Kelvin Perez — OGILVIE

Kelvin Perez P FCL Braves

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%22.1%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	15	0	21	90	17	9	4	0%	1.4	12.8%	12.5%	0.3%	6.2%	6.00	7.01	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	15	0	21	90	17	9	4	0%	1.4	18.9%	10.0%	8.9%	4.4%	6.00	5.24	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	38	167	24	13	1	0%	1.9	10.6%	9.6%	1.0%	0.9%	2.37	3.90	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	38	167	24	13	1	0%	1.9	14.4%	7.8%	6.6%	0.6%	2.37	3.21	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	30	145	26	7	8	0%	1.2	12.6%	5.8%	6.8%	6.4%	7.42	6.27	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	30	145	26	7	8	0%	1.2	12.6%	5.8%	6.8%	6.4%	7.42	6.27	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	30	145	26	7	8	0%	1.2	17.9%	4.8%	13.1%	5.5%	7.42	5.51	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	TOR	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.1%	14.0%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TOR	19	0	20	84	19	7	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.1%	14.3%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	+0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	TOR	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.1%	14.3%	3.0%	4.29	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.1%	14.3%	3.0%	4.29	3.91	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	22.4%	8.1%	14.3%	3.0%	4.29	3.91	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		61	0	89	402	48	36	16	0%	1.5	11.9%	8.9%	3.0%	4.1%	4.94	5.45	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	0	200	900	107	80	37	0%	1.5	11.9%	8.9%	3.0%	4.1%	4.94	5.45	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kelvin Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	22.1%	8.1%	3.0%	—	4.29	22.4%	14.3%	20	-0.02	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	90
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	89
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	88
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	85
Matt Carasiti R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	22.2%	7.6%	2.7%	.313	3.36	23.4%	12.8%	93	-0.32	2.80	312	85
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	83
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	83
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	83
Colton Hock R 2021 · 3.77 FIP	25	SU	3.77	21.3%	7.2%	2.8%	.304	3.83	17.7%	11.7%	60	+0.06	3.29	253	83
Joe Colón J R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	19.4%	7.4%	1.6%	.312	4.07	20.7%	7.8%	65	+0.80	3.27	113	83
Daniel Corcino R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.2%	7.5%	3.2%	.238	4.76	19.4%	8.2%	263	+0.39	3.84	299	82
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	82
Will Vest R 2019 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	21.8%	8.5%	2.5%	.282	3.65	20.9%	11.9%	124	-0.06	2.56	448	82
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	82
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	82
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82