Sterlin Thompson

OF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 209 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEFG #304Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AACOL	518	.245/.321/.385	13	12	68	—	.216/.274/.332
2025	24	AAACOL	513	.296/.394/.519	18	12	110	—	.255/.335/.429
2026	25	MLBCOL	77	.232/.312/.377	2	0	90	-0.2
2027PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBCOL	112	.275/.367/.448	3	3	119	0.4
2028PROJ60% MLB	27	MLBCOL	236	.273/.365/.444	7	6	117	0.8
2029PROJ67% MLB	28	MLBCOL	272	.270/.361/.439	8	6	115	0.8

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$3M2030Arb-2$5M2031Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%94

Chase%91

K%86

Speed81

Whiff%67

Max EV57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 17, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 69%

CompsJonathan India (age 26) · Josh Smith (age 26) · Eric Hinske (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†119

AVG/OBP/SLG.275 / .367 / .448

PA112

HR3

K%22

BB%10

BABIP339

ISO165

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT48

xAVG

110.219

POWER47

Barrel%

356.3

Avg EV

1786.6

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED43

Sprint

5227.6

DEFENSE41

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.2M
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$11M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	50	46	16	4	0	1	3	12	0	2	0	348	388	500	888	152	441	24	6	385	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	61	55	15	3	0	1	2	16	3	1	0	273	333	382	715	109	359	26	3	319	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	144	126	30	3	0	7	15	32	3	3	1	238	333	429	762	190	264	22	10	342	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	263	229	74	22	1	7	23	42	8	14	2	323	404	520	923	197	366	16	9	404	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	100	80	27	7	2	0	18	24	1	7	3	338	465	475	940	137	474	24	18	418	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	462	113	18	4	13	43	122	9	12	4	245	321	385	706	141	302	24	8	316	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	439	130	28	8	18	53	107	18	12	4	296	394	519	913	223	353	21	10	400	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	77	69	16	4	0	2	5	21	3	0	0	232	312	377	688	145	304	27	6	312	90	-1	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.2
2026	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	408	319	105	18	2	14	77	60	12	21	5	329	475	530	1.005	201	371	15	19	447	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	77	69	16	4	0	2	5	21	3	0	0	232	312	377	688	145	304	27	6	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	50	47	14	3	0	1	2	17	0	2	0	298	327	426	752	128	406	34	4	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	61	56	11	2	0	1	1	23	3	1	0	196	250	286	536	89	274	38	2	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	144	130	28	3	0	5	11	37	3	3	1	215	292	354	646	138	255	26	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	263	237	62	17	1	6	15	58	8	14	2	262	327	418	745	156	310	22	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	476	103	14	4	11	29	151	9	12	4	216	274	332	606	116	287	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	455	116	24	8	13	37	136	18	12	4	255	335	429	764	174	330	27	7	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	77	69	16	4	0	2	5	21	3	0	0	232	312	377	688	145	304	27	6	301	90	-1	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.2
2026	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	408	342	101	16	2	11	54	72	12	21	5	295	409	450	860	155	349	18	13	378	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	111	103	24	5	0	2	3	40	3	3	0	233	275	340	615	107	349	36	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	111	101	31	7	0	2	5	28	3	3	0	307	358	436	793	129	397	25	5	349	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	507	459	112	25	1	14	32	118	12	24	6	244	310	394	704	150	296	23	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	507	435	131	32	3	14	56	98	12	24	6	301	396	485	881	184	358	19	11	389	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	476	103	14	4	11	29	151	9	12	4	216	274	332	606	116	289	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	462	113	18	4	13	43	122	9	12	4	245	321	385	706	141	302	24	8	316	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	455	116	24	8	13	37	136	18	12	4	255	335	429	764	174	333	27	7	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	439	130	28	8	18	53	107	18	12	4	296	394	519	913	223	353	21	10	400	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	485	411	116	20	2	12	59	93	15	21	5	282	392	428	820	146	340	19	12	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	485	388	121	22	2	16	82	81	15	21	5	312	449	503	952	191	361	17	17	425	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	111	104	24	5	0	2	3	40	3	3	0	231	275	337	612	106	333	36	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	507	458	112	25	1	14	32	118	12	24	6	245	310	395	705	151	291	23	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	475	103	14	4	11	29	151	9	12	4	217	274	333	607	116	287	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	453	116	24	8	13	37	136	18	12	4	256	335	430	766	174	330	27	7	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	485	408	116	20	2	12	59	93	15	21	5	284	392	431	823	147	342	19	12	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	518	475	103	14	4	11	29	151	9	12	4	217	274	333	607	116	287	29	6	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	513	453	116	24	8	13	37	136	18	12	4	256	335	430	766	174	330	27	7	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	485	408	116	20	2	12	59	93	15	21	5	284	392	431	823	147	342	19	12	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	45%	380	329	86	16	3	10	37	86	11	11	3	260	354	412	766	152	322	23	10	344	119	+8	+1	-1	-2	+8	1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	45%	112	97	26	5	1	3	11	25	3	3	1	275	367	448	815	173	339	22	10	362	119	+2	+0	-0	-1	+2	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	60%	395	343	88	16	3	10	38	90	11	11	3	258	352	409	761	151	320	23	10	341	117	+8	+1	-1	-2	+9	1.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	67%	403	350	89	16	3	10	39	93	11	10	3	255	348	404	752	149	317	23	10	337	115	+7	+1	-2	-2	+9	1.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	69%	398	347	88	16	3	10	38	93	10	8	2	252	344	398	742	146	314	23	10	333	112	+5	+1	-3	-2	+9	1.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	70%	394	344	86	16	3	9	37	93	10	6	2	249	339	390	729	142	311	24	9	328	108	+4	+0	-3	-2	+9	0.7
2032	31	MLB MLE	COL	71%	379	332	81	15	2	9	35	90	9	3	1	244	333	381	714	137	307	24	9	322	104	+2	+0	-4	-2	+8	0.4
2033	32	MLB MLE	COL	71%	360	316	76	14	2	8	33	88	8	0	1	238	327	368	694	129	303	24	9	314	99	-1	-0	-5	-2	+8	0.0
2034	33	MLB MLE	COL	72%	330	290	67	12	2	6	30	82	7	0	1	232	319	352	671	120	297	25	9	304	92	-3	-0	-5	-2	+7	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	60%	236	204	57	10	3	7	23	54	7	6	2	273	365	444	809	172	337	23	10	359	117	+5	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.8
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	67%	272	237	64	11	3	8	26	63	7	6	2	270	361	439	799	169	334	23	10	355	115	+5	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.8
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	69%	276	241	65	12	3	8	26	64	7	5	2	266	356	431	787	165	331	23	9	351	112	+4	+0	-2	-2	+6	0.7
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	70%	277	242	63	11	3	7	26	65	7	4	1	262	351	423	774	160	327	23	9	345	108	+3	+0	-2	-2	+6	0.5
2032	31	MLB CTX	COL	71%	269	236	60	11	2	7	25	64	6	2	1	257	345	412	757	155	323	24	9	338	104	+1	+0	-3	-2	+6	0.3
2033	32	MLB CTX	COL	71%	257	225	56	10	2	6	24	63	6	0	1	251	338	397	735	146	318	25	9	330	99	-0	-0	-3	-2	+6	-0.0
2034	33	MLB CTX	COL	72%	236	208	51	9	2	5	21	59	5	0	1	244	330	380	710	136	312	25	9	319	92	-2	-0	-4	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1900	1662	432	78	18	50	176	453	48	23	10	260	348	419	767	159	328	24	9	342	104	+14	+1	-16	-14	+41	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	148	27	6	17	60	155	16	8	3	260	347	418	765	158	328	24	9	342	104	+5	+0	-5	-5	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5043	4443	1102	203	35	120	434	1224	130	117	34	248	333	391	723	142	314	24	9	322	104	+28	+3	-23	-20	+65	5.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	142	26	5	15	56	158	17	15	4	248	333	389	723	141	314	24	9	322	104	+6	+1	-5	-4	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.0	2,012	47	28	248	335	389	-12	-21	5.9	5.8
/162	664	15	9	-4.0	-6.8	2.0	pk7: 6
#1Bobby Kieltylast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,084 PA	3.1	2,084	53	21	254	348	408	-20	-26	5.0	5.0
/162	664	17	7	-6.4	-8.3	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Bud Stewart'41-'54 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,335 PA	3.5	2,335	32	29	258*	327*	422*	-21	-19	3.8	4.2
/162	664	9	8	-5.9	-5.5	1.1	pk7: 5
#3Johnny Mokan'21-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,219 PA	3.3	2,219	32	26	258*	341*	421*	-20	-20	2.7	2.7
/162	664	10	8	-5.9	-6.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Joe Christopher'59-'66 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,868 PA	2.8	1,868	29	29	257*	331*	395*	-17	-14	2.0	2.3
/162	664	10	10	-6.1	-4.8	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Connor Joelast yr '25 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	35	13	241	335	387	-21	-16	1.9	1.9
/162	664	14	5	-8.3	-6.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Ben Franciscolast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,771 PA	2.7	1,771	50	30	253	323	418	-19	-29	1.7	1.7
/162	664	19	11	-7.1	-10.9	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sterlin Thompson (OGILVIE)	26	40→48	50→47	40→43	40	257/352/408	151	322	6	7	23%	10%	119	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jonathan India 2023 · MLB	26	52→54	49→50	45→50	51	254/343/405	151	309	16	8	22%	9%	114	+2.4	244/339/386	142	292	15	10	20%	10%	109	+2.0	238/339/373	135	284	14	9	20%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Josh Smith 2024 · MLB	26	45→53	45	50	52	222/320/350	128	276	12	12	23%	10%	94	+0.9	238/320/361	123	288	12	12	20%	9%	95	+1.0	235/317/352	117	283	11	13	20%	9%	92	+0.7
●Eric Hinske 2004 · MLB	26	51→55	53→60	53→50	56	257/338/448	192	301	18	13	21%	11%	122	+2.9	253/323/416	163	300	17	10	20%	9%	109	+2.0	253/323/412	159	299	17	9	21%	9%	109	+1.6
●Kole Calhoun 2014 · MLB	26	53→58	52→60	52→50	50	267/331/440	173	313	18	13	21%	8%	117	+2.6	268/326/439	171	315	19	6	20%	8%	115	+2.4	266/328/436	170	312	19	3	20%	8%	116	+2.6
✕Chance Sisco 2021 · MLB	26	45→55	51→50	43→40	48	227/330/389	162	308	20	3	31%	10%	107	+1.8	204/290/339	135	275	14	5	29%	9%	80	-0.2	160/246/269	109	216	9	0	29%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Mark Teahen 2008 · MLB	26	57→59	47→55	55→50	50	276/337/431	155	334	12	12	20%	8%	117	+2.6	264/321/405	141	324	13	8	21%	7%	105	+1.7	260/318/395	135	320	12	6	22%	7%	102	+1.3
✕Josh VanMeter 2021 · MLB	26	46→50	53→55	50	49	236/307/417	181	280	20	15	24%	8%	103	+1.6	215/307/371	156	274	17	9	26%	11%	93	+0.8	199/304/344	144	254	16	7	27%	13%	85	+0.1
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2015 · MLB	26	53→57	50→55	48→45	47	266/320/426	160	304	17	5	19%	6%	110	+2.1	258/306/404	146	304	14	7	19%	6%	99	+1.3	276/329/444	168	320	16	7	18%	6%	118	+1.3
●Stephen Drew 2009 · MLB	26	53→57	51→55	51→45	48	264/312/438	174	295	16	6	17%	7%	109	+2.0	260/318/425	165	297	14	7	17%	8%	108	+1.9	255/319/411	156	294	12	7	17%	8%	106	+1.5
●Dominic Canzone 2024 · MLB	26	51→54	54→60	50	46	260/311/442	182	296	21	11	20%	6%	110	+2.1	254/311/438	184	296	23	7	22%	7%	109	+2.0	255/317/447	192	296	25	5	23%	8%	114	+1.7
✕Domonic Brown 2014 · MLB	26	50→57	53→55	47→55	49	258/311/432	174	287	20	9	18%	7%	108	+1.9	231/278/354	123	272	13	10	20%	6%	78	-0.3	218/261/339	120	260	14	2	22%	5%	66	-0.7
●Lane Thomas 2022 · MLB	26	46→52	50→55	48→55	50	230/310/394	164	301	17	13	28%	10%	99	+1.2	247/309/421	174	308	20	16	25%	7%	105	+1.7	248/309/424	176	306	20	21	25%	7%	106	+1.8
✕Larry Bigbie 2005 · MLB	27	56	49→50	49→50	50	276/336/424	147	328	17	11	21%	8%	115	+2.4	248/309/372	124	315	12	9	24%	8%	93	+0.8	239/298/345	106	310	8	8	24%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Mike Baxter 2011 · AAA	26	54→59	47→50	51→50	49	265/324/417	152	308	13	15	18%	7%	109	+2.0	246/319/383	137	304	11	13	21%	8%	99	+1.3	228/314/348	121	286	7	11	21%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Jake Fraley 2022 · MLB	27	46→47	53→55	53→55	54	234/331/406	171	301	20	21	28%	12%	109	+2.0	250/332/409	159	301	19	21	22%	10%	111	+2.1	258/330/406	148	303	17	26	20%	9%	109	+1.2
✕Leonys Martin 2013 · MLB	25	54→56	49→50	51→60	47	270/320/428	159	309	15	21	18%	6%	110	+2.1	253/302/369	116	307	10	31	20%	6%	89	+0.5	241/296/382	141	305	16	24	25%	6%	90	+0.5
●Dansby Swanson 2020 · MLB	26	47→55	49→55	47→55	48	239/302/389	150	287	16	10	23%	8%	95	+0.9	256/318/437	181	316	22	11	25%	8%	112	+2.2	254/320/434	179	313	23	11	25%	8%	113	+2.5
✕Blake Sabol 2024 · MLB	26	49→50	51→55	49→50	42	242/304/403	161	339	19	9	33%	7%	99	+1.3	213/280/329	116	300	13	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	195/265/291	95	279	10	14	32%	8%	56	-1.1
●Brendan Donovan 2023 · MLB	26	56→59	42→50	44→50	56	266/357/374	108	315	9	9	18%	10%	112	+2.2	275/349/408	133	306	14	7	14%	8%	116	+2.5	278/347/418	139	303	15	5	13%	8%	119	+2.3
✕Brennan Boesch 2012 · MLB	27	53→56	53→55	48→50	46	268/320/443	175	309	20	8	20%	6%	114	+2.4	251/298/411	160	297	18	9	22%	6%	98	+1.2	240/278/381	141	296	16	9	24%	4%	83	+0.1

Sterlin Thompson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps