Juan Montero — OGILVIE

Juan MonteroC Greenville Drive

Age 24 R/R 5'8" / 180 lbs A+ H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .258 / .248

PA96

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	50	43	5	2	0	1	7	19	0	1	1	116	240	233	473	116	174	38	14	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	50	39	7	3	0	1	11	13	0	1	1	179	360	333	693	154	240	26	22	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	2 teams	—	67	58	8	4	0	0	3	30	5	1	0	138	242	207	449	69	276	45	4	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	2 teams	—	67	56	11	6	0	0	5	20	5	1	0	196	318	304	622	107	297	30	7	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	81	76	13	5	0	0	3	29	2	0	2	171	222	237	459	66	277	36	4	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	81	73	18	7	0	0	6	20	2	0	2	247	321	342	663	96	340	25	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	194	164	25	5	2	1	18	80	9	3	1	152	272	226	498	73	279	41	9	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	3 teams	—	194	156	32	7	2	1	25	54	9	3	1	205	346	295	640	90	298	28	13	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	88	79	12	1	0	0	8	38	1	0	0	152	239	165	403	13	293	43	9	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	88	74	15	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	203	330	230	559	27	306	28	15	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	BOS	—	96	87	15	3	0	1	8	29	1	1	0	172	250	241	491	69	261	30	8	238	40	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BOS	30%	164	147	28	5	1	2	14	48	2	3	1	190	270	279	549	88	265	29	9	250	50	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	BOS	44%	260	232	44	9	1	3	22	75	4	4	1	190	271	276	547	86	267	29	8	258	55	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	BOS	49%	316	282	55	11	2	4	27	91	4	5	1	195	275	291	566	96	269	29	9	261	58	-15	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.0
2030	28	MLB	BOS	52%	351	313	62	12	2	5	30	101	5	5	1	198	279	297	576	99	269	29	9	262	58	-17	+1	-1	+6	+10	-0.0
2027	25	MLB	BOS	30%	50	45	9	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	200	280	311	591	111	271	30	8	243	45	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	BOS	44%	115	102	21	4	1	2	10	33	2	2	1	206	289	324	613	118	273	29	9	251	51	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	BOS	49%	155	139	28	6	1	2	13	45	2	2	1	201	279	302	581	101	274	29	8	255	53	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	BOS	52%	181	161	33	7	1	3	16	52	2	3	1	205	285	317	602	112	275	29	9	256	54	-9	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	501	447	91	19	3	8	43	145	7	8	3	204	284	313	597	110	279	29	9	253	52	-27	+0	-0	+9	+14	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	118	25	4	10	56	188	9	10	4	203	284	312	596	109	280	29	9	253	52	-35	+0	-0	+12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1667	1481	267	57	8	17	140	540	33	23	8	180	266	264	530	84	268	32	8	245	46	-103	+1	-1	+30	+47	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	104	22	3	7	55	211	13	9	3	180	267	265	532	85	267	32	8	245	46	-40	+1	-0	+12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	50	39	7	3	0	1	11	13	0	1	1	179	360	333	693	154	240	26	22	326	108	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	20	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	39	31	8	5	0	0	3	12	4	0	0	258	395	419	814	161	400	31	8	363	136	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	20	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	28	25	3	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	0	120	214	160	374	40	176	29	7	187	1	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	81	73	18	7	0	0	6	20	2	0	2	247	321	342	663	96	340	25	7	304	91	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	59	48	9	3	1	0	8	17	1	0	0	188	316	292	607	104	273	29	14	276	70	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	22	A	Salem Red Sox	—	117	92	19	4	1	1	16	30	7	2	1	207	362	304	666	98	290	26	14	315	100	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	22	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	18	16	4	0	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	250	333	250	583		444	39	6	281	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	88	74	15	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	203	330	230	559	27	306	28	15	274	68	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	501	7	8	196	273	291	+9	+8	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	9	10	196	273	291	+11.9	+10.6	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Montero (OGILVIE)	24	20	30	44	53	179/258/248	69	261	1	1	30%	8%	40	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	40→37	38→40	42→45	45	190/273/269	79	271	6	8	30%	8%	52	-1.6	172/246/239	67	256	5	8	32%	7%	33	-2.9	143/216/191	47	222	3	6	34%	7%	5	-2.9
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Chris Clare 2019 · A	24	42→45	37→30	46→40	49	198/278/268	70	258	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	194/266/265	71	270	4	7	28%	7%	47	-1.9	146/222/176	30	221	0	3	31%	6%	3	-1.5
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	48	192/273/255	63	265	4	6	27%	9%	48	-1.9	220/287/306	86	274	6	8	20%	8%	66	-0.6	227/292/315	88	275	6	8	19%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Dillon Moyer 2015 · A	24	38→39	36→30	47→50	41	181/240/247	66	262	3	10	30%	6%	30	-3.1	160/212/219	59	307	3	8	46%	6%	11	-4.5	93/139/123	29	227	0	5	56%	4%	-47	-4.8
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	42	37→40	44→30	48	197/281/263	66	269	4	4	27%	9%	53	-1.5	202/281/291	89	289	7	4	30%	9%	61	-1.0	196/283/297	101	281	10	1	31%	10%	60	-0.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Bryan Johns 2013 · A	24	44	35→30	43→45	48	205/281/267	62	284	2	7	27%	9%	54	-1.4	202/269/283	81	288	6	8	30%	7%	53	-1.5	150/216/208	58	216	7	5	32%	5%	10	-1.1
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→45	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	34	-2.8	196/247/275	79	277	6	4	30%	5%	40	-2.4	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	40	36→30	47→55	46	190/265/263	73	271	3	9	29%	8%	46	-2.0	209/276/302	93	290	7	6	28%	8%	60	-1.0	196/275/293	97	250	9	3	24%	9%	56	-0.2
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→40	44	185/239/240	55	245	2	6	24%	6%	28	-3.2	206/264/294	88	265	5	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	206/274/302	95	250	6	3	19%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Eric Yang 2022 · A	24	38	39→40	44→40	46	180/279/266	85	267	6	6	32%	9%	55	-1.4	189/266/268	79	289	6	6	34%	8%	48	-1.9	178/263/236	57	284	5	1	35%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	43	-2.2	223/272/296	73	306	3	7	26%	6%	56	-1.3	239/281/303	65	323	1	7	25%	5%	59	-0.5