Jarold Rosado

P Birmingham Barons

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	37	55	2.11	1.93	31.2%	6.9%	—	K 23.4% · BB 8.1% · FIP 2.85
2025	23	MIX2 levels	28	32	4.45	4.03	20.9%	17.6%	—	K 16.5% · BB 19.8% · FIP 4.76
2026	24	MIX2 levels	39	43	6.85	4.58	22.2%	16.7%	—	K 16.6% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.54
2027PROJ	25	MLBCWS	21	22	5.59	5.59	18.1%	16.6%	-0.3
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBCWS	16	17	5.43	5.40	19.2%	15.8%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHaden Erbe (age 25) · Ray Gaither (age 25) · Yordy Cabrera (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%18.1%

BB%16.6%

K-BB%1.5%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	4	4	10	45	5	6	0	100%	2.5	11.1%	13.3%	-2.2%	0.0%	2.70	3.85	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	4	4	10	45	5	6	0	100%	2.5	11.1%	13.3%	-2.2%	0.0%	2.70	3.90	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	15	1	26	138	35	23	1	7%	1.7	17.2%	20.8%	-3.6%	1.0%	10.38	4.84	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	15	1	26	138	35	23	1	7%	1.7	25.4%	16.7%	8.7%	0.7%	10.38	3.56	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	55	218	68	15	2	0%	1.5	23.4%	8.1%	15.3%	1.3%	2.11	2.85	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	55	218	68	15	2	0%	1.5	23.4%	8.1%	15.3%	1.3%	2.11	2.85	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	55	218	68	15	2	0%	1.5	31.2%	6.9%	24.3%	0.9%	2.11	1.93	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	32	153	32	27	1	0%	1.2	16.5%	19.8%	-3.3%	1.0%	4.45	4.76	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	32	153	32	27	1	0%	1.2	16.5%	19.8%	-3.3%	1.0%	4.45	4.76	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	32	153	32	27	1	0%	1.2	20.9%	17.6%	3.3%	0.7%	4.45	4.03	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	43	216	48	36	4	0%	1.1	16.6%	18.8%	-2.3%	2.7%	6.85	5.54	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	43	216	48	36	4	0%	1.1	16.6%	18.8%	-2.3%	2.7%	6.85	5.54	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	43	216	48	36	4	0%	1.1	22.2%	16.7%	5.6%	1.9%	6.85	4.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CWS	21	0	22	93	17	15	3	0%	1.0	18.1%	16.6%	1.5%	2.8%	5.59	5.59	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	37	0	39	165	32	26	5	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.43	5.40	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	16	0	17	72	14	11	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.43	5.40	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	72	14	11	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.43	5.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	129	23	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.8%	3.5%	2.8%	5.43	5.02	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		123	5	167	770	141	123	11	4%	1.4	18.3%	16.0%	2.3%	1.5%	5.12	4.40	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	6	200	922	169	148	14	4%	1.4	18.3%	16.0%	2.3%	1.5%	5.12	4.40	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jarold Rosado (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	18.1%	16.6%	2.8%	—	5.40	19.2%	3.5%	39	-0.19	—	—	—
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	91
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.13	18.4%	7.3%	90	-0.76	3.84	164	90
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	89
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	89
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	88
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	86
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	86
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	86
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	85
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	85
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	84
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	84
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	84
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	84
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	83
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	83
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	83
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	83
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	18.8%	16.1%	1.09	5.49
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*