Drew Brutcher

OF Asheville Tourists

Age 25 L/R 6'5" / 215 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2288ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+/AHOU	412	.266/.364/.376	4	3	61	—	.218/.283/.301
2026	24	AA/A+HOU	272	.304/.421/.478	7	10	106	—	.256/.339/.399
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBHOU	1	.232/.314/.352	0	0	88	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBHOU	60	.233/.315/.356	1	1	89	0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBHOU	98	.233/.314/.356	2	1	89	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA99

wRC+99

BB%98

Chase%90

ISO87

Speed79

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsTanner Morris (age 25) · Bijan Rademacher (age 25) · Greg Cullen (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .314 / .352

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%10

BABIP300

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	179	157	29	6	0	2	19	48	1	2	0	185	277	261	538	76	248	27	11	251	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	233	197	65	15	3	2	34	52	1	1	2	330	431	467	898	137	438	22	15	401	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	128	100	35	10	1	4	26	27	2	5	0	350	492	590	1.082	240	449	21	20	473	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	144	124	33	6	0	3	17	24	1	5	1	266	357	387	744	121	306	17	12	335	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	179	165	22	4	0	1	11	64	1	2	0	133	192	176	368	42	204	36	6	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	233	209	59	12	3	2	22	71	1	1	2	282	353	397	751	115	411	30	9	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	128	108	33	9	1	3	18	33	2	5	0	306	414	491	905	185	423	26	14	401	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	144	132	28	5	0	3	10	31	1	5	1	212	273	318	591	106	250	22	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	374	81	16	3	3	33	136	2	3	2	217	284	299	583	83	328	33	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	412	354	94	21	3	4	53	100	2	3	2	266	364	376	740	110	356	24	13	336	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	272	239	61	14	1	6	29	64	3	10	1	255	343	397	741	142	324	24	11	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	272	224	68	16	1	7	43	51	3	10	1	304	421	478	898	174	365	19	16	400	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	374	81	16	3	3	33	136	2	3	2	217	284	299	583	83	321	33	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	272	238	61	14	1	6	29	64	3	10	1	256	343	399	742	143	331	24	11	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	374	81	16	3	3	33	136	2	3	2	217	284	299	583	83	321	33	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	272	238	61	14	1	6	29	64	3	10	1	256	343	399	742	143	331	24	11	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	322	285	65	14	1	6	31	80	3	6	1	229	312	348	660	119	295	25	10	298	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	232	314	352	667	120	300	0	0	301	88	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	198	175	40	8	1	4	19	49	2	3	1	230	312	352	664	122	295	25	10	300	89	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	42%	235	208	47	10	1	4	23	58	2	3	1	230	312	352	664	123	294	25	10	300	89	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	260	231	53	11	1	5	25	65	2	3	1	229	310	350	660	122	293	25	10	298	88	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	268	239	54	11	1	5	25	67	2	3	1	227	308	347	655	120	292	25	9	296	86	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	60	53	12	3	0	1	6	15	1	1	0	233	315	356	671	123	300	25	10	303	89	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	42%	98	88	20	4	0	2	9	24	1	1	0	233	314	356	671	124	299	24	9	303	89	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	124	110	26	6	1	2	12	31	1	1	0	232	313	354	667	123	298	25	10	301	88	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	132	117	27	6	1	2	13	33	1	1	0	230	310	351	661	121	297	25	10	299	86	-2	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	414	368	85	19	2	7	40	103	4	4	0	231	313	351	664	120	300	25	10	301	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	133	30	3	11	63	162	6	6	0	230	312	349	662	119	299	25	10	301	85	-9	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1805	1608	369	77	9	30	170	479	14	28	8	229	309	345	653	115	306	27	9	293	85	-16	+1	-2	-7	+24	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	133	28	3	11	61	172	5	10	3	230	308	345	653	116	306	26	9	293	85	-9	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Asheville Tourists · 144 PAwOBA .329 → .255 (−74)K% 16.7% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	21.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.81%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.988	7.00%
HBP% /PA	0.69%	—	×0.770	—	×0.988	0.53%
Singles /BIP	24.00%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.973	×0.988	20.07%
Doubles /BIP	6.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.973	×0.988	4.50%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.973	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.988	2.61%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .329 → .255; ISO .121 → .101; BABIP .306 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 128 PAwOBA .461 → .401 (−60)K% 21.1% → 25.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.09%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	25.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.31%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.012	14.39%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	1.38%
Singles /BIP	27.40%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.012	26.78%
Doubles /BIP	13.70%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.050	×1.012	12.23%
Triples /BIP	1.37%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.050	×1.012	1.37%
Home runs /BIP	5.48%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.012	4.44%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .461 → .401; ISO .240 → .212; BABIP .449 → .423. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AFayetteville Woodpeckers · 233 PAwOBA .393 → .324 (−69)K% 22.3% → 30.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.32%	÷0.996	×1.360	—	—	30.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.59%	÷1.072	×0.690	—	×0.990	9.30%
HBP% /PA	0.43%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.33%
Singles /BIP	31.03%	÷0.979	×0.920	×1.050	×0.990	30.31%
Doubles /BIP	10.34%	÷1.035	×0.830	×1.050	×0.990	8.62%
Triples /BIP	2.07%	÷0.953	×0.910	×1.050	×0.990	2.05%
Home runs /BIP	1.38%	÷1.005	×0.800	—	×0.990	1.09%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 91, K 99, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .393 → .324; ISO .137 → .113; BABIP .438 → .411. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Asheville Tourists · 179 PAwOBA .247 → .174 (−73)K% 26.8% → 36.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.82%	÷0.977	×1.310	—	—	35.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.61%	÷1.016	×0.600	—	×0.998	6.25%
HBP% /PA	0.56%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.43%
Singles /BIP	19.27%	÷0.984	×0.870	×0.983	×0.998	16.70%
Doubles /BIP	5.50%	÷1.095	×0.780	×0.983	×0.998	3.84%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.850	×0.983	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.83%	÷1.297	×0.880	—	×0.998	1.24%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 97, 2B 119, 3B 80, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .247 → .174; ISO .076 → .050; BABIP .248 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.6	415	8	5	230	308	351	-2	+0	0.3	0.3
/162	664	13	8	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Brutcher (OGILVIE)	25	55	35	40	55	227/309/345	118	295	3	3	25%	10%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tanner Morris 2023 · AAA	25	51→53	40	39→40	53	240/327/331	91	312	8	4	24%	10%	91	+0.7	233/314/324	91	311	7	5	25%	10%	84	+0.2	246/328/333	87	327	7	1	24%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Bijan Rademacher 2016 · AA	25	49	41→45	44→45	50	232/304/339	106	291	7	7	22%	9%	84	+0.1	243/304/349	106	305	9	5	22%	8%	86	+0.3	242/299/337	95	304	9	2	22%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→40	43→40	51	220/312/326	106	290	9	4	26%	10%	85	+0.2	234/325/336	102	316	10	6	26%	11%	92	+0.7	234/334/325	91	316	9	5	26%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Josh Fellhauer 2013 · AA	25	54→53	38→40	41→45	49	255/313/339	83	315	5	8	20%	7%	86	+0.3	242/306/324	82	320	4	7	24%	8%	80	-0.1	230/297/302	72	311	3	7	25%	8%	70	-0.4
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2016 · AAA	25	54	42→45	40→50	46	259/314/372	113	315	9	9	20%	6%	95	+0.9	255/307/364	109	320	10	9	22%	6%	91	+0.6	261/319/357	96	335	10	5	24%	7%	93	+0.4
✕Rene Tosoni 2011 · AA	25	51	46→45	46→45	45	245/316/380	136	320	12	8	26%	7%	98	+1.2	210/263/314	104	266	10	6	24%	6%	63	-1.4	197/246/288	91	243	9	5	23%	5%	48	-1.8
✕Drew Macias 2008 · AAA	25	47→53	42→45	40→50	49	228/293/333	105	277	8	7	20%	8%	78	-0.3	224/302/332	108	269	9	10	19%	9%	82	-0.0	218/303/320	103	261	9	11	19%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2021 · AA	25	52→57	38→45	45→60	47	244/300/321	78	318	5	13	24%	8%	77	-0.3	251/309/357	106	326	8	17	23%	8%	89	+0.5	253/317/360	108	325	8	21	23%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Matt Koperniak 2023 · AA	25	52→56	45	47→45	46	256/315/377	121	310	13	9	21%	6%	97	+1.1	252/305/378	126	307	14	9	22%	7%	93	+0.8	246/300/370	123	300	14	8	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Luke Waddell 2023 · AA	25	48→52	44→40	44→50	50	236/295/353	117	269	12	9	18%	7%	84	+0.1	233/305/320	87	274	6	15	16%	8%	80	-0.2	231/304/305	74	273	4	15	16%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Ford Proctor 2022 · AA	25	45→48	44→40	44→45	48	218/302/337	119	303	12	7	30%	10%	83	+0.1	214/299/316	102	304	12	6	31%	10%	78	-0.3	204/295/287	83	288	11	4	30%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Jamie Johnson 2012 · AA	25	52→56	37→40	45→50	55	243/324/328	85	300	3	9	19%	10%	88	+0.5	247/320/318	71	294	3	14	15%	9%	84	+0.2	247/321/311	64	287	3	15	14%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Darius Hill 2023 · AAA	25	56→60	41→40	45	43	268/303/371	103	318	8	7	18%	4%	90	+0.6	239/285/331	92	298	5	6	20%	6%	74	-0.5	223/275/304	81	285	3	4	22%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Nolan Fontana 2016 · AAA	25	47→45	39→40	42→50	55	217/319/313	96	311	5	9	28%	13%	84	+0.2	198/282/296	98	281	7	10	29%	10%	66	-1.1	186/292/310	124	256	11	12	29%	12%	73	-0.3
✕Jeff Corsaletti 2008 · AA	25	51→54	41→45	48→50	54	245/326/345	100	300	8	12	20%	10%	94	+0.9	234/310/344	110	283	8	10	19%	9%	87	+0.4	229/306/341	111	273	9	8	18%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Drew Heid 2014 · AAA	26	51→57	41→40	46→50	49	242/305/341	100	307	8	12	23%	8%	84	+0.2	225/279/311	86	284	5	10	21%	7%	68	-1.0	228/275/293	65	282	3	9	19%	6%	59	-1.1
✕Daryl Jones 2012 · AAA	25	46→56	42→45	45→50	46	223/292/326	103	292	9	10	26%	8%	76	-0.4	215/280/339	124	304	12	15	31%	7%	75	-0.5	152/216/290	137	223	13	34	37%	7%	38	-0.5
✕Zach DeLoach 2024 · AAA	25	48→52	46→45	46→50	47	233/309/366	133	326	14	6	31%	9%	92	+0.7	227/297/341	114	331	10	14	32%	9%	82	-0.0	221/291/322	101	325	7	18	32%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Jesus Valenzuela 2014 · AAA	25	56	39→40	40	52	263/327/355	92	322	6	5	19%	9%	95	+1.0	246/307/340	94	306	8	7	21%	8%	84	+0.2	221/261/300	79	269	7	2	20%	5%	58	-0.4
✕Sawyer Carroll 2011 · AA	25	48→55	41→45	42→45	46	229/291/334	105	310	7	6	28%	8%	78	-0.3	221/279/346	125	279	12	9	24%	7%	76	-0.4	215/270/350	135	261	14	11	23%	7%	70	-0.7

Drew Brutcher

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps