Jefferson PenaSS
ACL D-backs
Age 22
R/R
5'8" / 160 lbs
ROK
HR -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.8 · 2030
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .270 / .296
PA135
HR2
K%32
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
30↗35
SPD
54↗59
EYE
47↗52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $7M | +$2M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 167 | 156 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 52 | 2 | 9 | 7 | .135 | .182 | .154 | .336 | .019 | .198 | 31 | 4 | .155 | -23 | -23 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -1.8 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 190 | 171 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 78 | 4 | 7 | 5 | .170 | .253 | .234 | .487 | .064 | .304 | 41 | 8 | .219 | 26 | -16 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 178 | 161 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 62 | 6 | 15 | 2 | .248 | .320 | .342 | .662 | .093 | .398 | 35 | 6 | .282 | 74 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 323 | 288 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 113 | 7 | 16 | 5 | .163 | .242 | .205 | .447 | .042 | .257 | 35 | 7 | .202 | 13 | -32 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -1.8 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 102 | 91 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 58 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .110 | .198 | .132 | .330 | .022 | .303 | 57 | 9 | .152 | -25 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | ARI | 135 | 121 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .207 | .284 | .314 | .598 | .107 | .282 | 32 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | ARI | 200 | 178 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .208 | .288 | .326 | .614 | .118 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | ARI | 307 | 274 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 91 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .212 | .289 | .336 | .625 | .124 | .285 | 30 | 8 | .282 | 74 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | ARI | 373 | 332 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 109 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .214 | .295 | .346 | .641 | .133 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | ARI | 415 | 370 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 121 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .216 | .296 | .349 | .645 | .132 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .289 | 80 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | ARI | 435 | 386 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 127 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .215 | .299 | .345 | .643 | .130 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | ARI | 443 | 393 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 130 | 6 | 10 | 2 | .214 | .298 | .341 | .639 | .127 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 441 | 391 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 131 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .212 | .297 | .340 | .637 | .128 | .286 | 30 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -11 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 437 | 388 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 131 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .209 | .293 | .335 | .628 | .126 | .284 | 30 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -12 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 426 | 379 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 129 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .208 | .291 | .330 | .621 | .121 | .283 | 30 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 410 | 364 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 127 | 5 | 7 | 0 | .201 | .285 | .310 | .595 | .110 | .281 | 31 | 9 | .275 | 68 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 381 | 338 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 120 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .195 | .280 | .299 | .579 | .104 | .279 | 31 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 337 | 299 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 109 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .194 | .278 | .298 | .576 | .104 | .277 | 32 | 9 | .263 | 60 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +10 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5700 | 5080 | 1025 | 191 | 23 | 106 | 494 | 1792 | 82 | 152 | 35 | .202 | .283 | .311 | .594 | .109 | .286 | 31 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -236 | +16 | -20 | +61 | +162 | -1.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 117 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 204 | 9 | 17 | 4 | .202 | .282 | .313 | .595 | .111 | .287 | 31 | 9 | .268 | 63 | -27 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +18 | -0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 2 | 167 | 152 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 9 | 7 | .204 | .267 | .237 | .504 | .033 | .267 | 23 | 7 | .234 | 37 | -12 | -1 | — | — | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 190 | 162 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 4 | 7 | 5 | .247 | .358 | .346 | .704 | .099 | .364 | 28 | 13 | .326 | 107 | +2 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Red | 178 | 154 | 54 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 6 | 15 | 2 | .351 | .438 | .481 | .919 | .130 | .482 | 24 | 10 | .412 | 173 | +15 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 2.2 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 323 | 280 | 56 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 85 | 7 | 16 | 5 | .200 | .296 | .250 | .546 | .050 | .277 | 26 | 10 | .256 | 54 | -17 | +1 | — | — | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 102 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .195 | .307 | .230 | .537 | .034 | .340 | 36 | 13 | .258 | 56 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jefferson Pena (OGILVIE) | 22 | 20→25 | 30→35 | 54→59 | 52 | .195/.270/.296 | .101 | .282 | 2 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 58 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A |
22 | 42→30 | 38→45 | 56→50 | 41 | .197/.266/.279 | .082 | .311 | 5 | 16 | 36% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .214/.271/.343 | .129 | .318 | 13 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .203/.261/.318 | .115 | .298 | 12 | 16 | 35% | 6% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A |
22 | 38 | 43→50 | 51→45 | 35 | .183/.259/.287 | .104 | .311 | 11 | 11 | 42% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.263/.310 | .112 | .287 | 13 | 7 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .185/.242/.280 | .095 | .261 | 13 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 38 | -1.0 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA |
23 | 41 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 39 | .193/.262/.274 | .080 | .300 | 7 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .208/.307/.328 | .120 | .294 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A |
22 | 40 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 43 | .194/.269/.295 | .102 | .283 | 8 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .206/.272/.316 | .110 | .289 | 8 | 12 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .179/.267/.290 | .111 | .261 | 11 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 39→40 | 53→60 | 40 | .210/.265/.300 | .090 | .306 | 6 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .187/.266/.264 | .077 | .308 | 6 | 22 | 38% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .145/.239/.202 | .057 | .243 | 5 | 33 | 39% | 9% | 19 | -1.1 |
|
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A |
22 | 40→47 | 39→40 | 53→60 | 49 | .186/.290/.271 | .084 | .288 | 7 | 16 | 34% | 11% | 60 | -1.0 | .204/.296/.285 | .081 | .295 | 5 | 22 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .215/.301/.289 | .073 | .310 | 4 | 35 | 29% | 9% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A |
22 | 40 | 42→45 | 50→55 | 41 | .172/.280/.276 | .105 | .337 | 10 | 18 | 46% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .187/.287/.297 | .110 | .339 | 11 | 16 | 43% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .170/.275/.273 | .103 | .306 | 12 | 18 | 43% | 10% | 53 | -0.5 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A |
21 | 39 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 46 | .186/.268/.273 | .087 | .271 | 6 | 14 | 31% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .188/.261/.284 | .096 | .328 | 7 | 13 | 41% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .138/.200/.215 | .077 | .281 | 6 | 16 | 50% | 7% | 4 | -1.7 |
|
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A |
22 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 35 | .194/.253/.305 | .111 | .299 | 13 | 14 | 38% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.252/.326 | .126 | .285 | 15 | 18 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.249/.325 | .127 | .276 | 15 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A |
22 | 40→34 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .200/.267/.320 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.277/.341 | .135 | .271 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.284/.354 | .148 | .258 | 17 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A |
22 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 40 | .203/.258/.301 | .098 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.266/.289 | .089 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.256/.260 | .077 | .269 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Kyler Fedko 2022 · A |
22 | 46→42 | 39→45 | 51→55 | 44 | .214/.283/.297 | .083 | .316 | 6 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .207/.288/.315 | .108 | .274 | 10 | 10 | 26% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .192/.284/.327 | .135 | .243 | 17 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A |
23 | 36 | 40→45 | 52→50 | 36 | .183/.218/.281 | .098 | .255 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 4% | 30 | -3.1 | .212/.258/.297 | .085 | .293 | 5 | 9 | 28% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .233/.289/.308 | .075 | .313 | 4 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A |
22 | 36 | 37→45 | 45→50 | 45 | .177/.245/.250 | .073 | .241 | 5 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 34 | -2.8 | .198/.276/.297 | .099 | .276 | 8 | 10 | 29% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .201/.298/.325 | .124 | .262 | 10 | 12 | 25% | 10% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A |
21 | 37→36 | 45→50 | 54→50 | 38 | .192/.253/.319 | .127 | .271 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .204/.262/.355 | .151 | .295 | 18 | 14 | 36% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .197/.258/.362 | .165 | .284 | 22 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Brett Martinez 2006 · A |
22 | 44→41 | 41→40 | 54→50 | 45 | .211/.283/.308 | .098 | .289 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .203/.263/.271 | .068 | .282 | 5 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .197/.253/.247 | .050 | .272 | 5 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 34 | -1.9 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A |
22 | 46 | 44→45 | 55 | 46 | .222/.297/.343 | .121 | .288 | 11 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .226/.283/.335 | .109 | .306 | 10 | 9 | 28% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .220/.277/.325 | .105 | .292 | 10 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 65 | -0.3 |