Kyle HayesC
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 28
R/R
6'1" / 190 lbs
AA
HR -5%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.1 · 2026
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .278 / .295
PA170
HR3
K%34
BB%8
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Arb-1 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-7M | $-7M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 103 | 91 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 51 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .066 | .175 | .110 | .285 | .044 | .128 | 50 | 6 | .150 | -27 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 18 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .529 | .583 | 1.113 | .250 | .400 | 17 | 22 | .464 | 213 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | 2 teams | 78 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .149 | .269 | .179 | .448 | .030 | .250 | 35 | 10 | .213 | 21 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | 2 teams | 167 | 138 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 0 | .130 | .264 | .181 | .445 | .051 | .243 | 41 | 9 | .215 | 23 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | KC | 170 | 150 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .200 | .286 | .313 | .599 | .113 | .288 | 34 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | KC | 243 | 215 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 80 | 6 | 3 | 1 | .195 | .282 | .298 | .580 | .102 | .288 | 33 | 8 | .270 | 64 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | KC | 290 | 257 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 94 | 7 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .285 | .304 | .588 | .105 | .287 | 32 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | KC | 278 | 247 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 90 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .198 | .283 | .308 | .590 | .109 | .286 | 32 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -11 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | KC | 258 | 230 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 84 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .196 | .277 | .296 | .573 | .100 | .285 | 33 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | KC | 228 | 202 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .283 | .307 | .590 | .109 | .283 | 33 | 8 | .261 | 58 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | KC | 186 | 165 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .194 | .277 | .297 | .574 | .103 | .281 | 34 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2019 | 1774 | 327 | 65 | 8 | 30 | 169 | 694 | 57 | 15 | 4 | .184 | .277 | .281 | .557 | .096 | .280 | 34 | 8 | .255 | 54 | -106 | +1 | -19 | +36 | +57 | -3.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 106 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 54 | 223 | 18 | 5 | 1 | .186 | .276 | .285 | .562 | .100 | .282 | 34 | 8 | .255 | 54 | -34 | +1 | -6 | +12 | +18 | -1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 16 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .188 | .000 | .188 | .000 | .000 | 31 | 6 | .135 | -38 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 87 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .137 | .264 | .247 | .511 | .110 | .195 | 34 | 10 | .246 | 46 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 18 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .364 | .588 | .636 | 1.225 | .273 | .400 | 11 | 28 | .496 | 238 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 58 | 48 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .146 | .293 | .208 | .501 | .062 | .250 | 34 | 12 | .251 | 50 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | ROK | ACL Royals | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .500 | .333 | .833 | .000 | .385 | 10 | 25 | .401 | 165 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 29 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .333 | .190 | .524 | .048 | .231 | 34 | 14 | .254 | 52 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 138 | 109 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 0 | .165 | .331 | .229 | .560 | .064 | .270 | 33 | 14 | .276 | 70 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +4 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kyle Hayes (OGILVIE) | 28 | — | — | — | — | .192/.278/.295 | .102 | .288 | 3 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 62 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 46→50 | 46→45 | 50 | .191/.285/.319 | .128 | .261 | 14 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.313 | .124 | .261 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 68 | -0.5 | .168/.270/.287 | .119 | .228 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 11% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB |
29 | 40 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 40 | .200/.262/.313 | .113 | .299 | 13 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .195/.259/.307 | .112 | .360 | 12 | 6 | 45% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .163/.227/.268 | .105 | .321 | 15 | 3 | 51% | 7% | 28 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 44→50 | 48→30 | 43 | .204/.269/.324 | .120 | .267 | 10 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .215/.275/.352 | .137 | .301 | 15 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .205/.267/.343 | .138 | .291 | 19 | 0 | 35% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .192/.252/.291 | .099 | .264 | 9 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .193/.261/.280 | .087 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 34% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .161/.236/.224 | .063 | .253 | 6 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 21 | -1.1 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 46→50 | 48→40 | 48 | .200/.287/.330 | .129 | .255 | 14 | 5 | 26% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .215/.296/.335 | .120 | .285 | 13 | 7 | 27% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .199/.298/.266 | .067 | .267 | 9 | 0 | 27% | 12% | 60 | -0.2 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→36 | 43→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .177/.276/.289 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 40% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.277/.284 | .098 | .306 | 8 | 15 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .151/.251/.216 | .064 | .271 | 3 | 16 | 40% | 8% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39→45 | 45 | 49→55 | 41 | .197/.268/.316 | .118 | .283 | 13 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.295/.327 | .117 | .326 | 12 | 25 | 36% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .199/.294/.308 | .110 | .316 | 12 | 32 | 37% | 10% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA |
28 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .193/.254/.284 | .092 | .249 | 10 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .221/.284/.356 | .135 | .267 | 16 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .228/.293/.382 | .154 | .263 | 20 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA |
28 | 43→46 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 47 | .206/.279/.307 | .101 | .275 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .196/.273/.279 | .083 | .270 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 54 | -1.4 | .174/.259/.229 | .054 | .247 | 4 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 33 | -1.3 |
|
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA |
26 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 44 | .195/.260/.302 | .108 | .268 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .216/.284/.346 | .130 | .306 | 15 | 4 | 32% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.279/.334 | .128 | .290 | 16 | 1 | 33% | 9% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA |
27 | 36 | 43→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .183/.252/.292 | .109 | .264 | 10 | 5 | 33% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .194/.265/.297 | .103 | .312 | 9 | 6 | 37% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .125/.205/.184 | .059 | .260 | 4 | 0 | 49% | 9% | 0 | -1.2 |
|
✕Alvin Colina 2010 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 45 | 45→40 | 39 | .209/.261/.332 | .122 | .276 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.263/.342 | .127 | .288 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.219/.291 | .112 | .242 | 14 | 3 | 32% | 3% | 31 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA |
28 | 38→41 | 44→50 | 53→50 | 34 | .189/.242/.304 | .115 | .298 | 12 | 12 | 40% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .188/.244/.306 | .118 | .318 | 13 | 8 | 42% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .146/.206/.239 | .093 | .257 | 13 | 0 | 46% | 6% | 11 | -1.5 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 43 | .197/.261/.333 | .136 | .264 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.283/.350 | .144 | .290 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .198/.293/.339 | .141 | .281 | 18 | 0 | 34% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Dan Conway 2007 · AAA |
27 | 40 | 42→45 | 46→30 | 42 | .200/.263/.303 | .103 | .271 | 9 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .201/.257/.301 | .100 | .279 | 10 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .154/.214/.214 | .061 | .218 | 8 | 0 | 32% | 5% | 10 | -1.0 |
|
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA |
29 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .194/.247/.308 | .114 | .270 | 12 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .198/.255/.324 | .126 | .283 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .183/.287/.336 | .152 | .261 | 22 | 8 | 36% | 11% | 73 | -0.0 |