Manuel Veloz — OGILVIE

Manuel Veloz P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 40 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%16.9%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%5.4%

ROS IP40

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	1	40	149	42	7	0	7%	2.6	19.2%	5.9%	13.3%	0.0%	0.91	2.23	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	15	1	40	149	42	7	0	7%	2.6	28.2%	4.7%	23.5%	0.0%	0.91	1.51	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	12	4	46	191	47	3	3	33%	3.9	16.7%	2.0%	14.8%	1.9%	4.08	2.99	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	12	4	46	191	47	3	3	33%	3.9	24.6%	1.6%	23.0%	1.6%	4.08	2.11	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	12	67	300	59	31	7	67%	3.7	13.7%	12.8%	0.9%	2.8%	4.95	5.08	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	12	67	300	59	31	7	67%	3.7	19.7%	10.3%	9.3%	2.3%	4.95	4.08	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	70	298	46	28	5	5%	3.2	11.4%	10.8%	0.7%	2.7%	3.73	4.95	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	70	298	46	28	5	5%	3.2	15.4%	9.4%	6.0%	1.7%	3.73	3.91	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	4	78	347	59	28	5	13%	2.5	12.6%	8.8%	3.9%	2.3%	4.62	4.40	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	4	78	347	59	28	5	13%	2.5	12.6%	8.8%	3.9%	2.3%	4.62	4.40	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	4	78	347	59	28	5	13%	2.5	17.0%	8.1%	8.9%	1.4%	4.62	3.50	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	5	50	227	41	27	7	23%	2.3	13.6%	13.8%	-0.2%	4.3%	5.58	6.03	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	5	50	227	41	27	7	23%	2.3	13.6%	13.8%	-0.2%	4.3%	5.58	6.03	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	5	50	227	41	27	7	23%	2.3	18.1%	11.9%	6.2%	3.1%	5.58	4.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CWS	38	0	40	169	28	19	5	0%	1.1	16.9%	11.5%	5.4%	3.1%	5.23	5.23	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	42	0	44	187	33	21	6	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.3%	6.1%	3.2%	5.16	5.18	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	15	0	16	68	12	8	2	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.3%	6.1%	3.2%	5.16	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	68	12	8	2	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.3%	6.1%	3.2%	5.16	4.80	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	99	25	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.3%	6.1%	3.2%	5.16	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		120	27	351	1512	210	145	37	22%	2.9	13.9%	9.6%	4.3%	2.5%	4.15	4.50	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	15	200	861	120	82	21	22%	2.9	13.9%	9.6%	4.3%	2.5%	4.15	4.50	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Veloz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	16.9%	11.5%	3.1%	—	5.18	17.5%	6.1%	44	-0.05	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	85
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	83
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	83
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	81
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	81
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	81
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	80
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	80
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	79
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	79
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	79
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	79
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	79
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	79
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	78
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	78
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	78
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	78
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	42	17.2%	11.4%	1.22	5.19
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65