Yujanyer Herrera

Yujanyer Herrera P Spokane Indians

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 1.5 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.67

FIP4.67

K%19.6%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4550

CTRL—50

CMD3045

K†4555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.2M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$8M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$13M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	11	4	35	184	37	28	7	36%	3.2	13.7%	19.0%	-5.3%	5.6%	9.00	7.44	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Blue	11	4	35	184	37	28	7	36%	3.2	20.1%	15.2%	4.9%	3.8%	9.00	5.99	—
2022	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	10	58	269	55	23	3	67%	3.9	14.1%	10.3%	3.8%	1.5%	6.48	4.02	—
2022	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	10	58	269	55	23	3	67%	3.9	20.4%	8.6%	11.9%	1.1%	6.48	3.07	—
2023	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	22	11	79	348	65	47	3	50%	3.6	13.8%	15.9%	-2.1%	1.0%	4.08	4.53	—
2023	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	22	11	79	348	65	47	3	50%	3.6	13.8%	15.9%	-2.1%	1.0%	4.08	4.53	—
2023	19	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	22	11	79	348	65	47	3	50%	3.6	18.7%	13.5%	5.2%	0.9%	4.08	3.73	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	15	101	415	110	34	2	68%	4.6	20.2%	9.5%	10.7%	0.6%	3.04	2.90	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	15	101	415	110	34	2	68%	4.6	20.2%	9.5%	10.7%	0.6%	3.04	2.90	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	15	101	415	110	34	2	68%	4.6	26.5%	8.2%	18.3%	0.5%	3.04	2.19	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	23	22	86	420	87	55	17	96%	3.8	16.2%	14.3%	1.9%	5.1%	7.51	6.32	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	23	22	86	420	87	55	17	96%	3.8	16.2%	14.3%	1.9%	5.1%	7.51	6.32	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	COL	1	1	4	25	4	6	1	100%	4.3	16.0%	24.0%	-8.0%	4.0%	14.54	6.98	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	COL	22	21	82	395	83	49	16	95%	3.7	21.0%	12.4%	8.6%	4.1%	7.13	5.12	—
ROS	22	MLB MLE	COL	2	2	11	46	9	5	1	100%	5.5	19.6%	11.2%	8.5%	2.6%	4.67	4.67	+0.0
2026 TOT	22	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	97	466	96	60	18	—	—	20.6%	12.9%	7.7%	3.9%	7.19	6.13	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	23	23	125	529	110	54	14	100%	5.4	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	2.6%	4.51	4.44	+0.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	23	23	128	542	117	52	14	100%	5.6	21.6%	9.7%	12.0%	2.6%	4.38	4.31	+0.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	22	22	130	548	121	52	14	100%	5.9	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.6%	4.30	4.24	+1.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	22	22	130	548	122	51	14	100%	5.9	22.2%	9.3%	12.9%	2.6%	4.25	4.22	+1.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	21	21	128	540	120	51	14	100%	6.1	22.2%	9.4%	12.8%	2.7%	4.26	4.26	+1.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	COL	21	21	124	524	116	50	15	100%	5.9	22.1%	9.6%	12.5%	2.8%	4.31	4.34	+0.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	COL	20	20	119	501	109	49	15	100%	5.9	21.9%	9.8%	12.1%	2.9%	4.41	4.47	+0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	COL	19	19	112	471	101	48	15	100%	5.9	21.5%	10.1%	11.4%	3.1%	4.56	4.65	+0.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	COL	17	17	104	439	93	46	15	100%	6.1	21.1%	10.4%	10.7%	3.3%	4.74	4.85	+0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	COL	16	16	96	406	84	44	15	100%	6.0	20.7%	10.8%	9.8%	3.6%	4.94	5.08	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	COL	12	12	62	262	55	27	8	100%	5.2	20.9%	10.2%	10.7%	3.0%	4.73	4.66	+0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	90	380	82	37	11	100%	5.6	21.6%	9.7%	12.0%	3.0%	4.60	4.53	+0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	18	18	105	443	98	42	13	100%	5.8	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	3.0%	4.52	4.46	+0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	19	19	114	481	107	45	15	100%	6.0	22.2%	9.3%	12.9%	3.0%	4.47	4.44	+0.9
