Brayan HernándezC Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 225 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .259 / .316
PA76
HR1
K%33
BB%6
ISO117
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.40.3+$11M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202119 ROKFCL Orioles Black — 10396 14302 5482 11 146204240443 94261 475 201 12 — — — — — —
202119 ROKFCL Orioles Black — 10393 21503 8342 11 226301376677 151321 338 306 92 — — — — — —
202220 A2 teams — 166156 23603 7763 00 147199244442 96260 464 197 9 — — — — — —
202220 A2 teams — 166152 29805 11583 00 191259342601 151270 357 271 66 — — — — — —
202321 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 134124 18425 7573 00 145209331540 185210 435 213 21 — — — — — —
202321 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 134118 23626 12413 00 195284432716 237239 319 314 99 — — — — — —
202422 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 7772 6100 3361 10 8313297229 14167 474 113 -55 — — — — — —
202422 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 7770 8200 5271 10 114184143327 29186 356 159 -20 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBBAL — 7670 14311 5251 10 200263314577 114285 337 260 57 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBBAL 30% 131120 26513 9411 21 217277350627 133286 317 269 64 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
202826 MLBBAL 44% 235214 45825 16723 31 210275336611 126286 317 274 68 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
202927 MLBBAL 49% 299273 581127 21913 41 212276344620 132287 307 277 70 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203028 MLBBAL 51% 340309 651228 241034 51 210276340616 129286 307 277 70 -11 +1 -1 +6 +10 0.4
203129 MLBBAL 51% 359326 681228 261104 41 209275331607 123285 317 275 69 -13 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.3
202725 MLBBAL 30% 3936 7101 3120 10 194256306562 111290 318 265 61 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202826 MLBBAL 44% 10495 20412 7321 10 211272337609 126291 317 270 65 -4 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202927 MLBBAL 49% 146133 29514 10442 21 218283361644 143291 307 273 67 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203028 MLBBAL 51% 175159 34614 12532 21 214277340617 126291 307 273 67 -6 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.1
203129 MLBBAL 51% 185168 36714 13572 21 214279339618 125290 317 271 66 -7 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 649591 12623415 451987 83 213277342619 129291 317 272 66 -25 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.4
/ 162G— — 650592 12623415 451987 83 213276341618 128290 307 272 66 -25 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.4
Career— — 19201760 337651242 12365925 216 191254314568 122277 346 253 52 -104 +2 -2 +34 +54 -1.6
/ 162G— — 650596 11422414 422238 72 191254312566 121277 346 253 52 -35 +1 -1 +12 +18 -0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202119 ROKFCL Orioles Black — 10393 21503 8342 11 226301376677 151321 338 306 92 -1 -0 — — +3 0.2
202220 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 121113 20403 6452 00 177231292523 115262 375 238 40 -8 +0 — — +3 -0.5
202220 ROKFCL Orioles — 4539 9402 5131 00 231333487821 256292 2911 361 134 +2 +0 — — +1 0.3
202321 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 134118 23626 12413 00 195284432716 237239 319 314 99 -0 +0 — — +4 0.4
202422 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 7770 8200 5271 10 114184143327 29186 356 159 -20 -10 +0 — — +2 -0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
37251610211271339+13+120.80.8
/162664159+11.9+11.00.7pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Brayan Hernández (OGILVIE) 24 — — — — 200/259/316 116285 11 33% 6% 57 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Adrian Del Castillo
2023 · A 		23 36→43 44→50 52→40 42 187/249/306 120252 127 30% 7% 51 -1.7 207/278/346 139286 153 31% 8% 73 -0.1 222/289/40218028122128%8%91+0.6
✕LJ Talley
2021 · A 		24 38→48 43→45 50 41 193/248/299 105257 116 29% 6% 48 -1.9 219/279/338 119279 139 25% 7% 71 -0.3 216/280/332116270131024%8%67-0.3
✕Jeff Arnold
2012 · A 		24 36 45→50 49→40 37 188/243/307 119268 125 34% 6% 49 -1.8 209/267/348 139309 135 35% 6% 69 -0.4 200/257/34214130113336%5%59-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff
2021 · A 		24 39→29 42→45 51→60 39 193/259/298 104285 912 34% 6% 53 -1.5 180/251/274 94284 813 37% 7% 44 -2.1 181/273/314133265152835%10%61-0.6
✕Jake Ring
2019 · A 		24 41→45 44→45 49→50 41 201/262/317 115289 1110 33% 7% 59 -1.1 192/253/298 106300 107 37% 7% 50 -1.8 143/202/24610323412243%6%12-1.4
✕Patrick Dorrian
2021 · A 		25 42→39 42→55 51→45 40 203/257/318 115292 97 32% 6% 56 -1.3 198/263/346 148305 186 39% 8% 67 -0.5 190/258/35316328421539%8%63-0.6
✕Carter Aldrete
2022 · A 		24 41→40 43→50 47→45 39 202/257/309 107296 1210 35% 7% 54 -1.4 210/259/358 148290 185 33% 6% 68 -0.5 196/241/34014426219233%5%54-0.9
✕Blake Hunt
2023 · AA 		24 38 43→50 50→40 39 192/251/299 107277 115 34% 6% 50 -1.8 211/268/341 130275 145 28% 6% 67 -0.5 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
✕Jason Lopez
2021 · A 		23 40 44→55 46→45 37 202/247/323 121282 127 32% 5% 53 -1.5 194/256/297 103298 1010 36% 7% 50 -1.7 163/228/25491247101036%8%25-0.9
✕Carson Blair
2014 · A 		24 37 44→50 45→30 40 186/252/307 121288 116 38% 8% 52 -1.6 203/274/338 135336 143 40% 8% 69 -0.4 193/269/32813532214141%9%62-0.4
✕Seth Gray
2022 · A 		24 36 43→45 49→50 38 178/256/281 102283 116 38% 7% 48 -1.9 195/273/305 110331 1211 42% 8% 61 -1.0 188/271/297108330131443%8%55-1.0
✕Kyle Reynolds
2007 · A 		23 38→42 43→50 48→45 35 192/232/305 113275 119 34% 4% 42 -2.3 209/245/353 144274 177 30% 4% 60 -1.0 201/236/35014825519529%4%54-0.8
✕Bruce Caldwell
2016 · AA 		24 41→45 45 50→40 43 205/271/333 128293 126 33% 8% 66 -0.6 207/271/315 108314 114 35% 8% 62 -0.9 202/267/30510230610135%7%55-1.0
✕Chad Stevens
2023 · A 		24 34→42 42→45 47→50 34 170/231/269 99302 1112 45% 7% 33 -2.9 190/257/305 115308 1115 39% 7% 54 -1.4 210/277/334124312121534%7%66-0.4
✕Jose Brizuela
2017 · A 		24 41→40 46→50 43→45 42 208/270/340 132285 145 32% 7% 68 -0.5 211/263/322 111297 115 31% 6% 59 -1.1 162/194/2417921111029%4%7-1.0
✕Carter Williams
2022 · A 		24 42 45 49→45 35 213/243/339 126285 129 30% 4% 56 -1.3 228/273/355 127301 149 28% 5% 73 -0.1 227/276/35112429515928%5%73-0.1
✕Kendall Simmons
2023 · A 		23 36 47→50 49→50 38 189/255/325 136272 1510 35% 6% 59 -1.1 206/270/351 145304 169 36% 6% 72 -0.2 198/264/34714929417737%6%65-0.2
✕Kes Carter
2014 · A 		24 41→42 42→45 49→50 39 197/257/308 111293 810 34% 6% 54 -1.4 203/268/301 98285 610 29% 7% 56 -1.3 198/269/2899127761229%8%51-1.3
✕Mark Contreras
2019 · A 		24 40→37 42→50 47→55 38 194/256/300 106290 911 35% 6% 52 -1.6 186/249/308 122277 1213 36% 6% 52 -1.6 197/258/338141284182436%6%60-0.8
✕Matthew Sweeney
2012 · AA 		24 34→40 43→50 49→45 41 177/244/289 112260 114 35% 7% 44 -2.1 202/260/313 111281 96 30% 7% 56 -1.3 212/253/3181062754024%5%51-0.3