Logan Mercado

P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX3 levels	19	6	53	3.74	3.61	26.9%	12.3%	—	K 19.8% · BB 13.6% · FIP 4.56
2026	24	MIX3 levels	38	3	73	5.45	3.95	25.5%	10.0%	—	K 20.0% · BB 10.5% · FIP 4.73
2027PROJ	25	MLBARI	67	0	70	5.22	5.22	18.7%	12.6%	-0.5
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBARI	30	0	31	5.12	5.11	19.4%	12.2%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBARI	42	0	44	5.08	5.09	19.7%	12.1%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control30Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsStephen Johnson (age 25) · Emmanuel Chapman (age 25) · Jarret Whorff (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.22

FIP5.22

K%18.7%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%6.1%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3030

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	6	53	227	61	28	5	32%	2.8	19.8%	13.6%	6.2%	2.6%	3.74	4.56	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	6	53	227	61	28	5	32%	2.8	19.8%	13.6%	6.2%	2.6%	3.74	4.56	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	6	53	227	61	28	5	32%	2.8	26.9%	12.3%	14.5%	2.2%	3.74	3.61	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	3	73	321	82	32	10	8%	1.9	20.0%	10.5%	9.4%	3.6%	5.45	4.73	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	3	73	321	82	32	10	8%	1.9	20.0%	10.5%	9.4%	3.6%	5.45	4.73	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	3	73	321	82	32	10	8%	1.9	25.5%	10.0%	15.6%	3.1%	5.45	3.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ARI	67	0	70	296	55	37	9	0%	1.0	18.7%	12.6%	6.1%	3.1%	5.22	5.22	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	67	0	70	296	57	36	9	0%	1.0	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.1%	5.12	5.11	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	66	0	69	291	57	35	9	0%	1.0	19.7%	12.1%	7.6%	3.2%	5.08	5.09	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	ARI	64	0	67	282	56	34	9	0%	1.0	19.8%	12.1%	7.7%	3.3%	5.09	5.13	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	ARI	61	0	64	270	53	33	9	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.2%	7.4%	3.4%	5.18	5.24	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	30	0	31	131	25	16	4	0%	1.0	19.4%	12.2%	7.2%	3.1%	5.12	5.11	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	42	0	44	186	37	22	6	0%	1.0	19.7%	12.1%	7.6%	3.2%	5.08	5.09	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	ARI	49	0	51	215	43	26	7	0%	1.0	19.8%	12.1%	7.7%	3.3%	5.09	5.13	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	ARI	50	0	52	220	43	27	7	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.2%	7.4%	3.4%	5.18	5.24	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	147	91	24	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.2%	7.5%	3.3%	5.12	4.77	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	103	27	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.2%	7.5%	3.3%	5.12	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		57	9	126	548	109	65	17	16%	2.2	19.9%	11.8%	8.1%	3.2%	4.73	4.66	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	14	200	872	174	103	28	16%	2.2	19.9%	11.8%	8.1%	3.2%	4.73	4.66	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Logan Mercado (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.22	18.7%	12.6%	3.1%	—	5.11	19.6%	7.5%	206	-0.11	—	—	—
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	90
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	87
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	87
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	86
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	86
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	85
Chase Plymell R 2023 · 4.23 FIP	25	SU	4.23	19.2%	13.0%	2.0%	.330	4.49	14.0%	6.3%	162	+0.26	3.81	291	85
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	85
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	84
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	84
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	84
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	84
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	83
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	83
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	83
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	83
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	19.4%	12.3%	1.24	5.14
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*