Marques Johnson P Sacramento River Cats
Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 213 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 40 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.19
FIP4.19
K%24.4%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
K: +0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -3.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: +1.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+1CONTACTSTAM: +4.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: +0.26 (70 IP)+0.3WAR
0.20.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202323ASan Jose Giants39053225633310%1.420.7%17.3%3.4%0.7%4.273.95
202323ASan Jose Giants39053225633310%1.428.0%14.7%13.3%0.4%4.272.83
202424MIX2 levels61733128017%1.236.4%24.2%12.1%0.0%2.453.10
202424MIX2 levels61733128017%1.236.4%24.2%12.1%0.0%2.453.10
202525MIX2 levels41057236783010%1.426.2%14.3%11.9%0.6%2.533.00
202525MIX2 levels41057236783010%1.433.1%12.7%20.3%0.4%2.532.17
▸ 2026 Season
202626AAASacramento River Cats24030144322720%1.319.6%19.7%-0.1%1.5%5.344.78-0.1
ROS26MLBSF38040167411940%1.024.4%11.3%13.1%2.4%4.194.19+0.2
ROS26MLBSF404174200%1.024.4%11.3%13.1%2.4%4.194.19+0.0
2026 TOT26MLBSF703117346623.4%14.7%8.6%2.0%4.694.45+0.3
2026 FULL26MLBSF41742024.4%11.3%13.1%2.4%4.193.81+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBSF37039164401840%1.124.3%11.2%13.1%2.5%4.224.24+0.1
202727MLBSF160177217820%1.124.3%11.2%13.1%2.5%4.224.24+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2002087211020%1.024.3%11.2%13.1%2.5%4.213.85+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084420598200%1.124.3%11.2%13.1%2.5%4.213.85+3.6
Career110114763814910951%1.323.3%17.1%6.2%0.8%3.733.74+2.9
/ 200 IP149120086620214871%1.323.3%17.1%6.2%0.8%3.733.74+3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Marques Johnson (OGILVIE) 4.19 24.4%11.3%2.4% 4.24 24.3%13.1%39 +0.05
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 95
Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 93
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 26 SU 4.34 23.4%11.6%3.2%.273 4.52 18.7%7.1%88 +0.18 3.57 187 90
Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 26 SU 3.62 23.9%12.3%1.8%.291 6.27 19.1%-8.3%16 +2.65 3.05 134 89
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 26 SU 4.16 24.5%13.2%2.6%.256 4.34 20.3%9.0%115 +0.18 3.78 180 89
Blake Smith R 2027 · 3.08 FIP 27 SU 3.08 23.3%10.5%1.1%.290 3.66 22.4%13.8%71 +0.58 3.08 124 88
Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP 25 SU 3.52 26.1%12.2%2.0%.245 5.01 28.6%16.5%41 +1.49 3.00 246 87
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 87
Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.04 FIP 27 SU 3.04 24.2%9.6%1.4%.330 3.26 23.6%14.6%81 +0.22 2.42 125 87
Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 25.8%12.1%2.0%.214 3.04 25.0%15.3%55 -0.50 2.59 156 86
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 26 SU 3.46 23.1%9.3%2.1%.244 3.76 18.9%11.1%168 +0.30 3.23 253 86
Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 26 SU 3.89 25.1%13.4%2.2%.310 4.58 25.4%10.8%79 +0.69 3.89 272 86
Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.15 FIP 26 SU 3.15 25.0%10.0%1.6%.289 4.73 28.3%17.6%151 +1.58 3.15 220 86
Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 3.35 FIP 26 SU 3.35 23.9%13.1%1.1%.286 4.36 16.2%1.8%50 +1.01 2.90 159 86
Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.12 FIP 26 SU 3.12 21.9%9.6%1.2%.284 3.59 23.6%8.0%55 +0.47 2.49 160 86
Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 26 SU 3.77 24.1%8.9%2.9%.242 3.56 22.5%12.4%100 -0.21 3.05 205 86
Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 26 SU 4.11 22.1%9.2%3.1%.282 3.23 26.9%17.2%144 -0.88 1.79 647 85
Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 85
Blake Treinen R 2027 · 3.10 FIP 27 SU 3.10 23.2%9.3%1.4%.314 2.59 26.4%19.2%223 -0.51 1.51 544 85
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 26 SU 4.57 26.5%11.2%4.2%.299 4.42 22.3%10.3%87 -0.15 3.74 163 84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23924.4%11.2%0.964.20
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82