Cade Austin
P
Beloit Sky Carp
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138128vR 119
ERA5.27
FIP5.27
K%18.2%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 26 | 1 | 46 | 189 | 50 | 14 | 7 | 4% | 1.8 | 19.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 3.69 | 5.31 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 26 | 1 | 46 | 189 | 50 | 14 | 7 | 4% | 1.8 | 26.5% | 7.4% | 19.0% | 3.7% | 3.69 | 3.81 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 37 | 1 | 53 | 227 | 57 | 24 | 5 | 3% | 1.4 | 18.6% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.08 | 5.41 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 37 | 1 | 53 | 227 | 57 | 24 | 5 | 3% | 1.4 | 25.1% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 2.2% | 3.08 | 3.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | 7 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 14% | 1.7 | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 52 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.27 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.27 | 5.27 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 79 | 333 | 65 | 39 | 12 | — | — | 19.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 4.95 | 4.49 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.2% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 5.27 | 4.89 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 55 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 56 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 56 | 32 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIA | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 43 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.99 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 0 | 127 | 534 | 104 | 60 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 4.63 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 164 | 95 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 70 | 3 | 111 | 465 | 92 | 49 | 22 | 4% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 3.33 | 5.36 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 5 | 200 | 840 | 167 | 88 | 40 | 4% | 1.6 | 19.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 3.33 | 5.36 | +0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cade Austin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.27 | 18.2% | 12.3% | 3.2% | — | 5.02 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 203 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 91 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 5.05 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.46 | 4.59 | 120 | 91 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 89 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.63 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 124 | 89 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 88 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 88 |
| Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 3.0% | .258 | 3.96 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 161 | -0.76 | 2.82 | 285 | 87 |
| Matthew Gorst R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 16.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 199 | 87 |
| Hunter Dula R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.79 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.4% | .301 | 4.05 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 37 | -0.74 | 3.85 | 132 | 87 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 87 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 87 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 87 |
| Scott Oberg R 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .273 | 2.80 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -1.91 | 2.42 | 302 | 86 |
| Hunter Hayes R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.78 | 18.0% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .316 | 6.43 | 12.6% | -6.5% | 33 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 210 | 86 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.12 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 24.8% | 15.5% | 104 | -0.89 | 2.88 | 312 | 86 |
| Davison Palermo R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.15 | 16.3% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .261 | 4.94 | 19.0% | 6.2% | 108 | -0.21 | 4.15 | 191 | 86 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 86 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.18 | 18.0% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .278 | 4.55 | 17.0% | 5.3% | 107 | -0.63 | 3.94 | 189 | 86 |
| Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 20.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .298 | 3.84 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 90 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 186 | 86 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 19.2% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 5.10 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |