Drew Brutcher — OGILVIE

Drew BrutcherOF Asheville Tourists

Age 24 L/R 6'5" / 215 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 181 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .318 / .356

PA181

HR3

K%26

BB%9

BABIP314

ISO119

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	412	376	83	15	3	3	31	142	2	3	2	221	284	301	584	80	342	34	8	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	412	354	94	21	3	4	53	100	2	3	2	266	364	376	740	110	356	24	13	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	HOU	—	272	239	62	14	1	6	29	67	3	10	1	259	347	402	749	142	335	25	11	330	111	+3	+2	+0	-2	+8	1.1
YTD	24	A+	HOU	—	272	224	68	16	1	7	43	51	3	10	1	304	421	478	898	174	365	19	16	400	164	+20	+2	+0	-2	+8	2.8
ROS	24	A+	HOU	0%	181	160	38	8	1	3	17	47	2	4	1	237	318	356	673	119	310	26	9	297	85	-3	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
ROS	24	MLB	HOU	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						313	0	0	293	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	A+	HOU	—	273	240	62	14	1	6	29	67	3	10	1	258	346	400	746	142	333	25	11	330	111	+3	+2	+0	-2	+8	1.1
TOT	24	A+	HOU	—	453	399	100	22	2	9	46	114	5	14	2	250	335	383	718	133	327	25	10	317	101	+0	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	HOU	30%	370	330	77	16	2	6	34	95	3	6	1	233	311	348	659	115	308	26	9	300	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.4
2028	26	MLB	HOU	44%	407	363	86	18	2	8	37	104	4	6	1	237	314	364	678	127	307	26	9	304	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+12	0.6
2029	27	MLB	HOU	49%	420	374	88	18	2	8	39	107	4	6	1	235	314	358	672	123	306	25	9	305	91	-4	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2030	28	MLB	HOU	52%	425	378	89	18	2	8	40	108	4	6	1	235	315	357	672	122	305	25	9	304	91	-4	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.5
2031	29	MLB	HOU	51%	420	373	88	18	2	8	40	108	4	5	1	236	317	359	676	123	305	26	10	302	89	-5	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.4
2032	30	MLB	HOU	51%	414	368	87	18	2	8	39	107	4	5	1	236	316	361	678	125	304	26	9	299	87	-6	+1	-2	-2	+12	0.2
2027	25	MLB	HOU	30%	112	100	24	5	1	2	10	29	1	2	0	240	315	370	685	130	311	26	9	297	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2028	26	MLB	HOU	44%	180	159	38	8	1	3	17	46	2	3	0	239	320	358	679	119	310	26	9	300	88	-2	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2029	27	MLB	HOU	49%	206	183	44	9	1	4	19	52	2	3	1	240	319	366	685	126	309	25	9	301	89	-3	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.2
2030	28	MLB	HOU	52%	219	194	46	10	1	4	21	56	2	3	1	237	318	361	679	124	308	26	10	301	88	-3	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.2
2031	29	MLB	HOU	51%	216	192	46	10	1	4	20	55	2	3	0	240	318	365	682	125	308	25	9	299	87	-3	+1	-1	-1	+6	0.2
2032	30	MLB	HOU	51%	213	189	44	9	1	4	20	55	2	3	0	233	313	354	667	122	306	26	9	296	85	-4	+1	-1	-1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1147	1018	242	51	6	21	107	293	11	17	2	238	317	361	678	124	311	26	9	299	87	-17	+3	-2	-7	+32	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	137	29	3	12	61	166	6	10	1	237	317	360	677	123	311	26	9	299	87	-9	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	3049	2722	636	129	16	52	277	818	27	41	9	234	311	350	661	116	313	27	9	296	85	-52	+5	-4	-18	+86	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	135	27	3	11	59	174	6	9	2	233	310	347	656	114	312	27	9	296	85	-11	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	179	157	29	6	0	2	19	48	1	2	0	185	277	261	538	76	248	27	11	251	50	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2025	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	233	197	65	15	3	2	34	52	1	1	2	330	431	467	898	137	438	22	15	401	165	+17	-1	—	—	+7	2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,148	22	16	236	311	359	-7	+0	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	13	9	236	311	359	-4.0	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Brutcher (OGILVIE)	24	55	35	40	55	250/335/383	133	327	9	14	25%	10%	101	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Fellhauer 2012 · AA	24	48→53	38→40	40→45	45	229/280/310	81	289	5	8	22%	6%	63	-0.8	254/314/335	81	332	4	7	23%	8%	84	+0.6	267/331/347	80	352	3	5	23%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Nolan Earley 2015 · A	24	51	40	41→40	48	241/303/338	97	291	6	5	19%	7%	81	+0.4	217/268/291	74	306	4	4	28%	6%	53	-1.5	209/257/263	54	299	2	1	29%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Bijan Rademacher 2015 · A	24	47	43→45	43→45	43	229/286/343	114	301	9	6	26%	6%	75	-0.0	240/310/356	116	303	10	5	22%	9%	89	+0.9	248/321/363	115	305	10	4	21%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Efren Navarro 2010 · A	24	52→60	38→45	39→45	48	244/299/327	83	301	5	4	20%	7%	76	+0.0	247/288/349	102	286	8	5	16%	5%	77	+0.1	268/323/361	93	343	4	4	22%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Darius Hill 2022 · AA	24	50→59	40→45	44→45	41	242/278/326	84	302	9	6	23%	5%	66	-0.6	255/295/354	99	311	6	6	19%	5%	81	+0.4	256/299/352	96	311	5	5	19%	5%	78	+0.2
✕Kipp Schutz 2012 · A	24	50→52	42→45	39→45	41	240/280/354	115	315	8	7	26%	5%	75	-0.0	228/275/322	94	330	6	7	31%	5%	64	-0.8	220/267/277	57	337	3	2	34%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Drew Macias 2007 · AA	24	48→52	40→45	39→50	44	231/283/324	93	290	7	7	23%	6%	68	-0.5	228/299/339	111	276	10	9	20%	8%	80	+0.4	223/303/335	112	265	10	9	19%	9%	78	+0.2
✕Davis Bradshaw 2022 · A	24	51	37→40	47→50	42	239/290/313	75	297	4	10	20%	4%	69	-0.4	257/309/331	74	327	4	10	22%	5%	81	+0.4	271/323/339	68	347	4	9	22%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Kyler Castillo 2022 · A	24	48	37→30	40	47	225/282/301	76	285	3	7	22%	7%	62	-0.9	234/313/303	69	319	3	5	25%	9%	76	+0.1	239/334/295	56	329	3	3	25%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Zach Ashford 2021 · A	24	46	40→45	42→50	46	219/288/315	96	298	6	7	27%	8%	69	-0.4	228/288/315	87	311	6	9	27%	6%	69	-0.4	230/289/317	87	312	6	10	26%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Mike Paulk 2008 · A	24	51→57	41→45	44→45	46	246/297/347	101	302	8	8	21%	7%	80	+0.4	251/306/355	104	307	9	7	20%	7%	85	+0.7	247/304/348	101	299	9	6	20%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Chase Calabuig 2021 · AA	25	48→56	37→40	45	47	221/296/294	72	312	5	8	29%	9%	67	-0.5	230/293/345	115	278	11	5	21%	8%	79	+0.3	239/301/363	125	278	12	3	18%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Eric Nielsen 2006 · A	24	49→59	40	41→40	47	234/289/327	92	282	7	6	19%	6%	72	-0.2	252/314/346	94	307	7	4	19%	7%	88	+0.9	259/323/350	90	313	7	3	18%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Ernie De La Trinidad 2021 · AA	25	45→52	40	39→40	45	219/283/307	88	282	8	5	25%	7%	65	-0.7	222/285/332	110	315	11	8	31%	6%	72	-0.2	217/284/325	108	312	12	5	32%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Tim Fedroff 2011 · AA	24	52→62	38→40	47→50	45	243/300/327	84	328	5	9	26%	7%	76	+0.1	260/317/351	91	327	6	11	21%	8%	89	+1.0	261/323/348	86	324	6	13	20%	8%	87	+0.8
✕Justin Howard 2012 · A	24	47	38→45	44→45	48	220/289/304	84	309	4	7	28%	9%	66	-0.6	235/297/340	105	329	8	7	29%	7%	79	+0.3	238/298/353	115	331	10	5	29%	7%	79	+0.1
●Justin Yurchak 2021 · A	24	47→57	42→45	44→40	46	227/286/333	106	286	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.2	272/336/380	108	342	10	4	22%	8%	105	+2.1	272/342/373	101	337	10	2	21%	9%	104	+1.3
✕Drew Heid 2012 · A	24	51→57	39→45	47→50	45	245/298/328	83	297	8	10	20%	6%	76	+0.1	240/300/335	95	303	8	12	22%	8%	79	+0.3	243/304/337	94	306	7	11	22%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2019 · AA	23	49→57	36→45	45→60	50	227/293/293	66	297	3	11	23%	9%	65	-0.7	245/302/328	83	330	6	12	25%	8%	77	+0.1	253/316/365	112	324	9	21	23%	8%	88	+0.7
✕Dominic D'Anna 2013 · A	24	49	40	46→40	50	232/310/330	98	310	7	4	26%	9%	82	+0.5	214/275/309	95	296	8	6	28%	7%	62	-0.9	172/215/241	69	232	7	0	29%	4%	17	-1.2