Pedro Pineda
CF Lansing Lugnuts| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A/ROKOAK | 175 | .176/.267/.275 | 1 | 4 | 0 | — | .126/.187/.203 |
| 2025 | 21 | A+/A/ROKOAK | 356 | .251/.342/.418 | 11 | 5 | 50 | — | .188/.254/.302 |
| 2026 | 22 | AA/A+OAK | 337 | .253/.322/.378 | 7 | 17 | 51 | — | .206/.263/.299 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 23 | MLBOAK | 1 | .193/.249/.289 | 0 | 0 | 48 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 24 | MLBOAK | 90 | .200/.257/.310 | 2 | 2 | 56 | -0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 25 | MLBOAK | 154 | .204/.263/.324 | 3 | 3 | 61 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 117 | 97 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 368 | 361 | 728 | 124 | 400 | 35 | 15 | 336 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 171 | 144 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 77 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 146 | 359 | 45 | 10 | 293 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 256 | 223 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 224 | 311 | 300 | 611 | 76 | 350 | 33 | 9 | 279 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 88 | 82 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 122 | 182 | 183 | 365 | 61 | 196 | 35 | 7 | 171 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 87 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 357 | 380 | 737 | 141 | 356 | 31 | 14 | 325 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 111 | 102 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 309 | 353 | 662 | 98 | 385 | 33 | 7 | 296 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 222 | 190 | 48 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 65 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 357 | 458 | 815 | 205 | 328 | 29 | 12 | 362 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 23 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 348 | 368 | 716 | 158 | 267 | 17 | 17 | 326 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 31 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 333 | 259 | 593 | 389 | 29 | 3 | 274 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 306 | 277 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 95 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 253 | 321 | 390 | 711 | 137 | 358 | 31 | 8 | 319 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 117 | 104 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 154 | 248 | 240 | 488 | 87 | 318 | 50 | 9 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 171 | 149 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 100 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 134 | 237 | 235 | 472 | 101 | 341 | 58 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 256 | 230 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 116 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 187 | 255 | 252 | 507 | 65 | 346 | 45 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 88 | 84 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 95 | 136 | 143 | 279 | 48 | 186 | 48 | 5 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 87 | 76 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 158 | 238 | 263 | 501 | 105 | 250 | 45 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 111 | 105 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 181 | 218 | 248 | 466 | 67 | 322 | 44 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 222 | 199 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 87 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 191 | 271 | 327 | 598 | 136 | 289 | 39 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 23 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 261 | 333 | 594 | 143 | 196 | 26 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 31 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 222 | 522 | 367 | 35 | 3 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 306 | 284 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 121 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 204 | 259 | 306 | 565 | 102 | 322 | 40 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 117 | 104 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 154 | 248 | 240 | 488 | 87 | 341 | 50 | 9 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | — | 117 | 97 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 237 | 368 | 361 | 728 | 124 | 400 | 35 | 15 | 336 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 171 | 149 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 100 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 134 | 237 | 235 | 472 | 101 | 362 | 58 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 171 | 144 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 77 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 146 | 359 | 45 | 10 | 293 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 256 | 230 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 116 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 187 | 255 | 252 | 507 | 65 | 363 | 45 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 256 | 223 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 85 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 224 | 311 | 300 | 611 | 76 | 350 | 33 | 9 | 279 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 175 | 159 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 81 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 126 | 192 | 201 | 393 | 75 | 241 | 46 | 7 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 175 | 153 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 58 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 176 | 267 | 275 | 542 | 98 | 271 | 33 | 10 | 248 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 356 | 324 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 142 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 182 | 251 | 284 | 535 | 102 | 294 | 40 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 356 | 311 | 78 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 106 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 251 | 342 | 418 | 760 | 167 | 342 | 30 | 11 | 339 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 311 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 132 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 206 | 263 | 299 | 562 | 93 | 337 | 39 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 337 | 304 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 104 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 253 | 322 | 378 | 701 | 125 | 361 | 31 | 7 | 315 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 117 | 103 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 155 | 248 | 243 | 491 | 87 | 318 | 50 | 9 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 171 | 149 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 100 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 134 | 237 | 235 | 472 | 101 | 341 | 58 | 7 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 256 | 233 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 116 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 185 | 255 | 249 | 504 | 64 | 346 | 45 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 175 | 160 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 81 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 125 | 192 | 200 | 392 | 75 | 218 | 46 | 7 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 356 | 323 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 142 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 183 | 251 | 285 | 536 | 102 | 293 | 40 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 310 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 132 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 206 | 263 | 300 | 563 | 94 | 326 | 39 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 175 | 160 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 81 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 125 | 192 | 200 | 392 | 75 | 218 | 46 | 7 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 356 | 323 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 142 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 183 | 251 | 285 | 536 | 102 | 293 | 40 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 310 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 132 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 206 | 263 | 300 | 563 | 94 | 326 | 39 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | OAK | 0% | 447 | 413 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 158 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 188 | 245 | 281 | 525 | 93 | 280 | 35 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -28 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | OAK | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 249 | 289 | 538 | 96 | 289 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 48 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | OAK | 30% | 298 | 275 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 102 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 195 | 253 | 302 | 555 | 107 | 282 | 34 | 6 | 250 | 56 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 44% | 349 | 320 | 64 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 118 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 199 | 258 | 316 | 575 | 117 | 283 | 34 | 6 | 259 | 61 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 51% | 376 | 345 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 125 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 202 | 263 | 325 | 588 | 123 | 284 | 33 | 6 | 264 | 65 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | OAK | 30% | 90 | 84 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 257 | 310 | 567 | 110 | 291 | 34 | 6 | 255 | 56 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 44% | 154 | 141 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 204 | 263 | 324 | 587 | 120 | 292 | 34 | 6 | 264 | 61 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 51% | 191 | 175 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 207 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 126 | 292 | 33 | 6 | 269 | 65 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 435 | 400 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 146 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 203 | 262 | 320 | 582 | 117 | 291 | 34 | 6 | 264 | 47 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +9 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 120 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 218 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 201 | 259 | 314 | 573 | 114 | 289 | 34 | 6 | 264 | 47 | -30 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2645 | 2411 | 446 | 66 | 20 | 45 | 172 | 1049 | 38 | 81 | 27 | 185 | 250 | 285 | 535 | 100 | 302 | 40 | 7 | 238 | 47 | -61 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +27 | -2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 109 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 258 | 9 | 20 | 7 | 184 | 248 | 284 | 532 | 100 | 301 | 40 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -32 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 306 PAwOBA .312 → .244 (−67)K% 31.0% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 39.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 24.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.016 | ×0.998 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .312 → .244; ISO .137 → .101; BABIP .358 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 31 PAwOBA .268 → .240 (−27)K% 29.0% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.45% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 5.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 36.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .268 → .240; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .389 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AStockton Ports · 222 PAwOBA .354 → .261 (−93)K% 29.3% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.28% | ÷1.011 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.80% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | — | 22.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | — | 3.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | — | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.113 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.75% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 102, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .354 → .261; ISO .205 → .138; BABIP .328 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 111 PAwOBA .291 → .210 (−81)K% 33.3% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.969 | ×1.270 | — | — | 43.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.21% | ÷1.048 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.078 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 26.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.199 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 3.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 2.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .291 → .210; ISO .098 → .066; BABIP .385 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Athletics · 23 PAwOBA .319 → .216 (−103)K% 17.4% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.971 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 10.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.039 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 10.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.020 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 104, 3B 98, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .319 → .216; ISO .158 → .108; BABIP .267 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AStockton Ports · 88 PAwOBA .167 → .127 (−40)K% 35.2% → 47.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.23% | ÷1.015 | ×1.360 | — | — | 47.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 11.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 5.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×1.015 | 2.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.164 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .167 → .127; ISO .061 → .048; BABIP .196 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Athletics · 87 PAwOBA .325 → .210 (−115)K% 31.0% → 44.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.03% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 44.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.79% | ÷0.986 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 8.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.027 | ×0.820 | ×0.961 | ×0.985 | 17.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷1.124 | ×0.720 | ×0.961 | ×0.985 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.907 | ×0.720 | ×0.961 | ×0.985 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.852 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 2.05% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 125, 3B 81, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .325 → .210; ISO .141 → .093; BABIP .356 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AStockton Ports · 256 PAwOBA .273 → .222 (−52)K% 33.2% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.20% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.26% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.042 | ×1.030 | 28.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×1.030 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.945 | ×0.910 | ×1.042 | ×1.030 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷0.945 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.26% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .273 → .222; ISO .076 → .060; BABIP .350 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).