Caleb Cali

3B Arkansas Travelers

Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs AA K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	A+/A2 orgs	512	.256/.372/.450	16	9	64	—	.189/.274/.317
2025	24	AASEA	447	.218/.302/.378	14	9	59	—	.190/.254/.340
2026	25	AASEA	515	.200/.297/.381	20	20	38	—	.152/.223/.282
2027PROJMLE	26	MLBSEA	3	.176/.246/.309	0	0	57	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBSEA	45	.178/.249/.311	1	1	59	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO68

BB%60

Speed53

wRC+37

Chase%34

Whiff%30

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsConnor Kaiser (age 26) · Jeremy Eierman (age 27) · Camden Duzenack (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .246 / .309

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO121

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	45	39	11	3	0	2	6	13	0	1	0	282	378	513	891	231	375	29	13	392	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	390	328	76	17	2	14	55	111	4	7	2	232	349	424	773	192	301	28	14	345	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Modesto Nuts	—	122	101	34	10	2	2	18	27	2	2	1	337	446	535	981	198	438	22	15	429	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	394	86	15	3	14	44	141	3	9	10	218	302	378	680	160	294	32	10	302	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	515	449	90	21	0	20	59	174	3	20	1	200	297	381	678	180	270	34	11	303	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	45	41	7	2	0	1	4	19	0	1	0	171	244	293	537	122	283	42	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	390	348	59	12	2	9	35	149	4	7	2	170	253	293	546	124	255	38	9	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	122	107	27	7	1	2	12	37	2	2	1	252	339	393	731	140	361	30	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	406	77	13	3	14	32	162	3	9	10	190	254	340	594	150	257	36	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	515	468	71	16	0	15	40	212	3	20	1	152	223	282	505	130	223	41	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	45	41	7	2	0	1	4	19	0	1	0	171	244	293	537	122	286	42	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	45	39	11	3	0	2	6	13	0	1	0	282	378	513	891	231	375	29	13	392	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	512	454	86	19	3	11	48	186	6	9	3	189	276	317	593	128	287	36	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	512	429	110	27	4	16	73	138	6	9	3	256	372	450	822	193	337	27	14	365	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	406	77	13	3	14	32	162	3	9	10	190	254	340	594	150	267	36	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	394	86	15	3	14	44	141	3	9	10	218	302	378	680	160	294	32	10	302	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	515	468	71	16	0	15	40	212	3	20	1	152	223	282	505	130	229	41	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	515	449	90	21	0	20	59	174	3	20	1	200	297	381	678	180	270	34	11	303	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	45	41	7	2	0	1	4	19	0	1	0	171	244	293	537	122	283	42	9	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	512	453	86	19	3	11	48	186	6	9	3	190	276	318	593	128	280	36	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	409	77	13	3	14	32	162	3	9	10	188	254	337	591	149	257	36	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	515	467	71	16	0	15	40	212	3	20	1	152	223	283	506	131	223	41	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	512	453	86	19	3	11	48	186	6	9	3	190	276	318	593	128	280	36	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	447	409	77	13	3	14	32	162	3	9	10	188	254	337	591	149	257	36	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	515	467	71	16	0	15	40	212	3	20	1	152	223	283	506	131	223	41	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	2%	380	345	61	12	1	11	30	147	2	8	2	178	248	314	562	136	266	39	8	253	57	-19	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	176	246	309	555	133	264	33	0	250	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	27%	167	151	28	5	1	5	13	64	1	3	1	180	250	316	567	136	267	38	8	255	59	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	27%	45	41	6	1	0	1	4	17	0	1	0	178	249	311	560	133	265	38	9	252	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	45	41	6	1	0	1	4	17	0	1	0	146	222	244	466	98	217	38	9	252	54	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	86	14	0	14	58	246	0	14	0	145	222	240	461	95	217	38	9	252	54	-32	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1841	1661	293	60	7	50	149	703	14	45	16	176	250	311	561	135	263	38	8	249	54	-16	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	103	21	2	18	53	248	5	16	6	176	250	311	561	135	261	38	8	249	54	-32	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAArkansas Travelers · 515 PAwOBA .297 → .224 (−73)K% 33.8% → 41.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.79%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	41.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.26%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.988	7.79%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.870	—	×0.988	0.50%
Singles /BIP	17.82%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×0.988	15.39%
Doubles /BIP	7.64%	÷1.000	×0.840	×0.950	×0.988	6.02%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.950	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.27%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.988	5.75%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .297 → .224; ISO .180 → .135; BABIP .270 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAArkansas Travelers · 447 PAwOBA .298 → .256 (−42)K% 31.5% → 36.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.54%	÷1.061	×1.220	—	—	36.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.84%	÷0.950	×0.700	—	×0.998	7.24%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	0.58%
Singles /BIP	21.34%	÷0.998	×0.920	×0.950	×0.998	18.65%
Doubles /BIP	5.93%	÷0.914	×0.840	×0.950	×0.998	5.17%
Triples /BIP	1.19%	÷1.018	×0.940	×0.950	×0.998	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	5.53%	÷0.800	×0.800	—	×0.998	5.52%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 104, K 112, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .298 → .256; ISO .160 → .151; BABIP .294 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Everett AquaSox · 390 PAwOBA .339 → .245 (−94)K% 28.5% → 38.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.46%	÷1.003	×1.350	—	—	38.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.10%	÷1.082	×0.710	—	×0.988	9.14%
HBP% /PA	1.03%	—	×0.810	—	×0.988	0.82%
Singles /BIP	19.82%	÷0.992	×0.910	×0.993	×0.988	17.82%
Doubles /BIP	7.83%	÷1.040	×0.830	×0.993	×0.988	6.13%
Triples /BIP	0.92%	÷0.904	×0.820	×0.993	×0.988	0.82%
Home runs /BIP	6.45%	÷1.175	×0.830	—	×0.988	4.50%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 81, K 101, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .339 → .245; ISO .192 → .131; BABIP .301 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AModesto Nuts · 122 PAwOBA .422 → .321 (−101)K% 22.1% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.13%	÷0.993	×1.360	—	—	30.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.75%	÷1.010	×0.690	—	×0.980	9.88%
HBP% /PA	1.64%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	1.25%
Singles /BIP	27.03%	÷0.970	×0.920	×0.955	×0.980	23.98%
Doubles /BIP	13.51%	÷1.076	×0.830	×0.955	×0.980	9.76%
Triples /BIP	2.70%	÷1.150	×0.910	×0.955	×0.980	2.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.70%	÷0.897	×0.800	—	×0.980	2.36%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 94, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .422 → .321; ISO .198 → .147; BABIP .438 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Mariners · 45 PAwOBA .381 → .249 (−133)K% 28.9% → 41.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.89%	÷0.992	×1.440	—	—	41.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷0.989	×0.620	—	×0.965	8.07%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.965	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷0.987	×0.820	—	×0.965	18.50%
Doubles /BIP	11.54%	÷0.993	×0.720	—	×0.965	8.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.965	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷0.945	×0.780	—	×0.965	6.12%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .381 → .249; ISO .231 → .153; BABIP .375 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Cali (OGILVIE)	26	30	50	45	45	176/246/312	135	266	4	3	39%	8%	57	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Jeremy Eierman 2024 · AA	27	33→26	49→50	47→45	34	181/238/320	139	273	18	10	40%	6%	56	-1.9	193/247/326	133	289	17	8	38%	5%	60	-1.6	154/203/280	126	218	21	3	40%	4%	32	-1.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	35	46→45	49→50	38	185/244/303	118	271	15	9	37%	7%	53	-2.1	201/257/330	129	291	16	9	35%	7%	64	-1.3	162/215/287	125	224	17	0	36%	6%	36	-0.7
✕Jordan Nwogu 2024 · AA	25	36	48→50	51→55	36	188/253/324	136	286	17	17	39%	6%	62	-1.4	206/267/304	98	294	10	22	31%	6%	62	-1.4	212/276/293	80	294	7	25	28%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Brandon Martorano 2024 · AA	26	39	45	48→50	42	189/271/309	121	302	13	9	39%	9%	65	-1.2	203/274/314	111	317	12	8	37%	8%	68	-1.0	170/241/256	86	263	11	0	37%	8%	41	-0.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Matt Dryer 2006 · A	26	33→37	49→50	46→40	37	182/238/323	141	262	18	5	37%	6%	56	-1.9	201/256/335	134	304	16	5	37%	6%	65	-1.2	192/245/327	135	289	18	1	39%	5%	57	-1.2
✕Matthew Allegra 2007 · AA	26	38	48→50	43→40	37	197/255/339	142	292	16	5	37%	6%	66	-1.1	208/261/348	140	282	14	6	30%	6%	70	-0.8	194/244/340	146	249	14	2	28%	5%	59	-1.1
✕C.J. Stubbs 2023 · AA	26	32	49→45	50	33	165/238/306	141	304	18	13	49%	7%	53	-2.1	163/247/282	119	280	14	12	44%	8%	52	-2.2	141/230/247	106	238	14	6	44%	8%	35	-1.4
✕Edwin Díaz 2022 · AAA	26	36→33	48→50	49→40	36	185/245/321	136	294	16	5	41%	6%	59	-1.7	179/231/311	132	303	16	6	44%	6%	51	-2.3	156/227/293	137	222	18	5	38%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Brandon Lewis 2024 · AA	25	33→34	48→50	44→30	35	183/235/318	135	263	18	3	37%	5%	54	-2.0	180/234/293	113	281	14	4	39%	6%	47	-2.5	140/196/249	109	217	16	0	43%	6%	23	-1.4
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	36→32	48→50	43→40	42	193/258/328	135	252	17	5	31%	7%	65	-1.2	199/277/337	138	247	17	5	26%	8%	75	-0.5	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Taylor Snyder 2021 · A	26	39→33	45→50	50	33	196/244/318	122	308	13	12	40%	5%	57	-1.8	189/240/339	150	276	19	12	37%	6%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Bryan Arias 2022 · AA	25	38	47→45	48→50	39	195/262/324	129	297	16	13	38%	7%	65	-1.2	193/269/293	100	292	10	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	179/266/269	90	269	8	17	34%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Will Wilson 2024 · AAA	26	40→39	48→50	44→45	41	207/264/341	134	274	17	6	31%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/303	97	274	10	8	27%	7%	61	-1.5	191/253/271	79	256	8	7	27%	7%	47	-1.8
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	35→25	44→50	49→50	35	182/236/299	117	270	12	9	36%	5%	50	-2.3	212/272/323	111	293	10	10	30%	5%	69	-0.9	212/282/301	88	289	5	9	26%	4%	65	-0.3
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Jake Means 2022 · A	26	35→31	47→45	49→45	45	184/267/321	136	269	15	6	36%	9%	67	-1.1	176/249/292	116	251	13	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	151/225/256	105	208	13	10	33%	8%	34	-2.0
✕Casey Golden 2021 · A	26	38→34	50→55	48→50	33	184/258/329	145	331	18	10	47%	7%	66	-1.1	209/273/349	140	395	15	7	47%	7%	75	-0.5	183/248/345	161	373	20	2	52%	7%	63	-0.4