Najer Victor
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%24.2%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 7 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.6% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 7.04 | 1.22 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 7 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.6% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 7.04 | 1.01 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 41 | 187 | 65 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.3% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 4.74 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 41 | 187 | 65 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.8% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 2.7% | 4.87 | 3.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 18 | 0 | 24 | 108 | 34 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.3% | 20.8% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 3.38 | 4.07 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.46 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 48 | 210 | 59 | 32 | 4 | — | — | 27.9% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 1.9% | 3.92 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.09 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 3.97 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 214 | 89 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 72 | 331 | 89 | 55 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 4.60 | 4.14 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 0 | 200 | 915 | 245 | 152 | 20 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 4.60 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Najer Victor (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 24.2% | 10.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.35 | 24.5% | 14.3% | 24 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 92 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 89 |
| Zach Franklin R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 89 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 88 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 88 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.45 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.10 | 3.45 | 289 | 88 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .270 | 4.55 | 21.7% | 5.4% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.72 | 197 | 86 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 86 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 86 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 86 |
| Lucas Wepf R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.72 | 27.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .304 | 4.02 | 25.6% | 14.1% | 62 | +0.30 | 2.90 | 176 | 86 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 86 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 85 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 85 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 85 |
| Trey McLoughlin R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.89 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .295 | 4.73 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 95 | +0.84 | 3.78 | 217 | 85 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 85 |