Yujanyer Herrera
P
Spokane Indians
Age 22
RHP
6'3" / 175 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%19.6%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 121 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | 11 | 4 | 35 | 184 | 37 | 28 | 7 | 36% | 3.2 | 13.7% | 19.0% | -5.3% | 5.9% | 9.00 | 7.62 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | 11 | 4 | 35 | 184 | 37 | 28 | 7 | 36% | 3.2 | 20.1% | 15.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 9.00 | 5.99 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 58 | 269 | 55 | 23 | 3 | 67% | 3.9 | 14.1% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 6.48 | 3.99 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 58 | 269 | 55 | 23 | 3 | 67% | 3.9 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 1.1% | 6.48 | 3.07 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 22 | 11 | 79 | 348 | 65 | 47 | 3 | 50% | 3.6 | 13.8% | 15.9% | -2.1% | 1.0% | 4.08 | 4.49 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 22 | 11 | 79 | 348 | 65 | 47 | 3 | 50% | 3.6 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 4.08 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 15 | 101 | 415 | 110 | 34 | 2 | 68% | 4.6 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 0.5% | 3.04 | 2.87 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 15 | 101 | 415 | 110 | 34 | 2 | 68% | 4.6 | 26.5% | 8.2% | 18.3% | 0.5% | 3.04 | 2.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 15 | 14 | 56 | 243 | 59 | 28 | 10 | 93% | 3.8 | 18.7% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.31 | 6.02 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 65 | 274 | 54 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.82 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 121 | 517 | 113 | 57 | 17 | — | — | 21.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 4.47 | 5.26 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 23 | 23 | 125 | 529 | 110 | 52 | 14 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 4.46 | 4.39 | +1.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | COL | 23 | 23 | 128 | 542 | 117 | 51 | 14 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.27 | +1.7 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 548 | 121 | 50 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 4.21 | +1.8 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | COL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 548 | 122 | 50 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 4.19 | +1.8 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | COL | 21 | 21 | 128 | 540 | 120 | 50 | 14 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 4.22 | 4.23 | +1.8 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | COL | 21 | 21 | 124 | 524 | 116 | 49 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.31 | +1.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 119 | 501 | 109 | 48 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.44 | +1.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 112 | 471 | 101 | 47 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.52 | 4.62 | +1.0 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | COL | 17 | 17 | 104 | 439 | 93 | 45 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.82 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 55 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.68 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | COL | 16 | 16 | 90 | 380 | 82 | 36 | 11 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.49 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | COL | 18 | 18 | 105 | 443 | 98 | 41 | 13 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.43 | +1.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 107 | 44 | 14 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.41 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 109 | 45 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.45 | +1.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | COL | 19 | 19 | 114 | 481 | 106 | 45 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.54 | +1.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | COL | 18 | 18 | 110 | 464 | 102 | 44 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 4.62 | 4.68 | +0.9 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | COL | 17 | 17 | 104 | 439 | 94 | 43 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 4.78 | 4.88 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | COL | 16 | 16 | 99 | 418 | 88 | 43 | 16 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 4.98 | 5.10 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 155 | 155 | 914 | 3861 | 842 | 367 | 125 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.24 | +12.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 80 | 27 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 4.60 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 54 | 330 | 1459 | 241 | 190 | 33 | 64% | 3.9 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.75 | 4.59 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 33 | 200 | 885 | 146 | 115 | 20 | 64% | 3.9 | 16.5% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.75 | 4.59 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yujanyer Herrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.29 | 21.5% | 12.0% | 383 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Nick Sinacola R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.35 | 19.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .335 | 3.97 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 254 | -0.38 | 3.53 | 357 | 91 |
| Johnathan Harmon R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.22 | 17.8% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .293 | 5.23 | 15.4% | 6.7% | 157 | +1.01 | 3.46 | 246 | 89 |
| Miguel Almonte R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.94 | 18.0% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .300 | 4.40 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 143 | +0.46 | 3.02 | 247 | 88 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 88 |
| Derek True R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.76 | 18.5% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .333 | 4.67 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 73 | -0.09 | 4.50 | 170 | 88 |
| Kenten Egbert R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.6% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .257 | 4.28 | 11.0% | 3.6% | 131 | -0.16 | 3.95 | 229 | 88 |
| Logan Martin R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.93 | 16.9% | 8.9% | 2.1% | .278 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.7% | 121 | +0.54 | 3.93 | 223 | 88 |
| Max Gamboa R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.92 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 2.0% | .334 | 4.02 | 26.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.10 | 3.92 | 162 | 88 |
| Ian Bedell R 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.64 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .285 | 5.72 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 178 | +2.08 | 3.64 | 274 | 87 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.77 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .290 | 4.70 | 21.0% | 11.4% | 138 | +0.93 | 3.77 | 258 | 87 |
| Erik Swanson R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.1% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .316 | 4.13 | 20.9% | 15.2% | 298 | +0.46 | 1.63 | 606 | 86 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2028 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 86 |
| Devereaux Harrison R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.70 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 3.0% | .252 | 4.78 | 16.9% | 4.2% | 272 | +0.08 | 4.52 | 366 | 86 |
| Josh Bostick R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.73 | 19.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% | .304 | 5.46 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 119 | +0.73 | 4.73 | 226 | 85 |
| Will Watson R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .275 | 5.43 | 15.2% | 2.1% | 20 | +1.24 | 4.19 | 141 | 85 |
| Kyle Bradish R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.67 | 20.8% | 13.7% | 2.9% | .309 | 3.76 | 24.1% | 14.7% | 238 | -0.91 | 2.15 | 702 | 85 |
| Logan Evans R 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.52 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 2.9% | .257 | 4.20 | 18.1% | 10.1% | 125 | -0.32 | 4.20 | 232 | 85 |
| Nick Dean R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .275 | 3.50 | 21.7% | 14.6% | 111 | -0.50 | 2.73 | 202 | 84 |
| Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.15 | 21.3% | 10.6% | 2.7% | .297 | 4.41 | 19.9% | 10.7% | 211 | +0.26 | 4.15 | 321 | 84 |
| Jimmy Endersby R 2027 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.20 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 2.0% | .310 | 6.03 | 16.4% | 3.7% | 225 | +1.83 | 2.73 | 357 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 10 | 122 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 1.07 | 4.39 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Zach Davies ('23) | 9 | 116 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Adam Wainwright ('23) AS×3GG×2SS | 9 | 125 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 4.25 |