Zac Fascia — OGILVIE

Zac FasciaC Lake County Captains

Age 27 L/R 6'0" / 225 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .283 / .332

PA76

HR1

K%27

BB%7

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	76	71	10	1	0	0	4	31	0	0	0	141	187	155	342	14	244	41	5	159	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	76	70	12	2	0	0	5	24	0	0	0	171	227	200	427	29	255	32	7	199	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	272	247	48	7	5	2	15	94	9	1	0	194	266	287	553	93	303	35	6	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	272	237	59	8	7	3	25	66	9	1	0	249	343	380	723	131	331	24	9	327	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Lake County Captains	—	79	70	12	1	0	2	7	24	1	0	0	171	256	271	528	100	227	30	9	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Lake County Captains	—	79	67	14	1	0	3	10	19	1	0	0	209	321	358	679	149	244	24	13	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	CLE	—	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	21	1	1	0	203	276	290	566	87	286	28	8	279	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	CLE	26%	116	105	23	4	1	2	9	31	1	2	0	219	287	333	620	114	286	27	8	283	74	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
2028	29	MLB	CLE	37%	198	179	39	7	1	4	15	53	2	3	1	218	286	335	621	117	286	27	8	284	75	-5	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.2
2029	30	MLB	CLE	43%	256	231	50	9	1	5	20	69	3	3	1	216	287	329	616	113	285	27	8	283	75	-7	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.3
2030	31	MLB	CLE	46%	267	241	52	10	1	5	21	73	3	3	1	216	287	328	615	112	283	27	8	280	72	-8	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.1
2027	28	MLB	CLE	26%	30	28	6	1	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	214	267	357	624	143	286	27	7	274	68	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	29	MLB	CLE	37%	73	66	14	3	0	1	6	20	1	1	0	212	288	303	591	91	286	27	8	275	69	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.0
2029	30	MLB	CLE	43%	110	99	22	4	1	2	9	30	1	1	0	222	294	343	637	121	285	27	8	275	68	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.0
2030	31	MLB	CLE	46%	124	112	24	4	1	2	10	34	1	1	0	214	285	321	606	107	283	27	8	272	66	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	337	305	66	12	2	6	27	92	3	3	0	216	287	328	614	111	287	27	8	274	68	-12	+1	-3	+6	+10	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	128	23	4	12	52	177	6	6	0	218	288	332	620	114	288	27	8	274	68	-24	+1	-6	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	1340	1213	248	42	9	21	97	396	20	13	3	204	274	306	580	101	283	30	7	264	60	-60	+1	-7	+24	+38	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	119	20	4	10	47	192	10	6	1	202	273	301	574	99	280	30	7	264	60	-29	+1	-3	+12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	76	70	12	2	0	0	5	24	0	0	171	227	200	427	29	255	32	7	199	10	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	55	52	8	1	0	1	1	17	2	0	154	200	231	431	77	206	31	2	199	11	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	24	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	217	185	51	7	7	2	24	49	7	1	276	380	422	801	146	363	23	11	360	133	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	25	A+	Lake County Captains	—	79	67	14	1	0	3	10	19	1	0	209	321	358	679	149	244	24	13	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	337	7	4	219	286	339	+6	+8	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	13	8	219	286	339	+11.9	+15.8	1.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zac Fascia (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	215/283/332	117	286	1	1	27%	7%	72	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Wallach 2013 · AA	27	44	44→50	48→40	49	219/294/326	108	258	12	6	20%	8%	75	-0.0	201/267/285	84	278	8	6	29%	7%	53	-1.5	164/230/215	51	237	6	0	32%	7%	17	-1.8
✕Peter Maris 2021 · AAA	27	42→48	47→50	50	44	215/276/351	136	277	14	9	27%	7%	73	-0.1	233/285/386	153	310	18	9	29%	7%	86	+0.8	237/285/421	183	304	24	5	30%	6%	93	+0.4
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40	47→45	48→45	40	207/269/342	135	261	16	9	27%	5%	69	-0.4	209/287/340	131	253	15	8	23%	6%	76	+0.1	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Chris Herrmann 2015 · MLB	27	46→48	43→50	48→50	43	226/274/342	117	286	10	6	24%	6%	69	-0.4	218/284/354	136	281	13	10	26%	8%	78	+0.2	217/305/384	166	277	20	8	28%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Zack Collins 2022 · MLB	27	42→43	48→50	44→40	51	207/302/350	143	292	15	4	32%	12%	85	+0.7	202/287/348	146	299	16	6	35%	10%	78	+0.2	188/274/332	143	282	16	5	37%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA	26	47→40	45	48→45	47	230/289/360	130	280	12	7	22%	7%	81	+0.4	215/276/324	109	281	9	6	25%	7%	66	-0.6	188/254/272	84	256	5	1	27%	7%	40	-1.4
✕Stevie Berman 2022 · AA	27	41	42→50	49→40	49	203/284/306	102	254	10	6	23%	8%	66	-0.6	210/295/336	126	275	13	5	27%	9%	79	+0.3	195/291/323	129	254	15	1	28%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A	26	42→44	45→50	47→50	44	210/277/340	130	280	12	8	29%	7%	71	-0.3	221/280/343	122	284	11	13	25%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/346	129	274	11	14	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Bryan Anderson 2014 · MLB	27	41→51	44→45	48→30	43	207/265/321	114	273	11	4	28%	7%	60	-1.0	216/273/341	125	293	12	4	29%	7%	69	-0.4	210/267/330	120	289	11	0	30%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Chris Kroski 2009 · AA	27	44	42→45	46→40	42	215/273/327	112	279	9	5	26%	6%	66	-0.6	210/276/319	109	287	9	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	171/245/282	112	234	9	0	30%	9%	40	-0.5
✕Johnny Monell 2013 · AAA	27	42→44	47→50	42→45	43	214/275/353	139	286	14	4	30%	7%	74	-0.1	222/286/353	131	290	13	7	27%	8%	78	+0.2	224/289/345	121	286	13	8	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	43→50	48→40	50	212/293/324	112	254	11	6	21%	8%	75	-0.0	218/287/334	116	270	13	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Mitchell Tolman 2021 · AAA	27	44→50	41→45	47→50	44	209/279/307	99	301	9	10	32%	8%	63	-0.8	232/302/374	142	298	14	8	25%	7%	90	+1.0	234/308/384	151	295	14	7	24%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Kyle Holder 2021 · AA	27	46→45	43→40	49→45	46	227/277/341	114	265	11	8	19%	6%	70	-0.3	203/264/281	78	285	5	6	29%	6%	50	-1.8	183/248/235	52	267	3	2	30%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	47→50	43	236/289/345	109	300	11	10	25%	6%	76	+0.1	236/300/346	110	323	12	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	237/305/328	92	327	11	5	29%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Tzu-Wei Lin 2021 · MLB	27	46→48	40→45	46→50	42	220/267/317	97	295	7	10	27%	6%	59	-1.1	205/267/311	106	294	10	16	32%	8%	59	-1.1	141/222/228	88	206	11	18	36%	9%	17	-0.9
✕Pedro Severino 2020 · MLB	27	43→48	47→50	46→45	47	222/284/353	131	259	16	5	22%	7%	78	+0.2	240/304/379	139	298	16	5	24%	8%	92	+1.2	246/308/377	131	314	15	3	25%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Erik Ostberg 2023 · AA	27	40	50→55	46→45	42	208/273/358	149	295	19	6	35%	8%	74	-0.1	208/264/343	135	290	15	9	32%	7%	66	-0.6	174/219/313	139	229	15	6	31%	5%	37	-0.7
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	41→49	47→45	53→55	48	209/284/337	128	275	15	16	29%	9%	73	-0.1	224/308/335	111	306	11	17	28%	10%	82	+0.5	227/321/326	100	311	9	19	27%	11%	83	+0.4
✕LJ Talley 2023 · AAA	26	46→48	46→45	53→50	45	230/287/357	126	285	14	11	24%	7%	79	+0.3	221/286/341	120	282	13	12	25%	8%	75	-0.0	185/269/280	96	234	11	12	25%	10%	50	-0.6