Brayan Hernández

Brayan HernándezC Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 225 lbs A HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.7 · 2029

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .263 / .316

PA76

HR2

K%33

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.4	$2M	+$1.0M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.0M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$0.4M	-$4M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	103	97	15	3	0	2	4	48	2	1	1	.155	.204	.247	.451	.093	.277	47	4	.212	20	-9	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
2022	20	A	2 teams	166	156	21	5	0	3	7	80	3	0	0	.135	.187	.224	.411	.090	.247	48	4	.188	2	-18	+0	+0	+3	+5	-1.1
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	134	124	17	4	1	5	7	58	3	0	0	.137	.201	.306	.508	.169	.197	43	5	.218	25	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
2024	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	77	72	6	1	0	0	3	36	1	1	0	.083	.132	.097	.229	.014	.167	47	4	.113	-55	-14	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	BAL	76	70	15	3	0	2	5	25	1	1	0	.214	.276	.343	.619	.129	.286	33	7	.263	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 10%	BAL	131	120	25	4	1	3	9	41	1	2	1	.208	.269	.333	.603	.125	.288	31	7	.276	69	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	26	MLB 25%	BAL	235	212	45	8	1	6	18	72	3	4	1	.212	.283	.344	.628	.132	.290	31	8	.283	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2029	27	MLB 42%	BAL	299	271	58	10	2	8	23	91	3	5	1	.214	.283	.354	.637	.140	.290	30	8	.285	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2030	28	MLB 52%	BAL	340	307	66	12	2	9	26	103	4	5	1	.215	.285	.355	.640	.140	.290	30	8	.285	76	-9	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.7
2031	29	MLB 63%	BAL	359	324	69	12	2	9	28	110	4	5	1	.213	.284	.346	.629	.133	.289	31	8	.283	75	-10	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.6
2032	30	MLB 72%	BAL	370	334	71	13	2	9	29	115	4	4	0	.213	.283	.344	.628	.132	.287	31	8	.280	72	-12	+1	-2	+7	+10	0.4
2033	31	MLB 81%	BAL	355	320	66	12	2	8	28	112	4	2	0	.206	.278	.331	.610	.125	.286	32	8	.276	69	-12	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.2
2034	32	MLB 87%	BAL	333	301	62	11	2	8	26	107	3	0	0	.206	.276	.336	.611	.130	.284	32	8	.271	66	-13	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.1
2035	33	MLB	BAL	298	270	54	9	2	6	23	97	3	0	0	.200	.270	.315	.585	.115	.283	33	8	.266	62	-13	+0	-4	+5	+8	-0.3
2036	34	MLB	BAL	253	230	45	8	1	5	19	85	2	0	0	.196	.263	.304	.567	.109	.281	34	8	.260	57	-12	+0	-5	+5	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3529	3208	635	115	18	83	255	1180	41	30	6	.198	.266	.323	.588	.125	.282	33	7	.265	61	-157	+4	-20	+63	+100	-1.0
/ 162G	—			650	591	116	21	3	15	47	217	8	6	1	.196	.265	.318	.583	.122	.279	33	7	.265	61	-29	+1	-4	+12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	103	93	21	5	0	3	8	34	2	1	1	.226	.301	.376	.677	.151	.321	33	8	.306	92	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	121	113	20	4	0	3	6	45	2	0	0	.177	.231	.292	.523	.115	.262	37	5	.238	40	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2022	20	ROK	FCL Orioles	45	39	9	4	0	2	5	13	1	0	0	.231	.333	.487	.821	.256	.292	29	11	.361	134	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	134	118	23	6	2	6	12	41	3	0	0	.195	.284	.432	.716	.237	.239	31	9	.314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	77	70	8	2	0	0	5	27	1	1	0	.114	.184	.143	.327	.029	.186	35	6	.159	-20	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Hernández (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	.200/.263/.316	.115	.286	2	1	33%	7%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ryan Schimpf 2012 · A	24	38→39	46→60	51→45	40	.193/.263/.329	.136	.276	13	8	33%	7%	63	-0.9	.199/.276/.370	.171	.267	20	5	32%	8%	79	+0.3	.201/.284/.419	.218	.235	28	2	28%	9%	91	+0.9
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	42→45	45	49→40	41	.211/.275/.335	.124	.295	13	6	32%	7%	69	-0.4	.225/.281/.350	.125	.306	13	5	29%	6%	76	+0.0	.232/.286/.359	.127	.311	13	3	29%	5%	76	+0.1
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→45	43→55	52→40	41	.184/.246/.294	.110	.257	10	7	32%	7%	46	-2.0	.210/.280/.351	.141	.289	15	4	31%	8%	76	+0.0	.218/.292/.382	.164	.293	19	1	31%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→37	43→50	50	38	.211/.270/.324	.114	.293	10	12	30%	5%	64	-0.8	.213/.281/.365	.152	.300	18	9	34%	7%	80	+0.4	.204/.280/.377	.174	.281	22	7	34%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	39→46	46→45	49→50	44	.197/.277/.329	.131	.260	14	9	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.289/.346	.131	.275	13	9	25%	7%	78	+0.2	.223/.298/.355	.132	.277	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA	24	38→40	47→55	48→45	41	.196/.261/.330	.133	.269	15	9	32%	7%	62	-0.9	.203/.278/.366	.163	.280	20	6	33%	8%	79	+0.3	.206/.283/.412	.206	.265	29	1	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	40→45	50→30	42	.211/.263/.307	.096	.286	8	8	28%	6%	56	-1.3	.215/.275/.312	.097	.328	7	3	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.204/.270/.296	.092	.311	6	1	34%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→29	42→45	51→55	40	.197/.258/.305	.108	.275	10	12	31%	6%	54	-1.4	.182/.252/.277	.095	.281	8	12	36%	6%	45	-2.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	45→55	47→45	45	.204/.281/.326	.122	.262	13	8	27%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.278/.391	.172	.284	22	4	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.215/.266/.411	.196	.270	28	0	32%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Patrick Bailey 2023 · A	24	39→49	46→45	47→45	45	.199/.271/.326	.128	.273	14	6	31%	9%	66	-0.6	.223/.284/.340	.117	.298	12	5	28%	8%	74	-0.1	.229/.288/.338	.110	.303	11	4	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Carlos Narváez 2023 · A	24	36→45	47→50	47→45	43	.185/.270/.313	.127	.285	15	6	38%	9%	63	-0.9	.206/.289/.337	.131	.291	15	7	32%	9%	76	+0.1	.215/.298/.353	.138	.288	16	6	29%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Carson Blair 2014 · A	24	38	44→50	45→30	40	.187/.254/.308	.121	.292	11	6	38%	8%	53	-1.5	.202/.276/.338	.136	.333	13	4	40%	9%	70	-0.3	.191/.269/.325	.133	.318	14	1	41%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	45	44→45	53→50	46	.219/.290/.343	.124	.299	11	9	29%	8%	77	+0.1	.205/.273/.316	.111	.294	11	13	32%	8%	63	-0.9	.181/.252/.276	.095	.261	10	16	33%	8%	42	-1.4
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2022 · A	25	35→45	45→50	53→60	40	.180/.251/.302	.122	.279	13	14	38%	8%	50	-1.7	.231/.283/.350	.119	.327	11	31	31%	6%	76	+0.0	.245/.299/.367	.122	.338	11	36	29%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	.190/.256/.326	.136	.273	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.205/.269/.352	.147	.297	17	9	35%	6%	72	-0.2	.199/.264/.350	.151	.290	18	7	36%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Jake Ring 2019 · A	24	41→42	43→45	49→50	40	.202/.258/.314	.112	.289	11	11	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.192/.254/.301	.109	.297	11	7	37%	7%	51	-1.7	.145/.210/.255	.110	.235	13	2	43%	6%	17	-1.3
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	.212/.273/.333	.122	.278	12	9	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.228/.285/.377	.149	.300	18	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	.226/.286/.378	.152	.294	19	3	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕LJ Talley 2021 · A	24	39→47	44→45	50	43	.197/.253/.309	.112	.248	12	6	26%	6%	53	-1.5	.217/.275/.336	.119	.275	13	9	25%	7%	69	-0.4	.215/.278/.330	.115	.270	13	10	24%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Trey Cabbage 2021 · A	24	39→45	44→55	51→55	32	.189/.238/.308	.119	.317	11	7	42%	5%	46	-2.0	.215/.276/.398	.183	.367	24	14	45%	7%	86	+0.8	.215/.278/.414	.199	.347	27	22	43%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→37	43→55	51→45	41	.206/.260/.322	.117	.290	9	6	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.198/.265/.350	.152	.297	18	6	37%	8%	69	-0.4	.189/.258/.354	.165	.275	22	5	38%	8%	64	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)