Cameron Wagoner
P
Biloxi Shuckers
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 187 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119109vR 100
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%22.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 3 | 20 | 75 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 43% | 2.8 | 32.0% | 2.7% | 29.3% | 1.3% | 1.83 | 1.47 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 3 | 20 | 75 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 43% | 2.8 | 32.0% | 2.7% | 29.3% | 1.3% | 1.83 | 1.63 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 24 | 22 | 100 | 454 | 87 | 38 | 7 | 92% | 4.2 | 14.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 5.67 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 24 | 22 | 100 | 454 | 87 | 38 | 7 | 92% | 4.2 | 19.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 1.5% | 5.67 | 3.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 19 | 0 | 27 | 106 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.8% | 6.2% | 23.6% | 3.4% | 2.02 | 3.24 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 97 | 402 | 105 | 33 | 12 | — | — | 26.1% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 4.06 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.97 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 67 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 66 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.39 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 42 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 72 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.96 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 79 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 25 | 146 | 635 | 123 | 52 | 13 | 50% | 2.9 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 4.49 | 3.62 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 34 | 200 | 868 | 168 | 71 | 18 | 50% | 2.9 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 4.49 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cameron Wagoner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 22.3% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.37 | 22.6% | 13.4% | 139 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 87 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 85 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 85 |
| Ariel Peña R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .300 | 4.91 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.00 | 3.91 | 223 | 83 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 83 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 83 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Alex Colomé R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.37 | 19.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | .309 | 2.98 | 25.5% | 19.3% | 191 | -0.39 | 2.72 | 530 | 79 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 79 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 78 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 78 |
| Corey Baker R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.68 | 17.4% | 10.2% | 1.4% | .295 | 4.83 | 15.5% | 7.3% | 170 | +1.15 | 2.94 | 267 | 78 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 78 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 78 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 77 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 77 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 1.14 | 4.37 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |