Caleb Cali — OGILVIE

Caleb Cali3B Arkansas Travelers

Age 25 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs AA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION352 act + 234 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .262 / .364

PA234

HR9

SB9

K%38

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO175

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$1.0M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	45	41	7	2	0	1	4	19	0	1	0	171	244	293	537	122	286	42	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	45	39	11	3	0	2	6	13	0	1	0	282	378	513	891	231	375	29	13	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	512	460	84	18	3	10	42	191	6	9	3	183	260	300	560	117	281	37	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	512	429	110	27	4	16	73	138	6	9	3	256	372	450	822	193	337	27	14	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	404	86	15	2	21	34	162	3	9	10	213	279	416	695	203	286	36	8	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	394	86	15	3	14	44	141	3	9	10	218	302	378	680	160	294	32	10	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	SEA	—	352	316	58	12	0	15	33	140	0	20	1	184	261	364	625	180	262	40	9	273	67	-13	+4	+0	+1	+10	0.2
YTD	25	AA	SEA	—	352	300	70	16	0	17	49	109	0	20	1	233	341	457	798	223	299	31	14	351	127	+11	+4	+0	+1	+10	2.6
ROS	25	AA	SEA	2%	234	211	40	8	1	9	20	90	1	9	1	189	262	364	626	175	268	38	9	278	71	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	SEA	2%	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						266	40	0	272	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	SEA	—	357	321	58	12	0	15	33	142	0	20	1	181	257	358	615	178	257	40	9	273	67	-13	+4	+0	+1	+10	0.2
TOT	25	AA	SEA	—	586	527	98	20	1	24	53	230	1	29	2	186	261	364	625	178	267	39	9	275	68	-21	+5	+0	+2	+17	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SEA	31%	365	329	64	13	1	14	32	134	1	10	2	195	268	368	636	173	273	37	9	283	75	-10	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.3
2028	27	MLB	SEA	42%	388	349	70	14	1	15	34	139	2	10	2	201	275	375	651	175	275	36	9	286	77	-10	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.4
2029	28	MLB	SEA	48%	401	360	72	14	1	15	36	141	2	9	2	200	276	369	646	169	275	35	9	287	78	-10	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.3
2027	26	MLB	SEA	31%	113	102	19	4	0	4	10	42	0	3	1	186	259	343	602	157	270	37	9	277	70	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.0
2028	27	MLB	SEA	42%	163	147	29	6	0	6	14	58	1	4	1	197	272	361	632	163	272	36	9	280	72	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2029	28	MLB	SEA	48%	192	172	35	7	1	7	17	68	1	4	1	203	279	378	657	174	272	35	9	280	73	-6	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	473	426	83	17	1	17	41	170	2	11	3	195	269	359	628	164	273	36	9	279	72	-15	+1	-0	+2	+13	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	113	23	1	23	56	234	3	15	4	193	267	354	621	161	271	36	9	279	72	-21	+1	-0	+2	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2392	2154	423	84	9	85	202	876	15	57	20	196	270	362	632	166	279	37	8	279	71	-77	+3	-1	+9	+68	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	115	23	2	23	55	238	4	15	5	197	270	361	631	164	280	37	8	279	71	-21	+1	-0	+2	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	45	39	11	3	0	2	6	13	0	1	0	282	378	513	891	231	375	29	13	392	158	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	390	328	76	17	2	14	55	111	4	7	2	232	349	424	773	192	301	28	14	345	122	+10	+1	—	—	+11	2.2
2024	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	122	101	34	10	2	2	18	27	2	2	1	337	446	535	981	198	438	22	15	429	187	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.6
2025	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	394	86	15	3	14	44	141	3	9	10	218	302	378	680	160	294	32	10	302	89	-5	-2	—	—	+13	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	475	18	12	199	271	371	+2	+0	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	25	17	199	271	371	+2.4	+0.7	0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Cali (OGILVIE)	25	30	50	45	45	186/261/364	178	267	24	29	39%	9%	68	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Peyton Burdick 2022 · AAA	25	38→32	52→55	45→50	45	197/293/364	167	297	20	9	38%	10%	85	+0.7	185/270/345	160	284	19	12	39%	9%	71	-0.3	169/254/325	157	260	19	13	41%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	36→40	51→55	46→45	46	191/276/352	161	267	19	7	34%	10%	75	-0.0	196/264/341	145	281	18	6	35%	7%	66	-0.6	174/240/314	140	235	21	2	35%	6%	46	-1.3
✕Will Wilson 2023 · AAA	25	38	51→50	45	39	200/265/352	153	297	20	7	38%	7%	69	-0.4	201/259/316	115	267	14	6	29%	7%	57	-1.2	192/251/291	99	250	12	6	27%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Allan Cerda 2023 · AA	23	33→22	53→55	42→45	45	179/281/352	173	270	21	6	40%	10%	78	+0.2	172/266/319	147	292	18	8	44%	10%	63	-0.9	131/236/270	139	217	19	8	46%	10%	35	-0.9
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Jacob Heyward 2022 · AA	26	37→40	54→50	42→50	42	197/283/370	174	289	22	8	38%	9%	83	+0.6	195/265/335	140	315	18	6	41%	8%	66	-0.6	158/232/275	117	263	17	1	44%	8%	34	-1.7
✕Kevin Smith 2021 · AA	25	37→43	53→55	49→50	35	202/248/370	168	283	22	13	37%	5%	67	-0.5	205/258/363	158	283	19	15	33%	6%	69	-0.4	200/251/358	158	270	20	15	33%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Brandon Meredith 2015 · AA	25	40→36	50	43→45	46	207/287/359	152	273	17	7	30%	9%	81	+0.4	212/279/335	123	294	13	8	31%	8%	71	-0.3	191/254/285	93	268	11	5	31%	7%	43	-0.6
✕Joe DeCarlo 2019 · AA	25	40→37	52→55	44→30	41	209/281/373	164	281	20	3	32%	7%	82	+0.5	196/261/300	104	295	11	4	35%	7%	54	-1.4	155/222/207	52	250	6	0	38%	7%	11	-1.4
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→42	57→55	45→50	37	212/259/399	186	275	27	9	34%	6%	79	+0.3	223/281/395	172	280	22	11	28%	6%	88	+0.9	221/284/392	171	272	22	11	27%	6%	85	+0.5
✕Luke Ritter 2023 · AAA	26	38→42	51→55	46→45	37	199/267/351	153	301	19	8	39%	7%	71	-0.3	204/290/366	162	314	21	6	39%	9%	85	+0.7	196/289/349	153	306	20	4	39%	10%	76	+0.1
✕Brandon Downes 2018 · A	25	38→36	52→55	47→50	35	200/254/366	166	288	20	10	37%	5%	69	-0.4	202/258/349	147	320	18	10	40%	6%	66	-0.6	158/211/285	127	268	17	10	46%	5%	27	-1.4
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	51→55	50	40	202/258/351	149	255	20	7	30%	6%	67	-0.5	220/291/413	193	279	26	9	30%	7%	97	+1.5	205/284/416	211	247	30	7	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Tyreque Reed 2022 · AA	25	42→35	53→50	44→40	42	217/290/388	171	306	22	6	35%	8%	90	+1.0	209/273/350	141	332	17	6	40%	7%	72	-0.2	159/219/270	111	267	15	0	45%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	40→39	49→55	45	40	206/269/351	145	287	17	7	34%	7%	71	-0.3	208/271/378	170	297	22	4	36%	7%	79	+0.3	197/262/376	179	277	24	1	37%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Colton Shaver 2021 · AA	25	37→32	50	43→30	41	194/267/343	150	280	18	3	36%	8%	69	-0.4	191/277/344	153	345	20	5	46%	8%	73	-0.1	143/256/309	167	238	26	0	48%	10%	53	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2021 · AAA	25	42→40	52→55	49→50	45	211/295/384	173	303	20	10	35%	9%	91	+1.1	201/264/359	158	276	19	12	33%	7%	71	-0.3	187/255/336	149	252	18	12	33%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Josh Breaux 2023 · AAA	25	35→29	54→60	49→40	36	199/241/369	170	263	23	4	34%	5%	64	-0.8	199/245/348	149	270	20	4	34%	5%	59	-1.1	184/231/318	134	246	19	1	33%	5%	43	-0.7
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	36→33	48→45	50→55	39	191/255/325	133	271	17	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	215/291/341	126	313	13	16	33%	8%	78	+0.2	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	41	50	45→50	40	211/280/359	148	289	19	12	33%	7%	78	+0.2	207/275/357	150	271	18	12	30%	6%	76	+0.0	200/269/348	148	259	18	13	30%	5%	68	-0.5