Fran Alduey — OGILVIE

Fran AldueySS Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 22 S/R 5'7" / 140 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 112 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .253 / .291

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	154	136	36	4	3	3	12	45	5	12	4	265	346	404	751	140	371	29	8	336	114	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	121	111	17	0	1	2	8	28	1	8	1	153	217	225	442	72	183	23	7	205	25	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	158	140	37	19	2	0	15	38	1	21	5	264	340	429	768	164	356	24	9	337	114	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	168	153	30	5	3	0	11	54	2	12	5	196	257	268	525	72	303	32	7	240	49	-10	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2024	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	16	14	6	1	1	0	2	5	0	1	0	429	500	643	1.143	214	667	31	12	495	221	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	154	141	24	2	2	2	7	64	5	12	4	170	235	255	491	85	281	42	5	215	32	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	121	114	14	0	1	2	5	40	1	8	1	123	167	193	360	70	149	33	4	145	-16	-17	+1	—	—	+3	-1.3
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	158	146	25	13	1	0	9	55	1	21	5	171	224	274	498	103	267	35	6	223	37	-12	+2	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	168	158	23	4	2	0	7	78	2	12	5	146	192	196	388	51	277	46	4	171	2	-20	+0	—	—	+4	-1.6
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	16	15	5	1	1	0	1	7	0	1	0	333	375	533	908	200	532	44	6	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	154	141	24	2	2	2	7	64	5	12	4	170	235	255	491	85	289	42	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	—	154	136	36	4	3	3	12	45	5	12	4	265	346	404	751	140	371	29	8	336	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	121	114	14	0	1	2	5	40	1	8	1	123	167	193	360	70	164	33	4	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	121	111	17	0	1	2	8	28	1	8	1	153	217	225	442	72	183	23	7	205	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	158	146	25	13	1	0	9	55	1	21	5	171	224	274	498	103	269	35	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	158	140	37	19	2	0	15	38	1	21	5	264	340	429	768	164	356	24	9	337	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	184	173	26	4	3	0	8	85	2	13	5	150	197	208	405	58	295	46	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	184	167	36	6	4	0	13	59	2	13	5	216	279	299	578	84	333	32	7	262	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	—	154	141	24	2	2	2	7	64	5	12	4	170	235	255	491	85	281	42	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	121	114	14	0	1	2	5	40	1	8	1	123	167	193	360	70	149	33	4	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	158	147	25	13	1	0	9	55	1	21	5	170	224	272	496	102	267	35	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	184	172	26	4	3	0	8	85	2	13	5	151	197	209	406	58	299	46	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	158	147	25	13	1	0	9	55	1	21	5	170	224	272	496	102	267	35	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	184	172	26	4	3	0	8	85	2	13	5	151	197	209	406	58	299	46	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		285	33	11	248	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	157	144	30	6	1	3	11	49	1	4	1	208	269	326	596	118	287	31	7	262	63	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	46%	276	252	53	11	2	5	19	84	3	6	1	210	274	329	603	119	289	30	7	271	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	353	322	70	14	3	8	25	106	3	8	2	217	280	354	634	137	289	30	7	277	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	402	366	78	15	3	9	29	120	4	9	2	213	278	344	622	131	289	30	7	280	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	428	390	83	16	3	10	31	128	4	10	2	213	278	346	624	133	289	30	7	280	76	-12	+1	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	440	401	86	17	3	10	32	132	4	10	2	214	279	347	626	132	289	30	7	279	75	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	440	401	85	17	3	10	32	133	4	9	2	212	277	344	621	132	288	30	7	277	74	-14	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	436	397	83	16	3	9	32	133	4	8	2	209	275	332	607	123	287	31	7	275	72	-14	+1	-2	+5	+9	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	286	31	7	253	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	46%	127	116	24	5	1	2	9	39	1	3	1	207	270	319	589	112	287	31	7	262	69	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	182	165	35	7	1	4	13	55	2	4	1	212	278	339	617	127	288	30	7	268	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	218	199	42	8	1	5	15	65	2	5	1	211	273	337	610	126	288	30	7	271	75	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	232	211	45	9	1	5	17	69	2	5	1	213	278	336	615	123	288	30	7	271	76	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	239	218	45	9	1	5	17	72	2	5	1	206	270	326	596	119	287	30	7	270	75	-7	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	234	213	45	9	1	5	17	71	2	5	1	211	276	333	609	122	287	30	7	269	74	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	229	208	44	9	1	5	17	70	2	4	1	212	278	337	614	125	286	31	7	266	72	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1515	1379	290	58	7	32	109	458	14	32	7	210	275	332	607	122	288	30	7	268	63	-48	+4	-2	+16	+33	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	125	25	3	14	47	197	6	14	3	211	276	334	611	123	289	30	7	268	63	-21	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3558	3255	658	131	28	68	241	1132	36	118	29	202	265	322	587	120	285	32	7	262	63	-94	+7	-4	+32	+64	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	120	24	5	12	44	207	7	22	5	202	265	319	584	118	285	32	7	262	63	-21	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,627	34	35	212	273	338	+17	+15	1.3	1.3
/162	664	14	14	+7.1	+6.1	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fran Alduey (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	194/253/291	96	285	1	3	33%	6%	54	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Peyton Wilson 2022 · A	22	43→53	41→45	53→55	41	204/280/311	106	303	7	14	32%	7%	69	-0.9	221/287/342	121	299	11	18	28%	7%	78	-0.3	217/286/336	119	286	11	19	27%	7%	74	-0.5
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	40	47→60	36	184/239/270	86	284	8	13	36%	6%	44	-2.8	212/279/303	91	297	8	18	29%	7%	66	-1.1	236/299/323	88	323	7	32	27%	7%	75	-0.4
✕BJ Murray 2022 · A	22	45→49	42→45	52→50	39	215/264/323	107	311	9	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	220/302/339	119	304	11	10	29%	10%	84	+0.1	206/292/336	129	262	15	14	26%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Joseph Rosa 2019 · A	22	40→44	37→40	45→50	41	192/249/259	67	277	6	14	32%	6%	45	-2.7	206/271/295	89	295	7	11	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/280/300	95	298	7	14	31%	8%	64	-0.8
✕Karexon Sanchez 2010 · A	22	42→47	43→45	49→50	40	204/269/317	112	296	10	12	33%	7%	66	-1.1	214/285/321	107	303	10	12	30%	8%	74	-0.6	215/284/316	101	292	11	15	28%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Hutton Moyer 2016 · A	23	39→42	42→50	50	36	194/252/305	111	271	9	7	31%	4%	57	-1.8	205/254/332	127	302	13	13	35%	5%	64	-1.3	196/243/329	133	288	15	15	36%	4%	57	-0.8
✕Reed Trimble 2022 · A	22	43	37→50	51→65	41	200/266/271	71	309	5	10	34%	8%	54	-2.0	217/280/311	94	307	7	17	29%	8%	68	-1.0	207/277/376	169	263	19	31	28%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jose Sermo 2014 · A	23	41→36	41→55	48→50	35	201/242/299	98	296	8	11	34%	5%	51	-2.3	207/254/318	111	326	11	10	38%	6%	60	-1.6	189/231/329	140	324	16	10	45%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Riley Unroe 2018 · AA	22	40→48	37→45	47→55	44	191/259/260	69	276	4	12	31%	8%	49	-2.4	210/275/295	85	294	7	12	29%	8%	63	-1.4	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	55	-2.0	209/270/324	115	297	9	5	31%	7%	68	-1.0	202/267/332	130	282	11	2	30%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	40→46	41→50	52→50	36	194/244/288	94	292	8	9	35%	5%	49	-2.4	199/249/307	108	281	11	12	32%	6%	56	-1.9	213/273/363	150	289	18	14	32%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2018 · A	21	40→43	41→45	54→50	38	196/250/295	99	290	8	15	34%	6%	53	-2.1	202/265/306	104	313	9	14	36%	8%	61	-1.5	196/266/304	108	307	10	14	37%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Raymel Flores 2017 · A	22	41	37→45	46→50	37	197/248/270	72	300	5	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	188/240/252	64	289	3	11	34%	5%	39	-3.1	159/210/201	42	247	0	13	33%	5%	13	-1.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	36→46	40	50	42	182/238/271	89	250	7	11	30%	6%	43	-2.8	225/293/312	87	303	7	9	26%	8%	74	-0.6	234/307/314	80	309	6	8	24%	9%	77	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/231/293	99	262	8	10	29%	4%	45	-2.7	197/236/286	89	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jose R. Flores 2010 · A	22	41→50	39→40	51→45	44	198/255/282	85	264	7	9	27%	7%	53	-2.1	242/287/330	88	290	7	8	18%	6%	74	-0.5	240/287/320	79	288	5	7	18%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Skye Bolt 2017 · A	23	40→41	40→50	47→50	41	194/255/287	93	273	7	9	30%	6%	54	-2.0	201/262/330	129	290	12	10	33%	7%	66	-1.1	238/305/370	133	314	14	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps