Kaden Hopson — OGILVIE

Kaden HopsonC ACL Angels

Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 230 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 45 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .333 / .359

PA45

HR1

K%27

BB%9

BABIP308

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	24	ROK	ACL Angels	—	45	33	7	2	0	0	5	9	5	0	1	212	395	273	668	61	280	20	11	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK	ACL Angels	—	45	29	7	2	0	0	9	6	5	0	1	241	488	310	799	69	292	13	20	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	ROK	LAA	—	23	16	2	1	0	1	4	1	3	1	0	125	391	375	766	250	71	4	17	332	112	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
YTD	25	ROK	LAA	—	23	13	2	1	0	1	7	1	3	1	0	154	522	462	983	308	91	4	30	455	206	+3	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.4
ROS	25	ROK	LAA	0%	45	39	9	2	0	1	4	12	2	0	0	231	333	359	692	128	290	27	9	294	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	LAA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	265	61	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	25	ROK	LAA	—	23	17	2	1	0	1	4	1	3	1	0	118	391	353	744	235	67	4	17	332	112	+0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
TOT	25	ROK	LAA	—	68	55	11	3	0	2	8	13	5	1	0	200	353	364	717	164	225	19	12	307	93	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	115	99	23	5	1	2	11	29	4	1	0	232	333	364	697	131	290	25	10	297	86	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.4
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	210	181	39	8	1	3	20	53	7	2	1	215	317	320	638	105	290	25	10	299	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2029	28	MLB	LAA	48%	277	240	52	11	1	4	26	70	9	3	1	217	316	321	637	104	290	25	9	300	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.9
2030	29	MLB	LAA	49%	314	271	61	13	2	5	30	80	10	3	1	225	325	343	668	118	289	25	10	298	86	-5	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.9
2031	30	MLB	LAA	50%	339	294	64	13	2	5	32	87	10	3	1	218	315	327	642	109	288	26	9	296	84	-6	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.8
2032	31	MLB	LAA	55%	331	287	62	13	2	5	31	86	10	2	1	216	314	328	642	111	286	26	9	291	81	-7	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.6
2033	32	MLB	LAA	53%	313	270	57	12	1	4	30	83	10	2	1	211	313	307	620	96	282	27	10	286	77	-8	+0	-4	+6	+9	0.3
2034	33	MLB	LAA	57%	282	244	49	10	1	3	27	76	9	1	0	201	304	287	590	86	278	27	10	279	72	-9	+0	-4	+5	+8	0.0
2035	34	MLB	LAA	53%	238	207	41	8	1	3	22	66	7	1	0	198	297	290	586	92	272	28	9	271	66	-9	+0	-5	+4	+7	-0.3
2027	26	MLB	LAA	30%	35	31	6	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	194	286	226	512	32	289	26	9	271	65	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	27	MLB	LAA	42%	87	76	15	3	0	1	8	22	3	1	0	197	299	276	575	79	289	25	9	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	28	MLB	LAA	48%	132	115	25	5	1	2	12	34	4	1	0	217	313	330	643	113	289	26	9	275	69	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB	LAA	49%	155	134	29	6	1	2	15	40	5	1	0	216	318	321	639	104	288	26	10	274	68	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2031	30	MLB	LAA	50%	170	147	33	7	1	3	16	44	5	1	0	224	321	347	668	122	287	26	9	272	66	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2032	31	MLB	LAA	55%	182	157	34	7	1	3	17	47	6	1	0	217	317	331	648	115	284	26	9	268	63	-8	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.1
2033	32	MLB	LAA	53%	167	144	30	6	1	2	16	44	5	1	0	208	309	306	615	97	281	26	10	262	59	-8	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
2034	33	MLB	LAA	57%	161	140	29	6	1	2	15	43	5	1	0	207	306	307	613	100	277	27	9	256	54	-8	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.3
2035	34	MLB	LAA	53%	125	108	21	4	1	1	12	35	4	0	0	194	298	278	576	83	271	28	10	248	48	-7	+0	-3	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1214	1053	222	45	7	16	114	318	38	7	0	211	311	312	623	102	284	26	9	266	62	-52	+1	-10	+22	+34	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	119	24	4	9	61	170	20	4	0	211	311	316	626	105	283	26	9	266	62	-28	+1	-6	+12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2509	2165	464	97	12	35	238	651	83	18	7	214	316	319	634	104	287	26	9	291	81	-55	+1	-20	+45	+71	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	120	25	3	9	62	169	22	5	2	214	317	317	634	103	287	26	10	291	81	-14	+0	-5	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	24	ROK	ACL Angels	—	45	29	7	2	0	0	9	6	5	0	1	241	488	310	799	69	292	13	20	379	148	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	7	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	10	2	232	315	348	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,281	18	10	214	310	318	+23	+20	2.8	2.7
	/162	664	9	5	214	310	318	+11.9	+10.4	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaden Hopson (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	200/353/364	164	225	2	1	19%	12%	93	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hunter Feduccia 2021 · A	24	48→50	40→50	46→40	48	226/296/327	100	311	7	6	28%	9%	75	-0.0	216/282/359	143	282	17	3	28%	8%	78	+0.2	232/319/354	122	311	11	2	27%	11%	90	+0.7
✕Damon Sublett 2011 · AA	25	46→49	41→45	47→50	49	217/296/324	107	307	7	8	30%	10%	75	-0.0	221/294/330	109	331	8	8	32%	9%	75	-0.0	237/309/363	126	371	8	2	35%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Casey Benjamin 2006 · A	25	50→52	40→45	44→45	55	236/321/335	99	294	7	7	21%	11%	88	+0.9	232/295/345	113	282	10	6	20%	8%	79	+0.3	226/288/341	115	272	11	5	20%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→43	43→45	42→40	51	222/313/332	110	294	10	4	26%	10%	85	+0.7	235/325/339	104	322	10	6	27%	10%	92	+1.2	236/335/327	92	323	10	5	27%	11%	91	+0.5
✕Zach Dillon 2007 · A	24	48	41→45	45→30	51	230/301/330	100	287	8	5	22%	9%	78	+0.2	232/290/342	110	264	8	4	15%	7%	76	+0.1	235/292/349	114	259	7	0	12%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	41→40	44→45	51	219/303/311	93	267	8	4	21%	9%	76	+0.0	226/306/320	94	265	9	8	17%	9%	79	+0.3	228/311/314	85	261	9	7	15%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Casey Stevenson 2013 · A	25	51	41→45	50→45	42	248/293/350	102	310	8	7	23%	5%	79	+0.3	214/274/309	95	263	9	7	22%	6%	62	-0.9	192/258/273	81	231	9	5	21%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Michael Turconi 2023 · A	24	50→44	40→45	45→50	50	239/316/330	91	296	8	9	21%	8%	85	+0.7	206/287/298	92	310	6	8	32%	9%	64	-0.8	187/274/269	82	294	5	7	35%	10%	50	-0.9
✕Kevin Taylor 2016 · A	25	46→56	43→40	47→40	47	228/287/334	107	276	11	8	22%	7%	73	-0.1	254/315/344	90	302	7	3	17%	7%	87	+0.8	257/313/333	76	303	5	2	16%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→45	49→50	47	223/294/335	113	295	9	12	26%	8%	77	+0.1	253/326/358	105	332	7	10	24%	9%	95	+1.4	261/335/360	99	340	7	8	23%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Bryce Windham 2022 · A	25	48	40	49→50	52	230/301/325	95	278	7	7	20%	9%	76	+0.1	220/293/307	87	281	6	8	22%	9%	69	-0.4	219/293/303	84	284	5	10	22%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Tanner Morris 2022 · A	24	52→54	42→40	48→40	49	246/324/350	104	331	9	5	26%	9%	93	+1.3	237/323/331	94	314	8	4	25%	11%	89	+0.9	238/333/326	88	310	9	1	23%	12%	87	+0.5
✕Pratt Maynard 2014 · A	24	45	41→45	45	50	217/284/310	94	265	9	6	21%	8%	66	-0.6	226/287/339	113	291	8	6	24%	8%	74	-0.1	235/287/366	132	306	6	0	24%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A	24	40→39	42→50	46→55	56	195/303/310	115	269	9	11	28%	13%	76	+0.0	199/299/319	120	254	11	20	24%	12%	76	+0.0	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA	25	44	40→45	49→50	50	211/291/304	94	290	7	11	28%	10%	67	-0.5	238/301/356	118	292	11	14	21%	8%	85	+0.7	249/306/373	124	288	12	17	18%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Conner Crumbliss 2012 · A	25	48→50	39→45	51→50	58	224/322/312	88	281	5	14	20%	12%	83	+0.6	217/313/338	121	265	12	14	21%	11%	86	+0.8	209/306/339	130	248	14	14	21%	11%	82	+0.4
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Wynston Sawyer 2017 · A	25	46	41→45	46→45	50	219/300/320	101	277	8	6	23%	9%	76	+0.0	219/289/321	102	295	8	5	27%	7%	72	-0.2	208/270/305	97	291	7	1	29%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Mike McCuistion 2006 · A	24	50	43→45	49→45	44	241/294/353	112	306	11	7	24%	6%	81	+0.4	229/290/334	105	285	11	9	23%	7%	75	-0.0	219/286/312	92	262	12	8	21%	7%	66	-0.3