Ryan Spikes

2B Montgomery Biscuits

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AATB	58	.189/.259/.321	1	4	26	—	.167/.224/.296
2025	22	A+TB	251	.259/.306/.461	12	11	65	—	.208/.246/.381
2026	23	AATB	302	.221/.276/.368	7	21	44	—	.189/.233/.302
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBTB	6	.190/.231/.313	0	0	50	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBTB	102	.195/.239/.328	3	4	56	-0.2
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBTB	168	.199/.244/.338	5	6	61	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed97

ISO49

Z-Con%31

wRC+22

wOBA20

Whiff%18

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJase Bowen (age 23) · Jeudy Valdez (age 24) · Connor Lien (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .231 / .313

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%4

BABIP277

ISO126

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	47	40	10	3	0	1	6	13	1	4	1	250	362	400	762	150	346	28	13	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	326	290	66	11	3	10	26	105	8	17	5	228	309	390	698	162	316	32	8	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	501	441	95	15	6	10	51	154	5	28	8	215	303	345	648	129	304	31	10	293	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	INTL	Perth Heat	—	156	136	36	5	0	7	17	48	3	4	4	265	359	456	815	191	358	31	11	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	343	306	67	11	2	7	23	102	6	14	4	219	287	337	623	118	297	30	7	277	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	58	53	10	0	2	1	4	16	1	4	1	189	259	321	579	132	250	28	7	262	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	251	232	60	9	1	12	11	67	5	11	6	259	306	461	768	203	308	27	4	334	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	302	280	62	12	4	7	17	100	4	21	3	221	276	368	644	146	318	33	6	287	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	4	19	1	4	1	167	255	286	541	119	278	40	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	326	297	53	8	2	7	19	145	8	17	5	178	247	290	536	111	305	44	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	501	458	71	11	5	7	35	212	5	28	8	155	223	247	470	92	260	42	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	343	314	52	9	1	6	15	140	6	14	4	166	218	258	476	92	255	41	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	58	54	9	0	2	1	3	19	1	4	1	167	224	296	520	130	222	33	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	251	236	49	6	1	11	7	86	5	11	6	208	246	381	627	174	260	34	3	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	302	285	54	11	3	5	12	122	4	21	3	189	233	302	534	112	306	40	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	4	19	1	4	1	167	255	286	541	119	273	40	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	47	40	10	3	0	1	6	13	1	4	1	250	362	400	762	150	346	28	13	346	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	326	297	53	8	2	7	19	145	8	17	5	178	247	290	536	111	313	44	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	326	290	66	11	3	10	26	105	8	17	5	228	309	390	698	162	316	32	8	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	657	600	93	15	7	9	46	279	8	32	12	155	225	248	473	93	267	42	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	657	577	131	20	6	17	68	202	8	32	12	227	317	371	687	144	316	31	10	310	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	343	314	52	9	1	6	15	140	6	14	4	166	218	258	476	92	266	41	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	343	306	67	11	2	7	23	102	6	14	4	219	287	337	623	118	297	30	7	277	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	309	290	57	6	2	12	10	105	6	15	7	197	239	355	594	159	256	34	3	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	309	285	70	9	3	13	15	83	6	15	7	246	297	435	732	189	297	27	5	321	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	302	285	54	11	3	5	12	122	4	21	3	189	233	302	534	112	310	40	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	302	280	62	12	4	7	17	100	4	21	3	221	276	368	644	146	318	33	6	287	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	4	19	1	4	1	167	255	286	541	119	278	40	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	326	296	53	8	2	7	19	145	8	17	5	179	247	291	537	111	305	44	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	657	598	93	15	7	9	46	279	8	32	12	156	225	249	474	94	260	42	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	343	319	52	9	1	6	15	140	6	14	4	163	218	254	472	91	255	41	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	309	290	57	6	2	12	10	105	6	15	7	197	239	355	594	159	253	34	3	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	302	283	54	11	3	5	12	122	4	21	3	191	233	304	536	113	306	40	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	343	319	52	9	1	6	15	140	6	14	4	163	218	254	472	91	255	41	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	309	290	57	6	2	12	10	105	6	15	7	197	239	355	594	159	253	34	3	253	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	302	283	54	11	3	5	12	122	4	21	3	191	233	304	536	113	306	40	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	2%	352	331	64	11	3	9	13	128	5	13	3	189	230	313	543	125	274	36	4	242	50	-21	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	190	231	313	544	123	277	33	0	242	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	31%	328	308	59	10	2	9	13	117	4	12	3	194	237	329	566	135	275	36	4	251	56	-17	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	TB	45%	377	353	70	12	3	11	16	132	5	13	3	198	243	339	582	141	276	35	4	258	61	-18	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	TB	49%	398	372	74	13	3	11	18	137	5	14	3	199	246	340	585	141	276	34	5	260	62	-18	+2	+0	+1	+9	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	31%	102	96	19	3	1	3	4	36	1	4	1	195	239	328	566	133	278	35	4	251	56	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	TB	45%	168	157	31	5	1	5	7	59	2	6	1	199	244	338	582	139	279	35	4	258	61	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	TB	49%	196	183	36	6	1	5	9	68	2	7	2	200	247	338	585	138	280	35	5	260	62	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	466	436	86	14	3	13	20	163	5	17	4	197	241	333	573	135	278	35	4	257	46	-22	+2	+0	+2	+10	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	120	20	4	18	28	227	7	24	6	197	241	332	573	135	278	35	4	257	46	-31	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3374	3131	570	95	25	78	164	1301	51	152	44	182	235	303	538	121	278	39	5	237	46	-70	+5	+0	+5	+30	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	110	18	5	15	32	251	10	29	8	182	236	303	540	121	279	39	5	237	46	-33	+2	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	471	13	17	198	241	338	+2	+1	-0.6	-0.3
/162	664	19	23	+2.4	+1.4	-0.8	pk7: 0
#3Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Spikes (OGILVIE)	24	40	55	50	20	187/228/311	124	274	7	10	36%	4%	50	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Jeudy Valdez 2013 · AA	24	41→46	45→50	50→55	36	210/247/337	127	275	13	16	29%	4%	62	-1.4	208/250/319	111	273	10	13	27%	4%	59	-1.7	202/244/307	105	262	9	13	26%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Connor Lien 2018 · AA	24	38→48	43→45	53→55	31	185/238/297	112	317	11	19	43%	5%	50	-2.3	176/241/305	129	338	14	13	49%	6%	53	-2.1	139/217/265	125	284	15	10	52%	7%	33	-1.4
✕Brett Auerbach 2024 · AA	25	36→34	44→45	50→55	37	186/243/297	111	279	13	19	37%	6%	52	-2.2	214/278/321	107	308	9	14	31%	7%	70	-0.8	228/299/342	114	318	8	12	29%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Gabriel Cancel 2021 · AA	24	40→46	47→50	50	37	207/255/341	133	283	15	11	32%	5%	66	-1.1	195/250/323	128	303	14	16	38%	6%	60	-1.6	174/239/298	124	269	15	16	39%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Jordan Nwogu 2024 · AA	25	36	48→50	51→55	36	188/253/324	136	286	17	17	39%	6%	62	-1.4	206/267/304	98	294	10	22	31%	6%	62	-1.4	212/276/293	80	294	7	25	28%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Chris Amador 2007 · AA	24	44→45	43→50	53→55	34	217/258/329	111	303	11	20	32%	3%	64	-1.3	212/255/331	119	288	13	18	30%	4%	64	-1.3	204/248/327	122	273	14	19	30%	4%	57	-1.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Edward Salcedo 2015 · AAA	24	39→43	45	48→50	40	199/251/321	121	265	13	16	30%	6%	60	-1.6	207/260/314	107	262	10	11	24%	6%	61	-1.5	194/241/277	83	237	6	5	20%	6%	45	-1.2
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	35→44	48→50	56→55	32	181/235/320	139	288	15	20	42%	5%	54	-2.0	206/266/342	136	290	16	22	33%	6%	71	-0.8	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Bryce Teodosio 2023 · AA	24	38→48	44→45	54→65	34	179/249/288	109	324	13	24	46%	7%	53	-2.1	203/263/305	102	322	8	27	37%	6%	61	-1.5	219/273/322	104	319	6	42	32%	5%	66	-0.7
✕Bubba Starling 2017 · AAA	24	36→46	43→45	50	34	186/232/297	111	280	11	10	37%	5%	47	-2.5	209/253/323	114	287	12	10	30%	5%	61	-1.5	219/258/334	116	284	13	10	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA	24	40	44→50	55→60	37	197/257/316	119	307	11	20	38%	6%	61	-1.5	204/272/327	123	301	11	26	34%	7%	70	-0.9	195/271/326	131	284	11	34	33%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	40→41	43→50	47→45	37	200/251/306	107	303	12	10	37%	6%	57	-1.8	210/259/350	140	290	17	5	32%	6%	70	-0.9	196/242/331	135	260	17	2	31%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Will Wilson 2022 · AA	24	37→39	47→50	51→45	39	190/256/321	131	285	15	8	37%	7%	63	-1.4	204/263/327	123	281	15	6	32%	7%	66	-1.1	199/258/304	105	260	13	4	28%	7%	56	-1.3
✕Kenedy Corona 2024 · AA	24	41→42	48→50	54→55	41	211/269/351	141	285	16	24	31%	7%	74	-0.5	207/273/312	105	285	10	24	29%	7%	67	-1.1	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Ambiorix Concepcion 2006 · A	24	40→50	44→45	51→55	33	204/236/323	119	282	12	18	32%	3%	54	-2.0	220/255/316	96	307	7	19	29%	4%	59	-1.6	222/256/311	90	305	6	20	28%	4%	57	-1.4
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Julio Perez 2010 · A	24	41→40	46→50	46→50	33	210/240/337	127	285	14	11	32%	3%	59	-1.6	214/260/335	121	281	12	11	27%	5%	66	-1.1	195/249/315	119	246	11	10	25%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Jarek Cunningham 2014 · AA	24	36→39	47→50	47→45	36	190/241/324	134	260	15	8	33%	5%	57	-1.8	201/255/332	131	279	13	7	32%	6%	64	-1.3	195/252/325	130	269	12	4	31%	6%	60	-0.9

Ryan Spikes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps