Yujanyer Herrera

Yujanyer Herrera P Spokane Indians

+1.1 WAR

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 2.5 · 2030

ERA4.28

FIP4.28

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.9%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%12.3%

IP101

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.5peak

2030

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	11	4	35	184	37	28	7	13.7%	19.0%	6.7%	9.00	8.01	-1.2
2022	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	15	10	58	269	55	23	3	14.1%	10.3%	1.5%	6.48	4.03	+0.6
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	22	11	79	348	65	47	3	13.8%	15.9%	1.1%	4.08	4.54	+0.5
2024	20	A+	Spokane Indians	22	15	101	415	110	34	2	20.2%	9.5%	0.5%	3.04	2.89	+2.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	A+	Spokane Indians	3	3	8	40	10	5	1	—	—	—	6.48	—	—
ROS	22	MLB	COL	18	18	101	425	93	41	11	21.9%	9.6%	2.6%	4.28	4.28	+1.2
2026 Total	22	MLB	COL	—	—	109	465	103	46	12	22.1%	9.9%	2.6%	4.45	3.95	+1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	23	MLB	COL	23	23	124	526	119	47	14	22.6%	8.9%	2.6%	4.19	4.13	+1.7
2028	24	MLB	COL	26	26	144	606	140	52	16	23.1%	8.6%	2.6%	4.10	4.04	+2.1
2029	25	MLB	COL	29	29	157	665	156	56	17	23.4%	8.4%	2.6%	4.04	3.99	+2.3
2030	26	MLB	COL	30	30	164	694	164	58	18	23.6%	8.3%	2.6%	4.01	3.98	+2.5
2031	27	MLB	COL	30	30	167	706	167	59	19	23.6%	8.3%	2.6%	4.00	3.99	+2.5
2032	28	MLB	COL	30	30	167	704	166	59	19	23.6%	8.4%	2.7%	4.01	4.01	+2.4
2033	29	MLB	COL	30	30	163	688	161	58	19	23.4%	8.5%	2.7%	4.04	4.06	+2.3
2034	30	MLB	COL	29	29	158	667	155	57	18	23.2%	8.6%	2.8%	4.09	4.12	+2.1
2035	31	MLB	COL	28	28	152	644	148	56	18	23.0%	8.7%	2.8%	4.15	4.20	+1.9
2036	32	MLB	COL	27	27	146	618	141	55	18	22.7%	8.9%	2.9%	4.23	4.28	+1.7
2037	33	MLB	COL	25	25	140	590	132	53	18	22.4%	9.0%	3.0%	4.32	4.38	+1.5
2038	34	MLB	COL	24	24	133	561	124	52	17	22.1%	9.2%	3.1%	4.42	4.49	+1.2
2039	35	MLB	COL	23	23	125	529	115	50	17	21.7%	9.4%	3.2%	4.54	4.61	+1.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			73	43	282	1256	205	163	23	16.3%	12.9%	1.8%	4.89	4.37	+3.0
/ 200 IP	—			52	31	200	892	146	116	16	16.3%	12.9%	1.8%	4.89	4.37	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yujanyer Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.28	21.9%	9.6%	2.6%	—	4.05	23.1%	14.5%	426	-0.23	—	—	—
Griffin Canning R 2026 · 3.70 FIP	22	SP-	3.70	21.8%	10.0%	2.1%	.312	4.13	23.9%	15.3%	225	+0.43	3.65	705	94
Trevor Martin R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	22	SP-	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.28	20.2%	11.6%	172	+0.04	4.19	282	94
David Perez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP	22	SP-	3.99	21.1%	9.3%	2.7%	.292	5.20	15.6%	1.9%	67	+1.21	3.99	151	94
Ian Bedell R 2027 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	21.0%	10.1%	2.0%	.285	5.74	19.4%	9.6%	160	+2.02	3.72	256	93
Jack Wenninger R 2026 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP-	4.25	20.9%	9.3%	3.2%	.309	3.90	21.4%	13.1%	136	-0.35	3.90	251	93
Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 3.90 FIP	22	SP-	3.90	22.5%	11.2%	2.3%	.290	4.40	18.6%	9.7%	72	+0.50	3.90	193	92
Cory Lewis R 2026 · 3.42 FIP	22	SP-	3.42	21.7%	9.3%	1.8%	.267	5.08	22.0%	5.4%	139	+1.66	3.42	240	92
Brandon Bailey R 2026 · 3.52 FIP	22	SP-	3.52	24.6%	9.9%	2.3%	.290	4.44	21.2%	9.6%	215	+0.92	3.52	306	92
Blake Wehunt R 2027 · 3.65 FIP	23	SP-	3.65	21.8%	10.4%	1.9%	.261	4.41	21.9%	10.5%	63	+0.76	3.65	156	91
Austin Cates R 2026 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP-	3.95	19.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	110	91
Zach Peek R 2027 · 3.60 FIP	23	SP-	3.60	22.8%	10.1%	2.1%	.339	3.55	17.5%	9.8%	45	-0.05	3.55	205	91
Luke Russo R 2027 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	21.7%	11.1%	1.9%	.326	3.92	21.5%	10.2%	38	+0.20	3.72	139	91
David Festa R 2026 · 3.66 FIP	22	SP-	3.66	19.9%	9.5%	1.9%	.275	3.74	26.6%	17.0%	302	+0.08	3.66	405	90
Kenten Egbert R 2027 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP-	4.23	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.02	10.6%	4.0%	101	-0.21	4.02	199	89
Mason Hickman R 2026 · 4.73 FIP	22	SP-	4.73	20.2%	10.2%	3.7%	.288	5.45	24.0%	10.8%	181	+0.72	4.73	300	89
Rorik Maltrud R 2028 · 3.89 FIP	24	SP-	3.89	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.44	18.2%	7.0%	78	+0.55	3.89	183	89
Tyler Uberstine R 2027 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	19.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.302	4.38	23.2%	14.7%	121	+0.23	4.15	212	89
Javi Rivera R 2026 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	22.3%	7.9%	3.0%	.259	3.72	18.6%	9.0%	93	-0.13	2.77	186	89
Cory Abbott R 2026 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP-	3.89	21.2%	9.7%	2.5%	.298	4.60	23.3%	12.3%	260	+0.71	3.83	703	89
Jason Bahr R 2027 · 3.79 FIP	23	SP-	3.79	20.3%	8.2%	2.5%	.297	4.07	20.3%	7.1%	155	+0.28	3.32	315	89

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.5	$23M	+$22M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.5	$23M	+$22M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.4	$23M	+$22M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.3	$23M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.1	$21M	+$14M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+1.9	$20M	+$10M
Totals		$24M		$132M	+$109M