Jorge Mendez — OGILVIE

Jorge MendezC ACL Rockies

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .291 / .322

PA4

HR0

K%23

BB%6

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	64	14	3	0	0	9	6	6	3	1	219	367	266	633	47	241	8	11	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	90	36	8	0	1	6	9	11	9	3	400	495	522	1.018	122	432	8	6	454	194	+12	+1	—	—	+2	1.5
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	60	46	10	4	0	1	7	1	5	0	0	217	379	370	749	152	196	2	12	338	115	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	51	46	10	2	0	1	3	8	2	0	0	217	294	326	620	109	243	16	6	285	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	68	12	2	0	0	5	9	6	3	1	176	291	206	497	29	197	11	6	230	42	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	92	29	5	0	1	4	13	11	9	3	315	411	402	813	87	332	12	4	336	114	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	60	49	9	3	0	1	4	1	5	0	0	184	310	306	616	122	154	2	7	268	68	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	51	47	7	1	0	1	2	12	2	0	0	149	216	234	450	85	191	24	4	199	21	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	68	12	2	0	0	5	9	6	3	1	176	291	206	497	29	203	11	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	64	14	3	0	0	9	6	6	3	1	219	367	266	633	47	241	8	11	310	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	92	29	5	0	1	4	13	11	9	3	315	411	402	813	87	354	12	4	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	90	36	8	0	1	6	9	11	9	3	400	495	522	1.018	122	432	8	6	454	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	60	49	9	3	0	1	4	1	5	0	0	184	310	306	616	122	163	2	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	60	46	10	4	0	1	7	1	5	0	0	217	379	370	749	152	196	2	12	338	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	51	47	7	1	0	1	2	12	2	0	0	149	216	234	450	85	176	24	4	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	51	46	10	2	0	1	3	8	2	0	0	217	294	326	620	109	243	16	6	285	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	68	12	2	0	0	5	9	6	3	1	176	291	206	497	29	197	11	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	92	29	5	0	1	4	13	11	9	3	315	411	402	813	87	332	12	4	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	60	51	9	3	0	1	4	1	5	0	0	176	310	294	604	118	154	2	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	51	47	7	1	0	1	2	12	2	0	0	149	216	234	450	85	191	24	4	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	60	51	9	3	0	1	4	1	5	0	0	176	310	294	604	118	154	2	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	51	47	7	1	0	1	2	12	2	0	0	149	216	234	450	85	191	24	4	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	COL	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		287	25	0	280	76	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	34%	106	96	23	5	1	2	7	24	2	1	0	240	305	375	680	135	288	23	7	287	81	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	46%	236	213	49	10	1	4	16	54	5	2	1	230	299	343	642	113	290	23	7	293	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	52%	322	290	68	14	2	6	23	73	6	3	1	234	304	359	663	124	290	23	7	296	86	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	54%	379	342	79	16	2	7	27	86	7	3	1	231	301	351	651	120	290	23	7	297	87	-6	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	54%	410	370	87	18	2	8	29	93	8	3	1	235	305	359	664	124	290	23	7	297	87	-6	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	COL	54%	425	383	89	18	2	8	31	97	8	3	1	232	303	352	656	120	289	23	7	296	87	-7	+0	-1	+8	+9	1.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	427	385	89	18	2	8	31	99	8	3	1	231	302	351	653	119	288	23	7	294	85	-7	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.8
2034	30	MLB MLE	COL	52%	425	383	87	18	2	7	31	99	8	3	1	227	299	339	638	112	287	23	7	292	83	-8	+0	-2	+8	+9	0.7
2035	31	MLB MLE	COL	52%	404	363	83	17	2	7	30	96	8	2	1	229	302	344	646	116	285	24	7	287	81	-9	+0	-3	+7	+9	0.4
2036	32	MLB MLE	COL	52%	377	339	75	15	2	6	28	91	7	2	1	221	294	330	625	109	281	24	7	282	77	-10	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	COL	52%	339	305	67	13	2	5	25	83	6	1	0	220	292	325	616	105	277	24	7	275	72	-11	+0	-4	+6	+7	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	COL	34%	36	33	8	2	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	242	306	394	699	152	304	22	6	288	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	46%	109	98	24	5	1	2	8	25	2	1	0	245	315	378	692	133	306	23	7	294	84	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	52%	166	150	37	8	1	3	12	38	3	1	1	247	315	373	688	127	306	23	7	298	86	-3	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	54%	205	185	45	10	1	4	14	47	4	2	1	243	310	373	683	130	306	23	7	299	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	54%	222	200	50	10	2	5	16	51	4	2	1	250	318	395	713	145	306	23	7	299	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2032	28	MLB CTX	COL	54%	231	207	52	11	2	5	17	53	5	2	1	251	323	396	719	145	305	23	7	298	87	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	227	204	49	10	1	5	17	53	4	2	1	240	311	373	684	132	304	23	7	296	85	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	COL	52%	223	201	48	10	1	4	16	52	4	2	1	239	308	358	666	119	303	23	7	293	83	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	COL	52%	210	189	44	9	1	4	15	50	4	1	0	233	303	354	657	122	300	24	7	289	81	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	32	MLB CTX	COL	52%	195	175	40	8	1	3	14	47	4	1	0	229	301	337	638	109	297	24	7	283	77	-5	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	COL	52%	175	157	36	7	1	3	13	43	3	1	0	229	301	344	645	115	292	25	7	275	72	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1999	1799	433	90	12	39	144	467	38	15	6	241	310	369	680	128	302	23	7	293	82	-40	+1	-8	+36	+43	3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	141	29	4	13	47	152	12	5	2	241	311	371	681	130	303	23	7	293	82	-13	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4152	3729	854	173	20	71	293	931	97	38	13	229	302	343	645	114	285	22	7	290	82	-78	+2	-15	+69	+84	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	133	27	3	11	46	146	15	6	2	228	301	341	642	113	283	22	7	290	82	-13	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#4Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	2.8	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
/162	664	10	2	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.1	2,045	35	15	230	298	346	+37	+28	5.0	4.6
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+9.1	1.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Mendez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	223/291/322	98	287	1	0	23%	6%	76	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Tyler Stephenson 2019 · A	22	43→53	42→55	46→30	44	211/280/316	105	287	10	3	29%	8%	70	-0.8	237/311/351	114	302	11	3	24%	8%	89	+0.5	237/322/408	171	303	20	0	27%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Carlos Pérez 2013 · A	22	47→49	40→60	47→45	45	225/275/326	101	280	6	5	22%	6%	70	-0.9	230/279/323	93	281	7	4	20%	6%	70	-0.8	215/286/399	184	236	23	0	21%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→48	41→45	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	76	-0.4	199/281/329	130	264	13	9	28%	8%	74	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	49	40→50	47→40	48	232/310/328	96	293	8	7	22%	8%	84	+0.2	203/276/325	122	276	13	4	30%	6%	72	-0.7	180/260/332	152	234	22	0	33%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Tyler Rahmatulla 2012 · A	22	46	45→55	47→45	46	225/283/361	136	278	10	6	22%	7%	81	-0.1	203/265/312	109	262	8	5	25%	7%	63	-1.3	183/249/287	103	234	9	4	25%	7%	49	-1.0
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2022 · A	22	50→43	41→45	48→40	51	236/312/337	102	298	7	3	22%	9%	86	+0.3	219/284/318	99	294	8	4	27%	7%	72	-0.7	222/258/285	63	282	4	2	22%	4%	50	-0.5
✕René Pinto 2019 · A	22	50	39→55	45→40	43	236/280/330	94	299	6	3	23%	5%	72	-0.7	218/267/327	109	299	10	5	29%	5%	67	-1.1	209/246/371	162	288	21	3	35%	4%	67	-0.6
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Jett Bandy 2012 · A	22	46	41→50	49→45	42	222/289/329	108	260	8	5	18%	4%	77	-0.3	216/273/335	119	253	11	3	19%	4%	72	-0.7	215/279/349	134	253	17	4	22%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→43	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	70	-0.8	220/287/334	114	288	11	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	217/289/327	110	277	11	27	24%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	188/230/267	79	283	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	147/184/208	60	226	4	0	36%	2%	5	-1.5
✕Owen Miller 2019 · A	22	50→54	42→45	48→50	40	244/284/355	111	305	9	6	23%	4%	80	-0.2	232/279/335	103	289	9	5	22%	5%	73	-0.6	247/302/352	104	305	8	11	21%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Roberto Pérez 2011 · A	22	44→42	39→55	43→30	50	208/295/301	93	286	6	3	27%	10%	73	-0.6	198/285/277	79	283	4	3	28%	10%	63	-1.3	225/315/362	137	298	14	1	27%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Alejandro Segovia 2012 · A	22	44→45	39→50	46→30	41	214/256/300	86	259	6	4	20%	4%	57	-1.8	219/291/364	145	258	16	3	22%	7%	86	+0.3	212/291/360	148	246	18	1	22%	8%	81	-0.0
✕John Hicks 2012 · A	22	50→52	42→60	46→50	42	241/273/352	111	282	8	8	18%	4%	74	-0.5	237/273/338	101	291	9	14	21%	4%	71	-0.8	254/296/392	138	329	16	5	27%	5%	90	+0.4
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A	22	43→52	43→45	48→45	45	211/291/328	116	288	10	7	29%	8%	78	-0.3	211/275/321	110	320	9	8	35%	6%	70	-0.9	209/272/316	108	318	8	4	34%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2021 · A	22	46→45	40→45	44→45	51	221/297/321	100	285	7	7	24%	10%	77	-0.3	209/277/323	114	268	12	6	25%	8%	71	-0.8	207/279/322	115	260	13	5	25%	9%	69	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps