Angel Villalona
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 23 | AA/ROK/INTL3 orgs | 439 | .224/.284/.373 | 10 | 1 | 50 | — | .194/.240/.313 |
| 2015 | 24 | AA/A+SF | 354 | .230/.311/.399 | 13 | 0 | 51 | — | .183/.245/.316 |
| 2016 | 25 | AASF | 64 | .143/.250/.232 | 1 | 0 | 5 | — | .138/.219/.224 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 16 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 224 | 200 | 57 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 285 | 350 | 450 | 800 | 165 | 331 | 19 | 7 | 349 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 500 | 464 | 122 | 29 | 0 | 17 | 18 | 119 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 313 | 435 | 749 | 172 | 318 | 24 | 4 | 331 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 310 | 292 | 78 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 73 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 307 | 397 | 705 | 130 | 327 | 24 | 3 | 315 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | DSL Giants | — | 193 | 155 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 435 | 497 | 931 | 194 | 364 | 21 | 12 | 413 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 37 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 394 | 745 | 121 | 348 | 24 | 8 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 209 | 196 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 275 | 413 | 689 | 179 | 292 | 29 | 4 | 301 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 309 | 284 | 65 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 76 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 282 | 433 | 715 | 204 | 258 | 25 | 5 | 311 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 75 | 70 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 230 | 229 | 458 | 43 | 265 | 29 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 400 | 365 | 83 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 94 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 291 | 381 | 672 | 153 | 278 | 24 | 6 | 300 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 22 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 273 | 409 | 682 | 136 | 316 | 14 | 0 | 299 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 125 | 133 | 258 | 67 | 100 | 35 | 6 | 117 | -35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 61 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 186 | 179 | 365 | 36 | 195 | 28 | 5 | 165 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 293 | 257 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 64 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 337 | 447 | 784 | 198 | 280 | 22 | 10 | 347 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 64 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 232 | 482 | 89 | 200 | 31 | 9 | 232 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 16 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 224 | 205 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 264 | 327 | 590 | 117 | 262 | 27 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 500 | 472 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 160 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 261 | 352 | 613 | 131 | 298 | 32 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 310 | 296 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 98 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 269 | 348 | 617 | 111 | 322 | 32 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Giants | — | 193 | 165 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 288 | 261 | 549 | 85 | 214 | 25 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 209 | 198 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 232 | 333 | 565 | 136 | 271 | 36 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 309 | 290 | 54 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 103 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 226 | 372 | 599 | 186 | 219 | 33 | 3 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 400 | 374 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 113 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 244 | 316 | 559 | 120 | 255 | 28 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 22 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 182 | 273 | 455 | 91 | 232 | 18 | 0 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 61 | 57 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 169 | 175 | 345 | 35 | 190 | 34 | 3 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 293 | 266 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 87 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 261 | 346 | 607 | 154 | 233 | 30 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 64 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 219 | 224 | 443 | 86 | 186 | 39 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 16 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 224 | 205 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 264 | 327 | 590 | 117 | 269 | 27 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 16 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 224 | 200 | 57 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 285 | 350 | 450 | 800 | 165 | 331 | 19 | 7 | 349 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 500 | 472 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 160 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 220 | 261 | 352 | 613 | 131 | 302 | 32 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 500 | 464 | 122 | 29 | 0 | 17 | 18 | 119 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 263 | 313 | 435 | 749 | 172 | 318 | 24 | 4 | 331 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 310 | 296 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 98 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 269 | 348 | 617 | 111 | 325 | 32 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A+ RAW | San Jose Giants | — | 310 | 292 | 78 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 73 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 307 | 397 | 705 | 130 | 327 | 24 | 3 | 315 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 199 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 281 | 266 | 547 | 90 | 223 | 25 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 230 | 188 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 49 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 298 | 421 | 479 | 900 | 181 | 361 | 21 | 11 | 401 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 593 | 559 | 106 | 24 | 0 | 23 | 17 | 204 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 227 | 356 | 583 | 166 | 245 | 34 | 3 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 593 | 550 | 124 | 30 | 0 | 22 | 26 | 158 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 273 | 400 | 673 | 175 | 271 | 27 | 4 | 295 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 439 | 411 | 82 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 122 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 245 | 328 | 574 | 129 | 258 | 28 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 439 | 402 | 90 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 103 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 284 | 373 | 658 | 149 | 274 | 23 | 5 | 293 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 323 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 108 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 246 | 316 | 562 | 133 | 231 | 31 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 354 | 313 | 72 | 14 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 81 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 311 | 399 | 711 | 169 | 265 | 23 | 9 | 316 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 64 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 219 | 224 | 443 | 86 | 219 | 39 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 64 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 232 | 482 | 89 | 200 | 31 | 9 | 232 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 16 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 224 | 207 | 43 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 264 | 324 | 587 | 116 | 262 | 27 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 500 | 470 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 160 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 261 | 353 | 614 | 132 | 298 | 32 | 2 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 310 | 294 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 98 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 269 | 350 | 619 | 112 | 322 | 32 | 2 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 199 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 58 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 281 | 266 | 547 | 90 | 214 | 25 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 593 | 561 | 106 | 24 | 0 | 23 | 17 | 204 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 227 | 355 | 582 | 166 | 240 | 34 | 3 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 439 | 411 | 82 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 122 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 245 | 328 | 574 | 129 | 254 | 28 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 324 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 108 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 246 | 315 | 561 | 133 | 226 | 31 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 64 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 219 | 224 | 443 | 86 | 186 | 39 | 6 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2714 | 2523 | 507 | 100 | 6 | 73 | 97 | 835 | 71 | 4 | 5 | 201 | 251 | 332 | 583 | 131 | 265 | 31 | 4 | 252 | 57 | -139 | -1 | +0 | -48 | +59 | -13.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 121 | 24 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 200 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 328 | 578 | 127 | 265 | 31 | 4 | 252 | 57 | -33 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 64 PAwOBA .226 → .175 (−52)K% 31.2% → 39.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.155 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.89% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 13.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.975 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 95, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .226 → .175; ISO .089 → .069; BABIP .200 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+San Jose Giants · 293 PAwOBA .339 → .263 (−76)K% 21.8% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.84% | ÷0.983 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.05% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.21% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷1.071 | ×0.820 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 5.88% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .339 → .263; ISO .198 → .157; BABIP .280 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 61 PAwOBA .167 → .150 (−17)K% 27.9% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.87% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.92% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 15.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .167 → .150; ISO .036 → .032; BABIP .195 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 400 PAwOBA .292 → .249 (−44)K% 23.5% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.50% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.50% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.82% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 17.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷0.983 | ×0.860 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.061 | ×0.950 | ×0.979 | ×1.012 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.69% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.17% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .292 → .249; ISO .153 → .129; BABIP .278 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Giants · 22 PAwOBA .290 → .196 (−94)K% 13.6% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 12.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 10.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .290 → .196; ISO .136 → .087; BABIP .316 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+San Jose Giants · 309 PAwOBA .305 → .254 (−52)K% 24.6% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.60% | ÷0.992 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.53% | ÷1.063 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.83% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 14.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.73% | ÷0.866 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 7.13% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 98, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .305 → .254; ISO .204 → .188; BABIP .258 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 209 PAwOBA .296 → .243 (−52)K% 28.7% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.71% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.83% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.85% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.09% | ÷1.030 | ×0.860 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 6.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .296 → .243; ISO .179 → .141; BABIP .292 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 DSLDSL Giants · 193 PAwOBA .401 → .250 (−152)K% 20.7% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.965 | 6.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.74% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.965 | 4.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | 16.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.965 | 2.76% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 18.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .401 → .250; ISO .194 → .100; BABIP .364 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .