273	316	589	118	285	33	0	268	65	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	23%	370	333	66	12	1	8	24	122	10	13	4	200	275	316	591	117	284	33	6	269	68	-14	+1	+1	-2	+8	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	23%	85	77	15	3	0	2	6	28	2	3	1	202	277	324	600	122	285	33	7	272	68	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	85	77	15	3	0	2	6	28	2	3	1	195	271	312	582	117	277	33	7	272	66	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	114	23	0	15	46	214	15	23	8	194	269	309	578	115	275	33	7	272	66	-25	+2	+1	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2680	2350	472	81	13	46	195	827	100	176	48	201	290	305	595	104	285	31	7	265	66	-27	+2	+2	-4	+15	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	115	20	3	11	47	201	24	43	12	202	290	305	595	104	287	31	7	265	66	-26	+2	+1	-4	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jay Allen II (OGILVIE)	24	20→36	40→42	60	45	195/269/306	112	284	7	11	34%	6%	65	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→50	55→60	37	197/257/316	119	307	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	204/272/327	123	301	11	26	34%	7%	70	-0.9	195/271/326	131	284	11	34	33%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Alerick Soularie 2024 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	46	198/284/317	119	288	13	23	34%	10%	72	-0.7	207/283/318	111	293	11	24	31%	8%	72	-0.7	172/252/257	85	238	9	42	30%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Kenedy Corona 2024 · AA	24	41→42	48→50	54→55	41	211/269/351	141	285	16	24	31%	7%	74	-0.5	207/273/312	105	285	10	24	29%	7%	67	-1.1	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Phillip Sikes 2024 · AA	25	38→37	44→45	58→55	39	190/260/306	116	291	11	27	37%	7%	60	-1.6	192/259/305	113	293	12	21	37%	6%	60	-1.6	176/247/286	110	265	13	20	37%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Billy Cook 2024 · AA	25	37→44	48→50	57→55	37	196/250/333	137	277	17	23	35%	6%	63	-1.4	213/275/345	132	297	15	22	32%	7%	75	-0.5	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	53→55	44	207/280/319	112	291	11	19	31%	8%	71	-0.8	220/271/337	117	294	13	14	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/260/336	115	281	15	15	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Brandon Hicks 2010 · AA	24	40→41	46→50	53→50	41	201/266/333	131	287	13	13	33%	7%	69	-0.9	200/261/337	137	293	16	12	36%	7%	68	-1.0	193/259/342	149	302	19	10	40%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Lane Adams 2014 · AA	24	44→45	43→50	55→60	41	218/269/330	111	290	11	19	28%	6%	68	-1.0	223/277/338	115	292	11	28	26%	6%	74	-0.6	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	195/258/316	120	275	10	24	32%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/348	126	302	12	17	29%	5%	76	-0.4	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jonny Butler 2024 · AA	25	41→33	44→50	61→55	41	203/266/328	125	283	11	21	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/263/297	109	256	9	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	164/247/265	101	220	7	12	27%	9%	44	-1.4
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	40→43	44→45	54→50	40	200/260/322	122	286	11	16	33%	7%	64	-1.3	202/270/336	134	333	15	10	41%	8%	71	-0.8	174/253/317	143	303	17	7	45%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Devonte Brown 2024 · AA	24	41→39	47→45	55→50	46	202/289/337	136	305	15	17	36%	10%	79	-0.2	190/274/301	111	315	12	16	40%	9%	65	-1.2	170/259/267	97	288	11	17	41%	9%	50	-1.3
✕Bryce Teodosio 2023 · AA	24	38→48	44→45	54→65	34	179/249/288	109	324	13	24	46%	7%	53	-2.1	203/263/305	102	322	8	27	37%	6%	61	-1.5	219/273/322	104	319	6	42	32%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	42	45	53→50	43	207/283/331	124	287	13	14	31%	8%	75	-0.5	191/260/300	109	276	11	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	165/237/264	99	239	10	12	34%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	204/256/295	91	288	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/265/312	108	298	9	24	33%	6%	63	-1.4	193/259/307	113	288	9	27	34%	6%	58	-1.2