Pedro Pineda — OGILVIE

Pedro PinedaCF Lansing Lugnuts

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 170 lbs A+ HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.1 · 2030

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .244 / .282

PA320

HR6

SB5

K%41

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

50→50

SPD

40→40

EYE

46↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$-6M	-$9M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Athletics	117	104	15	2	2	1	11	59	2	6	5	.144	.239	.231	.470	.087	.318	50	9	.206	16	-11	-1	+0	+0	+3	-0.8
2022	18	A	Stockton Ports	171	149	20	2	2	3	12	100	8	5	1	.134	.237	.235	.472	.101	.362	58	7	.205	15	-16	+1	+0	+1	+5	-1.1
2023	19	A	Stockton Ports	256	230	41	5	1	2	17	114	4	19	5	.178	.247	.235	.482	.057	.339	45	7	.217	24	-22	+2	+0	+1	+7	-1.2
2024	20	A	2 teams	175	159	19	5	1	1	12	80	1	4	3	.119	.186	.182	.368	.063	.225	46	7	.168	-13	-22	-0	+0	+1	+5	-1.8
2025	21	A	3 teams	356	323	59	6	3	8	27	141	4	5	2	.183	.254	.294	.548	.111	.290	40	8	.245	46	-22	+0	+0	+1	+10	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	26	25	3	2	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	.120	.154	.200	.354	.080	.300	58	4	.154	-24	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	OAK	294	267	48	7	2	6	22	120	3	5	2	.180	.250	.288	.538	.109	.289	41	7	.241	43	-19	+0	+0	+1	+8	-1.0
TOT	22	MLB	OAK	320	292	51	9	2	6	23	135	3	5	2	.175	.242	.281	.523	.106	.296	42	7	.234	37	-23	+0	+0	+1	+9	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	OAK	392	355	66	10	2	9	30	151	4	6	2	.186	.257	.301	.558	.115	.291	39	8	.258	56	-20	+0	+0	+1	+11	-0.7
2028	24	MLB 26%	OAK	452	408	80	12	3	12	37	167	4	7	2	.196	.269	.328	.598	.132	.292	37	8	.269	64	-18	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.3
2029	25	MLB 44%	OAK	484	436	88	14	3	14	40	175	5	7	2	.202	.277	.344	.621	.142	.293	36	8	.276	69	-17	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.1
2030	26	MLB 59%	OAK	503	450	90	14	3	14	43	180	5	7	2	.200	.277	.338	.615	.138	.294	36	9	.280	72	-16	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.1
2031	27	MLB 76%	OAK	510	456	93	15	3	15	44	183	5	7	2	.204	.281	.349	.630	.145	.294	36	9	.280	72	-16	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.1
2032	28	MLB 84%	OAK	509	455	91	14	3	14	44	183	5	6	2	.200	.278	.336	.614	.136	.293	36	9	.278	71	-17	+0	-1	+2	+14	-0.1
2033	29	MLB 90%	OAK	502	448	89	14	3	14	44	182	5	6	1	.199	.278	.337	.615	.138	.293	36	9	.276	70	-17	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.2
2034	30	MLB	OAK	494	443	88	14	3	14	43	181	5	5	1	.199	.277	.339	.616	.140	.291	37	9	.273	67	-18	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.4
2035	31	MLB	OAK	481	432	84	13	3	13	42	178	4	3	0	.194	.272	.329	.601	.134	.289	37	9	.269	64	-19	+1	-3	+2	+14	-0.6
2036	32	MLB	OAK	463	416	78	12	2	12	40	174	4	2	0	.188	.265	.312	.578	.125	.287	38	9	.265	61	-20	+0	-4	+2	+13	-0.9
2037	33	MLB	OAK	434	389	73	11	2	11	38	166	4	2	0	.188	.267	.311	.578	.123	.286	38	9	.259	57	-21	+0	-4	+2	+12	-1.1
2038	34	MLB	OAK	388	349	63	9	2	9	33	152	3	2	0	.181	.257	.295	.552	.115	.284	39	9	.253	52	-21	+0	-5	+1	+11	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6981	6269	1185	179	43	172	579	2686	75	104	32	.189	.266	.314	.579	.125	.294	38	8	.261	58	-333	+8	-20	+25	+198	-12.4
/ 162G	—			650	584	111	17	4	16	54	250	7	10	3	.190	.267	.315	.582	.125	.296	38	8	.261	58	-31	+1	-2	+2	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Athletics	117	97	23	3	3	1	18	41	2	6	5	.237	.368	.361	.728	.124	.400	35	15	.336	115	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	18	A	Stockton Ports	171	144	27	3	3	4	17	77	8	5	1	.188	.308	.333	.641	.146	.359	45	10	.293	83	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	19	A	Stockton Ports	256	223	50	7	2	2	24	85	4	19	5	.224	.311	.300	.611	.076	.350	33	9	.279	72	-8	+2	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	20	A	Stockton Ports	88	82	10	3	1	0	6	31	0	2	2	.122	.182	.183	.365	.061	.196	35	7	.171	-11	-11	-0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	87	71	17	5	1	1	12	27	1	2	1	.239	.357	.380	.737	.141	.356	31	14	.325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	21	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	111	102	26	3	2	1	8	37	0	3	1	.255	.309	.353	.662	.098	.385	33	7	.296	85	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	21	A	Stockton Ports	222	190	48	5	2	10	27	65	4	2	1	.253	.357	.458	.815	.205	.328	29	12	.362	135	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2025	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	23	19	4	1	1	0	4	4	0	0	0	.211	.348	.368	.716	.158	.267	17	17	.326	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pedro Pineda (OGILVIE)	22	35	50	40	45	.176/.244/.282	.106	.289	6	5	41%	7%	43	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	38	43→50	43→30	44	.184/.274/.291	.106	.280	10	3	35%	9%	59	-1.1	.196/.279/.333	.137	.278	16	2	33%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.273/.343	.151	.263	18	1	33%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Yusuf Carter 2007 · A	22	37→34	46→50	45→50	35	.194/.240/.317	.122	.287	15	6	37%	5%	49	-1.8	.202/.239/.339	.137	.300	16	10	37%	5%	54	-1.4	.219/.264/.370	.151	.296	19	10	32%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→50	45→50	40	.197/.265/.313	.116	.295	12	8	36%	7%	59	-1.1	.197/.279/.317	.120	.298	13	10	35%	9%	67	-0.5	.181/.276/.317	.136	.268	16	9	36%	10%	63	-0.5
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	35	46→50	45→40	40	.185/.251/.313	.128	.265	15	5	35%	7%	53	-1.5	.209/.268/.329	.120	.279	13	4	28%	7%	65	-0.7	.211/.271/.321	.110	.275	12	2	27%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A	22	34→44	41→50	46→45	31	.166/.221/.255	.090	.306	9	7	47%	6%	25	-3.5	.209/.265/.350	.141	.325	17	6	39%	6%	69	-0.4	.211/.266/.351	.140	.319	17	5	38%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Chuckie Jones 2014 · A	22	37→40	43→45	44→50	35	.183/.239/.290	.106	.297	11	8	40%	6%	42	-2.3	.202/.255/.322	.120	.297	14	9	35%	6%	57	-1.2	.199/.253/.321	.122	.279	15	10	33%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A	23	35	43→50	43→30	38	.178/.239/.287	.110	.282	10	6	39%	7%	41	-2.3	.197/.269/.330	.133	.320	12	4	39%	8%	66	-0.6	.192/.271/.336	.144	.315	14	1	40%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Payton Henry 2019 · A	22	41→31	42→45	41→30	38	.192/.261/.298	.106	.318	10	3	40%	7%	54	-1.4	.192/.255/.296	.104	.317	11	3	41%	5%	50	-1.7	.246/.293/.382	.135	.322	19	1	29%	4%	83	+0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→55	45→50	45	.183/.265/.303	.120	.269	11	7	35%	9%	57	-1.2	.201/.280/.365	.164	.291	19	9	35%	9%	80	+0.4	.191/.263/.361	.170	.260	21	12	35%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	41→50	41	.168/.252/.259	.091	.262	9	8	37%	8%	41	-2.3	.197/.275/.307	.110	.307	11	5	36%	9%	63	-0.9	.204/.303/.338	.134	.292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Moisés Gómez 2021 · A	22	39→42	48→60	44→45	35	.195/.248/.336	.141	.308	15	4	40%	6%	58	-1.2	.186/.243/.350	.164	.309	22	8	45%	6%	60	-1.0	.191/.245/.379	.188	.277	28	6	41%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Brendon Davis 2019 · A	22	41→44	40→50	43→50	38	.197/.254/.286	.089	.301	7	5	35%	6%	46	-2.0	.195/.257/.298	.103	.294	10	6	35%	7%	52	-1.6	.195/.267/.364	.169	.250	21	9	31%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Jhailyn Ortiz 2021 · A	22	31→35	46→50	42→45	32	.167/.225/.287	.120	.280	15	4	44%	6%	36	-2.7	.192/.258/.337	.145	.299	19	6	40%	6%	63	-0.8	.184/.253/.325	.140	.284	19	5	40%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	44→65	37	.193/.250/.274	.080	.298	7	7	36%	6%	42	-2.3	.205/.278/.298	.093	.301	7	29	32%	7%	61	-1.0	.200/.277/.293	.093	.287	7	42	30%	7%	55	-0.6
✕Eudy Ramos 2018 · A	22	39→33	43→55	41→40	30	.195/.231/.298	.104	.314	11	4	41%	4%	40	-2.4	.195/.235/.299	.104	.300	11	4	37%	4%	42	-2.3	.176/.214/.280	.104	.268	12	1	38%	4%	24	-2.4
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	37	44→50	41→40	40	.184/.249/.302	.119	.288	11	3	38%	8%	50	-1.8	.193/.252/.290	.097	.268	8	4	29%	7%	47	-1.9	.224/.284/.351	.127	.286	14	0	26%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	36→42	48→55	46→50	34	.192/.230/.332	.140	.264	16	6	34%	4%	49	-1.8	.213/.267/.378	.165	.281	21	8	31%	6%	77	+0.1	.207/.276/.361	.154	.269	19	11	30%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Julio Perez 2008 · A	22	40→42	43→50	44→50	34	.198/.246/.304	.106	.300	11	6	37%	5%	48	-1.9	.211/.246/.337	.126	.287	14	11	31%	4%	56	-1.3	.211/.244/.344	.134	.274	15	13	29%	3%	56	-0.8
✕Julian Leon 2018 · A	22	39	43→45	42→30	35	.191/.246/.294	.103	.304	11	3	39%	6%	46	-2.0	.187/.277/.312	.125	.299	14	3	39%	9%	66	-0.6	.145/.258/.266	.121	.231	16	0	41%	11%	46	-0.9
✕Jack Herman 2022 · A	22	37	48→50	43→45	34	.192/.241/.332	.140	.300	17	6	41%	6%	53	-1.5	.191/.238/.291	.100	.315	11	7	40%	6%	41	-2.3	.171/.217/.226	.055	.262	8	3	37%	5%	11	-1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)