Tyresse Turner
SS Akron RubberDucks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+CLE | 255 | .259/.353/.350 | 4 | 22 | 59 | — | .218/.290/.287 |
| 2025 | 25 | AACLE | 262 | .193/.315/.252 | 1 | 21 | 30 | — | .159/.257/.207 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 181 | .241/.389/.352 | 1 | 26 | 79 | — | .213/.312/.298 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBCLE | 2 | .190/.282/.256 | 0 | 0 | 57 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBCLE | 43 | .191/.282/.259 | 0 | 1 | 58 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 35 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 267 | 371 | 533 | 905 | 267 | 412 | 34 | 11 | 393 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 209 | 176 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 62 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 233 | 345 | 295 | 640 | 63 | 345 | 30 | 11 | 299 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 39 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 314 | 351 | 514 | 866 | 200 | 400 | 26 | 5 | 359 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 185 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 59 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 249 | 353 | 319 | 672 | 70 | 350 | 27 | 12 | 313 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 262 | 218 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 86 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 193 | 315 | 252 | 567 | 60 | 313 | 33 | 13 | 268 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 18 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 167 | 444 | 167 | 611 | 200 | 11 | 28 | 335 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 97 | 82 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 244 | 354 | 341 | 696 | 98 | 358 | 29 | 14 | 318 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 30 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 280 | 400 | 480 | 880 | 200 | 389 | 23 | 13 | 389 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 36 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 231 | 444 | 346 | 791 | 115 | 333 | 22 | 28 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 35 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 194 | 286 | 387 | 673 | 194 | 348 | 43 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 209 | 184 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 86 | 6 | 26 | 4 | 179 | 267 | 217 | 484 | 38 | 312 | 41 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 39 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 306 | 324 | 500 | 824 | 194 | 385 | 31 | 3 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 216 | 193 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 73 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 202 | 284 | 249 | 532 | 47 | 309 | 34 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 262 | 227 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 111 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 159 | 257 | 207 | 464 | 48 | 290 | 42 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 18 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 154 | 389 | 154 | 543 | 189 | 11 | 22 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 97 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 233 | 312 | 326 | 638 | 93 | 347 | 35 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 30 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 185 | 267 | 296 | 563 | 111 | 284 | 33 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 215 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 101 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 181 | 270 | 242 | 512 | 60 | 327 | 41 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 244 | 206 | 49 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 74 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 238 | 349 | 330 | 679 | 92 | 354 | 30 | 11 | 312 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 229 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 86 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 218 | 290 | 288 | 578 | 70 | 333 | 34 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 255 | 220 | 57 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 69 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 259 | 353 | 350 | 703 | 91 | 358 | 27 | 11 | 320 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 262 | 227 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 111 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 159 | 257 | 207 | 464 | 48 | 304 | 42 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 262 | 218 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 86 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 193 | 315 | 252 | 567 | 60 | 313 | 33 | 13 | 268 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 181 | 159 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 2 | 26 | 3 | 201 | 294 | 283 | 577 | 82 | 310 | 32 | 10 | 264 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 181 | 145 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 45 | 2 | 26 | 3 | 241 | 389 | 352 | 741 | 110 | 343 | 25 | 18 | 343 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 216 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 101 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 181 | 270 | 241 | 510 | 60 | 317 | 41 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 230 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 86 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 217 | 290 | 287 | 577 | 70 | 321 | 34 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 262 | 230 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 111 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 157 | 257 | 204 | 461 | 48 | 290 | 42 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 181 | 158 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 2 | 26 | 3 | 203 | 294 | 285 | 579 | 82 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 264 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 255 | 230 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 86 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 217 | 290 | 287 | 577 | 70 | 321 | 34 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 262 | 230 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 111 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 157 | 257 | 204 | 461 | 48 | 290 | 42 | 10 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 181 | 158 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 58 | 2 | 26 | 3 | 203 | 294 | 285 | 579 | 82 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 264 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 2% | 200 | 176 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 59 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 190 | 282 | 257 | 539 | 67 | 274 | 30 | 10 | 252 | 57 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 282 | 256 | 538 | 66 | 274 | 50 | 0 | 252 | 57 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 27% | 161 | 142 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 191 | 282 | 260 | 542 | 70 | 275 | 29 | 10 | 253 | 58 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 27% | 43 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 282 | 259 | 541 | 68 | 275 | 30 | 9 | 253 | 58 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 43 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 233 | 179 | 412 | 26 | 231 | 30 | 9 | 253 | 50 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 590 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 197 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 154 | 232 | 180 | 412 | 25 | 232 | 30 | 9 | 253 | 50 | -33 | +3 | -3 | +7 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1208 | 1064 | 202 | 26 | 9 | 9 | 111 | 434 | 19 | 108 | 14 | 190 | 278 | 257 | 535 | 67 | 309 | 36 | 9 | 242 | 50 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 109 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 234 | 10 | 58 | 8 | 190 | 278 | 258 | 537 | 68 | 310 | 36 | 9 | 242 | 50 | -33 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 97 PAwOBA .311 → .266 (−45)K% 28.9% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.87% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 9.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×0.988 | 27.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.033 | ×0.988 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | ×0.988 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.43% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .311 → .266; ISO .098 → .083; BABIP .358 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Guardians · 30 PAwOBA .379 → .248 (−132)K% 23.3% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 7.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 2.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 17.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 7.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .379 → .248; ISO .200 → .127; BABIP .389 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 18 PAwOBA .330 → .276 (−54)K% 11.1% → 13.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 19.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 5.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 18.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .330 → .276; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 262 PAwOBA .262 → .213 (−50)K% 32.8% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.82% | ÷0.948 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.36% | ÷0.953 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 22.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.986 | ×0.860 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | ×0.981 | ×0.998 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.76% | ÷0.926 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .262 → .213; ISO .060 → .048; BABIP .313 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lake County Captains · 216 PAwOBA .306 → .242 (−64)K% 27.3% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.31% | ÷1.023 | ×1.270 | — | — | 33.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.95% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 27.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.978 | ×0.810 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.850 | ×0.985 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.190 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 105, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .306 → .242; ISO .070 → .048; BABIP .350 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAkron RubberDucks · 39 PAwOBA .358 → .330 (−28)K% 25.6% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.64% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 27.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 3.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.27% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 105, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .358 → .330; ISO .200 → .177; BABIP .400 → .385. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALynchburg Hillcats · 209 PAwOBA .293 → .224 (−69)K% 29.7% → 41.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.67% | ÷0.981 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.48% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.87% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.70% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 27.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 2.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.990 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.017 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 96, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .293 → .224; ISO .062 → .046; BABIP .345 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lake County Captains · 35 PAwOBA .383 → .287 (−96)K% 34.3% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.29% | ÷1.028 | ×1.270 | — | — | 42.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷0.971 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.011 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 20.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 8.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.19% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 102, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 106, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .383 → .287; ISO .267 → .186; BABIP .412 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .