Blaze Jordan

1B Memphis Redbirds

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs AAA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANFG #648Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	AABOS	380	.261/.308/.388	7	2	66	—	.240/.279/.344
2025	22	AAASTL	368	.248/.293/.423	13	2	78	—	.236/.271/.385
2025	22	AABOS	176	.320/.417/.513	6	3	122	—	.293/.366/.427
2026	23	MLBSTL	199	.247/.282/.382	3	0	82	-0.8
2027PROJ45% MLB	24	MLBSTL	112	.261/.303/.415	3	1	100	0.1
2028PROJ53% MLB	25	MLBSTL	313	.262/.305/.421	8	2	103	0.2
2029PROJ58% MLB	26	MLBSTL	336	.261/.307/.423	9	2	104	0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.8 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$2M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Barrel%63

xwOBA57

Avg EV40

Speed16

CompsMatt Miller (age 24) · Brian Rey (age 24) · Wilmer Flores (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.261 / .303 / .415

PA112

HR3

K%12

BB%4

BABIP276

ISO162

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

680.266

POWER52

Barrel%

6310.1

Avg EV

4088.4

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED30

Sprint

1625.8

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.8M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	A	Salem Red Sox	—	38	36	9	1	0	2	2	8	0	0	0	250	289	444	734	194	269	21	5	323	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	76	69	25	7	1	4	6	13	0	1	0	362	413	667	1.080	304	396	17	8	459	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+	Greenville Drive	—	106	93	28	1	0	4	11	27	2	1	0	301	387	441	828	140	387	25	10	373	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	415	370	106	29	3	8	37	67	5	4	1	286	359	446	805	159	329	16	9	356	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	189	48	10	0	6	12	28	0	0	0	254	299	402	701	148	268	14	6	309	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	322	287	93	22	1	12	28	47	3	2	0	324	390	533	923	209	349	15	9	401	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	353	92	22	1	7	18	46	6	2	1	261	308	388	696	127	281	12	5	309	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	368	343	85	17	2	13	21	41	1	2	1	248	293	423	716	175	247	11	6	314	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	176	150	48	11	0	6	22	19	3	3	0	320	417	513	930	193	333	11	12	410	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	199	186	46	8	4	3	7	30	2	0	0	247	282	382	664	134	274	15	4	288	82	-4	+0	+0	-8	+4	-0.8
2026	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	252	230	72	19	1	11	19	29	3	2	2	313	373	548	921	235	321	12	8	403	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	199	186	46	8	4	3	7	30	2	0	0	247	282	382	664	134	274	15	4	288	81	-4	+0	+0	-8	+4	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	38	37	8	1	0	2	1	11	0	0	0	216	237	405	642	189	258	29	3	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	76	72	19	5	1	3	3	19	0	1	0	264	293	486	779	222	295	25	4	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	106	98	26	1	0	4	6	33	2	1	0	265	321	398	719	133	354	31	6	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	415	380	92	25	2	7	27	98	5	4	1	242	301	374	675	132	302	24	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	203	192	47	8	0	5	9	34	0	0	0	245	279	365	643	120	265	17	4	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	322	300	79	17	1	12	15	63	3	2	0	263	305	447	752	183	288	20	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	358	86	17	1	6	13	54	6	2	1	240	279	344	622	103	260	14	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	368	348	82	15	2	11	16	52	1	2	1	236	271	385	656	149	245	14	4	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	176	157	46	9	0	4	15	24	3	3	0	293	366	427	792	134	317	14	9	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	199	186	46	8	4	3	7	30	2	0	0	247	282	382	664	134	274	15	4	289	82	-4	+0	+0	-8	+4	-0.8
2026	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	252	235	66	17	1	8	14	35	3	2	2	281	329	464	793	183	299	14	6	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	114	109	26	5	1	5	4	30	0	1	0	239	265	440	706	202	280	26	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	114	105	34	8	1	6	8	21	0	1	0	324	372	590	962	267	354	18	7	414	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	521	478	118	26	2	11	33	131	7	5	1	247	305	379	684	132	316	25	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	521	463	134	30	3	12	48	94	7	5	1	289	365	445	810	156	339	18	9	360	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	525	492	125	25	1	16	24	97	3	2	0	254	293	407	699	152	283	18	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	525	476	141	32	1	18	40	75	3	2	0	296	355	481	836	185	316	14	8	365	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	358	86	17	1	6	13	54	6	2	1	240	279	344	622	103	266	14	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	353	92	22	1	7	18	46	6	2	1	261	308	388	696	127	281	12	5	309	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	544	505	128	24	2	15	31	75	4	5	1	253	302	398	700	145	270	14	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	544	493	133	28	2	19	43	60	4	5	1	270	333	450	784	181	273	11	8	345	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	451	421	111	24	5	11	21	65	5	2	2	264	306	423	729	159	287	14	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	451	416	118	27	5	14	26	59	5	2	2	284	333	474	807	190	300	13	6	352	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	114	109	26	5	1	5	4	30	0	1	0	239	265	440	706	202	283	26	4	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	521	476	118	26	2	11	33	131	7	5	1	248	305	380	685	132	313	25	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	525	493	125	25	1	16	24	97	3	2	0	254	293	406	699	152	279	18	5	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	358	86	17	1	6	13	54	6	2	1	240	279	344	622	103	260	14	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	544	504	128	24	2	15	31	75	4	5	1	254	302	399	701	145	268	14	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	451	422	111	24	5	11	21	65	5	2	2	263	306	422	728	159	288	14	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	380	358	86	17	1	6	13	54	6	2	1	240	279	344	622	103	260	14	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	544	504	128	24	2	15	31	75	4	5	1	254	302	399	701	145	268	14	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	451	422	111	24	5	11	21	65	5	2	2	263	306	422	728	159	288	14	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	STL	45%	380	355	92	19	3	10	18	47	4	2	1	260	302	418	720	158	274	12	5	317	100	+0	+0	-1	-7	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	STL	45%	112	105	28	6	1	3	5	14	1	1	0	261	303	415	717	154	276	12	4	316	100	+0	+0	-0	-2	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	53%	588	549	144	30	5	17	29	76	5	4	1	261	305	425	730	163	275	13	5	321	103	+2	+0	-1	-10	+13	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	STL	58%	578	538	141	29	5	17	30	77	5	3	1	261	307	427	734	166	275	13	5	322	104	+3	+0	-1	-10	+13	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	STL	59%	566	526	136	28	4	17	30	79	5	3	1	259	306	423	730	164	275	14	5	321	103	+2	+0	-1	-10	+12	0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	STL	60%	555	514	132	27	4	16	31	81	5	1	1	257	305	418	722	161	275	15	6	318	101	+1	-0	-1	-10	+12	0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	STL	59%	544	503	128	26	4	15	31	83	5	1	1	253	302	410	713	157	274	15	6	314	99	-1	-0	-2	-10	+12	-0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	STL	59%	533	494	124	25	4	14	30	83	4	1	0	250	298	402	700	152	272	16	6	309	95	-3	+0	-3	-10	+12	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	53%	313	291	77	17	3	8	16	40	3	2	1	262	305	421	726	159	277	13	5	319	103	+1	+0	-0	-6	+7	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	STL	58%	336	313	82	18	3	9	17	45	3	2	1	261	307	423	730	162	277	13	5	321	104	+2	+0	-0	-6	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	STL	59%	336	312	81	17	3	9	18	47	3	2	1	259	306	419	726	160	278	14	5	319	103	+1	+0	-0	-6	+7	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	STL	60%	334	310	79	17	2	9	18	49	3	1	1	257	305	414	718	157	277	15	5	316	101	+1	-0	-1	-6	+7	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	STL	59%	322	298	75	16	2	8	18	49	3	1	0	253	302	407	709	153	276	15	6	313	99	-0	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	STL	59%	312	289	72	15	2	8	17	49	3	1	0	250	298	398	697	148	274	16	5	308	95	-2	+0	-2	-6	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2152	1999	512	108	19	54	111	309	20	9	4	256	302	410	712	154	277	14	5	314	96	-2	+0	-5	-43	+47	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	155	33	6	16	34	93	6	3	1	257	303	411	714	154	278	14	5	314	96	-1	+0	-2	-13	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6149	5721	1460	299	40	167	319	962	56	32	11	255	301	409	710	154	279	16	5	310	96	-0	+1	-9	-73	+83	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	155	32	4	18	34	102	6	3	1	256	302	412	714	155	280	16	5	310	96	-0	+0	-2	-12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Lee Stevens'90-'02 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,724 PA	5.6	3,724	144	9	245*	312*	440*	-68	-11	3.2	4.2
/162	664	26	2	-12.2	-1.9	0.6	pk7: 5
#2Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	5.1	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
/162	664	14	3	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
#3Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.4	2,264	62	8	257	299	416	-40	-10	2.0	2.1
/162	664	18	2	-11.9	-2.9	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Mountcastlelast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,669 PA	4.0	2,669	98	17	263	312	438	-47	-38	1.6	1.6
/162	664	24	4	-11.6	-9.5	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Randall Simon'97-'06 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,717 PA	2.6	1,717	49	2	273*	310*	410*	-34	-4	0.9	1.6
/162	664	19	1	-13.0	-1.4	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Todd Benzinger'87-'95 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,106 PA	4.7	3,106	66	21	254*	300*	408*	-50	-16	-3.2	-1.7
/162	664	14	4	-10.7	-3.4	-0.7	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blaze Jordan (OGILVIE)	24	40→50	50→52	30	30	258/300/414	156	274	7	2	12%	5%	100	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Matt Miller 2007 · AAA	24	52→62	49→50	37→40	45	265/309/411	146	288	18	5	16%	5%	102	+1.5	267/318/383	116	305	11	4	15%	6%	99	+1.2	285/340/387	102	337	8	3	17%	7%	106	+1.7
✕Brian Rey 2022 · AAA	24	49	45→50	39→45	44	243/305/364	121	282	13	7	19%	5%	91	+0.6	224/280/326	102	278	10	9	22%	5%	72	-0.7	195/243/268	73	241	6	9	21%	2%	41	-0.8
●Wilmer Flores 2016 · MLB	24	52→55	50→60	38→40	44	263/295/415	152	283	18	2	15%	4%	98	+1.2	267/311/446	179	278	23	3	14%	5%	112	+2.2	258/337/456	198	267	26	0	15%	9%	125	+2.6
✕Matt Dominguez 2014 · MLB	24	46→48	49→50	38→30	45	235/279/376	141	253	17	2	16%	5%	83	+0.1	221/261/344	123	249	16	2	18%	4%	69	-0.9	220/253/332	112	248	14	1	18%	3%	60	-1.2
✕Justin Foscue 2023 · AA	24	46→48	53→55	40→50	46	239/305/417	178	277	21	4	22%	7%	103	+1.6	232/316/389	157	262	16	9	18%	9%	101	+1.4	235/311/400	165	268	19	6	20%	9%	98	+0.8
●Brandon Drury 2017 · MLB	24	53→56	47→60	38→40	44	262/304/399	137	304	14	3	19%	5%	97	+1.1	247/300/395	148	306	15	3	23%	6%	95	+1.0	255/306/468	213	301	27	1	24%	6%	116	+1.9
✕Roberto Lopez 2012 · AAA	26	46→47	47→50	36→45	45	231/291/374	143	266	14	4	19%	5%	88	+0.4	228/274/357	129	262	13	7	18%	5%	77	-0.3	236/284/347	111	270	14	5	18%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Dayan Viciedo 2013 · MLB	24	50→55	54→55	40	43	259/305/427	168	296	23	3	22%	5%	105	+1.7	249/295/408	159	290	20	2	21%	5%	97	+1.1	246/292/399	152	288	18	0	21%	5%	93	+0.6
✕Jesus Montero 2014 · MLB	24	49→59	48→55	38→30	44	248/292/385	138	295	16	2	22%	6%	90	+0.6	259/298/407	148	313	17	3	22%	5%	97	+1.1	274/307/414	141	329	16	2	22%	4%	100	+1.1
●Gio Urshela 2016 · MLB	24	48→58	47→55	40	44	238/277/378	139	265	14	2	17%	5%	82	+0.0	236/269/334	98	271	9	2	16%	4%	68	-1.0	288/333/466	179	335	21	2	20%	6%	125	+1.9
●Jeff Francoeur 2009 · MLB	25	52→58	48→60	40→50	44	258/302/401	143	293	15	3	18%	5%	97	+1.1	261/301/405	144	294	15	9	17%	4%	98	+1.2	266/305/421	155	297	16	12	17%	4%	103	+1.6
●Andrew Vaughn 2022 · MLB	24	46→53	50→55	42→30	50	235/309/390	155	275	18	3	22%	9%	98	+1.2	255/311/414	159	295	19	2	20%	6%	104	+1.6	255/309/413	159	294	19	1	20%	6%	104	+1.6
✕Jordan Diaz 2024 · MLB	23	52→59	51→55	37→30	43	263/303/420	157	304	19	2	20%	5%	103	+1.5	260/310/421	161	307	20	4	22%	6%	105	+1.7	276/327/444	168	323	22	0	21%	6%	113	+1.6
●Enrique Hernández 2016 · MLB	24	52→58	47→60	42→45	46	257/303/400	142	293	14	5	18%	6%	97	+1.1	235/307/405	170	279	18	6	22%	9%	100	+1.3	236/311/428	192	265	22	5	20%	9%	110	+1.4
✕Lenyn Sosa 2024 · MLB	24	46→53	49→50	36→40	39	236/269/376	140	287	18	3	25%	4%	79	-0.2	242/274/383	141	292	18	4	23%	4%	83	+0.1	242/273/379	136	290	18	3	23%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Carson Kelly 2018 · MLB	24	47→52	43→55	37→40	47	232/288/339	107	275	11	2	20%	7%	78	-0.3	233/307/381	148	269	18	3	20%	9%	95	+1.0	248/328/392	144	277	19	1	18%	9%	106	+1.1
✕Oscar Gonzalez 2023 · MLB	25	52→56	53→55	40	39	268/296/441	173	312	21	3	22%	3%	105	+1.7	249/281/395	146	313	15	6	25%	4%	88	+0.4	243/275/381	138	312	13	5	26%	4%	80	-0.1
●Matt Hague 2011 · AA	25	54→62	45	37→45	48	264/316/383	119	296	12	4	16%	6%	98	+1.2	263/311/369	106	303	9	4	16%	6%	93	+0.8	264/327/379	115	313	10	3	18%	7%	98	+1.1
✕Jose Miranda 2022 · AAA	24	55→60	49→50	41→40	45	276/321/424	148	305	17	4	16%	5%	110	+2.1	262/311/403	141	300	15	4	18%	5%	101	+1.4	257/306/394	137	295	14	2	17%	5%	98	+0.9
✕Rich Poythress 2012 · AA	24	48→50	48→50	41→40	45	242/295/386	144	289	16	3	22%	6%	91	+0.7	238/298/370	132	275	14	5	19%	8%	89	+0.5	232/296/360	128	263	14	4	17%	8%	83	+0.1

Blaze Jordan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps