Brayan Hernández

Brayan HernándezC Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 225 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .259 / .315

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	—	103	93	21	5	0	3	8	34	2	1	1	226	301	376	677	151	321	33	8	306	93	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	121	113	20	4	0	3	6	45	2	0	0	177	231	292	523	115	262	37	5	238	47	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	20	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	45	39	9	4	0	2	5	13	1	0	0	231	333	487	821	256	292	29	11	361	130	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	134	118	23	6	2	6	12	41	3	0	0	195	284	432	716	237	239	31	9	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	77	70	8	2	0	0	5	27	1	1	0	114	184	143	327	29	186	35	6	159	-6	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	—	103	96	14	3	0	2	5	49	2	1	1	146	204	240	443	94	266	48	5	197	19	-10	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2022	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	121	115	16	3	0	2	4	60	2	0	0	139	182	217	399	78	259	50	3	174	4	-14	+0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	45	41	6	3	0	1	3	19	1	0	0	146	222	293	515	146	226	42	7	230	42	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	134	124	17	4	1	5	7	58	3	0	0	137	201	306	508	169	198	43	5	217	33	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	77	72	6	1	0	0	3	37	1	1	0	83	132	97	229	14	173	48	4	113	-37	-13	+0	—	—	+2	-1.1
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	—	103	96	14	3	0	2	5	49	2	1	1	146	204	240	443	94	267	48	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles Black	—	103	93	21	5	0	3	8	34	2	1	1	226	301	376	677	151	321	33	8	306	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	166	156	21	5	0	3	7	79	3	0	0	135	187	224	411	90	243	48	4	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	166	152	29	8	0	5	11	58	3	0	0	191	259	342	601	151	270	35	7	271	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	134	124	17	4	1	5	7	58	3	0	0	137	201	306	508	169	197	43	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	134	118	23	6	2	6	12	41	3	0	0	195	284	432	716	237	239	31	9	314	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	77	72	6	1	0	0	3	37	1	1	0	83	132	97	229	14	171	48	4	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	77	70	8	2	0	0	5	27	1	1	0	114	184	143	327	29	186	35	6	159	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Black	—	103	95	14	3	0	2	5	49	2	1	1	147	204	242	446	95	266	48	5	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	166	155	21	5	0	3	7	79	3	0	0	135	187	226	413	90	250	48	4	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	134	123	17	4	1	5	7	58	3	0	0	138	201	309	510	171	198	43	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	77	73	6	1	0	0	3	37	1	1	0	82	132	96	227	14	173	48	4	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	134	123	17	4	1	5	7	58	3	0	0	138	201	309	510	171	198	43	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	77	73	6	1	0	0	3	37	1	1	0	82	132	96	227	14	173	48	4	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		285	33	0	260	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	131	120	25	5	1	3	9	41	1	2	1	208	269	342	611	133	286	31	7	269	68	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	235	214	45	8	2	5	16	72	3	3	1	210	275	336	611	126	286	31	7	274	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	299	273	58	11	2	7	21	91	3	4	1	212	276	344	620	132	286	30	7	277	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	340	309	65	12	2	8	24	103	4	5	1	210	276	340	616	129	286	30	7	277	74	-11	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	359	326	68	13	2	8	26	110	4	4	1	209	275	334	610	126	285	31	7	275	72	-12	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	370	336	69	13	2	8	27	114	4	4	1	205	272	327	600	122	284	31	7	272	70	-13	+0	-2	+7	+8	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	290	31	8	265	68	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	104	95	21	4	1	3	7	32	1	1	0	221	282	379	661	158	291	31	7	271	72	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	146	133	29	5	1	4	10	44	2	2	1	218	283	361	644	143	291	30	7	273	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	175	159	33	6	1	4	12	53	2	2	1	208	272	333	605	126	290	30	7	273	74	-5	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	185	168	36	7	1	4	13	57	2	2	1	214	279	339	618	125	289	31	7	272	72	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	190	172	36	7	1	4	14	59	2	2	1	209	277	331	608	122	288	31	7	269	70	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	839	763	162	30	5	20	59	257	9	10	4	212	277	343	620	131	289	31	7	271	59	-28	+0	-2	+15	+18	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	125	23	4	15	46	199	7	8	3	212	276	340	616	129	289	31	7	271	59	-22	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2220	2032	389	75	12	49	145	756	28	24	7	191	255	312	567	121	275	34	7	256	59	-58	+2	-4	+31	+38	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	114	22	4	14	42	221	8	7	2	192	254	313	567	121	275	34	6	256	59	-22	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.4	916	21	12	210	271	338	+16	+16	1.1	1.1
/162	664	15	9	+11.9	+11.6	0.8	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Hernández (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	199/259/315	116	285	1	1	33%	6%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕LJ Talley 2021 · A	24	38→46	43→45	50	42	195/250/305	110	253	12	6	28%	6%	56	-1.9	217/275/327	110	276	11	9	24%	7%	70	-0.8	213/276/318	105	268	11	10	24%	7%	66	-0.7
●Ryan Schimpf 2012 · A	24	37→41	46→60	51→45	40	191/261/329	138	276	13	8	34%	7%	67	-1.1	196/273/362	166	261	19	5	31%	8%	79	-0.2	202/284/418	216	238	27	2	28%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→38	42→50	51→45	40	204/259/318	114	293	9	7	32%	6%	62	-1.4	196/263/336	140	295	16	6	37%	8%	69	-0.9	185/255/332	147	273	18	5	38%	8%	61	-1.0
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/263/305	106	283	9	12	32%	6%	61	-1.5	183/253/275	92	279	7	13	35%	7%	51	-2.2	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	35→45	43→55	52→40	41	182/244/292	111	252	10	7	31%	7%	51	-2.2	214/284/360	146	291	16	3	30%	8%	82	-0.0	228/294/410	182	286	22	1	28%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Jake Ring 2019 · A	24	41→44	42→45	49→50	41	200/258/306	106	289	9	10	33%	7%	59	-1.6	193/255/300	107	301	10	7	37%	7%	57	-1.8	143/208/250	107	233	13	2	43%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Jeff Arnold 2012 · A	24	37	43→50	49→40	37	186/241/294	108	271	11	5	34%	6%	51	-2.3	204/262/330	126	308	11	5	36%	6%	66	-1.1	195/252/323	128	296	11	3	36%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Ryan Fisher 2012 · A	24	39→45	46→45	48→40	34	198/247/334	136	292	13	6	36%	4%	62	-1.4	204/266/323	119	298	10	5	33%	6%	67	-1.1	199/268/311	113	289	9	3	32%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	38→35	43→50	49→55	37	193/242/301	107	263	10	9	30%	5%	52	-2.2	194/263/314	120	281	13	15	34%	7%	63	-1.3	231/310/361	130	325	12	18	30%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→45	44→50	51→40	43	210/272/331	121	280	12	9	28%	7%	70	-0.8	225/283/368	143	295	17	5	29%	6%	83	+0.1	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Kyle Reynolds 2007 · A	23	38→42	43→50	48→45	35	192/232/305	113	275	11	9	34%	4%	49	-2.4	208/244/347	139	271	16	7	29%	4%	63	-1.3	201/236/341	140	254	17	5	28%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Carter Williams 2022 · A	24	42	45	49→45	37	215/248/344	130	283	12	9	29%	4%	63	-1.3	226/273/352	126	296	14	9	28%	5%	75	-0.5	225/274/345	121	290	15	9	27%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Matthew Sweeney 2012 · AA	24	34→40	43→50	49→45	41	177/244/286	109	256	11	4	34%	7%	50	-2.3	202/259/311	109	280	9	6	30%	7%	61	-1.5	212/252/322	109	275	6	0	24%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Hutton Moyer 2016 · A	23	39→42	42→50	50	36	194/252/305	111	271	9	7	31%	4%	57	-1.8	205/254/332	127	302	13	13	35%	5%	64	-1.3	196/243/329	133	288	15	15	36%	4%	57	-0.8
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39→38	42→50	46→55	38	194/256/302	108	290	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	185/249/303	118	274	11	13	35%	6%	56	-1.9	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Trey Cabbage 2021 · A	24	39→44	44→55	51→55	32	188/237/307	119	323	11	7	44%	5%	51	-2.2	219/280/400	181	364	23	15	43%	7%	90	+0.6	218/280/412	194	345	26	22	42%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Bruce Caldwell 2016 · AA	24	42→45	44→45	50→40	43	206/270/325	119	292	11	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	209/273/316	107	309	10	4	33%	8%	67	-1.1	204/269/307	103	301	10	1	34%	8%	62	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps