Andrew Morones — OGILVIE

Andrew Morones P Northwest Arkansas Naturals

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 190 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%22.0%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%9.1%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	0	10	38	7	5	1	0%	1.2	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	2.6%	0.90	4.66	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	0	10	38	7	5	1	0%	1.2	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	2.6%	0.90	4.66	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	0	10	38	7	5	1	0%	1.2	18.4%	13.2%	5.3%	2.6%	0.90	4.50	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	44	198	58	22	1	3%	1.5	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	0.7%	5.52	3.47	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	44	198	58	22	1	3%	1.5	21.4%	14.0%	7.4%	0.7%	5.52	3.47	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	1	44	198	58	22	1	3%	1.5	29.3%	11.1%	18.2%	0.5%	5.52	2.26	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	19	0	22	96	27	14	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	16.0%	6.7%	6.2%	5.40	6.64	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	19	0	22	96	27	14	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	16.0%	6.7%	6.2%	5.40	6.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	KC	19	0	22	96	27	14	5	0%	1.1	28.1%	14.6%	13.5%	5.2%	5.40	5.43	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	38	0	40	167	37	21	5	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.5%	9.8%	2.7%	4.69	4.68	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	16	0	17	72	16	9	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.5%	9.8%	2.7%	4.69	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	17	73	16	9	2	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.5%	9.8%	2.7%	4.69	4.30	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	104	23	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.5%	9.8%	2.7%	4.69	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		56	1	76	332	71	48	8	2%	1.4	21.4%	14.5%	7.0%	2.5%	4.88	4.52	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		148	3	200	878	188	127	22	2%	1.4	21.4%	14.5%	7.0%	2.5%	4.88	4.52	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Morones (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	22.0%	12.9%	2.7%	—	4.68	22.4%	9.8%	40	-0.06	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	91
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	88
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	88
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	88
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Tyler Mitzel R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	20.8%	12.0%	2.1%	.323	4.14	23.4%	17.9%	58	+0.11	4.03	142	86
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	86
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	86
Alec Barger R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	25	SU	4.44	21.5%	14.4%	2.4%	.326	4.67	18.6%	7.5%	79	+0.23	3.85	242	85
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.42	16.0%	3.7%	182	-0.14	3.46	237	85
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	85
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	85
Pat Light R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.1%	13.1%	2.1%	.276	4.63	11.8%	-2.3%	55	+0.53	4.10	172	85
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	85
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	22.2%	12.7%	1.05	4.71
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99