Cameron Wagoner — OGILVIE

Cameron Wagoner P Biloxi Shuckers

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 187 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%19.3%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	3	20	75	24	2	1	43%	2.8	32.0%	2.7%	29.3%	1.3%	1.83	1.47	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	3	20	75	24	2	1	43%	2.8	32.0%	2.7%	29.3%	1.3%	1.83	1.63	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	24	22	100	454	87	38	7	92%	4.2	14.8%	9.6%	5.1%	1.9%	5.67	4.10	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	24	22	100	454	87	38	7	92%	4.2	14.8%	9.6%	5.1%	1.9%	5.67	4.10	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	24	22	100	454	87	38	7	92%	4.2	19.2%	8.4%	10.8%	1.5%	5.67	3.41	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	30	0	39	156	53	10	3	0%	1.3	27.7%	6.5%	21.2%	2.3%	1.62	2.86	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	30	0	39	156	53	10	3	0%	1.3	27.7%	6.5%	21.2%	2.3%	1.62	2.86	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	MIL	19	0	27	106	39	6	3	0%	1.4	36.8%	5.7%	31.1%	2.8%	2.02	2.26	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	MIL	11	0	12	50	14	4	0	0%	1.1	28.0%	8.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.73	1.75	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	MIL	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	19.3%	9.5%	9.8%	2.9%	4.66	4.66	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	MIL	—	—	45	181	58	12	4	—	—	32.0%	6.8%	25.1%	2.1%	2.01	3.09	+0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIL	67	0	70	296	59	28	9	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.4%	10.7%	2.9%	4.60	4.58	-0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIL	66	0	69	291	59	28	9	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.4%	10.9%	3.0%	4.59	4.60	-0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIL	64	0	67	282	58	27	9	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	3.1%	4.63	4.67	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIL	61	0	64	270	55	26	9	0%	1.0	20.2%	9.8%	10.4%	3.2%	4.72	4.79	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIL	30	0	31	131	26	12	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.4%	10.7%	2.9%	4.60	4.58	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIL	42	0	44	186	38	18	6	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.4%	10.9%	3.0%	4.59	4.60	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIL	49	0	51	215	44	21	7	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	3.1%	4.63	4.67	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIL	50	0	52	220	44	22	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	9.8%	10.4%	3.2%	4.72	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	152	72	23	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.6%	10.7%	3.1%	4.64	4.29	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	81	26	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.6%	10.7%	3.1%	4.64	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		61	25	159	685	134	56	13	41%	2.6	19.6%	8.2%	11.4%	1.9%	4.20	3.53	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	32	200	863	169	70	16	41%	2.6	19.6%	8.2%	11.4%	1.9%	4.20	3.53	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cameron Wagoner (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	19.3%	9.5%	2.9%	—	4.62	20.3%	10.8%	206	-0.04	—	—	—
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	90
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	90
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	87
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	85
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	84
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	84
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	84
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	84
Corey Baker R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	25	SW	3.77	17.4%	10.2%	1.5%	.295	4.97	15.5%	7.3%	170	+1.20	3.06	267	83
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	83
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	83
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	82
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	82
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	82
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	82
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	81
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	81
Miguel Sánchez R 2019 · 3.65 FIP	25	SU	3.65	21.3%	9.0%	2.2%	.305	4.59	19.1%	9.7%	83	+0.94	2.54	309	81
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	81
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	20.1%	9.5%	1.17	4.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21