Andruw Salcedo
C ACL Mariners| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | A/ROKCIN | 66 | .167/.219/.233 | 0 | 0 | -15 | — | .148/.188/.215 |
| 2024 | 21 | ACIN | 20 | .188/.350/.188 | 0 | 0 | 24 | — | .118/.250/.118 |
| 2025 | 22 | ROKSEA | 101 | .138/.296/.188 | 0 | 1 | -9 | — | .092/.194/.115 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSEA | 200 | .185/.261/.258 | 2 | 2 | 49 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSEA | 24 | .188/.263/.266 | 0 | 0 | 53 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 111 | 94 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 362 | 459 | 543 | 1.002 | 181 | 500 | 27 | 11 | 445 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 31 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 290 | 154 | 444 | 267 | 35 | 16 | 229 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 95 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 330 | 237 | 567 | 25 | 298 | 25 | 13 | 274 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 39 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 184 | 189 | 373 | 27 | 240 | 33 | 3 | 167 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 27 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 269 | 304 | 574 | 130 | 200 | 15 | 11 | 252 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 188 | 537 | 333 | 35 | 20 | 275 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 101 | 80 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 138 | 296 | 188 | 483 | 50 | 216 | 30 | 17 | 238 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 111 | 98 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 333 | 367 | 701 | 122 | 405 | 40 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 31 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 226 | 111 | 337 | 249 | 48 | 13 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 95 | 85 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 223 | 153 | 376 | 12 | 232 | 36 | 7 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 39 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 158 | 162 | 320 | 27 | 210 | 46 | 3 | 125 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 27 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 231 | 292 | 522 | 125 | 146 | 22 | 7 | 175 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 250 | 118 | 368 | 319 | 50 | 15 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 101 | 87 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 194 | 115 | 309 | 23 | 167 | 43 | 10 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 111 | 98 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 333 | 367 | 701 | 122 | 412 | 40 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Reds | — | 111 | 94 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 362 | 459 | 543 | 1.002 | 181 | 500 | 27 | 11 | 445 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 126 | 112 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 224 | 143 | 367 | 9 | 234 | 39 | 9 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 126 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 320 | 217 | 537 | 19 | 292 | 28 | 13 | 263 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 66 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 129 | 156 | 177 | 334 | 48 | 195 | 35 | 3 | 145 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 66 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 219 | 233 | 452 | 67 | 222 | 26 | 6 | 202 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 250 | 118 | 368 | 286 | 50 | 15 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Daytona Tortugas | — | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 188 | 537 | 333 | 35 | 20 | 275 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 101 | 87 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 194 | 115 | 309 | 23 | 178 | 43 | 10 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Mariners | — | 101 | 80 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 138 | 296 | 188 | 483 | 50 | 216 | 30 | 17 | 238 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 111 | 97 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 333 | 371 | 704 | 124 | 405 | 40 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 126 | 112 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 224 | 143 | 367 | 9 | 236 | 39 | 9 | 181 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 66 | 64 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 156 | 172 | 328 | 47 | 184 | 35 | 3 | 145 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 250 | 118 | 368 | 319 | 50 | 15 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 101 | 89 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 194 | 112 | 306 | 22 | 167 | 43 | 10 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 250 | 118 | 368 | 319 | 50 | 15 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 101 | 89 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 194 | 112 | 306 | 22 | 167 | 43 | 10 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 200 | 179 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 70 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 185 | 261 | 258 | 519 | 73 | 288 | 35 | 8 | 240 | 49 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SEA | 30% | 81 | 73 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 265 | 269 | 534 | 80 | 288 | 35 | 9 | 246 | 53 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SEA | 30% | 24 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 263 | 266 | 529 | 78 | 286 | 33 | 8 | 244 | 53 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 24 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 250 | 227 | 477 | 45 | 286 | 33 | 8 | 244 | 29 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 108 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 181 | 249 | 227 | 476 | 45 | 285 | 33 | 8 | 244 | 29 | -36 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 552 | 492 | 78 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 213 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 242 | 209 | 451 | 51 | 265 | 39 | 8 | 211 | 29 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 251 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 159 | 243 | 211 | 453 | 52 | 265 | 39 | 8 | 211 | 29 | -38 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 ROKACL Mariners · 101 PAwOBA .236 → .155 (−81)K% 29.7% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.70% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 10.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.99% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.00% | ÷0.942 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×0.965 | 11.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.965 | 5.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.886 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .236 → .155; ISO .050 → .031; BABIP .216 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADaytona Tortugas · 20 PAwOBA .270 → .203 (−67)K% 35.0% → 48.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.00% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | — | 13.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | — | — | 31.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.078 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .270 → .203; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADaytona Tortugas · 39 PAwOBA .167 → .125 (−42)K% 33.3% → 45.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.006 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.56% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 1.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷1.032 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 18.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 3.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 117, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .125; ISO .027 → .018; BABIP .240 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Reds · 27 PAwOBA .256 → .175 (−80)K% 14.8% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.027 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.040 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.53% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 8.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.038 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .256 → .175; ISO .130 → .086; BABIP .200 → .146. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Reds · 95 PAwOBA .270 → .184 (−86)K% 25.3% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.26% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.63% | ÷1.011 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷1.022 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 21.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.035 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 2.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .270 → .184; ISO .025 → .016; BABIP .298 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADaytona Tortugas · 31 PAwOBA .225 → .170 (−55)K% 35.5% → 47.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.48% | ÷1.021 | ×1.360 | — | — | 47.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 11.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 24.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 103, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .225 → .170; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .267 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Reds · 111 PAwOBA .434 → .301 (−133)K% 27.0% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.03% | ÷0.987 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷0.995 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 39.06% | ÷0.972 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 32.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.81% | ÷0.981 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 5.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.026 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.79% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 98, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .434 → .301; ISO .181 → .120; BABIP .500 → .405. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).