Javier Rivas

SS Altoona Curve

Age 24 R/R 6'6" / 165 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AAPIT	118	.209/.243/.355	3	0	34	—	.189/.217/.324
2025	22	A+PIT	389	.266/.323/.460	18	4	72	—	.224/.268/.373
2026	23	AAPIT	313	.222/.265/.389	10	3	48	—	.195/.229/.323
2026	23	INTLTiburones de …	32	.310/.375/.483	0	0	144	—
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBPIT	6	.198/.233/.327	0	0	56	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBPIT	104	.202/.240/.338	3	1	61	-0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBPIT	171	.205/.245/.345	5	1	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO61

Speed42

K%38

Whiff%27

Z-Con%20

wOBA18

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsGabriel Quintana (age 24) · Gavin LaValley (age 24) · Will Banfield (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .233 / .327

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%3

BABIP259

ISO128

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	192	173	23	5	1	0	11	56	7	6	4	133	215	173	388	40	195	29	6	189	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	175	155	41	9	0	5	10	43	8	4	1	265	341	419	760	155	330	25	6	339	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	215	196	37	4	0	2	13	84	2	1	0	189	246	240	486	51	310	39	6	223	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	188	165	47	11	1	2	14	43	7	7	6	285	366	400	766	115	369	23	7	344	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	35	32	4	0	1	0	0	14	2	0	0	125	176	188	364	62	222	40	0	166	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	367	336	75	19	1	12	16	118	12	7	3	223	283	393	676	170	306	32	4	299	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	118	110	23	7	0	3	3	26	2	0	0	209	243	355	598	145	241	22	3	259	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	389	354	94	13	1	18	19	92	11	4	1	266	323	460	783	195	306	24	5	342	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	313	293	65	13	3	10	15	83	2	3	1	222	265	389	654	167	271	27	5	286	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	32	29	9	5	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	310	375	483	858	172	409	22	6	380	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	—	192	177	13	3	0	0	7	71	7	6	4	73	141	90	232	17	120	37	4	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	175	159	30	6	0	4	6	58	8	4	1	189	254	302	556	113	248	33	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	215	200	30	3	0	1	9	110	2	1	0	150	194	180	374	30	300	51	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	188	171	33	7	1	1	8	65	7	7	6	193	258	263	521	70	287	35	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	35	32	3	0	1	0	0	18	2	0	0	94	147	156	303	62	196	51	0	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	367	341	56	12	1	8	11	164	12	7	3	164	217	276	493	111	272	45	3	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	118	111	21	6	0	3	2	34	2	0	0	189	217	324	542	135	218	29	2	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	389	362	81	10	1	14	11	121	11	4	1	224	268	373	641	149	280	31	3	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	313	297	58	11	3	7	11	101	2	3	1	195	229	323	552	128	260	32	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	—	192	177	13	3	0	0	7	71	7	6	4	73	141	90	232	17	121	37	4	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Black	—	192	173	23	5	1	0	11	56	7	6	4	133	215	173	388	40	195	29	6	189	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	175	159	30	6	0	4	6	58	8	4	1	189	254	302	556	113	263	33	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	175	155	41	9	0	5	10	43	8	4	1	265	341	419	760	155	330	25	6	339	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	403	370	64	10	1	3	18	175	9	8	6	173	229	230	459	57	310	43	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	403	361	84	15	1	4	27	127	9	8	6	233	302	313	615	80	340	32	7	279	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	402	373	59	12	2	8	11	182	14	7	3	158	211	265	476	107	279	45	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	402	368	79	19	2	12	16	132	14	7	3	215	274	375	649	160	299	33	4	288	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	507	473	102	16	1	17	13	155	13	4	1	216	257	362	618	146	277	31	3	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	507	464	117	20	1	21	22	118	13	4	1	252	305	435	740	183	290	23	4	323	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	345	327	64	12	3	8	12	112	3	3	1	196	231	324	555	128	267	32	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	345	322	74	18	3	10	17	90	3	3	1	230	275	398	672	168	284	26	5	295	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	—	192	176	13	3	0	0	7	71	7	6	4	74	141	91	232	17	120	37	4	112	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	175	159	30	6	0	4	6	58	8	4	1	189	254	302	556	113	248	33	3	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	403	373	64	10	1	3	18	175	9	8	6	172	229	228	457	56	294	43	4	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	402	374	59	12	2	8	11	182	14	7	3	158	211	265	476	107	265	45	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	507	476	102	16	1	17	13	155	13	4	1	214	257	359	616	145	266	31	3	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	345	327	64	12	3	8	12	112	3	3	1	196	231	324	555	128	260	32	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	402	374	59	12	2	8	11	182	14	7	3	158	211	265	476	107	265	45	3	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	507	476	102	16	1	17	13	155	13	4	1	214	257	359	616	145	266	31	3	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	345	327	64	12	3	8	12	112	3	3	1	196	231	324	555	128	260	32	3	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	2%	363	344	69	12	2	10	11	111	5	3	1	199	235	334	568	134	259	31	3	251	56	-19	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	198	233	327	560	129	259	33	0	248	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	31%	336	317	65	11	2	10	11	101	5	3	1	204	241	345	587	142	261	30	3	259	61	-15	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	PIT	45%	383	361	75	13	2	12	14	114	5	3	1	206	246	353	599	146	263	30	4	264	65	-16	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	PIT	49%	403	379	78	14	2	12	16	119	5	3	1	207	249	353	602	145	264	30	4	266	66	-16	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	412	387	80	14	2	12	17	121	5	2	1	208	251	351	602	144	264	29	4	266	66	-16	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	31%	104	99	21	4	1	3	3	31	1	1	0	202	240	338	578	136	261	30	3	256	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	PIT	45%	171	161	33	6	1	5	6	51	2	1	0	205	245	345	590	140	263	30	4	261	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	PIT	49%	198	185	39	7	1	6	8	58	3	1	0	206	248	346	593	140	264	29	4	263	66	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	213	199	42	8	1	6	9	62	3	1	0	206	249	344	594	138	265	29	4	263	66	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	686	644	135	25	4	20	26	202	9	4	0	210	250	354	604	144	270	29	4	261	47	-28	+1	-0	+7	+15	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	610	128	24	4	19	25	191	9	4	0	210	252	356	608	146	270	29	4	261	47	-27	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3855	3605	685	121	16	94	134	1299	78	46	21	190	235	311	546	121	264	34	3	238	47	-79	+1	-1	+20	+40	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	608	116	20	3	16	23	219	13	8	4	191	236	312	549	122	265	34	4	238	47	-28	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Todd Cruz'78-'84 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,634 PA	2.5	1,634	34	9	215*	250*	348*	+13	+35	0.5	0.5
/162	664	14	4	+5.4	+14.2	0.2	pk7: 0
#3Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	692	21	5	208	246	353	+7	+6	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	20	4	+7.1	+5.8	-0.2	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Rivas (OGILVIE)	24	45	55	45	20	198/233/331	133	259	8	3	31%	3%	56	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gabriel Quintana 2017 · AA	24	39→44	50→55	42→45	32	207/237/361	154	280	18	4	33%	3%	64	-1.3	203/237/340	137	293	15	4	35%	3%	59	-1.6	192/223/325	132	279	15	1	36%	3%	49	-1.3
✕Gavin LaValley 2019 · AA	24	40→46	47→50	44→40	40	207/257/337	130	274	15	3	30%	6%	66	-1.1	208/269/322	114	292	12	5	31%	7%	67	-1.1	199/265/303	104	281	10	2	31%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Will Banfield 2024 · AA	24	37	48→50	48→30	35	198/234/334	136	260	16	4	31%	4%	57	-1.8	204/243/313	109	283	12	3	31%	4%	55	-2.0	195/235/287	92	273	10	0	31%	4%	44	-1.5
✕Julio E. Rodriguez 2021 · AA	24	43	44→45	47→30	38	216/251/328	112	280	12	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	210/276/328	118	279	15	5	29%	8%	72	-0.7	190/266/312	122	252	19	2	31%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jacob Scavuzzo 2018 · AA	24	42→49	47→55	45	36	215/255/349	133	284	16	6	30%	4%	68	-1.0	206/249/376	170	278	22	10	34%	4%	73	-0.6	191/234/379	189	246	27	10	35%	4%	66	-0.6
✕Gabriel Cancel 2021 · AA	24	40→46	47→50	50	37	207/255/341	133	283	15	11	32%	5%	66	-1.1	195/250/323	128	303	14	16	38%	6%	60	-1.6	174/239/298	124	269	15	16	39%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Jiandido Tromp 2018 · AA	24	43→48	48→50	47→45	38	222/259/370	148	286	15	9	28%	4%	74	-0.5	217/269/324	107	301	9	8	29%	6%	67	-1.1	194/257/266	71	281	5	5	30%	7%	47	-1.5
✕Micah Schnurstein 2008 · AA	24	42→47	49→50	42→45	40	216/260/360	145	262	16	7	25%	5%	73	-0.6	210/258/324	114	258	11	9	23%	5%	63	-1.3	190/234/261	70	231	6	11	20%	4%	37	-1.7
✕Lucas May 2009 · AA	24	38→43	50→55	46→45	38	204/250/356	151	263	18	6	30%	5%	68	-1.0	219/273/355	136	288	15	6	28%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/348	133	283	14	4	28%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Jonathan Greene 2010 · AA	24	37→47	51→50	47→40	35	198/265/353	155	277	20	5	35%	5%	74	-0.5	208/264/337	129	309	15	5	36%	4%	70	-0.9	205/259/319	115	313	13	3	37%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Steven Proscia 2014 · AA	24	41→48	49→50	48→50	36	217/252/356	139	277	18	12	29%	4%	69	-0.9	205/250/332	127	267	15	10	29%	5%	63	-1.4	187/233/315	128	235	17	7	28%	4%	51	-1.8
✕Jarek Cunningham 2014 · AA	24	36→39	47→50	47→45	36	190/241/324	134	260	15	8	33%	5%	57	-1.8	201/255/332	131	279	13	7	32%	6%	64	-1.3	195/252/325	130	269	12	4	31%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Cristian Santana 2021 · AA	24	46→51	46→50	45→30	33	233/257/354	121	310	15	3	30%	3%	69	-0.9	253/285/351	98	335	9	3	26%	4%	79	-0.2	259/293/349	89	344	8	1	26%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Sebastian Valle 2014 · AAA	24	39→45	44→45	40	34	202/229/312	110	275	12	3	32%	3%	49	-2.4	214/245/319	105	286	10	3	28%	4%	57	-1.8	217/269/329	111	291	11	2	28%	6%	66	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Durán 2022 · AAA	24	38	45→50	47→45	38	198/234/321	123	253	14	5	28%	4%	53	-2.1	213/255/354	141	272	15	4	27%	5%	70	-0.9	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Jonathon Fixler 2010 · AA	24	37	49→55	43→40	39	199/256/343	144	255	17	4	29%	5%	68	-1.0	212/273/346	134	290	14	6	31%	6%	74	-0.5	194/264/334	141	276	15	2	34%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Luis De Los Santos 2022 · A	24	42→50	46→45	41→45	35	214/255/344	130	292	13	6	31%	4%	67	-1.1	224/282/339	115	303	11	7	28%	6%	76	-0.4	222/288/333	111	299	11	7	28%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Angel Villalona 2015 · AA	24	38→43	48→50	45→30	35	199/243/337	138	261	16	2	30%	4%	61	-1.5	197/252/323	126	267	15	4	31%	5%	61	-1.5	179/238/307	128	229	18	0	31%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Todd Glaesmann 2016 · AAA	25	42→44	48→50	49→50	36	217/251/365	147	276	15	8	28%	4%	70	-0.8	213/250/347	134	279	14	8	28%	4%	65	-1.2	208/240/338	130	260	14	6	26%	3%	57	-1.2
✕Emilio Guerrero 2017 · AA	24	44→42	44→45	48→45	37	219/259/343	124	297	11	7	30%	5%	68	-1.0	228/270/338	110	300	9	7	26%	5%	70	-0.8	234/270/321	86	307	5	3	24%	4%	62	-0.7

Javier Rivas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps