Mason Albright P Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 23 LHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2029
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138147vR 156
ERA6.14
FIP6.14
K%12.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%3.0%
ROS IP82
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
K: -7.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-7KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -10.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-10CONTACTSTAM: +7.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+8STAMTotal WAR: -1.07 (82 IP)-1.1WAR
-1.0-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.8-1.0-1.1-1.32628303233
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL5555
CMD4040
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202118ROKACL Angels3283082067%2.726.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%0.001.69
202118ROKACL Angels3283082067%2.726.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%0.001.85
202219MIX3 levels17125527359281271%3.216.5%11.4%5.1%8.4%8.677.78
202219MIX3 levels17125527359281271%3.221.6%10.3%11.4%4.4%8.675.32
202320MIX2 levels2120110460119341495%5.219.3%8.6%10.7%3.1%3.284.24
202320MIX2 levels2120110460119341495%5.225.9%7.4%18.5%3.0%3.283.52
202421AAHartford Yard Goats242311649480401396%4.813.1%8.9%4.2%3.8%4.595.20
202421AAHartford Yard Goats242311649480401396%4.816.2%8.1%8.1%2.6%4.594.22
202522MIX2 levels272511853185433293%4.413.8%8.6%5.2%6.2%6.356.43
202522MIX2 levels272511853185433293%4.416.0%8.1%7.9%6.0%6.356.29
▸ 2026 Season
202623MLBCOL151582348433216100%5.512.3%9.3%3.0%4.6%6.146.14-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBCOL2222124526774723100%5.714.7%8.9%5.8%4.4%5.855.78-1.2
202825MLBCOL2424138583945125100%5.816.1%8.7%7.4%4.3%5.645.57-1.0
202926MLBCOL24241456131035326100%6.016.9%8.6%8.3%4.2%5.505.46-0.9
203027MLBCOL24241476201055426100%6.117.0%8.6%8.4%4.2%5.475.47-0.9
203128MLBCOL24241476201055527100%6.116.9%8.8%8.1%4.3%5.525.55-1.1
203229MLBCOL2323140592995327100%6.116.6%9.0%7.6%4.5%5.625.68-1.2
203330MLBCOL2222132557915226100%6.016.3%9.3%7.0%4.7%5.765.86-1.4
202724MLBCOL111160253372311100%5.514.7%8.9%5.8%4.4%5.855.78-0.6
202825MLBCOL161696405653517100%6.016.1%8.7%7.4%4.3%5.645.57-0.7
202926MLBCOL2020117494834221100%5.816.9%8.6%8.3%4.2%5.505.46-0.7
203027MLBCOL2121127536914623100%6.017.0%8.6%8.4%4.2%5.475.47-0.8
203128MLBCOL2222132557944924100%6.016.9%8.8%8.1%4.3%5.525.55-1.0
203229MLBCOL2121128540904924100%6.116.6%9.0%7.6%4.5%5.625.68-1.1
203330MLBCOL2020122515844824100%6.116.3%9.3%7.0%4.7%5.765.86-1.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career1311317823300545292144100%6.016.5%8.9%7.6%4.4%5.605.23-2.9
/ 200 IP34342008441397537100%5.916.5%8.9%7.6%4.4%5.605.23-0.7
Career928240617882801628989%4.415.7%9.1%6.6%5.0%5.215.65-7.8
/ 200 IP4540200881138804489%4.415.7%9.1%6.6%5.0%5.215.65-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mason Albright (OGILVIE) 6.14 12.3%9.3%4.6% 5.59 15.9%7.2%408 -0.55
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 5.12 FIP 24 SP 5.12 12.5%9.9%3.3%.292 1.80 24.2%22.5%37 -3.32 1.80 120 89
Russell Smith L 2022 · 5.45 FIP 23 SP 5.45 16.0%10.4%4.3%.272 4.52 21.2%7.8%107 -0.93 3.89 175 86
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.80 FIP 25 SP- 5.80 12.3%8.5%4.9%.327 4.56 10.7%3.9%181 -1.24 3.63 322 86
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.52 FIP 26 SP 5.52 13.6%10.5%4.1%.257 4.61 14.6%5.3%235 -0.91 3.09 306 84
Rob Zastryzny L 2015 · 5.24 FIP 23 SP 5.24 13.8%10.9%3.5%.345 4.39 18.5%9.1%268 -0.85 3.26 634 83
Eddie Campbell L 2015 · 5.08 FIP 23 SP 5.08 13.5%10.7%3.2%.315 6.37 13.7%-3.8%140 +1.29 5.08 250 82
Jake McSteen L 2021 · 5.46 FIP 25 SP- 5.46 16.8%7.3%5.2%.322 5.74 19.2%12.5%172 +0.28 2.22 286 77
Luis Lugo L 2017 · 5.42 FIP 23 SP 5.42 12.8%10.3%3.8%.288 4.42 18.6%8.6%131 -1.00 4.16 622 77
Evan Grills L 2015 · 5.51 FIP 23 SP- 5.51 13.0%8.6%4.4%.335 3.80 16.1%11.6%221 -1.71 3.24 309 77
Ryan Kellogg L 2017 · 5.85 FIP 23 SP 5.85 9.0%7.1%4.8%.306 4.17 12.2%4.4%147 -1.68 3.65 446 77
Travis Radke L 2015 · 6.56 FIP 22 SP 6.56 13.3%8.3%6.4%.385 2.24 25.9%21.1%57 -4.32 2.24 178 77
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.25 FIP 22 SP- 5.25 17.5%13.9%3.4%.324 3.91 17.1%6.8%186 -1.34 3.47 277 77
Avery Short L 2023 · 6.60 FIP 22 SP 6.60 13.9%9.8%6.3%.336 4.67 14.7%6.6%303 -1.93 4.31 463 76
Domenick Carlini L 2017 · 5.52 FIP 23 SP 5.52 13.1%9.1%4.3%.315 3.79 134 76
Tyson Guerrero L 2022 · 6.08 FIP 23 SP 6.08 16.0%10.8%5.4%.275 4.45 20.9%10.1%207 -1.63 4.20 231 75
Kenny Hernandez L 2021 · 4.96 FIP 23 SP- 4.96 15.6%9.0%3.7%.297 4.52 15.9%5.6%170 -0.44 3.20 424 75
John Doxakis L 2022 · 5.16 FIP 23 SP 5.16 18.2%11.9%3.8%.252 4.74 17.9%3.8%113 -0.42 3.21 332 75
Trey Ball L 2017 · 5.15 FIP 23 SP 5.15 14.7%11.0%3.4%.367 4.75 14.4%5.3%65 -0.40 4.75 437 75
Cole Ragans L 2021 · 5.15 FIP 23 SP 5.15 20.2%11.2%4.2%.296 3.38 26.8%17.4%445 -1.77 2.46 623 75
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.23 FIP 22 SP- 5.23 15.2%12.0%3.5%.268 5.23 105 74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 136 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player162sIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION5.313216.1%8.9%1.705.66
Dylan Bundy ('22)4.513022.0%7.3%1.614.75
Homer Bailey ('19)1.99618.5%7.8%1.345.56
Dan Straily ('19)2.713620.0%8.9%1.724.54
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)4.013421.4%7.7%1.464.45
Zach Davies ('23)5.211617.5%8.1%1.164.36
Julio Teheran ('23)5.214720.4%8.8%1.344.12