Fran Alduey — OGILVIE

Fran AldueySS Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 22 S/R 5'7" / 140 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 112 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .252 / .290

PA112

HR1

K%33

BB%6

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	154	141	24	2	2	2	7	64	5	12	4	170	235	255	491	85	289	42	5	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	154	136	36	4	3	3	12	45	5	12	4	265	346	404	751	140	371	29	8	336	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	121	114	14	0	1	2	5	39	1	8	1	123	167	193	360	70	162	32	4	150	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	121	111	17	0	1	2	8	28	1	8	1	153	217	225	442	72	183	23	7	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	158	146	26	13	2	0	9	54	1	21	5	178	231	295	525	116	277	34	6	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	158	140	37	19	2	0	15	38	1	21	5	264	340	429	768	164	356	24	9	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	184	173	25	4	3	0	8	86	2	13	5	145	191	202	394	58	287	47	4	181	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	2 teams	—	184	167	36	6	4	0	13	59	2	13	5	216	279	299	578	84	333	32	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	CLE	—	112	103	20	4	1	1	7	37	1	3	1	194	252	282	534	87	285	33	6	248	48	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	157	145	29	6	1	3	10	50	1	4	1	200	256	317	574	117	287	32	6	261	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	276	252	53	11	2	5	19	85	3	6	1	210	274	329	603	119	289	31	7	270	65	-11	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	353	322	70	14	3	8	25	108	3	8	2	217	280	354	634	137	290	31	7	276	69	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	402	367	78	15	3	9	28	122	4	9	2	213	276	343	619	131	290	30	7	279	72	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	428	390	83	16	3	10	31	130	4	10	2	213	278	346	624	133	290	30	7	279	72	-14	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.4
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	440	401	85	17	3	10	32	134	4	10	2	212	277	344	621	132	289	30	7	278	71	-14	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.3
2027	23	MLB	CLE	34%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	288	31	7	254	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	CLE	46%	127	116	24	5	1	2	9	39	1	3	1	207	270	319	589	112	289	31	7	263	60	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	CLE	52%	182	165	35	7	1	4	13	55	2	4	1	212	278	339	617	127	290	30	7	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2030	26	MLB	CLE	54%	218	199	43	8	2	5	15	66	2	5	1	216	278	352	630	136	290	30	7	272	66	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2031	27	MLB	CLE	54%	232	211	45	9	2	5	17	70	2	5	1	213	278	346	624	133	290	30	7	272	66	-9	+1	+0	+2	+7	0.1
2032	28	MLB	CLE	54%	239	218	46	9	2	5	17	73	2	5	1	211	274	339	614	128	290	31	7	271	66	-9	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1052	958	203	40	8	22	75	320	10	23	5	212	276	339	615	127	291	30	7	269	64	-42	+3	-0	+11	+30	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	126	25	5	14	46	198	6	14	3	213	276	343	619	130	292	30	7	269	64	-26	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2785	2554	507	102	24	50	181	909	29	104	26	199	259	316	575	117	284	33	6	257	55	-142	+10	-1	+30	+79	-2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	119	24	6	12	42	212	7	24	6	200	260	320	581	121	285	33	6	257	55	-33	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Indians Red	—	154	136	36	4	3	3	12	45	5	12	4	265	346	404	751	140	371	29	8	336	116	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	121	111	17	0	1	2	8	28	1	8	1	153	217	225	442	72	183	23	7	205	15	-12	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	158	140	37	19	2	0	15	38	1	21	5	264	340	429	768	164	356	24	9	337	116	+3	