Najer Victor — OGILVIE

Najer Victor P Salt Lake Bees

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%25.5%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	36	11	2	0	0%	1.1	30.6%	5.6%	25.0%	0.0%	7.04	1.22	—
2024	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	36	11	2	0	0%	1.1	30.6%	5.6%	25.0%	0.0%	7.04	1.22	—
2024	22	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	36	11	2	0	0%	1.1	30.6%	5.6%	25.0%	0.0%	7.04	1.01	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	41	187	65	26	5	0%	1.2	26.3%	16.2%	10.0%	3.3%	4.87	4.78	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	41	187	65	26	5	0%	1.2	26.3%	16.2%	10.0%	3.3%	4.87	4.78	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	41	187	65	26	5	0%	1.2	34.8%	13.9%	20.9%	2.7%	4.87	3.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	23	0	29	134	39	25	4	0%	1.2	23.8%	18.0%	5.9%	3.3%	4.71	5.17	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	23	0	29	134	39	25	4	0%	1.2	23.8%	18.0%	5.9%	3.3%	4.71	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AA RAW	LAA	9	0	13	52	21	8	0	0%	1.4	40.4%	15.4%	25.0%	0.0%	2.84	1.64	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	LAA	14	0	16	82	18	17	4	0%	1.1	22.0%	20.7%	1.2%	4.9%	6.19	6.55	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	35	0	37	157	40	21	5	0%	1.1	25.7%	13.1%	12.6%	3.0%	4.70	4.62	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAA	17	0	18	76	20	10	2	0%	1.1	25.7%	13.1%	12.6%	3.0%	4.70	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	76	19	10	2	0%	1.1	25.7%	13.1%	12.6%	3.0%	4.70	4.24	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	212	112	22	0%	1.1	25.7%	13.1%	12.6%	3.0%	4.70	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		65	0	77	357	92	56	11	0%	1.2	25.8%	15.8%	10.0%	3.0%	5.03	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		169	0	200	927	239	147	28	0%	1.2	25.8%	15.8%	10.0%	3.0%	5.03	4.57	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Najer Victor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	25.5%	14.8%	3.0%	—	4.62	25.7%	12.6%	37	-0.25	—	—	—
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	90
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	90
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	89
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	88
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	87
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	86
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	86
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	86
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	85
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	85
Shane Broyles R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	24.3%	15.3%	1.9%	.328	3.62	26.4%	17.1%	108	-0.41	3.34	218	85
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	85
Zac Leigh R 2022 · 3.70 FIP	24	SU	3.70	28.5%	12.3%	2.6%	.270	4.45	21.6%	5.7%	130	+0.75	3.70	201	85
Evan Johnson R 2021 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	28.6%	16.3%	3.1%	.308	4.64	23.6%	6.0%	38	+0.20	4.42	103	84
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	84
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	84
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	84
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Cameron Junker R 2022 · 4.36 FIP	24	SU	4.36	23.6%	13.1%	2.9%	.279	4.96	13.9%	-2.4%	70	+0.60	4.04	147	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	25.6%	13.8%	1.17	4.77
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41