Drew Brutcher — OGILVIE

Drew BrutcherOF Asheville Tourists

Age 24 L/R 6'5" / 215 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP313

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	179	157	29	6	0	2	19	48	1	2	0	185	277	261	538	76	248	27	11	251	56	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	233	197	65	15	3	2	34	52	1	1	2	330	431	467	898	137	438	22	15	401	158	+16	-1	—	—	+5	2.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	179	164	23	4	0	1	12	66	1	2	0	140	203	183	386	43	216	37	7	181	9	-19	+0	—	—	+4	-1.5
2025	23	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	233	211	60	12	3	2	20	74	1	1	2	284	349	398	747	114	420	32	9	322	104	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	375	83	16	3	3	32	140	2	3	2	221	286	304	590	83	340	34	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	412	354	94	21	3	4	53	100	2	3	2	266	364	376	740	110	356	24	13	336	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	375	83	16	3	3	32	140	2	3	2	221	286	304	590	83	331	34	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	412	375	83	16	3	3	32	140	2	3	2	221	286	304	590	83	331	34	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	HOU	—	272	239	63	14	1	6	29	65	3	10	1	264	351	406	756	142	337	24	11	330	109	+3	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	HOU	—	144	124	33	6	0	3	17	24	1	5	1	266	357	387	744	121	306	17	12	335	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA RAW	HOU	—	128	100	35	10	1	4	26	27	2	5	0	350	492	590	1.082	240	449	21	20	473	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	HOU	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		310	22	11	300	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	24	A+ MLE	HOU	—	281	247	64	14	1	6	30	67	3	10	1	259	346	397	743	138	331	24	11	329	109	+3	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	30%	363	323	77	16	2	6	34	91	3	6	1	238	317	356	673	118	308	25	9	302	91	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	44%	402	358	86	18	2	8	38	100	3	6	1	240	318	369	687	128	307	25	9	305	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	49%	416	370	88	18	2	8	39	103	4	6	1	238	317	362	679	124	306	25	9	306	94	-3	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	422	375	89	19	2	8	40	105	4	6	1	237	317	363	680	125	305	25	9	306	93	-3	+1	-1	-3	+9	0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	419	372	88	18	2	8	40	105	4	5	1	237	317	360	678	124	304	25	10	304	92	-4	+1	-1	-3	+9	0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	413	367	87	18	2	8	39	105	4	5	1	237	317	362	679	125	303	25	9	301	90	-5	+1	-2	-2	+9	0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	30%	110	98	23	5	0	2	10	28	1	2	0	235	312	347	659	112	310	25	9	297	91	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	44%	178	157	38	8	1	3	17	44	2	3	0	242	324	363	687	121	309	25	10	300	93	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	49%	204	181	43	9	1	4	19	51	2	3	1	238	317	365	681	127	308	25	9	301	94	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	217	192	46	10	1	4	21	54	2	3	1	240	321	365	686	125	307	25	10	300	93	-2	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	216	191	46	10	1	4	21	54	2	3	0	241	322	366	689	126	307	25	10	298	92	-2	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	213	189	44	9	1	4	20	54	2	3	0	233	313	354	667	122	305	25	9	296	90	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1138	1008	240	51	5	21	108	285	11	17	2	238	319	361	680	123	309	25	9	299	88	-11	+3	-2	-7	+25	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	137	29	3	12	62	163	6	10	1	238	318	361	679	123	309	25	10	299	88	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2856	2548	599	123	15	49	263	751	24	37	8	235	313	353	665	118	312	26	9	298	88	-23	+4	-4	-15	+53	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	136	28	3	11	60	171	5	8	2	234	311	350	661	116	312	26	9	298	88	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,139	21	16	238	313	360	-7	+0	1.6	1.6
/162	664	12	9	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Brutcher (OGILVIE)	24	55	35	40	55	234/312/345	111	310	5	8	25%	9%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Fellhauer 2012 · AA	24	48→53	39→40	40→45	45	230/281/313	83	288	6	8	22%	6%	69	-0.9	251/311/331	80	324	4	7	22%	8%	84	+0.1	261/327/339	78	341	3	5	22%	8%	89	+0.3
●TJ Rumfield 2023 · A	23	48→58	40→45	46→45	50	229/307/321	92	297	7	7	24%	9%	81	-0.1	227/294/353	126	280	14	7	23%	7%	84	+0.1	254/330/375	121	301	12	3	19%	9%	100	+1.2
●Justin Yurchak 2021 · A	24	47→57	41→40	44→40	46	227/285/332	105	286	8	4	23%	7%	75	-0.5	269/334/373	104	336	9	4	21%	8%	102	+1.5	269/340/366	97	331	9	2	20%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Nolan Earley 2015 · A	24	51	39→40	41→40	48	240/303/336	96	291	6	5	19%	7%	82	+0.0	220/272/297	77	303	4	4	27%	6%	61	-1.5	214/264/275	61	297	2	1	27%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Bijan Rademacher 2015 · A	24	48→49	42→45	43→45	44	233/292/345	112	304	9	6	26%	7%	80	-0.1	242/310/353	111	304	9	5	22%	8%	89	+0.5	248/319/357	108	305	9	4	20%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Andrew Calica 2018 · A	24	50→58	41→40	46→55	42	235/301/336	100	315	8	12	26%	6%	82	-0.0	245/325/341	96	332	7	17	26%	7%	93	+0.8	264/349/353	89	357	7	24	25%	8%	101	+1.1
✕Efren Navarro 2010 · A	24	52→60	38→45	39→45	48	244/299/327	83	301	5	4	20%	7%	78	-0.3	248/289/347	99	288	7	5	16%	5%	79	-0.2	271/327/365	94	344	4	4	21%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Tim Fedroff 2011 · AA	24	52→61	38→40	47→50	46	244/303/327	83	326	5	9	25%	7%	80	-0.2	259/316/349	90	323	5	11	20%	8%	90	+0.6	259/320/343	84	320	5	13	19%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Darius Hill 2022 · AA	24	49→58	40	44→45	42	240/277/321	81	295	8	6	22%	5%	68	-1.0	252/292/346	94	306	6	6	19%	5%	80	-0.2	253/295/344	91	308	4	5	18%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Zach Reks 2018 · A	24	52→41	38→50	40	43	246/299/320	75	319	7	7	24%	6%	77	-0.3	241/300/367	126	335	14	6	30%	7%	88	+0.5	229/304/401	173	318	21	2	33%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Mike Paulk 2008 · A	24	51→57	41→45	44→45	46	246/297/347	101	302	8	8	21%	7%	82	+0.0	253/307/355	102	308	8	7	20%	7%	88	+0.4	250/307/351	100	302	8	6	19%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Nathan Lukes 2018 · AA	24	49→54	38→45	45→50	44	234/282/322	88	294	5	9	22%	6%	71	-0.8	229/275/320	91	292	6	10	22%	5%	68	-1.0	280/340/410	130	315	13	5	15%	8%	109	+1.1
✕Kevin Kramer 2018 · AA	24	51→54	41→45	44→50	44	242/302/355	113	302	7	8	22%	6%	86	+0.3	234/289/352	118	323	10	9	29%	6%	81	-0.1	220/284/327	107	310	9	6	30%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Davis Bradshaw 2022 · A	24	51	37→40	47→50	42	239/290/314	75	299	4	10	21%	4%	72	-0.7	258/311/331	73	329	4	10	21%	5%	84	+0.1	272/324/338	65	349	3	9	21%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Zach Ashford 2021 · A	24	47	40	42→50	46	220/289/316	96	298	6	7	27%	8%	73	-0.6	223/284/304	81	304	5	9	26%	6%	68	-1.0	223/284/302	78	303	5	10	26%	6%	64	-0.7
✕Drew Macias 2007 · AA	24	48→53	40→45	39→50	44	232/283/322	90	289	7	7	22%	6%	72	-0.7	228/300/335	107	275	9	9	19%	8%	81	-0.1	223/303/330	107	264	9	9	18%	9%	79	-0.2
●Donovan Walton 2018 · A	24	45→55	40→50	44→45	45	219/277/314	95	279	8	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	246/309/349	103	295	8	9	18%	7%	88	+0.4	257/323/378	121	296	11	7	16%	7%	98	+0.9
✕Matt Koperniak 2022 · AA	24	53→55	43→45	43→45	47	254/324/369	114	305	10	6	19%	7%	99	+1.2	255/310/378	123	309	13	9	21%	6%	95	+0.9	259/310/385	126	313	15	9	22%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Justin Howard 2012 · A	24	47	39→45	44→45	48	220/290/311	91	309	5	7	28%	9%	72	-0.7	238/303/338	100	327	7	7	27%	8%	83	+0.1	243/307/347	105	330	8	5	27%	7%	83	+0.1
●Will Brennan 2022 · AA	24	50→60	40→45	48→50	47	237/300/335	98	290	6	13	20%	7%	81	-0.1	267/313/382	115	305	9	15	15%	6%	96	+1.0	276/319/394	118	309	10	16	14%	5%	98	+1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps