Christian Rodriguez
P
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 24
RHP
6'6" / 223 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION88 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%23.1%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 17 | 16 | 88 | 367 | 93 | 26 | 5 | 94% | 5.2 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 2.77 | 3.55 | +1.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.31 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 108 | 451 | 112 | 34 | 7 | — | — | 24.9% | 7.5% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 3.06 | 3.69 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 3 | 3 | 20 | 85 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.6 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 69 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 16 | 88 | 367 | 69 | 31 | 7 | 94% | 5.2 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 2.77 | 3.55 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 37 | 200 | 837 | 157 | 70 | 15 | 94% | 5.2 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 1.8% | 2.77 | 3.55 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Christian Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.24 | 23.5% | 14.6% | 20 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 78 |
| Luc Rennie R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.48 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | .352 | 5.49 | 14.5% | 5.7% | 209 | +2.01 | 3.48 | 265 | 77 |
| Drew McDaniel R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.72 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | .307 | 6.57 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 61 | +1.85 | 4.72 | 200 | 76 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 76 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 76 |
| David Griffin R 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 75 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 74 |
| Chase Whitley R 2028 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.52 | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .275 | 3.52 | 18.5% | 12.0% | 123 | -0.00 | 3.11 | 159 | 74 |
| Josh Roberson R 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.61 | 17.7% | 9.4% | 1.5% | .298 | 5.39 | 21.7% | 5.5% | 60 | +1.78 | 3.17 | 229 | 73 |
| Brandon Young R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.18 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .338 | 3.72 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 297 | -0.46 | 3.11 | 420 | 73 |
| Griffin Canning R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.25 | 23.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% | .305 | 4.50 | 24.7% | 17.1% | 190 | +0.25 | 3.70 | 776 | 73 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 73 |
| Shohei Ohtani R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.52 | 29.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.23 | 29.3% | 21.4% | 130 | -0.29 | 1.85 | 613 | 73 |
| Levi Wells R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 19.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 192 | 72 |
| Angel Jimenez R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.95 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 194 | 72 |
| Shane McCarthy R 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.96 | 21.6% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.81 | 18.9% | 7.0% | 29 | +1.85 | 2.07 | 117 | 72 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.66 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .298 | 5.01 | 17.7% | 8.5% | 323 | +0.35 | 4.20 | 416 | 72 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2029 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 72 |
| Tristan Beck R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.52 | 19.1% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .375 | 4.07 | 20.2% | 11.7% | 141 | +0.55 | 3.52 | 473 | 72 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 72 |