Christian McGowan
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%22.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25% | 1.2 | 44.4% | 5.6% | 38.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.05 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25% | 1.2 | 44.4% | 5.6% | 38.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.50 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 2 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 3.7 | 24.1% | 6.9% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 3.83 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 2 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 3.7 | 24.1% | 6.9% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 3.78 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 9 | 9 | 26 | 108 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 2.9 | 20.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 2.52 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 9 | 9 | 26 | 108 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 2.9 | 25.9% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 0.9% | 3.86 | 2.59 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 11 | 40 | 189 | 47 | 23 | 6 | 79% | 2.9 | 18.9% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.36 | 5.11 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 11 | 40 | 189 | 47 | 23 | 6 | 79% | 2.9 | 24.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 5.36 | 4.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 28 | 1 | 34 | 151 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 18.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.76 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 17 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.52 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 52 | 226 | 50 | 20 | 7 | — | — | 22.1% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.14 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.16 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 76 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 57 | 24 | 112 | 495 | 100 | 51 | 12 | 42% | 2.0 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.57 | 4.09 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 43 | 200 | 881 | 178 | 91 | 22 | 42% | 2.0 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.57 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian McGowan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.54 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 20 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 82 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 78 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 78 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 77 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 77 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 77 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 77 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 76 |
| Mike Ellenbest R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.63 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .315 | 3.73 | 19.4% | 6.8% | 21 | -0.90 | 3.69 | 228 | 76 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 76 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 76 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 76 |
| Alex Cook R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.26 | 23.9% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 149 | 76 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 75 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 75 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.16 | 23.6% | 11.6% | 4.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 117 | 75 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 75 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 75 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 75 |