Cayden Wallace

3B Harrisburg Senators

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AAWSH	481	.242/.316/.376	10	16	64	—	.212/.269/.324
2026	24	AAAWSH	246	.299/.357/.518	11	11	93	—	.249/.295/.410
2026	24	AAWSH	318	.300/.354/.562	18	9	106	—	.258/.301/.463
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBWSH	6	.237/.285/.388	0	0	88	0.0
2028PROJ39% MLB	26	MLBWSH	141	.237/.287/.389	4	3	89	0.2
2029PROJ53% MLB	27	MLBWSH	204	.236/.288/.387	6	5	89	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed77

K%73

Whiff%69

Max EV59

Z-Con%58

BB%21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 84%

CompsRyan Cordell (age 25) · Brett Harris (age 25) · Luis Santana (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .285 / .388

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%5

BABIP282

ISO152

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	109	32	7	3	2	12	22	1	8	1	294	369	468	837	174	353	18	10	371	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	140	127	30	5	1	3	12	23	0	3	0	236	302	362	664	126	265	16	9	298	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	428	376	98	22	6	10	42	94	6	15	6	261	344	431	775	170	319	22	10	343	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	185	167	43	10	0	3	11	33	5	3	3	257	322	371	694	114	301	18	6	311	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK	ACL Royals	—	21	19	5	0	0	0	1	4	1	1	1	263	333	263	596		333	19	5	284	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	426	103	21	3	10	40	113	6	16	2	242	316	376	691	134	299	23	8	306	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	246	224	67	14	1	11	18	45	2	11	5	299	357	518	874	219	329	18	7	381	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	318	290	87	16	3	18	23	50	2	9	1	300	354	562	916	262	308	16	7	395	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	113	25	5	3	1	8	32	1	8	1	221	279	345	624	124	302	26	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	140	130	26	4	1	3	9	28	0	3	0	200	252	315	567	115	222	20	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	428	386	88	19	6	8	32	119	6	15	6	228	297	370	668	142	295	28	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	185	170	40	9	0	2	8	40	5	3	3	235	290	324	613	88	283	22	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	21	19	4	0	0	0	1	6	1	1	1	211	286	211	496		256	29	5	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	438	93	19	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	212	269	324	593	112	278	29	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	246	229	57	11	1	8	13	54	2	11	5	249	295	410	706	162	290	22	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	318	298	77	13	3	14	16	61	2	9	1	258	301	463	764	205	278	19	5	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	113	25	5	3	1	8	32	1	8	1	221	279	345	624	124	300	26	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	109	32	7	3	2	12	22	1	8	1	294	369	468	837	174	353	18	10	371	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	516	111	22	6	10	41	146	6	18	6	215	281	339	620	124	277	26	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	568	503	128	27	7	13	54	117	6	18	6	254	334	414	747	159	304	21	10	332	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	206	190	43	9	0	2	8	46	6	4	4	226	279	305	585	79	285	22	4	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	206	186	48	10	0	3	12	37	6	4	4	258	324	360	684	102	304	18	6	308	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	438	93	19	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	212	269	324	593	112	284	29	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	426	103	21	3	10	40	113	6	16	2	242	316	376	691	134	299	23	8	306	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	564	527	135	25	4	22	29	115	4	20	6	256	300	444	744	188	287	20	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	564	514	154	30	4	29	41	95	4	20	6	300	355	543	898	243	317	17	7	389	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	122	112	25	5	3	1	8	32	1	8	1	223	279	348	627	125	302	26	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	568	516	111	22	6	10	41	146	6	18	6	215	281	339	620	124	277	26	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	206	190	43	9	0	2	8	46	6	4	4	226	279	305	585	79	280	22	4	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	444	93	19	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	209	269	320	589	110	278	29	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	564	526	135	25	4	22	29	115	4	20	6	257	300	445	745	188	283	20	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	206	190	43	9	0	2	8	46	6	4	4	226	279	305	585	79	280	22	4	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	481	444	93	19	3	8	28	139	6	16	2	209	269	320	589	110	278	29	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	564	526	135	25	4	22	29	115	4	20	6	257	300	445	745	188	283	20	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	380	353	83	16	2	11	20	88	4	10	3	237	286	390	676	153	283	23	5	298	88	-5	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	WSH	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	237	285	388	674	152	282	17	0	298	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	WSH	39%	365	339	81	16	2	11	20	85	3	9	2	237	287	391	678	153	283	23	5	300	89	-5	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	388	359	84	16	2	11	22	90	4	9	3	237	288	389	677	152	283	23	6	299	89	-5	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2030	28	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	401	370	87	17	2	11	24	94	4	8	2	235	287	385	672	150	282	23	6	298	88	-6	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	WSH	62%	400	370	86	17	2	11	24	95	3	6	2	233	286	380	666	147	281	24	6	295	86	-7	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	WSH	63%	398	368	85	16	2	11	24	95	3	5	2	231	284	373	657	143	279	24	6	292	84	-8	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	WSH	39%	141	131	31	6	1	4	8	33	1	3	1	237	287	389	676	152	282	23	6	299	89	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	204	188	45	9	1	6	12	47	2	5	1	236	288	387	675	151	282	23	6	299	89	-3	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	240	222	52	10	1	7	14	56	2	5	1	235	287	384	671	149	282	23	6	297	88	-4	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	WSH	62%	247	228	53	10	1	7	15	58	2	4	1	233	286	378	664	146	281	23	6	295	86	-4	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	WSH	63%	250	231	53	10	1	7	15	60	2	3	1	230	284	372	656	142	279	24	6	291	84	-5	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1082	1000	234	45	5	31	64	254	9	20	5	234	286	382	668	148	282	23	6	296	83	-17	+2	-3	+4	+23	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	141	27	3	19	38	153	5	12	3	235	285	384	670	150	282	24	6	296	83	-10	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4213	3887	901	176	28	107	245	1011	43	111	32	232	285	374	659	142	284	24	6	290	83	-35	+4	-4	+8	+49	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	139	27	4	17	38	156	7	17	5	232	286	375	661	143	282	24	6	290	83	-10	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,089	31	20	235	284	384	+4	+2	1.8	1.8
/162	664	19	12	+2.4	+0.9	1.1	pk7: 2
#6Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cayden Wallace (OGILVIE)	25	45	40	50	40	235/283/387	152	283	9	8	23%	5%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Cordell 2017 · AA	25	44→42	49→50	53→50	40	228/273/380	152	285	17	14	27%	5%	82	-0.0	211/260/345	134	280	14	13	29%	5%	69	-0.9	199/252/325	126	269	13	13	30%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Brett Harris 2023 · AA	25	47→52	50→45	47→50	47	242/307/397	155	287	19	11	22%	7%	99	+1.2	240/317/364	124	289	13	10	21%	8%	95	+1.0	237/320/349	113	286	11	10	20%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Santana 2024 · AA	25	44	47→45	47→50	40	223/275/357	134	284	15	8	27%	5%	78	-0.3	205/264/312	107	256	11	8	24%	6%	63	-1.3	166/234/244	78	199	10	5	22%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Matt Downs 2009 · AAA	25	49→50	48→50	47→50	46	246/290/391	145	267	16	15	15%	5%	91	+0.6	235/288/378	143	267	15	9	18%	6%	87	+0.4	230/290/379	149	262	16	6	19%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Josh Wilson 2006 · AAA	25	42→50	47→45	50	43	215/271/352	137	266	14	14	25%	6%	75	-0.5	234/290/354	120	277	11	15	19%	6%	82	-0.0	238/294/344	106	278	8	16	17%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Andrew Navigato 2023 · AA	25	42→41	48→55	49→50	43	216/280/356	141	266	16	14	26%	6%	80	-0.2	218/276/377	159	279	17	15	28%	6%	83	+0.1	207/267/370	164	270	18	17	30%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Brian Barden 2006 · AAA	25	51→53	46→45	50→45	40	251/300/387	135	320	13	13	25%	5%	93	+0.8	241/294/356	115	300	11	5	22%	6%	84	+0.1	260/307/375	115	327	11	3	23%	5%	92	+0.3
✕Alan Espinoza 2016 · AAA	25	45	49→50	49→45	43	230/281/376	146	272	18	6	23%	6%	84	+0.1	236/281/379	143	277	16	6	21%	5%	84	+0.2	250/290/391	141	287	16	3	19%	4%	88	+0.2
✕Jesús Bastidas 2024 · AAA	25	42	47→50	47→50	41	214/282/345	132	284	16	13	30%	6%	78	-0.3	207/274/345	138	271	15	13	29%	6%	75	-0.5	196/264/333	138	256	16	13	29%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Nick Loftin 2024 · MLB	25	48→53	47→45	50	48	241/302/372	131	276	15	15	19%	7%	91	+0.6	236/315/359	123	271	11	11	17%	9%	93	+0.8	231/320/355	124	264	10	10	16%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Christian Koss 2023 · AA	25	45→47	47→45	51→50	36	226/266/358	132	303	15	12	30%	4%	74	-0.6	231/277/350	119	301	11	15	26%	5%	76	-0.4	246/294/365	119	307	12	15	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Craig Stansberry 2007 · AAA	25	44→47	48→50	54→50	47	220/287/373	153	271	14	15	24%	8%	86	+0.3	222/293/347	125	275	11	11	22%	8%	82	-0.0	220/291/334	113	270	10	9	21%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Taylor Featherston 2015 · AA	25	45→46	48→50	51→50	39	226/272/370	144	288	15	12	27%	5%	79	-0.2	207/255/334	127	273	13	11	28%	5%	64	-1.3	191/244/308	117	258	12	11	30%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Yairo Muñoz 2020 · MLB	25	53→54	46→50	49→55	43	260/302/387	128	314	14	16	22%	5%	94	+0.9	263/297/378	115	316	11	19	20%	4%	89	+0.5	271/297/373	102	321	9	23	18%	3%	85	+0.1
✕Tommy Field 2012 · MLB	25	48→50	45	48→45	44	238/305/361	123	305	13	9	26%	7%	89	+0.5	229/291/350	121	290	11	7	24%	7%	82	-0.0	223/292/352	129	279	13	7	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Taylor Motter 2015 · AA	25	48→49	44→50	50→55	46	238/287/358	119	275	12	17	18%	6%	82	-0.0	227/280/360	133	264	14	20	20%	6%	80	-0.2	198/274/355	157	245	19	5	27%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Mark Mathias 2020 · AAA	25	46→47	45→50	53→50	47	226/296/358	132	283	12	13	24%	8%	86	+0.3	243/306/387	144	311	15	16	25%	7%	96	+1.0	259/342/386	127	350	15	20	28%	10%	107	+0.9
✕Yamaico Navarro 2013 · MLB	25	46→56	46→50	47→50	49	232/292/366	134	273	14	13	21%	8%	86	+0.3	237/300/368	131	285	14	11	21%	8%	89	+0.5	228/297/375	147	261	20	9	21%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	48→51	45	49→45	41	238/287/364	126	294	13	9	24%	5%	84	+0.1	211/250/309	98	271	9	3	25%	4%	57	-1.8	203/239/296	93	262	9	1	26%	3%	47	-2.0
✕Jake Alu 2023 · AAA	26	51→54	48→45	51→50	43	253/301/401	149	310	14	13	23%	6%	97	+1.1	235/288/339	104	286	9	17	20%	6%	77	-0.3	228/282/307	79	275	6	21	19%	6%	66	-0.7

Cayden Wallace

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps