Mason Albright — OGILVIE

Mason Albright P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 23 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133141vR 149

ERA6.12

FIP6.12

K%11.8%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%3.1%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	3	2	8	30	8	2	0	67%	2.7	26.7%	6.7%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.69	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	3	2	8	30	8	2	0	67%	2.7	26.7%	6.7%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.85	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	12	55	273	59	28	12	71%	3.2	16.5%	11.4%	5.1%	7.4%	8.67	7.20	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	12	55	273	59	28	12	71%	3.2	21.6%	10.3%	11.4%	4.4%	8.67	5.32	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	110	460	119	34	14	95%	5.2	19.3%	8.6%	10.7%	3.4%	3.28	4.44	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	110	460	119	34	14	95%	5.2	19.3%	8.6%	10.7%	3.4%	3.28	4.44	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	20	110	460	119	34	14	95%	5.2	25.9%	7.4%	18.5%	3.0%	3.28	3.52	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	24	23	116	494	80	40	13	96%	4.8	13.1%	8.9%	4.2%	3.4%	4.59	5.01	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	24	23	116	494	80	40	13	96%	4.8	13.1%	8.9%	4.2%	3.4%	4.59	5.01	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	24	23	116	494	80	40	13	96%	4.8	16.2%	8.1%	8.1%	2.6%	4.59	4.22	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	118	531	85	43	32	93%	4.4	13.2%	7.6%	5.6%	6.4%	6.35	6.47	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	25	118	531	85	43	32	93%	4.4	13.2%	7.6%	5.6%	6.4%	6.35	6.47	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	25	118	531	85	43	32	93%	4.4	16.0%	8.1%	7.9%	6.0%	6.35	6.29	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	COL	1	1	7	30	3	3	1	100%	7.0	11.8%	8.7%	3.1%	4.6%	6.12	6.12	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	22	22	124	526	75	44	23	100%	5.7	14.3%	8.4%	5.9%	4.4%	5.83	5.77	-1.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	24	24	138	583	92	48	25	100%	5.8	15.8%	8.2%	7.6%	4.3%	5.61	5.55	-1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	24	24	145	613	102	50	26	100%	6.0	16.7%	8.1%	8.5%	4.2%	5.48	5.43	-0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	24	24	147	620	104	51	26	100%	6.1	16.8%	8.2%	8.6%	4.3%	5.45	5.44	-0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	24	24	147	620	103	52	27	100%	6.1	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	4.4%	5.50	5.53	-1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	23	23	140	592	97	51	27	100%	6.1	16.4%	8.6%	7.8%	4.5%	5.59	5.66	-1.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	COL	22	22	132	557	89	49	26	100%	6.0	16.1%	8.9%	7.2%	4.7%	5.74	5.84	-1.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	11	11	60	253	36	21	11	100%	5.5	14.3%	8.4%	5.9%	4.4%	5.83	5.77	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	96	405	64	33	17	100%	6.0	15.8%	8.2%	7.6%	4.3%	5.61	5.55	-0.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	20	20	117	494	82	40	21	100%	5.8	16.7%	8.1%	8.5%	4.2%	5.48	5.43	-0.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	21	21	127	536	90	44	23	100%	6.0	16.8%	8.2%	8.6%	4.3%	5.45	5.44	-0.8
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	22	22	132	557	93	47	24	100%	6.0	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	4.4%	5.50	5.53	-0.9
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	21	21	128	540	89	46	24	100%	6.1	16.4%	8.6%	7.8%	4.5%	5.59	5.66	-1.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	COL	20	20	122	515	83	46	24	100%	6.1	16.1%	8.9%	7.2%	4.7%	5.74	5.84	-1.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		131	131	782	3300	537	277	145	100%	6.0	16.3%	8.4%	7.9%	4.4%	5.58	5.21	-2.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	137	71	37	100%	5.9	16.3%	8.4%	7.9%	4.4%	5.58	5.21	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		92	82	406	1788	277	157	87	89%	4.4	15.5%	8.8%	6.7%	4.9%	5.21	5.58	-7.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	40	200	881	136	77	43	89%	4.4	15.5%	8.8%	6.7%	4.9%	5.21	5.58	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Albright (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.12	11.8%	8.7%	4.6%	—	5.57	15.7%	7.4%	408	-0.55	—	—	—
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	85
Russell Smith L 2022 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	16.0%	10.4%	3.8%	.272	4.64	21.2%	7.8%	107	-0.50	4.00	175	84
Rob Zastryzny L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP	5.33	13.8%	10.9%	3.7%	.345	4.28	18.5%	9.1%	268	-1.05	3.34	634	82
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	81
Eddie Campbell L 2015 · 5.05 FIP	23	SP	5.05	13.5%	10.7%	3.2%	.315	6.31	13.7%	-3.8%	140	+1.26	5.05	250	81
Travis Radke L 2015 · 5.70 FIP	22	SP	5.70	13.3%	8.3%	4.9%	.385	2.35	25.9%	21.1%	57	-3.35	2.35	178	79
Jake McSteen L 2021 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP-	5.05	16.8%	7.3%	4.5%	.322	5.18	19.2%	12.5%	172	+0.13	2.22	286	78
Ryan Kellogg L 2017 · 5.67 FIP	23	SP	5.67	9.0%	7.1%	4.4%	.306	4.10	12.2%	4.4%	147	-1.57	3.65	446	78
Evan Grills L 2015 · 5.42 FIP	23	SP-	5.42	13.0%	8.6%	4.2%	.335	4.02	16.1%	11.6%	221	-1.40	3.41	309	77
Luis Lugo L 2017 · 5.44 FIP	23	SP	5.44	12.8%	10.3%	3.9%	.288	4.47	18.6%	8.6%	131	-0.97	4.29	622	77
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	76
Avery Short L 2023 · 6.43 FIP	22	SP	6.43	13.9%	9.8%	5.9%	.336	4.86	14.4%	6.0%	325	-1.57	4.20	485	76
Domenick Carlini L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	23	SP	5.48	13.1%	9.1%	4.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	134	76
Kenny Hernandez L 2021 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP-	5.15	15.6%	9.0%	4.0%	.297	4.53	15.9%	5.6%	170	-0.62	3.16	424	75
Trey Ball L 2017 · 5.19 FIP	23	SP	5.19	14.7%	11.0%	3.5%	.367	5.00	14.4%	5.3%	65	-0.19	5.00	437	74
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	74
Tyson Guerrero L 2022 · 6.22 FIP	23	SP	6.22	16.0%	10.8%	5.6%	.275	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	207	-1.80	4.26	250	74
John Doxakis L 2022 · 5.12 FIP	23	SP	5.12	18.2%	11.9%	3.8%	.252	4.77	17.6%	4.3%	113	-0.35	3.19	332	74
Matt Bower L 2017 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP-	4.93	15.6%	6.7%	4.2%	.325	4.60	18.7%	2.3%	15	-0.33	3.31	239	73
Cole Ragans L 2021 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	20.2%	11.2%	4.2%	.296	3.34	26.7%	17.4%	445	-1.80	2.48	623	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.3	132	15.8%	8.4%	1.71	5.63
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12