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2024	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	168	153	30	5	3	0	11	54	2	12	5	196	257	268	525	72	303	32	7	240	42	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2024	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	16	14	6	1	1	0	2	5	0	1	0	429	500	643	1.143	214	667	31	12	495	237	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,164	24	26	211	272	338	+12	+12	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	14	15	211	272	338	+7.1	+6.8	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fran Alduey (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	193/252/290	97	285	1	3	33%	6%	48	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Peyton Wilson 2022 · A	22	43→49	41→45	53→55	41	204/279/311	107	305	7	14	33%	7%	65	-0.7	217/281/341	124	293	12	18	29%	7%	73	-0.1	210/277/337	127	275	13	19	28%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2015 · A	22	39→49	37→45	51→45	38	192/239/261	70	279	5	9	32%	6%	33	-2.9	225/281/310	85	293	4	7	23%	7%	63	-0.8	230/290/321	91	297	5	5	23%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Hutton Moyer 2016 · A	23	39→43	42→55	50	36	194/252/305	111	271	9	7	31%	4%	51	-1.7	207/256/343	136	305	15	13	36%	5%	63	-0.8	199/246/342	143	292	17	15	37%	4%	55	-0.6
✕Karexon Sanchez 2010 · A	22	42→48	43→45	49→50	40	204/269/317	112	296	10	12	33%	7%	62	-0.9	217/290/329	112	308	10	12	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/301/333	110	309	10	11	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	39→40	47→60	37	183/237/265	83	279	7	13	36%	6%	34	-2.8	212/279/307	95	299	8	18	30%	7%	63	-0.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Joseph Rosa 2019 · A	22	40→44	37→40	45→50	40	193/250/260	67	280	6	14	32%	6%	38	-2.6	205/268/295	90	293	7	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	203/276/296	94	296	7	14	31%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	49	-1.8	209/271/322	113	297	9	5	31%	8%	63	-0.8	201/268/328	127	281	10	2	30%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/232/296	103	263	8	10	30%	4%	40	-2.4	194/233/281	87	280	5	9	31%	5%	36	-2.7	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2018 · A	21	41→45	41→45	54→50	38	197/249/295	98	294	7	15	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/262/301	104	314	9	14	37%	8%	54	-1.4	188/260/297	109	305	11	14	39%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Reed Trimble 2022 · A	22	43	37→55	51→65	41	201/266/272	71	308	5	10	34%	8%	48	-1.9	220/284/313	93	309	7	17	29%	8%	66	-0.6	221/288/361	139	289	14	29	27%	8%	80	+0.1
✕Frainyer Chavez 2021 · A	22	43→47	36→40	50	45	203/261/265	62	273	3	15	26%	7%	43	-2.2	204/274/269	65	289	4	11	28%	8%	51	-1.7	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	40→45	41→50	52→50	36	194/244/288	94	292	8	9	35%	5%	43	-2.2	197/248/299	102	283	10	12	32%	6%	47	-1.9	215/275/371	156	290	20	14	32%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Raymel Flores 2017 · A	22	42	37→45	46→50	38	200/251/273	73	301	5	10	34%	6%	41	-2.3	190/241/254	64	290	3	11	33%	5%	33	-2.9	160/211/201	41	247	0	13	33%	5%	2	-1.3
✕Robert Moore 2023 · A	21	42→40	41→45	50	42	203/268/305	102	288	9	13	31%	7%	58	-1.2	192/255/288	96	258	8	15	27%	6%	48	-1.9	192/256/302	110	236	11	15	24%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
●BJ Murray 2022 · A	22	45→44	42→50	52→50	39	215/264/323	108	313	9	8	33%	6%	60	-1.0	221/302/344	123	307	12	10	29%	10%	83	+0.6	218/305/368	150	275	18	15	26%	10%	88	+0.6
✕Jose R. Flores 2010 · A	22	41→51	39→40	51→45	44	198/255/282	85	264	7	9	27%	7%	46	-2.0	243/289/332	89	292	7	8	18%	6%	72	-0.2	242/290/323	81	290	5	7	18%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Eduardo Diaz 2019 · A	22	42→44	41→50	53→50	35	207/249/308	101	292	8	12	31%	4%	50	-1.7	210/254/333	123	287	13	11	30%	4%	59	-1.1	201/245/332	131	273	14	13	31%	4%	52	-1.2