Owen AyersC South Bend Cubs
Age 25 S/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A+ BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.6 · 2026
wRC+†116
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .287 / .351
PA221
HR6
SB6
K%29
BB%8
MLB%0%
BAT: +3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +6.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +1.60+1.6WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3039
PWR
5050
SPD
5040
FLD
4047
EYE
4555
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.5peak
2029

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M+1.5$14M+$13M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+1.4$13M+$12M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+1.1$11M+$10M
2033Ext / FA-deal$2M+0.8$4M+$2M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1M+0.4$2M+$0.7M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.6M+0.1$0.5M-$0.1M
Totals $6M $43M +$37M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202423 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 7065 10301 4201 10 .154.214.246.460 .092.205 296 .203 14 -7 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.3
202524 A2 teams 362328 601547 221258 80 .183.251.317.568 .134.265 356 .254 53 -19 +2 +0 +6 +10 -0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202625 A+South Bend Cubs 5245 13205 6151 30 .289.385.6671.051 .378.320 2912 .442 196 +6 +1 +0 +1 +1 0.9
ROS25 MLBCHC 169151 33615 14492 31 .219.293.371.664 .152.288 298 .304 91 -2 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.7
TOT25 MLBCHC 221196 468110 20643 61 .235.315.439.754 .204.293 299 .337 116 +4 +1 +0 +4 +6 1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202726 MLB 10%CHC 262233 521018 23704 51 .223.304.378.682 .155.285 279 .310 95 -1 +1 +1 +5 +7 1.2
202827 MLB 25%CHC 315280 6412210 28834 51 .229.308.393.701 .164.286 269 .311 96 -1 +1 +1 +6 +9 1.5
202928 MLB 37%CHC 350311 7214211 31935 50 .232.311.395.707 .164.286 279 .311 96 -2 +1 +0 +6 +10 1.6
203029 MLB 47%CHC 364323 7414211 33975 50 .229.310.387.697 .158.285 279 .309 95 -2 +1 -1 +7 +10 1.5
203130 MLB 55%CHC 373332 7414211 331015 40 .223.303.377.679 .154.284 279 .306 92 -3 +1 -1 +7 +11 1.4
203231 MLB 66%CHC 355315 7013210 32975 30 .222.304.371.675 .149.282 279 .302 89 -4 +1 -2 +6 +10 1.1
203332 MLB 75%CHC 331294 631219 30924 30 .214.296.354.649 .139.281 289 .297 86 -5 +1 -3 +6 +9 0.8
203433 MLB 83%CHC 297265 571118 26854 20 .215.295.355.650 .140.279 299 .292 81 -6 +0 -4 +5 +8 0.4
203534 MLB 89%CHC 250223 47916 22743 20 .211.290.341.631 .130.277 309 .285 76 -7 +0 -4 +4 +7 0.1
203635 MLB 95%CHC 198177 37715 17602 20 .209.286.345.630 .136.275 309 .277 70 -7 +0 -5 +4 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 36963297 71314020102 315104652 483 .216.295.364.658 .147.282 289 .295 84 -67 +8 -18 +66 +105 9.6
/ 162G 650580 12625418 551849 81 .217.295.367.662 .150.283 288 .295 84 -12 +1 -3 +12 +18 1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202423 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 7063 12401 6141 10 .190.271.302.573 .111.229 209 .264 60 -3 +0 +2 -0.1
202524 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 273231 551456 31637 70 .238.346.420.766 .182.295 2311 .339 117 +5 +1 +8 1.5
202524 INTLMesa Solar Sox 8966 25503 22101 10 .379.539.5911.130 .212.415 1125 .496 238 +14 +0 +3 1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Owen Ayers (OGILVIE) 25 30→39 50 50→40 55 .213/.287/.351 .137.286 63 29% 8% 79 +0.1
Jakson Reetz
2021 · A
25 41→34 45→60 43→45 43 .206/.285/.327 .121.286 135 31% 8% 72 -0.2 .197/.275/.360 .163.272 204 34% 6% 77 +0.1 .197/.277/.397.201.24526431%7%84+0.3
Jose Lobatón
2009 · AA
24 44 46→45 42→30 45 .219/.285/.349 .131.294 143 30% 8% 76 +0.1 .222/.281/.341 .119.293 123 27% 8% 72 -0.2 .241/.325/.370.129.30512023%11%94+0.6
Devin Mann
2022 · AA
25 40→45 51→55 43→45 43 .211/.284/.372 .161.275 197 30% 7% 83 +0.6 .217/.298/.374 .157.285 175 29% 9% 89 +1.0 .215/.298/.370.155.28118329%9%85+0.5
Landon Powell
2007 · AA
25 44→41 49→50 46→30 45 .224/.286/.360 .136.288 184 28% 8% 80 +0.4 .225/.297/.382 .157.279 213 26% 9% 91 +1.1 .216/.297/.384.168.25723126%10%89+0.4
Mickey Gasper
2021 · A
25 41→51 47→50 49→45 47 .209/.282/.339 .130.253 154 24% 8% 73 -0.1 .231/.313/.366 .135.294 139 25% 8% 94 +1.3 .242/.338/.383.141.28315819%10%105+1.1
Brett Cumberland
2021 · AA
26 42→39 46→50 44→30 45 .206/.299/.336 .130.294 144 32% 9% 81 +0.4 .196/.302/.311 .115.297 134 36% 8% 76 +0.1 .167/.285/.268.102.26014137%8%56-0.5
Patrick Bailey
2023 · A
24 39→49 46→45 47→45 45 .199/.271/.326 .128.273 146 31% 9% 66 -0.6 .223/.284/.340 .117.298 125 28% 8% 74 -0.1 .229/.288/.338.110.30311427%7%75-0.0
Matt Lloyd
2021 · A
25 44→42 46→50 46→50 42 .218/.279/.349 .131.306 139 32% 7% 74 -0.1 .215/.282/.373 .158.319 207 37% 7% 82 +0.5 .214/.289/.352.138.288171230%9%78+0.1
Scott Manea
2021 · A
25 40→41 47→45 39→30 41 .205/.282/.334 .129.262 153 27% 6% 73 -0.1 .210/.295/.321 .111.301 123 32% 9% 74 -0.1 .195/.289/.293.098.28511032%10%61-0.5
Brian O'Keefe
2018 · A
25 43→42 47→55 45→40 47 .219/.284/.355 .136.271 154 25% 8% 78 +0.2 .211/.281/.345 .134.268 144 26% 8% 75 -0.0 .204/.274/.353.149.26720230%8%70-0.2
Cooper Hummel
2021 · AA
26 42→49 48→50 41→55 47 .208/.302/.346 .138.292 166 32% 10% 85 +0.7 .225/.320/.376 .151.301 1411 27% 11% 98 +1.6 .217/.330/.365.148.295131928%12%98+1.1
Tyler Ogle
2016 · A
25 43→44 49→50 37→30 52 .219/.302/.365 .146.262 173 24% 10% 89 +0.9 .213/.280/.353 .140.273 164 27% 7% 76 +0.1 .174/.242/.295.122.21913027%6%44-0.5
Kenny Holmberg
2008 · A
25 45 48→50 41→40 49 .230/.296/.371 .141.270 174 22% 8% 87 +0.8 .209/.295/.296 .087.269 74 23% 9% 68 -0.5 .179/.291/.209.030.2450123%11%44-1.2
Drew Sutton
2007 · A
24 44→54 48→50 44→50 47 .223/.287/.366 .143.268 1611 23% 8% 82 +0.5 .239/.303/.373 .134.291 1314 22% 8% 90 +1.0 .249/.324/.392.143.313131023%9%101+1.4
Ryan Schimpf
2013 · AA
25 39 50→60 48→45 43 .204/.276/.365 .162.275 177 32% 8% 78 +0.2 .196/.274/.375 .179.254 224 31% 9% 80 +0.4 .201/.284/.419.218.23528228%9%91+0.9
Jason Hagerty
2013 · AA
25 48→53 46→50 43→40 46 .234/.304/.371 .137.309 133 28% 8% 90 +1.0 .225/.290/.347 .122.291 125 26% 7% 79 +0.3 .223/.291/.346.123.28912426%7%75-0.0
Ian Rice
2019 · AA
25 41→40 50 43→30 49 .210/.297/.362 .152.281 193 31% 10% 86 +0.8 .197/.273/.304 .107.287 114 33% 8% 60 -1.0 .154/.226/.214.060.2315033%7%17-1.7
Sicnarf Loopstok
2018 · A
25 41→37 47→50 46→50 37 .207/.268/.345 .139.293 1511 34% 6% 69 -0.4 .221/.296/.379 .158.309 198 33% 8% 90 +1.0 .215/.315/.403.187.28426232%11%106+0.8
Hunter Feduccia
2022 · AA
25 44→47 45→50 45→40 48 .220/.287/.342 .122.280 134 26% 8% 76 +0.0 .217/.289/.360 .143.287 163 28% 9% 82 +0.5 .226/.315/.344.118.30411227%11%86+0.5
John Hester
2009 · AA
25 43 48→55 46→50 38 .220/.261/.367 .148.290 156 30% 5% 71 -0.3 .241/.286/.384 .143.314 139 26% 5% 85 +0.7 .240/.291/.371.131.31211826%6%80+0.2