Tommy Troy

2B Reno Aces

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 197 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	A+ARI	288	.227/.322/.347	5	16	42	—	.176/.248/.268
2025	23	AAAARI	182	.295/.385/.429	3	3	114	—	.286/.358/.391
2025	23	AAARI	399	.286/.383/.461	12	21	82	—	.230/.310/.343
2026	24	MLBARI	143	.217/.289/.349	4	1	78	0.1
2027PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBARI	112	.232/.310/.351	2	8	84	0.2
2028PROJ59% MLB	26	MLBARI	244	.234/.312/.359	5	17	86	0.4
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBARI	266	.234/.311/.360	5	19	87	0.5

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$4M2031Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed92

BB%81

Chase%81

Max EV62

Whiff%52

K%47

CompsJosé Caballero (age 27) · Samad Taylor (age 26) · Vidal Bruján (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .310 / .351

PA112

HR2

SB8

K%24

BB%9

BABIP293

ISO120

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT47

xAVG

230.229

POWER48

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

1084.9

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

9030.1

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$7M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	99	85	21	5	0	4	12	26	1	8	0	247	347	447	794	200	304	26	12	351	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	16	11	5	0	1	0	4	2	0	1	0	455	600	636	1.236	182	500	12	25	502	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	288	251	57	13	1	5	30	64	5	16	5	227	322	347	668	120	283	22	10	305	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	26	22	7	3	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	318	348	545	893	227	389	27	4	342	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	108	93	27	7	1	3	10	27	4	4	1	290	383	484	867	194	375	25	9	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	182	156	46	8	2	3	18	28	5	3	1	295	385	429	815	135	339	15	10	362	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	399	343	98	20	2	12	49	70	5	21	4	286	383	461	844	175	328	18	12	375	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	143	129	28	3	1	4	13	34	0	1	0	217	289	349	638	132	264	24	9	286	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2026	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	261	221	69	13	3	5	36	60	2	9	2	312	413	466	879	154	408	23	14	391	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	143	129	28	3	1	4	13	34	0	1	0	217	289	349	638	132	264	24	9	286	80	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	99	89	18	4	0	3	8	36	1	8	0	202	276	348	624	146	290	36	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	—	16	13	5	0	1	0	2	3	0	1	0	385	467	538	1.005	154	380	19	12	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	288	261	46	10	1	4	20	90	5	16	5	176	248	268	516	92	239	31	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	26	22	5	2	1	0	1	10	0	0	0	227	261	409	670	182	285	38	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	182	161	46	7	2	2	13	33	5	3	1	286	358	391	749	106	337	18	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	399	356	82	15	2	7	36	88	5	21	4	230	310	343	653	112	282	22	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	143	129	28	3	1	4	13	34	0	1	0	217	289	349	638	132	264	24	9	284	78	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2026	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	261	231	67	12	3	4	26	72	2	9	2	290	367	420	787	130	398	28	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	115	101	23	4	1	3	11	38	1	9	0	228	310	376	686	149	323	33	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	115	96	26	5	1	4	16	28	1	9	0	271	381	469	849	198	333	24	14	372	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	422	380	69	16	2	6	27	134	9	20	6	182	252	282	534	100	256	32	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	422	366	91	23	3	8	41	98	9	20	6	249	339	393	732	145	312	23	10	327	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	581	517	128	22	4	10	49	121	10	24	5	248	325	364	688	116	303	21	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	581	499	144	28	4	15	67	98	10	24	5	289	384	451	835	162	332	17	12	371	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	