Christian Little
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 235 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132122vR 113
ERA4.99
FIP4.99
K%20.9%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%8.5%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 71 | 293 | 73 | 32 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 19.6% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.95 | 5.16 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 71 | 293 | 73 | 32 | 4 | 100% | 4.2 | 24.9% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 3.95 | 3.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 25 | 0 | 33 | 129 | 40 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 1.89 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SEA | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 54 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 4.99 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 95 | 389 | 94 | 47 | 12 | — | — | 24.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 3.90 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.9% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 58 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 60 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 67 | 0 | 70 | 295 | 65 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.33 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 94 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.77 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 42 | 17 | 104 | 422 | 88 | 54 | 16 | 40% | 2.5 | 20.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 3.29 | 5.08 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 33 | 200 | 812 | 170 | 103 | 32 | 40% | 2.5 | 20.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 3.29 | 5.08 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian Little (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.99 | 20.9% | 12.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.73 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 127 | -0.26 | — | — | — |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 89 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 89 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | .269 | 4.23 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.33 | 3.60 | 301 | 87 |
| Corey Black R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.14 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 2.1% | .310 | 3.60 | 22.1% | 6.0% | 53 | -0.54 | 3.60 | 139 | 86 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 85 |
| Peyton Pallette R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 20.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .309 | 3.87 | 26.0% | 13.1% | 101 | -0.99 | 3.80 | 255 | 84 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2028 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 83 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 83 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 83 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Grant Ford R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 82 |
| William Kempner R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 82 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 81 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 81 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 81 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 80 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 80 |
| Blake Holub R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 21.7% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.90 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 156 | -0.41 | 3.31 | 236 | 80 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 1.19 | 4.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |