Mikey Tepper

P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 225 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX3 levels	19	5	49	3.88	2.77	25.7%	12.6%	—	K 19.1% · BB 14.6% · FIP 3.71
2025	23	A+WSH	2	2	8	10.57	6.23	18.4%	10.5%	—	K 18.4% · BB 10.5% · FIP 5.77
2026	24	MIX3 levels	18	12	65	4.41	4.77	21.9%	13.7%	—	K 16.7% · BB 16.0% · FIP 5.90
2027PROJ	25	MLBWSH	7	7	42	5.60	5.60	18.1%	15.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBWSH	4	4	25	5.44	5.42	19.3%	14.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBWSH	6	6	36	5.37	5.37	19.6%	14.0%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Colby Morris (age 25) · Jake Bray (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 123

ERA5.60

FIP5.60

K%18.1%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%3.1%

Proj IP42

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	3	13	66	15	10	0	43%	1.9	14.8%	16.5%	-1.7%	0.0%	10.12	3.94	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	3	13	66	15	10	0	43%	1.9	22.7%	15.2%	7.6%	0.0%	10.12	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	5	49	214	55	27	1	26%	2.6	19.1%	14.6%	4.5%	0.7%	3.88	3.71	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	5	49	214	55	27	1	26%	2.6	19.1%	14.6%	4.5%	0.7%	3.88	3.71	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	5	49	214	55	27	1	26%	2.6	25.7%	12.6%	13.1%	0.5%	3.88	2.77	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	2	2	8	38	7	4	2	100%	3.8	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	5.3%	10.57	5.77	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	2	2	8	38	7	4	2	100%	3.8	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	5.3%	10.57	5.77	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	2	2	8	38	7	4	2	100%	3.8	18.4%	10.5%	7.9%	5.3%	10.57	6.23	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	12	65	292	64	40	9	67%	3.6	16.7%	16.0%	0.7%	4.0%	4.41	5.90	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	18	12	65	292	64	40	9	67%	3.6	16.7%	16.0%	0.7%	4.0%	4.41	5.90	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	18	12	65	292	64	40	9	67%	3.6	21.9%	13.7%	8.2%	3.1%	4.41	4.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	WSH	7	7	42	177	32	27	6	100%	6.0	18.1%	15.0%	3.1%	3.2%	5.60	5.60	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	WSH	10	10	59	248	48	36	8	100%	5.9	19.3%	14.3%	4.9%	3.2%	5.44	5.42	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	WSH	10	10	58	244	48	34	8	100%	5.8	19.6%	14.0%	5.5%	3.2%	5.37	5.37	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	WSH	4	4	25	106	20	15	3	100%	6.2	19.3%	14.3%	4.9%	3.2%	5.44	5.42	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	WSH	6	6	36	152	30	21	5	100%	6.0	19.6%	14.0%	5.5%	3.2%	5.37	5.37	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	10	62	261	51	37	8	100%	6.2	19.4%	14.2%	5.3%	3.2%	5.40	5.01	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	165	120	26	100%	6.0	19.4%	14.2%	5.3%	3.2%	5.40	5.01	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		46	22	135	610	107	93	15	48%	2.9	17.5%	15.2%	2.2%	2.5%	5.13	4.91	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	33	200	904	158	138	22	48%	2.9	17.5%	15.2%	2.2%	2.5%	5.13	4.91	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mikey Tepper (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.60	18.1%	15.0%	3.2%	—	5.40	19.4%	5.2%	117	-0.20	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	82
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	81
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	80
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	80
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	79
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.28	22.7%	7.9%	102	-0.48	3.74	283	78
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	78
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	77
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	76
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	76
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	76
Carlos Tavera R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	25	SW	5.12	18.3%	13.3%	3.4%	.299	5.43	21.9%	8.8%	29	+0.31	3.85	263	76
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	75
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	75
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	75
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	75
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	74
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	74
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.04	22.9%	13.8%	138	-1.17	3.38	292	74
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	19.1%	14.4%	1.24	5.46
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*