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	19	19	116	490	109	46	15	100%	6.1	22.2%	9.4%	12.8%	3.1%	4.48	4.48	+0.9
2032	28	MLB CTX	COL	19	19	114	481	106	46	15	100%	6.0	22.1%	9.6%	12.5%	3.2%	4.54	4.57	+0.7
2033	29	MLB CTX	COL	18	18	110	464	102	45	16	100%	6.1	21.9%	9.8%	12.1%	3.4%	4.65	4.71	+0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	COL	17	17	104	439	94	44	16	100%	6.1	21.5%	10.1%	11.4%	3.6%	4.82	4.91	+0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	COL	16	16	99	418	88	44	16	100%	6.2	21.1%	10.4%	10.7%	3.9%	5.02	5.13	+0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	COL	15	15	91	384	79	42	16	100%	6.1	20.7%	10.8%	9.8%	4.1%	5.24	5.38	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		170	170	1006	4246	921	418	141	100%	5.9	21.7%	9.8%	11.9%	3.3%	4.69	4.34	+6.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	183	83	28	100%	5.9	21.7%	9.8%	11.9%	3.3%	4.69	4.34	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		93	62	360	1636	263	217	41	67%	3.9	16.1%	13.3%	2.8%	2.5%	5.48	4.82	+6.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	34	200	910	146	121	23	67%	3.9	16.1%	13.3%	2.8%	2.5%	5.48	4.82	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yujanyer Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	19.6%	11.2%	2.6%	—	4.33	21.5%	11.8%	383	-0.34	—	—	—
Nick Sinacola R 2022 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP-	4.44	19.3%	10.4%	3.0%	.335	4.05	18.2%	10.0%	254	-0.39	3.56	357	91
Miguel Almonte R 2015 · 3.88 FIP	22	SP-	3.88	18.0%	10.1%	1.8%	.300	4.41	19.4%	7.9%	143	+0.53	3.06	247	89
Max Gamboa R 2018 · 3.99 FIP	22	SP-	3.99	17.3%	9.5%	2.1%	.334	3.99	26.5%	7.7%	61	+0.00	3.99	162	88
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	88
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.1%	6.3%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	88
Kyle Bradish R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.84	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.72	2.20	750	87
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	86
Jimmy Endersby R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP-	4.29	20.9%	14.1%	2.1%	.310	5.73	16.1%	4.0%	225	+1.44	2.86	357	86
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	85
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	85
Dinelson Lamet R 2015 · 4.36 FIP	23	SP	4.36	20.1%	11.8%	2.7%	.272	3.69	24.2%	13.1%	293	-0.67	2.11	778	85
Erik Swanson R 2016 · 3.56 FIP	22	SP-	3.56	17.1%	8.8%	1.5%	.316	4.11	20.9%	15.2%	298	+0.55	1.60	606	84
Adrian Houser R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	22	SP-	4.38	16.6%	8.8%	2.9%	.298	3.90	15.5%	7.4%	163	-0.48	3.45	1,221	84
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	84
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	84
Nolan DeVos R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	22	SP-	4.21	21.1%	14.0%	2.0%	.302	5.66	19.0%	8.3%	111	+1.45	4.21	210	84
Chase Cohen R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	22	SP-	4.69	15.8%	13.0%	2.3%	.317	4.22	22.1%	9.2%	85	-0.47	3.52	263	83
Jordan Jackson R 2022 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP	4.15	16.8%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	5.51	13.1%	1.7%	74	+1.36	4.15	193	83
Braden Webb R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	18.0%	12.5%	2.4%	.276	4.78	17.9%	1.8%	172	+0.30	4.48	308	83
Zach Peek R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.51	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.11	3.51	256	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.6	120	21.5%	10.0%	1.09	4.47
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Jordan Montgomery ('24)	4.3	124	21.4%	6.9%	1.07	4.01