Dominic Pitelli

SS Louisville Bats

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 182 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AACIN	352	.186/.284/.248	1	19	24	—	.166/.233/.219
2026	24	AAACIN	213	.228/.314/.310	1	5	52	—	.216/.280/.289
2026	24	AACIN	130	.196/.274/.357	4	6	40	—	.172/.226/.302
2027PROJ10% MLB	25	MLBCIN	32	.170/.234/.238	0	1	33	-0.1
2028PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBCIN	126	.176/.241/.256	1	4	40	-0.5
2029PROJ44% MLB	27	MLBCIN	170	.179/.244/.262	2	6	42	-0.6

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%43

Speed43

Chase%23

Max EV22

Z-Con%22

Whiff%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKevin Merrell (age 26) · Jacob Pearson (age 25) · Branden Fryman (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .234 / .238

PA32

HR0

K%34

BB%6

BABIP264

ISO33

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	74	15	2	1	1	6	22	0	4	1	203	263	297	560	95	275	28	8	255	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	319	279	66	8	2	1	32	82	1	33	5	237	317	290	608	54	328	26	10	277	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	141	124	36	10	3	3	15	38	2	10	6	290	376	492	868	202	398	27	11	383	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	306	57	10	3	1	39	116	3	19	4	186	284	248	533	62	293	33	11	250	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	213	184	42	12	0	1	21	69	2	5	5	228	314	310	624	82	353	32	10	281	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	130	112	22	6	0	4	12	42	0	6	2	196	274	357	631	161	269	32	9	271	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	76	12	1	1	1	4	30	0	4	1	158	200	237	437	79	235	38	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	319	288	63	6	2	1	23	100	1	33	5	219	279	264	543	45	314	31	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	141	129	29	7	3	2	10	52	2	10	6	225	291	372	663	147	358	37	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	320	53	8	3	1	25	140	3	19	4	166	233	219	452	53	279	40	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	213	190	41	11	0	1	15	83	2	5	5	216	280	289	570	74	343	39	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	130	116	20	6	0	3	8	51	0	6	2	172	226	302	528	129	249	39	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	76	12	1	1	1	4	30	0	4	1	158	200	237	437	79	244	38	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	74	15	2	1	1	6	22	0	4	1	203	263	297	560	95	275	28	8	255	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	416	91	13	4	3	34	152	3	43	11	219	283	291	573	72	335	33	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	460	403	102	18	5	4	47	120	3	43	11	253	336	352	688	99	349	26	10	310	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	320	53	8	3	1	25	140	3	19	4	166	233	219	452	53	287	40	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	306	57	10	3	1	39	116	3	19	4	186	284	248	533	62	293	33	11	250	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	343	306	60	16	0	4	23	134	2	11	7	196	257	288	544	92	327	39	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	343	296	64	18	0	5	33	111	2	11	7	216	299	328	627	111	322	32	10	277	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	80	76	12	1	1	1	4	30	0	4	1	158	200	237	437	79	235	38	5	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	420	91	13	4	3	34	152	3	43	11	217	283	288	571	71	327	33	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	321	53	8	3	1	25	140	3	19	4	165	233	218	451	53	279	40	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	343	315	60	16	0	4	23	134	2	11	7	190	257	279	536	89	307	39	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	460	420	91	13	4	3	34	152	3	43	11	217	283	288	571	71	327	33	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	352	321	53	8	3	1	25	140	3	19	4	165	233	218	451	53	279	40	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	343	315	60	16	0	4	23	134	2	11	7	190	257	279	536	89	307	39	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CIN	10%	380	348	59	12	1	3	27	135	2	13	4	169	234	236	470	67	264	36	7	217	33	-30	+1	+0	+4	+8	-1.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	32	30	5	1	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	170	234	238	472	68	264	34	6	218	33	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CIN	35%	362	331	58	12	1	4	26	126	2	12	4	175	240	253	493	78	266	35	7	227	40	-26	+1	+0	+4	+8	-1.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	CIN	44%	386	353	62	13	1	4	28	133	2	13	4	177	243	258	501	81	267	34	7	230	42	-27	+1	+0	+4	+8	-1.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	CIN	35%	126	115	19	4	0	1	9	44	1	4	1	176	241	256	497	80	266	35	7	228	40	-9	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	CIN	44%	170	155	29	6	1	2	12	59	1	6	2	179	244	262	505	83	267	35	7	232	42	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	296	270	48	10	1	3	21	103	2	10	3	178	242	256	498	78	271	35	7	230	40	-21	+1	+0	+3	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	106	22	2	7	46	226	4	22	7	179	242	258	500	79	272	35	7	230	40	-46	+2	+0	+7	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2303	2094	385	73	11	19	163	829	14	113	35	184	247	256	504	73	291	36	7	228	40	-78	+2	+0	+11	+23	-4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	109	21	3	5	46	234	4	32	10	184	248	255	504	71	292	36	7	228	40	-48	+1	+0	+7	+14	-2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	328	3	11	176	239	255	+4	+3	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	7	23	+7.1	+6.1	-2.0	pk7: 0
#3Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#4Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3
#5Jackie Hernandez'65-'73 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,609 PA	2.4	1,609	12	25	212*	258*	298*	+16	-16	-5.1	-3.5
/162	664	5	10	+6.6	-6.8	-2.1	pk7: -2
#6Skeeter Webb'38-'48 * career totals — 11 seasons, 2,453 PA	3.7	2,453	3	33	210*	251*	293*	+18	+0	-7.6	-5.7
/162	664	1	9	+5.0	+0.0	-2.1	pk7: -4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Pitelli (OGILVIE)	25	25	25	55	50	168/232/234	66	264	2	11	36%	7%	33	-1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	40	196/247/282	86	273	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	224/278/352	128	274	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	226/273/357	131	245	21	6	18%	6%	76	-0.1
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	38→39	40	50	44	189/254/282	93	253	8	19	28%	7%	53	-2.1	197/260/302	105	290	9	15	33%	7%	59	-1.6	131/193/248	117	214	11	13	43%	7%	18	-0.8
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	185/228/263	78	252	7	15	29%	5%	37	-3.3	204/242/303	99	290	8	11	31%	4%	52	-2.2	197/221/298	101	278	7	9	31%	3%	39	-1.0
✕Wyatt Hoffman 2024 · A	25	34	35→30	56→55	39	160/241/214	53	277	3	21	40%	8%	33	-3.6	165/246/228	63	297	4	16	42%	7%	38	-3.2	141/227/194	53	265	3	14	43%	7%	22	-1.7
✕Cody Wilson 2022 · AAA	26	32	37→30	52→55	40	161/228/227	66	258	4	19	37%	7%	30	-3.8	172/232/241	69	308	5	27	43%	6%	34	-3.5	152/214/205	53	288	4	33	45%	5%	18	-1.7
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	48→50	41	192/258/288	96	263	8	14	29%	6%	55	-1.9	207/273/319	112	287	10	14	30%	7%	68	-1.0	180/253/308	127	261	11	20	33%	6%	55	-0.4
✕Galli Cribbs Jr. 2018 · AA	25	38	35→40	49→50	34	173/230/231	58	303	2	10	41%	6%	31	-3.7	177/245/256	79	305	4	8	40%	6%	43	-2.8	158/224/232	74	277	3	7	41%	5%	27	-1.8
✕Trey Martin 2017 · AA	24	38→39	36→40	53→55	35	183/221/242	59	274	4	19	34%	4%	30	-3.8	197/239/284	87	301	7	14	35%	5%	47	-2.6	193/235/285	92	297	8	14	36%	4%	44	-1.7
✕Rashad Crawford 2019 · AAA	25	42→45	38→40	51→55	40	202/254/285	83	283	5	15	29%	6%	52	-2.2	216/266/299	83	306	7	17	30%	6%	60	-1.6	217/264/283	66	305	7	21	30%	6%	52	-1.6
✕Luke Brown 2023 · A	24	37	37→40	52→50	40	180/246/249	69	273	5	11	34%	7%	42	-2.9	182/248/290	108	274	12	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	154/224/268	114	224	14	19	37%	7%	36	-1.3
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	40→35	37→40	47→55	39	189/258/258	69	293	5	14	35%	7%	49	-2.4	196/259/277	81	299	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	181/245/260	78	275	6	24	34%	7%	41	-1.9
✕Jarod Rine 2006 · A	24	39→36	37→40	51→55	39	191/243/257	66	271	4	17	30%	6%	42	-2.9	189/253/265	76	264	5	16	28%	7%	48	-2.5	165/237/235	70	228	4	19	27%	7%	33	-2.4
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→45	36→30	58→55	44	183/267/248	65	298	4	26	36%	9%	51	-2.3	199/268/277	78	288	6	19	30%	8%	57	-1.8	189/255/254	65	258	4	20	26%	8%	44	-1.1
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	193/260/279	86	281	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	179/254/280	101	276	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Max Ferguson 2024 · A	24	37→35	40	61→60	47	178/265/267	89	273	7	30	35%	10%	54	-2.0	184/259/278	94	263	9	26	31%	9%	54	-2.0	179/256/271	92	242	11	27	29%	9%	48	-1.7
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→37	38→40	52→50	46	189/263/263	75	259	5	15	28%	8%	52	-2.2	193/256/274	81	275	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.2	172/233/253	81	229	10	8	29%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Casey Martin 2024 · AA	25	31→32	42→40	52→50	36	167/217/264	97	246	10	16	36%	5%	34	-3.5	172/224/269	97	261	10	13	37%	5%	38	-3.2	121/175/199	78	179	10	12	38%	5%	3	-3.4
✕Josh Holden 2006 · A	25	42	35→30	50	38	191/249/252	61	306	2	12	36%	6%	42	-2.9	207/254/261	54	291	1	14	27%	5%	46	-2.6	209/253/252	43	285	0	18	25%	4%	42	-1.3
✕Aaron Knapp 2019 · A	24	43→36	36→30	54→55	48	198/282/262	63	297	3	20	32%	10%	59	-1.7	200/272/276	76	307	6	17	33%	9%	57	-1.8	174/245/237	63	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-1.9

Dominic Pitelli

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps