Juan Montero — OGILVIE

Juan MonteroC Greenville Drive

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 180 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .261 / .251

PA8

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	50	39	7	3	0	1	11	13	0	1	1	179	360	333	693	154	240	26	22	326	107	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	39	31	8	5	0	0	3	12	4	0	0	258	395	419	814	161	400	31	8	363	132	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	20	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	120	214	160	374	40	176	29	7	187	12	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	81	73	18	7	0	0	6	20	2	0	2	247	321	342	663	96	340	25	7	304	92	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	59	48	9	3	1	0	8	17	1	0	0	188	316	292	607	104	273	29	14	276	73	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	117	92	19	4	1	1	16	30	7	2	1	207	362	304	666	98	290	26	14	315	100	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	22	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	250	333	250	583		444	39	6	281	76	-1	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2025	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	88	74	15	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	203	330	230	559	27	306	28	15	274	72	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	50	43	5	2	0	1	7	19	0	1	1	116	240	233	473	116	183	38	14	216	32	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	39	32	5	3	0	0	2	17	4	0	0	156	289	250	539	94	267	44	5	223	37	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	81	75	13	5	0	0	4	29	2	0	2	173	235	240	475	67	292	36	5	217	33	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	59	50	7	2	1	0	6	24	1	0	0	140	246	220	466	80	239	41	10	218	34	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	117	99	16	3	1	1	10	45	7	2	1	162	284	242	527	81	267	38	9	239	48	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	88	79	12	1	0	0	8	36	1	0	0	152	239	165	403	13	281	41	9	197	19	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	50	43	5	2	0	1	7	19	0	1	1	116	240	233	473	116	174	38	14	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	50	39	7	3	0	1	11	13	0	1	1	179	360	333	693	154	240	26	22	326	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	67	58	9	5	0	0	3	30	5	1	0	155	258	241	499	86	310	45	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	67	56	11	6	0	0	5	20	5	1	0	196	318	304	622	107	297	30	7	289	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	81	75	13	5	0	0	4	29	2	0	2	173	235	240	475	67	283	36	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	81	73	18	7	0	0	6	20	2	0	2	247	321	342	663	96	340	25	7	304	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	194	165	26	6	2	1	17	76	9	3	1	158	272	236	509	79	275	39	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	194	156	32	7	2	1	25	54	9	3	1	205	346	295	640	90	298	28	13	300	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	88	79	12	1	0	0	8	36	1	0	0	152	239	165	403	13	279	41	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Greenville Drive	—	88	74	15	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	203	330	230	559	27	306	28	15	274	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	50	43	5	2	0	1	7	19	0	1	1	116	240	233	473	116	183	38	14	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	67	59	9	5	0	0	3	30	5	1	0	153	258	237	495	85	267	45	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	81	75	13	5	0	0	4	29	2	0	2	173	235	240	475	67	292	36	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	194	166	26	6	2	1	17	76	9	3	1	157	272	235	507	78	258	39	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	88	79	12	1	0	0	8	36	1	0	0	152	239	165	403	13	281	41	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	81	75	13	5	0	0	4	29	2	0	2	173	235	240	475	67	292	36	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	194	166	26	6	2	1	17	76	9	3	1	157	272	235	507	78	258	39	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	88	79	12	1	0	0	8	36	1	0	0	152	239	165	403	13	281	41	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		261	25	12	241	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BOS	30%	164	147	29	6	1	2	14	47	2	3	1	197	276	293	569	95	265	29	9	252	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	BOS	44%	260	232	45	9	1	3	22	73	4	4	1	194	275	280	555	86	267	28	8	260	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	316	282	56	11	2	4	27	88	4	5	1	199	278	294	572	96	268	28	9	263	64	-13	+1	+0	+6	+7	-0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	351	313	62	12	2	5	30	98	5	5	1	198	279	297	576	99	268	28	9	264	65	-15	+1	-1	+6	+8	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	BOS	51%	366	326	65	13	2	5	32	103	5	5	2	199	281	298	579	98	267	28	9	262	63	-16	+0	-1	+7	+8	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	BOS	30%	50	45	9	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	200	280	311	591	111	270	28	8	245	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	BOS	44%	115	102	20	4	1	1	10	32	2	2	1	196	281	284	565	88	272	28	9	252	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	155	139	28	6	1	2	13	43	2	2	1	201	279	302	581	101	273	28	8	256	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	181	161	33	7	1	2	16	50	2	3	1	205	285	298	583	93	273	28	9	256	65	-8	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	BOS	51%	188	167	34	7	1	3	16	53	3	3	1	204	285	311	596	108	272	28	9	255	63	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	689	614	124	26	4	9	59	192	10	11	4	202	283	301	584	99	276	28	9	254	56	-30	+1	-1	+12	+15	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	117	25	4	8	56	181	9	10	4	202	283	301	583	98	277	28	9	254	56	-28	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1945	1727	323	70	10	21	165	601	37	27	10	187	272	276	548	89	270	31	8	251	56	-65	+2	-2	+26	+32	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	107	23	3	7	55	201	12	9	3	185	270	272	542	87	268	31	8	251	56	-29	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	689	9	10	198	275	294	+12	+8	0.3	0.3
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+7.7	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Montero (OGILVIE)	24	20	30	44	53	182/261/251	70	261	1	1	29%	8%	49	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	195/279/260	65	269	4	4	27%	9%	57	-1.8	202/281/288	86	287	7	4	29%	9%	64	-1.3	198/284/292	94	281	8	1	30%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→40	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	42	-2.9	197/247/275	78	277	6	4	29%	5%	47	-2.5	210/276/290	80	290	6	0	28%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→38	38→40	42→45	46	188/272/267	79	265	6	8	29%	8%	57	-1.8	177/251/244	67	256	4	8	30%	7%	43	-2.8	152/224/201	49	226	2	6	31%	7%	21	-2.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	44	35→30	43→45	49	203/282/267	64	282	2	7	26%	9%	59	-1.6	201/270/283	82	287	6	8	30%	7%	59	-1.7	152/218/211	59	220	7	5	32%	5%	22	-1.1
✕Jeremy Dowdy 2014 · A	24	43	37→40	45→30	40	205/249/276	71	284	4	5	28%	6%	48	-2.5	223/277/300	77	281	5	4	21%	7%	64	-1.3	225/284/301	76	272	5	1	18%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/278	87	253	5	11	26%	6%	51	-2.2	186/241/310	124	254	15	9	32%	5%	55	-2.0	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	280	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	215/262/289	74	286	5	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	229/274/261	32	293	2	0	21%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Richard Mercado 2007 · A	24	40	37→45	45→30	41	195/242/273	78	270	4	5	29%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/296	85	276	6	4	24%	6%	58	-1.7	210/263/287	77	267	6	0	23%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Eric Yang 2022 · A	24	39	39→40	44→40	46	184/282/268	84	271	6	6	31%	9%	61	-1.5	191/268/269	78	288	5	6	33%	8%	55	-1.9	178/263/231	54	280	4	1	35%	9%	43	-0.6
✕Dillon Moyer 2015 · A	24	38→39	36→30	47→50	40	181/239/246	65	267	3	10	32%	6%	38	-3.2	164/214/224	60	311	3	8	45%	5%	24	-4.2	104/147/137	34	240	0	5	54%	4%	-24	-4.4
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	37→30	43→45	38	201/246/268	67	287	5	8	31%	5%	45	-2.7	214/261/289	75	300	4	7	29%	5%	55	-1.9	212/267/270	58	291	2	4	26%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	41	36→40	43→45	47	193/272/257	64	268	4	6	28%	8%	54	-2.0	218/284/303	85	271	6	8	20%	7%	68	-1.0	224/288/309	84	270	6	8	18%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Erick Castillo 2017 · A	24	40	35→30	47→30	38	190/231/241	51	243	3	4	23%	4%	33	-3.6	205/251/269	64	264	4	3	23%	5%	47	-2.5	191/250/230	39	236	3	0	20%	4%	36	-0.9
✕David Masters 2017 · A	24	35→37	38→45	40	41	173/231/243	70	232	6	4	28%	6%	35	-3.4	191/256/291	100	260	10	2	29%	7%	55	-1.9	192/262/321	129	263	16	1	32%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Chris Clare 2019 · A	24	43→45	37→40	46→40	48	202/278/274	72	262	5	5	24%	8%	60	-1.6	197/269/270	73	270	4	7	26%	7%	55	-1.9	153/231/183	30	223	0	3	28%	7%	19	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps