Parks Harber — OGILVIE

Parks Harber3B Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 217 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION298 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†111

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .320 / .433

PA198

HR7

K%30

BB%9

BABIP331

ISO186

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

DEFENSE40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$15M	+$14M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$14M	+$13M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$12M	+$9M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$10M	+$6M
2032	Arb-3	$8M	+1.6	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$20M		$75M	+$62M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	83	15	5	1	1	10	37	1	4	0	181	277	301	578	120	304	39	11	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	78	21	7	2	1	15	24	1	4	0	269	394	449	842	179	370	25	16	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	419	370	91	18	3	14	39	124	8	7	2	246	331	424	755	178	329	30	9	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	419	351	117	30	3	16	58	99	8	7	2	333	439	573	1.011	239	424	24	14	440	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	SF	—	298	268	63	16	1	11	24	94	2	2	2	235	303	425	728	190	311	32	8	311	96	-1	-0	+0	+1	+8	0.8
YTD	24	AA	SF	—	298	257	73	20	1	12	35	73	2	2	2	284	374	510	884	226	347	24	12	384	152	+17	-0	+0	+1	+8	2.7
ROS	24	AA	SF	2%	198	177	44	10	1	7	17	60	2	2	1	248	320	433	754	186	328	30	9	330	111	+2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.8
ROS	24	MLB	SF	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		322	25	0	317	101	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	AA	SF	—	302	272	64	16	1	11	24	95	2	2	2	235	302	423	725	188	312	31	8	311	96	-1	-0	-0	+1	+9	0.8
TOT	24	AA	SF	—	496	445	107	26	2	18	41	154	4	4	3	240	310	429	738	188	319	31	8	319	102	+1	-0	-1	+2	+14	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SF	46%	497	446	110	25	3	17	43	145	5	5	2	247	320	430	750	184	324	29	9	332	112	+7	+0	-2	+2	+14	2.1
2028	26	MLB	SF	66%	510	455	114	26	3	18	45	147	5	5	2	251	325	440	764	189	322	29	9	333	113	+7	+0	-3	+2	+14	2.2
2029	27	MLB	SF	73%	515	459	115	26	3	18	46	147	5	5	2	251	325	438	763	187	320	29	9	333	113	+7	+0	-3	+2	+15	2.2
2030	28	MLB	SF	77%	514	458	113	25	3	18	46	146	5	4	2	247	322	432	755	186	319	28	9	331	112	+7	+0	-3	+2	+15	2.0
2031	29	MLB	SF	77%	510	454	110	25	2	17	46	146	5	4	2	242	319	419	737	176	318	29	9	329	110	+6	+0	-4	+2	+14	1.8
2032	30	MLB	SF	77%	503	447	108	24	2	17	46	146	5	4	2	242	319	418	738	177	316	29	9	326	108	+4	+0	-5	+2	+14	1.6
2033	31	MLB	SF	76%	496	443	106	24	2	16	45	145	5	3	1	239	316	411	727	172	313	29	9	322	105	+3	+0	-5	+2	+14	1.4
2034	32	MLB	SF	76%	487	436	101	22	2	15	44	144	4	3	1	232	308	394	702	163	309	30	9	316	100	+0	+0	-6	+2	+14	1.0
2035	33	MLB	SF	76%	421	376	86	18	2	13	38	127	4	2	1	229	306	391	697	162	304	30	9	308	94	-3	+0	-6	+2	+12	0.4
2027	25	MLB	SF	46%	228	204	49	11	1	8	20	67	2	2	1	240	314	422	736	181	318	29	9	319	102	+1	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.7
2028	26	MLB	SF	66%	338	302	73	16	2	11	30	97	3	3	1	242	316	417	734	175	315	29	9	320	103	+1	+0	-2	+1	+10	1.1
2029	27	MLB	SF	73%	377	336	82	18	2	13	34	107	4	3	2	244	321	426	746	182	314	28	9	319	102	+1	-0	-2	+1	+11	1.1
2030	28	MLB	SF	77%	395	352	85	19	2	13	36	113	4	3	2	241	319	418	736	176	312	29	9	318	102	+1	-0	-3	+1	+11	1.1
2031	29	MLB	SF	77%	391	349	84	19	2	13	35	112	4	3	2	241	317	418	735	178	311	29	9	316	100	+0	-0	-3	+1	+11	0.9
2032	30	MLB	SF	77%	385	343	81	18	2	12	35	111	4	3	1	236	314	405	719	169	310	29	9	313	98	-1	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.8
2033	31	MLB	SF	76%	379	339	80	18	2	12	34	111	3	2	1	236	311	407	718	171	307	29	9	309	95	-2	+0	-4	+1	+11	0.6
2034	32	MLB	SF	76%	372	332	77	17	2	11	34	110	3	2	1	232	309	395	704	163	303	30	9	304	91	-4	+0	-5	+1	+11	0.3
2035	33	MLB	SF	76%	322	287	64	14	1	9	29	97	3	1	1	223	301	373	674	150	298	30	9	297	85	-5	-0	-5	+1	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3191	2848	676	150	16	102	287	926	30	22	12	237	314	409	722	171	312	29	9	313	97	-9	-0	-27	+11	+90	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	138	31	3	21	58	189	6	4	2	238	313	410	724	172	314	29	9	313	97	-2	+0	-6	+2	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	5165	4604	1113	248	27	171	465	1514	54	48	18	242	319	419	737	177	320	29	9	325	107	+41	+2	-38	+18	+146	17.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	140	31	3	22	59	191	7	6	2	242	319	420	739	178	320	29	9	325	107	+5	+0	-5	+2	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	78	21	7	2	1	15	24	1	4	0	269	394	449	842	179	370	25	16	373	144	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2025	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	260	222	73	17	1	10	32	57	4	2	1	329	422	550	972	221	401	22	12	424	183	+24	+0	—	—	+7	3.2
2025	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	83	69	21	4	2	3	12	22	2	4	1	304	422	551	972	246	409	27	14	425	184	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	76	60	23	9	0	3	14	20	2	1	0	383	513	683	1.196	300	541	26	18	513	251	+13	+0	—	—	+2	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	11	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
	/162	664	20	11	251	330	422	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#2Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	9	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
	/162	664	27	6	242	311	438	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#3Travis Shawlast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,671 PA	7	2,671	114	20	239	322	441	+4	+6	13.4	13.4
	/162	664	28	5	239	322	441	+1.1	+1.6	3.3	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,194	107	24	243	315	420	+11	-24	12.3	11.4
	/162	664	22	5	243	315	420	+2.4	-5.0	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	8	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
	/162	664	33	3	235	309	447	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Yangervis Solartelast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,645 PA	6	2,645	75	6	258	315	408	+9	+3	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	19	2	258	315	408	+2.4	+0.7	2.4	pk7: 9
#6Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Parks Harber (OGILVIE)	24	47	55	35	53	240/310/429	188	319	18	4	31%	8%	102	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tanner Nishioka 2019 · A	24	53	50→55	45	42	260/316/418	158	334	17	6	26%	6%	108	+2.3	215/272/328	113	316	11	7	34%	4%	66	-0.6	181/238/275	94	278	11	5	37%	3%	38	-0.9
✕Max Ramirez 2009 · MLB	24	52	53→55	44→40	49	260/341/437	178	335	21	3	28%	10%	123	+3.3	223/295/347	124	305	14	3	30%	8%	81	+0.4	247/320/393	145	287	16	2	19%	9%	101	+1.0
★Domingo Santana 2017 · MLB	24	50→57	53→60	40→50	46	243/323/417	174	349	21	6	34%	10%	110	+2.4	256/339/446	190	367	23	10	33%	11%	124	+3.4	256/340/445	190	367	24	10	34%	11%	121	+2.8
●Josh Jung 2022 · AAA	24	53→51	55→60	45	43	269/321/459	190	327	22	6	25%	6%	121	+3.2	251/297/444	193	324	25	6	30%	5%	107	+2.2	262/312/407	145	321	17	5	23%	6%	101	+1.1
●James Darnell 2011 · AA	24	51→53	51→55	45→40	51	257/329/421	164	302	18	5	21%	9%	114	+2.7	242/304/421	179	282	22	5	22%	8%	104	+2.0	237/304/440	203	264	28	3	22%	8%	108	+1.3
✕Josmil Pinto 2014 · MLB	25	52→59	52→55	40	48	262/320/430	168	311	19	2	22%	8%	112	+2.6	237/297/384	147	289	17	2	23%	7%	91	+1.1	217/277/352	136	266	16	0	24%	7%	71	-0.1
●Tyler Flowers 2009 · A	23	49→55	49→55	41→40	50	242/318/395	153	311	15	5	26%	10%	102	+1.9	231/320/393	162	321	17	4	31%	10%	103	+1.9	259/360/408	148	335	17	0	25%	10%	121	+1.8
✕Zach Lutz 2011 · AAA	25	46→48	52→55	39→30	47	235/309/400	165	302	19	3	28%	9%	100	+1.7	239/308/392	153	330	17	2	31%	8%	98	+1.6	232/306/372	140	327	15	0	31%	9%	89	+0.6
●Jhonny Peralta 2007 · MLB	25	54→64	50→55	37→40	51	266/335/430	164	328	17	2	23%	9%	118	+3.0	266/330/427	161	321	18	3	22%	8%	115	+2.8	287/344/457	170	331	18	1	19%	8%	124	+3.1
✕Michael McKenry 2009 · A	24	42→47	52→55	38→40	47	222/296/395	173	274	20	4	27%	8%	94	+1.3	219/282/356	137	276	15	3	25%	7%	77	+0.1	241/316/409	168	288	21	2	23%	9%	102	+0.7
✕Joe Gaetti 2006 · A	24	51→52	55	43→45	42	252/318/444	192	351	21	6	33%	8%	115	+2.8	232/293/402	170	325	20	6	33%	7%	94	+1.3	220/281/389	170	308	20	5	34%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2009 · MLB	24	50→53	48→60	40	49	246/318/392	147	318	16	3	27%	9%	102	+1.8	231/293/394	163	304	19	3	29%	8%	92	+1.2	232/311/417	185	312	22	2	31%	10%	101	+1.4
●Willy Adames 2021 · MLB	25	51→52	53→65	44→50	46	253/317/426	173	331	20	7	29%	8%	110	+2.4	251/322/466	215	314	27	7	28%	9%	123	+3.3	236/326/443	207	281	27	11	26%	11%	115	+3.1
✕Kyle Parker 2014 · AA	24	47→52	52→55	41→45	44	242/300/409	167	303	21	4	27%	7%	99	+1.7	219/262/341	122	299	13	6	30%	5%	64	-0.8	205/247/313	107	286	11	5	31%	5%	48	-1.3
●Devin Mesoraco 2012 · MLB	24	44→49	53→60	42→40	44	230/284/406	176	271	20	3	24%	6%	92	+1.2	234/295/395	161	269	19	3	20%	7%	93	+1.3	233/324/433	200	262	26	1	22%	9%	110	+1.3
✕Tyler Gentry 2023 · AA	24	52→55	54→50	46→50	45	257/334/437	180	345	23	9	31%	8%	121	+3.2	222/293/365	143	308	16	10	31%	8%	85	+0.7	200/273/332	132	280	14	10	32%	8%	64	-0.6
✕Sergio Pedroza 2008 · A	24	45→47	56→60	38→45	45	231/313/427	196	301	23	3	30%	8%	110	+2.4	224/293/352	128	307	13	11	29%	7%	81	+0.4	221/291/327	106	289	11	12	26%	7%	71	-0.1
●Danny Valencia 2009 · AA	24	52→59	48→60	43→40	41	257/299/400	144	335	15	4	28%	6%	95	+1.4	260/301/395	135	311	12	3	20%	6%	95	+1.4	279/339/462	183	335	23	2	23%	8%	125	+2.7
●Khalil Greene 2004 · MLB	24	47→54	51→60	45	45	237/300/403	166	294	18	8	26%	7%	97	+1.5	257/325/430	173	294	18	6	18%	8%	115	+2.7	255/324/430	175	290	18	6	18%	8%	108	+1.9
●Pedro Álvarez 2011 · MLB	24	46	56→60	42→45	44	239/302/433	194	316	24	4	31%	8%	105	+2.1	232/302/422	190	306	24	3	31%	9%	103	+1.9	238/310/455	217	291	31	4	29%	9%	108	+2.1