Juan Montero

C Greenville Drive
Age 25 R/R 5'8" / 180 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2191ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202321ASalem Red Sox81.247/.321/.3420038—.187/.247/.253
202422A+/A/INTL3 orgs194.205/.346/.2951346—.155/.271/.235
202523A+BOS88.203/.330/.2300014—.150/.227/.162
2027PROJMLE25MLBBOS200.206/.278/.30831670.0
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBBOS24.215/.286/.32500700.0
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBBOS57.216/.287/.32710710.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+
BB%81
Chase%34
Whiff%33
wRC+32
Z-Con%31
wOBA29
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsSam Praytor (age 25) · JJ Schwarz (age 25) · Connor Kaiser (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .276 / .305
PA47
HR1
K%30
BB%8
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.00.00.0272830
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 ROKFCL Red Sox — 5039 7301 11130 11 179360333693 154240 2622 326 33 — — — — — —
202220 ROKFCL Red Sox — 3931 8500 3124 00 258395419814 161400 318 363 36 — — — — — —
202220 INTLLeones de Ponce — 2825 3100 281 10 120214160374 40176 297 187 12 — — — — — —
202321 ASalem Red Sox — 8173 18700 6202 02 247321342663 96340 257 304 38 — — — — — —
202422 A+Greenville Drive — 5948 9310 8171 00 188316292607 104273 2914 276 28 — — — — — —
202422 ASalem Red Sox — 11792 19411 16307 21 207362304666 98290 2614 315 50 — — — — — —
202422 INTLLeones de Ponce — 1816 4000 171 10 250333250583 444 396 281 76 — — — — — —
202523 A+Greenville Drive — 8874 15200 13251 00 203330230559 27306 2815 274 14 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 5043 5201 7190 11 116240233473 116184 3814 217 33 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 3932 5300 2174 00 156289250539 94265 445 222 36 — — — — — —
202321 A MLESalem Red Sox — 8175 14500 4282 02 187247253500 67292 355 224 38 — — — — — —
202422 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 5951 7210 5231 00 137228216444 78228 398 210 28 — — — — — —
202422 A MLESalem Red Sox — 11798 16311 11437 21 163293245538 82264 379 242 50 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 8880 12100 7351 00 150227163390 13265 408 189 14 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 5043 5201 7190 11 116240233473 116174 3814 217 33 — — — — — —
202119 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 5039 7301 11130 11 179360333693 154240 2622 326 33 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLE2 teams — 6758 9500 3305 10 155258241499 86310 454 222 36 — — — — — —
202220 ROK RAW2 teams — 6756 11600 5205 10 196318304622 107297 307 289 36 — — — — — —
202321 A MLESalem Red Sox — 8175 14500 4282 02 187247253500 67298 355 224 38 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWSalem Red Sox — 8173 18700 6202 02 247321342663 96340 257 304 38 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE3 teams — 194164 26621 18739 31 159277238515 79269 389 231 43 — — — — — —
202422 A RAW3 teams — 194156 32721 25549 31 205346295640 90298 2813 300 43 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 8880 12100 7351 00 150227163390 13267 408 189 14 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAWGreenville Drive — 8874 15200 13251 00 203330230559 27306 2815 274 14 — — — — — —
202119 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 5043 5201 7190 11 116240233473 116184 3814 217 33 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLE2 teams — 6759 9500 3305 10 153258237495 85265 454 222 36 — — — — — —
202321 A MLESalem Red Sox — 8175 14500 4282 02 187247253500 67292 355 224 38 — — — — — —
202422 A MLE3 teams — 194165 26621 18739 31 158277236514 79252 389 231 43 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 8880 12100 7351 00 150227163390 13265 408 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLE3 teams — 194165 26621 18739 31 158277236514 79252 389 231 43 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 8880 12100 7351 00 150227163390 13265 408 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEBOS 0% 200180 37713 15603 10 206278308586 102288 308 267 67 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEBOS 30% 8073 14301 6241 00 209281317598 108288 308 271 70 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202927 MLB MLEBOS 42% 136122 26512 11402 00 210282319601 109287 298 272 71 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
203028 MLB MLEBOS 48% 176158 33613 14522 00 210282319600 109286 308 272 70 -6 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.0
202826 MLB CTXBOS 30% 2422 4100 270 00 215286325611 110297 298 277 70 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202927 MLB CTXBOS 42% 5752 11201 4171 00 216287327614 112297 307 278 71 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
203028 MLB CTXBOS 48% 8476 15301 7251 00 216287327614 111296 308 278 70 -3 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 165150 30602 13492 00 200273280553 80283 308 278 52 -6 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 1192408 511938 00 201274283556 81285 308 278 52 -23 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 919815 1483549 7431523 54 182269267536 86280 348 244 52 -16 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 1052536 5222316 43 182268267536 85282 348 244 52 -23 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 A+Greenville Drive · 88 PAwOBA .268 → .189 (−80)K% 28.4% → 39.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.41%÷0.936×1.310——39.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.77%÷1.050×0.600—×0.9988.43%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.770—×0.9980.87%
Singles /BIP26.53%÷0.974×0.870×0.999×0.99823.62%
Doubles /BIP4.08%÷1.099×0.780×0.999×0.9982.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.011×0.850×0.999×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.117×0.880—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 95, 2B 120, 3B 102, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .268 → .189; ISO .027 → .017; BABIP .306 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASalem Red Sox · 117 PAwOBA .311 → .242 (−69)K% 25.6% → 36.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.64%÷0.948×1.360——36.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.68%÷1.011×0.690——9.33%
HBP% /PA5.98%—×0.780——4.67%
Singles /BIP20.97%÷0.989×0.920×1.023—19.95%
Doubles /BIP6.45%÷1.051×0.830×1.023—5.21%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷1.150×0.910×1.023—1.31%
Home runs /BIP1.61%÷0.933×0.800——1.38%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .311 → .242; ISO .098 → .075; BABIP .290 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Greenville Drive · 59 PAwOBA .280 → .210 (−69)K% 28.8% → 39.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.81%÷0.960×1.310——39.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.56%÷0.924×0.600—×1.0128.91%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.770—×1.0121.32%
Singles /BIP16.13%÷1.013×0.870—×1.01214.02%
Doubles /BIP9.68%÷1.037×0.780—×1.0127.37%
Triples /BIP3.23%÷0.927×0.850—×1.0122.99%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.043×0.880—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 85, K 92, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .280 → .210; ISO .104 → .083; BABIP .273 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASalem Red Sox · 81 PAwOBA .296 → .224 (−72)K% 24.7% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.69%÷0.982×1.360——34.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.41%÷1.052×0.690—×1.0154.93%
HBP% /PA2.47%—×0.780—×1.0151.95%
Singles /BIP20.75%÷1.023×0.920×0.950×1.01517.99%
Doubles /BIP13.21%÷0.942×0.830×0.950×1.01511.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.999×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .296 → .224; ISO .096 → .073; BABIP .340 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Red Sox · 39 PAwOBA .364 → .222 (−141)K% 30.8% → 44.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.77%÷1.000×1.440——44.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷1.080×0.620—×0.9954.40%
HBP% /PA10.26%—×0.720—×0.9957.35%
Singles /BIP15.79%÷1.010×0.820—×0.99512.75%
Doubles /BIP26.32%÷1.229×0.720—×0.99515.33%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.908×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.943×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 146, 3B 82, K 100, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .364 → .222; ISO .161 → .085; BABIP .400 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Red Sox · 50 PAwOBA .319 → .217 (−102)K% 26.0% → 37.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.00%÷0.999×1.440——37.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.00%÷0.997×0.620—×1.00813.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP11.54%÷0.980×0.820—×1.0089.73%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷1.029×0.720—×1.0088.13%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.951×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷0.951×0.780—×1.0083.18%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 90, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .319 → .217; ISO .154 → .110; BABIP .240 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .