Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 14.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 8.10 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 14.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 8.10 | 4.90 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 52 | 226 | 63 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 0.4% | 2.96 | 2.62 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 52 | 226 | 63 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 8.0% | 19.9% | 0.4% | 2.96 | 1.96 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 42 | 0 | 48 | 223 | 53 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 6.00 | 4.86 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 42 | 0 | 48 | 223 | 53 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 1.8% | 6.00 | 3.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 15 | 0 | 17 | 87 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 19.0% | -0.3% | 4.1% | 7.02 | 6.20 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 49 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 76 | 338 | 69 | 53 | 10 | — | — | 20.5% | 15.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.60 | 5.42 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.7% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.20 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 50 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 48 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 5.17 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.19 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 5.17 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 32 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 5.19 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 0 | 95 | 403 | 81 | 58 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 4.82 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 170 | 122 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 14.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 5.15 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 110 | 0 | 126 | 584 | 116 | 79 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 5.06 | 4.18 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 0 | 200 | 925 | 184 | 125 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 5.06 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zane Morehouse (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.20 | 19.7% | 15.0% | 2.7% | — | 5.19 | 20.1% | 5.8% | 170 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 90 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 88 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 87 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 87 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 86 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .246 | 4.88 | 12.9% | -1.0% | 29 | +0.37 | 4.51 | 151 | 86 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .248 | 2.04 | 31.1% | 18.7% | 16 | -1.99 | 2.04 | 138 | 86 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 85 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.01 | 17.2% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .266 | 3.89 | 22.4% | 10.5% | 62 | -0.12 | 3.24 | 159 | 85 |
| Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.26 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 3.6% | .331 | 9.13 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 21 | +3.87 | 4.53 | 108 | 85 |
| Cody Scroggins R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.50 | 20.5% | 16.2% | 2.0% | .351 | 3.67 | 14.2% | 4.6% | 18 | -0.83 | 3.67 | 108 | 85 |
| Derek Eitel R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 85 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.36 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 3.8% | .287 | 3.16 | 26.8% | 20.6% | 26 | -2.20 | 3.16 | 253 | 85 |
| Matt Lollis R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 84 |
| Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 84 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 84 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 19.6% | 14.7% | 3.8% | .256 | 3.94 | 15.0% | 5.6% | 61 | -1.43 | 3.94 | 189 | 84 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 1.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 171 | 84 |
| Gregory Infante R 2028 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 84 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 20.0% | 14.5% | 1.10 | 5.16 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |