Jorge Mendez — OGILVIE

Jorge MendezC ACL Rockies

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 160 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .290 / .321

PA45

HR1

K%23

BB%6

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$15M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	68	12	2	0	0	5	9	6	3	1	176	291	206	497	29	203	11	6	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	64	14	3	0	0	9	6	6	3	1	219	367	266	633	47	241	8	11	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	92	29	4	0	1	4	13	11	9	3	315	411	391	803	76	354	12	4	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	90	36	8	0	1	6	9	11	9	3	400	495	522	1.018	122	432	8	6	454	206	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	60	49	9	3	0	1	4	2	5	0	0	184	310	306	616	122	167	3	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	60	46	10	4	0	1	7	1	5	0	0	217	379	370	749	152	196	2	12	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	51	47	7	1	0	1	2	12	2	0	0	149	216	234	450	85	176	24	4	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	51	46	10	2	0	1	3	8	2	0	0	217	294	326	620	109	243	16	6	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	COL	—	45	41	9	2	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	220	289	341	630	122	287	22	7	280	72	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	COL	34%	106	96	23	5	1	2	7	24	2	1	0	240	305	375	680	135	289	23	7	287	78	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	236	213	49	10	1	4	16	54	5	2	1	230	299	343	642	113	290	23	7	292	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2029	25	MLB	COL	52%	322	290	68	14	2	6	23	74	6	3	1	234	304	359	663	124	290	23	7	295	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.9
2030	26	MLB	COL	54%	379	342	79	16	2	7	27	87	7	3	1	231	301	351	651	120	290	23	7	297	85	-6	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.2
2031	27	MLB	COL	54%	410	370	86	17	2	8	29	94	8	3	1	232	302	354	656	122	290	23	7	297	85	-7	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.3
2032	28	MLB	COL	54%	425	383	89	18	2	8	31	98	8	3	1	232	303	352	656	120	289	23	7	296	85	-7	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.2
2033	29	MLB	COL	53%	427	385	89	18	2	8	31	99	8	3	1	231	302	351	653	119	289	23	7	294	83	-8	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.1
2034	30	MLB	COL	52%	425	383	87	18	2	7	31	100	8	3	1	227	299	339	638	112	287	24	7	291	81	-9	+0	-2	+8	+12	0.9
2035	31	MLB	COL	52%	404	363	83	17	2	7	30	96	8	2	1	229	302	344	646	116	285	24	7	287	78	-10	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.6
2036	32	MLB	COL	52%	377	340	75	15	2	6	27	91	7	2	1	221	291	329	621	109	282	24	7	281	73	-11	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.3
2037	33	MLB	COL	52%	339	305	67	13	2	5	25	84	6	1	0	220	292	325	616	105	277	25	7	274	68	-12	+0	-4	+6	+10	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	COL	34%	36	33	8	2	0	1	2	8	1	0	0	242	306	394	699	152	310	22	6	291	81	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	109	98	25	5	1	2	8	25	2	1	0	255	324	388	712	133	312	23	7	297	86	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2029	25	MLB	COL	52%	166	150	37	8	1	3	12	38	3	1	1	247	315	373	688	127	312	23	7	301	89	-2	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2030	26	MLB	COL	54%	205	185	46	10	1	4	14	47	4	2	1	249	315	378	694	130	312	23	7	303	90	-2	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2031	27	MLB	COL	54%	222	200	51	11	1	5	16	51	4	2	1	255	323	395	718	140	312	23	7	303	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2032	28	MLB	COL	54%	231	207	52	11	1	5	17	53	5	2	1	251	323	386	710	135	311	23	7	302	89	-3	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	29	MLB	COL	53%	227	204	51	11	1	5	17	53	4	2	1	250	320	387	707	137	311	23	7	300	88	-3	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.7
2034	30	MLB	COL	52%	223	201	48	10	1	4	16	52	4	2	1	239	308	358	666	119	309	23	7	297	85	-4	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.6
2035	31	MLB	COL	52%	210	189	46	10	1	4	15	50	4	1	0	243	312	370	683	127	307	24	7	292	82	-4	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.4
2036	32	MLB	COL	52%	195	175	42	9	1	3	14	47	4	1	0	240	311	354	665	114	303	24	7	286	77	-5	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2037	33	MLB	COL	52%	175	157	36	7	1	3	13	43	3	1	0	229	301	344	645	115	298	25	7	279	72	-6	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1999	1799	442	94	10	39	144	467	38	15	6	246	315	374	689	128	309	23	7	296	85	-34	+1	-8	+36	+57	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	144	31	3	13	47	152	12	5	2	246	315	376	691	130	310	23	7	296	85	-11	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.7
Career	—			—	4193	3767	861	173	20	72	295	947	98	38	13	229	301	342	644	114	285	23	7	289	79	-98	+2	-15	+75	+119	8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	133	27	3	11	46	147	15	6	2	228	301	341	642	113	284	23	7	289	79	-15	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	79	64	14	3	0	9	6	6	3	1	219	367	266	633	47	241	8	11	310	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	108	90	36	8	1	6	9	11	9	3	400	495	522	1.018	122	432	8	6	454	206	+13	+1	—	—	+3	1.7
2023	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	60	46	10	4	1	7	1	5	0	0	217	379	370	749	152	196	2	12	338	117	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	51	46	10	2	1	3	8	2	0	0	217	294	326	620	109	243	16	6	285	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,045	35	15	230	297	345	+37	+28	4.7	4.3
	/162	664	11	5	230	297	345	+11.9	+9.1	1.5	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Mendez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	223/290/321	98	287	1	0	23%	6%	72	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2022 · A	22	48	40→55	47→40	48	231/310/327	96	292	7	7	22%	8%	82	+0.5	204/279/334	130	274	15	4	30%	7%	71	-0.3	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	44→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	118	278	10	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	221/292/340	119	284	12	26	25%	7%	78	+0.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→50	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	66	-0.6	193/280/309	116	304	13	5	37%	10%	66	-0.6	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Tyler Rahmatulla 2012 · A	22	46	45→55	47→45	46	225/283/361	136	278	10	6	22%	7%	79	+0.3	205/265/321	116	263	9	5	25%	7%	61	-1.0	187/250/302	115	237	10	4	25%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/287/340	120	289	12	13	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Jett Bandy 2012 · A	22	46	41→50	49→45	42	222/289/329	108	260	8	5	18%	4%	74	-0.1	222/278/354	132	258	13	3	20%	4%	76	+0.0	225/283/363	138	261	18	2	21%	4%	78	+0.1
✕Carlos Pérez 2013 · A	22	46→47	40→60	47→45	44	219/268/319	100	275	6	5	22%	6%	60	-1.0	227/276/321	94	280	7	4	20%	6%	64	-0.8	218/290/403	184	239	24	0	21%	8%	90	+0.7
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→44	42→60	50→40	43	219/290/331	112	302	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	208/261/404	196	274	26	4	34%	5%	82	+0.5	224/280/438	214	267	30	4	29%	6%	96	+1.1
✕Stevie Berman 2017 · A	22	45	37→50	48→40	45	212/278/285	72	281	4	6	25%	7%	57	-1.2	213/271/299	86	269	7	4	22%	6%	57	-1.2	203/292/318	115	246	13	2	22%	9%	70	-0.1
✕Owen Miller 2019 · A	22	50→55	41→45	48→50	40	242/282/349	107	304	8	6	23%	4%	74	-0.1	227/273/326	99	289	9	5	24%	5%	65	-0.7	253/307/364	111	311	9	11	21%	6%	86	+0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2017 · A	21	44→47	41→55	46→30	49	214/288/307	93	266	9	6	22%	8%	67	-0.5	214/267/310	96	270	8	3	23%	6%	58	-1.2	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	65	-0.7	186/228/266	80	283	6	4	35%	3%	30	-3.1	145/181/205	60	226	4	0	37%	2%	-9	-1.6
✕René Pinto 2019 · A	22	49	39→60	45→40	42	234/277/326	93	297	6	3	23%	5%	66	-0.6	219/267/335	116	304	12	5	30%	5%	65	-0.7	211/247/384	172	288	24	3	35%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2021 · A	22	47→46	41→45	44→45	51	223/299/325	102	286	7	7	23%	9%	76	+0.1	209/276/333	124	269	14	6	26%	8%	69	-0.4	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2022 · A	22	50→45	41→40	48→40	49	238/309/340	101	302	7	3	22%	8%	84	+0.6	219/281/313	94	296	8	4	27%	7%	66	-0.6	202/254/268	66	254	5	3	22%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Alejandro Segovia 2012 · A	22	44→45	39→50	46→30	41	214/256/300	86	259	6	4	20%	4%	51	-1.7	219/291/364	145	261	16	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	212/293/363	151	249	18	1	22%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3