404	360	94	14	4	8	39	106	2	10	2	261	337	389	726	128	348	26	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	404	350	97	16	4	9	49	94	2	10	2	277	369	423	792	146	355	23	12	354	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	115	102	23	4	1	3	11	38	1	9	0	225	310	373	682	147	303	33	10	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	422	383	69	16	2	6	27	134	9	20	6	180	252	279	532	99	243	32	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	581	517	128	22	4	10	49	121	10	24	5	248	325	364	688	116	299	21	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	404	360	94	14	4	8	39	106	2	10	2	261	337	389	726	128	350	26	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	422	383	69	16	2	6	27	134	9	20	6	180	252	279	532	99	243	32	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	581	517	128	22	4	10	49	121	10	24	5	248	325	364	688	116	299	21	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	404	360	94	14	4	8	39	106	2	10	2	261	337	389	726	128	350	26	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	45%	380	339	76	11	3	7	34	91	4	27	4	226	304	340	645	115	284	24	9	292	84	-7	+4	-1	+1	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	45%	112	100	23	4	1	2	10	27	1	8	1	232	310	351	661	119	293	24	9	298	84	-2	+1	-0	+0	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	59%	415	371	85	13	3	9	37	99	4	30	4	228	306	349	656	121	285	24	9	296	86	-7	+4	-1	+1	+9	0.8
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	63%	421	376	86	13	3	9	38	100	4	30	4	228	306	350	656	122	284	24	9	296	87	-7	+4	-1	+2	+9	0.8
2030	28	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	422	377	86	13	3	9	38	101	4	27	4	227	305	348	653	121	284	24	9	295	86	-7	+4	-2	+2	+9	0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	414	370	84	13	3	9	37	100	4	24	4	226	303	345	649	120	283	24	9	293	84	-8	+3	-2	+1	+9	0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	407	364	82	13	3	8	36	99	4	20	3	224	301	341	642	117	282	24	9	290	83	-8	+3	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	ARI	65%	392	351	76	12	2	7	34	97	4	15	2	220	296	332	628	112	280	25	9	284	79	-10	+2	-4	+1	+8	-0.2
2034	32	MLB MLE	ARI	64%	373	335	72	11	2	7	32	94	3	10	2	215	290	320	610	105	276	25	9	277	74	-12	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	59%	244	217	50	8	2	5	22	58	3	17	3	234	312	359	671	126	294	24	9	302	86	-4	+2	-1	+1	+5	0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	63%	266	237	54	9	2	5	24	63	3	19	3	234	311	360	671	126	294	24	9	302	87	-4	+3	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	276	246	57	10	2	5	25	66	3	18	3	233	310	358	668	125	293	24	9	301	86	-5	+2	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	269	240	56	10	2	5	24	65	3	15	2	232	308	355	664	124	293	24	9	299	84	-5	+2	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	263	236	54	9	2	5	23	64	2	13	2	230	306	351	657	121	291	24	9	296	83	-5	+2	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	ARI	65%	253	227	52	9	2	5	22	63	2	9	2	226	301	341	642	116	289	25	9	290	79	-6	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
2034	32	MLB CTX	ARI	64%	240	215	48	8	2	4	21	61	2	6	1	220	295	329	624	109	285	25	9	283	74	-8	+1	-3	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1954	1747	399	66	15	38	174	474	18	98	16	228	305	349	653	120	291	24	9	296	82	-41	+13	-11	+8	+42	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	133	22	5	13	58	158	6	33	5	229	305	351	657	122	291	24	9	296	82	-14	+4	-3	+3	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4616	4124	936	152	32	90	401	1149	52	237	39	227	303	345	648	118	291	25	9	290	82	-67	+25	-17	+12	+70	2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	132	21	5	13	56	162	7	33	5	227	303	348	650	120	290	25	9	290	82	-13	+5	-3	+3	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Ernie Johnson'12-'25 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,915 PA	4.4	2,915	19	114	245*	298*	380*	+28	-5	5.1	6.5
/162	664	4	26	+6.4	-1.1	1.2	pk7: 8
#3Damian Jackson'96-'06 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,509 PA	3.8	2,509	32	133	232*	309*	342*	+10	+11	5.7	6.0
/162	664	8	35	+2.5	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#4Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,067	43	107	225	298	343	+20	-9	4.9	4.7
/162	664	14	34	+6.5	-2.8	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tommy Troy (OGILVIE)	25	40→47	40→48	60	55	224/302/337	114	284	5	18	24%	9%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Caballero 2024 · MLB	27	47→45	44→45	63→70	57	228/349/346	118	284	11	43	22%	12%	104	+1.6	229/307/349	120	299	12	51	26%	8%	88	+0.4	225/297/344	119	294	12	58	26%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2024 · MLB	26	51→61	45→50	63→65	49	246/323/375	129	330	12	43	28%	9%	99	+1.3	248/315/357	109	335	9	36	26%	8%	92	+0.7	253/319/358	105	339	9	36	26%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Vidal Bruján 2022 · MLB	24	47→57	43→45	61→65	49	229/286/346	117	269	10	41	19%	7%	78	-0.3	226/289/341	115	276	10	30	21%	7%	79	-0.2	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Delino DeShields 2018 · MLB	25	51→56	41→45	57→65	50	242/318/339	97	320	8	32	25%	10%	89	+0.5	230/309/319	89	301	7	30	24%	10%	81	-0.1	225/308/314	88	303	6	31	25%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Ryan Bliss 2024 · AAA	24	45→51	46→50	59→60	44	224/286/356	132	289	12	32	26%	7%	81	-0.1	231/299/360	129	304	11	38	26%	8%	87	+0.4	223/291/342	119	294	9	40	25%	7%	79	-0.2
✕David Hamilton 2024 · MLB	26	41→43	45→50	68→70	48	205/280/327	121	267	12	51	27%	9%	72	-0.7	221/286/352	131	280	14	50	25%	8%	80	-0.2	227/287/350	124	282	13	56	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Bubba Thompson 2024 · MLB	26	52→59	44→50	65	39	248/295/367	120	337	11	43	29%	5%	86	+0.3	216/259/305	89	318	7	31	33%	5%	59	-1.7	186/210/227	40	296	2	37	36%	3%	17	-2.1
✕Johan Rojas 2024 · MLB	23	51→60	43→45	64→65	42	246/291/366	120	307	9	37	23%	5%	84	+0.2	245/288/337	92	309	6	34	22%	5%	76	-0.4	243/284/316	73	306	4	40	21%	5%	69	-0.6
●Jonathan Villar 2016 · MLB	25	49→59	42→50	63→65	44	234/294/345	111	327	9	41	30%	8%	81	-0.1	261/327/402	141	352	14	41	28%	9%	107	+1.8	264/333/405	141	352	15	44	27%	9%	110	+1.9
✕Jacob Young 2024 · MLB	25	52→57	38→40	63→60	47	247/306/329	82	304	4	33	20%	6%	82	-0.0	245/305/331	86	299	6	29	19%	7%	82	-0.0	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	47→51	43→45	59→60	47	225/314/340	114	306	10	29	28%	8%	88	+0.5	226/317/332	106	299	10	21	26%	10%	88	+0.4	221/316/318	97	288	9	20	24%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Luke Williams 2024 · MLB	27	47→44	43→45	59→65	45	228/290/338	110	304	10	34	27%	8%	78	-0.3	201/260/313	112	280	11	35	30%	7%	61	-1.5	174/232/274	100	245	9	44	32%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Drew Stubbs 2010 · MLB	25	50→57	42→50	58→60	46	236/300/346	110	323	9	31	28%	8%	84	+0.1	238/307/371	133	325	14	32	29%	9%	93	+0.8	231/304/365	133	316	16	33	30%	9%	89	+0.5
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	49→59	36→30	63→60	55	227/321/300	73	284	3	39	19%	10%	82	-0.0	235/317/307	72	298	4	22	20%	10%	82	-0.0	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Tanner Kirwer 2022 · AA	26	43	44→40	61→60	47	210/297/324	114	292	13	36	30%	9%	79	-0.2	205/278/294	89	293	9	31	31%	8%	64	-1.3	190/262/256	66	274	7	35	31%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Garrett Hampson 2020 · MLB	25	51→57	42→45	59→60	46	247/299/357	111	310	9	28	23%	7%	86	+0.3	224/280/343	119	294	11	22	26%	7%	76	-0.4	237/300/344	108	310	8	22	25%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	225/278/324	98	307	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.8	225/271/307	82	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	225/270/292	67	304	4	48	26%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2024 · MLB	25	51→55	41→45	58→60	47	243/305/348	104	315	7	31	24%	8%	86	+0.3	245/313/347	102	333	7	33	26%	8%	88	+0.5	246/318/343	97	336	6	39	26%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Brent Lillibridge 2008 · AAA	24	51→54	44→50	59→60	45	250/308/372	123	318	11	31	24%	7%	93	+0.8	221/278/325	104	294	8	29	26%	6%	71	-0.8	222/280/356	134	299	17	36	30%	6%	79	-0.1
●Esteury Ruiz 2024 · MLB	25	53→60	45→50	69→70	45	258/325/385	126	317	11	65	22%	6%	103	+1.5	257/331/402	145	324	14	59	24%	8%	109	+2.0	253/341/414	160	331	16	67	26%	9%	113	+1.2

Tommy Troy

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps