Ambioris TavarezSS Columbus Clingstones
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 168 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION216 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†22
AVG/OBP/SLG.138 / .217 / .208
PA144
HR2
SB5
K%45
BB%8
BABIP250
ISO69
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -31.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-31BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +10.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -1.70-1.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-8M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKFCL Braves — 6966 12201 2370 31 182206258463 76379 543 189 3 — — — — — —
202218 ROKFCL Braves — 6965 18401 3280 31 277309385693 108459 414 305 92 — — — — — —
202319 AAugusta GreenJackets — 480430 57935 3028419 2120 133221202424 70366 596 194 7 — — — — — —
202319 AAugusta GreenJackets — 480416 901957 4419619 2120 216319337656 120388 419 302 90 — — — — — —
202420 A+Rome Emperors — 208191 29533 121114 114 152217257474 105333 536 209 18 — — — — — —
202420 A+Rome Emperors — 208181 36733 22804 114 199300320620 122333 3811 285 76 — — — — — —
202521 A+2 teams — 451404 55505 3421910 215 136221186407 50273 498 191 5 — — — — — —
202521 A+2 teams — 451384 79905 5416010 215 206319268587 63333 3512 279 72 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AAATL — 216194 28604 191013 104 144231237469 93270 479 216 24 -19 +0 +0 +2 +6 -1.0
YTD22 AAATL — 216186 34805 27783 104 183296306603 124282 3612 281 73 -7 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.2
ROS22 AAATL 2% 144130 18302 11652 52 138217208424 69272 458 214 22 -13 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.7
ROS22 MLBATL 2% 33 0000 010 00 272 330 202 13 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 AAATL — 219197 28604 191023 104 142228234462 91264 479 216 23 -19 +0 +0 +2 +6 -1.0
TOT22 AAATL — 360324 46906 301665 156 142226225451 83261 468 215 23 -31 +1 +0 +4 +10 -1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBATL 35% 513459 7513110 412198 155 163244261506 98275 438 231 35 -38 +1 +0 +5 +15 -1.7
202824 MLBATL 47% 550492 8415211 452258 155 171251276528 106278 418 242 44 -35 +1 +0 +6 +16 -1.3
202925 MLBATL 52% 571511 9016213 472278 155 176256292548 115279 408 249 49 -33 +1 +0 +6 +16 -1.0
203026 MLBATL 54% 581520 9216213 482288 155 177257290547 113280 398 252 51 -32 +1 +0 +6 +16 -0.9
203127 MLBATL 54% 583520 9216213 492309 145 177260290550 113279 398 252 51 -32 +1 +0 +6 +17 -0.9
202723 MLBATL 35% 180161 26503 14773 52 161242248490 87275 438 220 27 -15 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.8
202824 MLBATL 47% 256229 39715 211054 72 170252275527 105278 418 231 35 -19 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.8
202925 MLBATL 52% 296266 47817 241184 83 177255293548 117279 408 238 40 -20 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.8
203026 MLBATL 54% 315281 50917 261245 83 178260292551 114280 398 241 43 -20 +0 +0 +3 +9 -0.8
203127 MLBATL 54% 317282 50917 271255 83 177261291552 113279 399 241 43 -20 +0 +0 +3 +9 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 13671222 21238429 11255021 3613 173255282537 109282 408 236 39 -95 +2 +0 +15 +39 -4.0
/ 162G— — 650581 10118214 5326210 176 174254284538 110282 408 236 39 -45 +1 +0 +7 +18 -1.9
Career— — 41503723 6041001576 319184576 13557 162243258501 96289 448 230 34 -309 +4 +0 +44 +118 -14.5
/ 162G— — 650583 9516212 5028912 219 163243259502 96291 448 230 34 -48 +1 +0 +7 +18 -2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKFCL Braves — 6965 18401 3280 31 277309385693 108459 414 305 92 -1 +0 — — +2 0.2
202319 AAugusta GreenJackets — 480416 901957 4419619 2120 216319337656 120388 419 302 90 -6 -4 — — +14 0.4
202420 A+Rome Emperors — 208181 36733 22804 114 199300320620 122333 3811 285 76 -6 +1 — — +6 0.1
202521 AAColumbus Clingstones — 5345 8100 7211 62 178302200502 22333 4013 250 49 -3 +0 — — +2 -0.1
202521 A+Rome Emperors — 398339 71805 471399 153 209322277599 68333 3512 283 75 -11 +2 — — +11 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,3713036174252284+15+6-2.7-1.4
/1626641417+7.1+2.9-1.3pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ambioris Tavarez (OGILVIE) 22 25 25 50 50 142/226/225 83261 615 46% 8% 23 -1.7 ————————— —————————
✕Jarryd Dale
2023 · AAA 		22 38→40 38→40 52→55 42 184/254/261 78285 619 35% 8% 41 -2.3 187/252/282 95295 815 37% 7% 46 -2.0 133/174/2299720314742%3%-5-1.1
✕Fabian Pertuz
2023 · A 		22 37→33 41→40 49→55 33 185/229/278 92285 89 37% 4% 33 -2.9 172/223/263 91273 912 38% 5% 28 -3.2 143/198/2238022791340%5%4-2.5
✕Jordyn Adams
2022 · A 		22 38→40 40→45 52→60 35 183/238/269 86312 816 42% 6% 36 -2.7 194/252/291 97301 829 36% 6% 47 -1.9 186/248/297110286132638%7%45-1.1
✕Arturo Guerrero
2023 · A 		22 39 39→40 50 33 175/250/262 88323 612 44% 6% 40 -2.4 190/262/286 96363 89 46% 7% 51 -1.7 140/224/24210330611953%6%27-0.7
✕Ethan Murray
2023 · AA 		23 35→45 41→40 51→50 42 177/250/275 97266 913 35% 8% 43 -2.2 197/270/288 91301 712 34% 8% 55 -1.4 193/271/2788529361333%8%49-1.1
✕Frank Veliz
2022 · A 		22 39 38→30 47→55 37 188/240/264 76290 57 36% 6% 35 -2.8 192/252/277 85327 66 40% 7% 43 -2.2 129/202/202722446046%7%1-0.9
✕Brandon Diaz
2017 · A 		22 37 36→30 48→55 38 170/241/230 60300 416 42% 8% 27 -3.3 186/252/268 82357 615 45% 8% 41 -2.3 144/220/2227730772651%9%14-0.8
✕Robertico Medina
2016 · A 		22 35 39→40 51→45 40 167/256/251 85295 79 42% 9% 40 -2.4 187/276/261 74337 56 41% 10% 51 -1.7 149/259/185362982344%13%23-1.3
✕Jose Dilone
2023 · A 		22 37 37→30 51→55 41 175/254/241 66286 513 37% 8% 37 -2.7 209/287/298 89367 711 41% 9% 64 -0.8 218/310/3129443491246%11%73-0.0
✕Mike Martin
2016 · A 		23 40 35→30 52→55 42 183/275/240 57297 313 36% 8% 46 -2.0 217/272/277 60282 317 23% 6% 51 -1.7 231/276/2825128622319%5%51-0.6
✕Korry Howell
2021 · A 		22 44→33 36→40 50→55 41 200/268/265 66322 416 37% 8% 47 -1.9 192/276/327 135315 1522 40% 8% 68 -0.5 168/261/306138274162841%8%54-0.7
✕Justin Twine
2018 · A 		22 35→31 36→45 46→50 30 172/213/238 66275 47 38% 3% 16 -4.1 211/251/299 88302 610 31% 4% 48 -1.9 216/252/3139732181434%3%50-1.0
✕Dyron Campos
2023 · A 		22 36 42→30 47→50 37 184/235/285 101268 107 34% 6% 39 -2.5 176/233/263 87293 89 40% 5% 33 -2.9 109/170/1746619071345%4%-19-2.1
✕Vicente Conde
2016 · AA 		22 38→34 42→45 46→45 41 190/249/295 105274 99 33% 7% 47 -1.9 179/250/264 85267 66 32% 8% 40 -2.4 157/239/226692434434%9%24-1.5
✕Jose Curpa
2022 · A 		22 40 36→30 58→55 46 184/272/253 69286 224 33% 10% 47 -1.9 206/292/291 85310 617 32% 9% 65 -0.7 198/299/2636529652331%10%59-0.3
✕Darel Belen
2022 · A 		22 41 39→40 48→50 39 187/261/269 82328 610 42% 8% 46 -2.0 169/241/249 80456 67 59% 7% 33 -2.9 37/123/86491398375%7%-58-1.7
✕Ryan Dent
2012 · AA 		23 37→42 39→40 45→50 38 184/237/269 85274 612 34% 6% 35 -2.8 200/254/273 73282 612 29% 6% 43 -2.2 204/255/2928828761230%5%46-1.1
✕Julio Carrion
2021 · A 		22 39 38→40 50→45 38 186/255/265 79301 66 38% 7% 43 -2.2 180/259/263 83314 75 41% 7% 44 -2.1 156/236/234782908345%7%25-1.3
✕Jonathan Guzmán
2022 · A 		22 35→40 38→30 52→50 37 178/220/253 75254 616 32% 5% 23 -3.6 167/212/234 67249 511 33% 5% 15 -4.1 147/192/199522184933%5%-6-2.3
✕Maikol Escotto
2023 · A 		21 39 40 47→50 35 183/244/270 87313 814 42% 6% 39 -2.5 180/225/274 94278 1014 37% 5% 31 -3.0 171/213/26190250111835%4%20-1.8