Kaden Hopson

C ACL Angels

Age 26 L/R 6'2" / 230 lbs ROK K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2016ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	ROKLAA	45	.241/.488/.310	0	0	70	—	.212/.395/.273
2026	25	ROKLAA	23	.154/.522/.462	1	1	100	—	.125/.391/.375
2027PROJMLE	26	MLBLAA	200	.216/.317/.316	2	2	84	0.1
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBLAA	14	.215/.315/.315	0	0	84	0.0
2029PROJ39% MLB	28	MLBLAA	45	.214/.313/.315	1	0	83	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%99

Whiff%94

wRC+88

K%88

BB%87

wOBA82

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsPhil Clarke (age 26) · Trey Hair (age 26) · Michael Turconi (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .315 / .313

PA35

HR0

K%26

BB%9

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	24	ROK	ACL Angels	—	45	29	7	2	0	0	9	6	5	0	1	241	488	310	799	69	292	13	20	379	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK	ACL Angels	—	23	13	2	1	0	1	7	1	3	1	0	154	522	462	983	308	91	4	30	455	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	24	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	45	33	7	2	0	0	5	9	5	0	1	212	395	273	668	61	218	20	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	23	16	2	1	0	1	4	1	3	1	0	125	391	375	766	250	60	4	17	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	45	33	7	2	0	0	5	9	5	0	1	212	395	273	668	61	280	20	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	—	45	29	7	2	0	0	9	6	5	0	1	241	488	310	799	69	292	13	20	379	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	23	16	2	1	0	1	4	1	3	1	0	125	391	375	766	250	71	4	17	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	—	23	13	2	1	0	1	7	1	3	1	0	154	522	462	983	308	91	4	30	455	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	45	35	7	2	0	0	5	9	5	0	1	200	395	257	652	57	218	20	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	23	16	2	1	0	1	4	1	3	1	0	125	391	375	766	250	60	4	17	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	45	35	7	2	0	0	5	9	5	0	1	200	395	257	652	57	218	20	11	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	23	16	2	1	0	1	4	1	3	1	0	125	391	375	766	250	60	4	17	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	0%	200	172	37	8	1	2	19	51	7	2	1	216	317	316	633	100	290	26	10	292	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	26%	53	46	10	2	0	1	5	14	2	1	0	216	317	318	634	101	290	26	9	293	84	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAA	39%	115	99	22	5	1	1	11	30	4	1	0	216	315	318	632	102	289	26	10	291	83	-2	+0	-1	+2	+2	0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	LAA	44%	154	134	29	6	1	2	14	40	5	1	0	215	312	316	628	101	287	26	9	289	82	-3	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	LAA	47%	185	160	34	7	1	2	17	48	6	0	0	213	309	313	621	99	286	26	9	286	80	-4	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	26%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	215	315	315	630	100	287	29	7	291	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAA	39%	45	40	9	2	0	1	4	12	1	0	0	214	313	315	628	100	286	27	9	290	83	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	LAA	44%	68	60	13	3	0	1	6	18	2	0	0	213	311	313	624	100	285	26	9	288	82	-1	+0	-1	+1	+1	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	LAA	47%	88	77	15	3	0	1	8	23	3	0	0	212	307	310	617	98	283	26	9	285	80	-2	+0	-1	+2	+2	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	215	190	40	9	0	3	19	57	6	0	0	211	302	305	608	95	285	27	9	287	82	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	121	27	0	9	57	172	18	0	0	211	302	305	606	94	285	26	9	287	82	-14	+0	-6	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	610	519	110	24	3	7	59	151	26	4	1	212	323	310	633	98	282	25	10	289	82	-12	+1	-4	+10	+12	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	553	117	26	3	7	63	161	28	4	1	212	323	307	630	96	283	25	10	289	82	-14	+1	-5	+12	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Angels · 23 PAwOBA .445 → .316 (−130)K% 4.3% → 6.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	4.35%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	6.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	30.43%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	17.74%
HBP% /PA	13.04%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	8.83%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	5.64%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	6.11%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .445 → .316; ISO .308 → .285; BABIP .091 → .060. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Angels · 45 PAwOBA .380 → .271 (−108)K% 13.3% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷0.969	×1.440	—	—	19.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷1.082	×0.620	—	×0.945	10.83%
HBP% /PA	11.11%	—	×0.720	—	×0.945	7.56%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷1.015	×0.820	—	×0.945	16.60%
Doubles /BIP	8.70%	÷0.992	×0.720	—	×0.945	5.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.134	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.873	×0.780	—	×0.945	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 127, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .380 → .271; ISO .069 → .057; BABIP .292 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Tom Satriano'61-'70 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,865 PA	2.8	1,865	21	7	233*	323*	333*	+15	-2	3.7	4.2
/162	664	7	2	+5.3	-0.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#4Ron Brand'63-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,500 PA	2.3	1,500	3	20	239*	307*	306*	+22	+1	2.2	2.2
/162	664	1	9	+9.8	+0.4	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.4	250	3	1	216	310	317	+4	+12	0.6	0.6
/162	664	8	3	+11.9	+31.9	1.7	pk7: 1
#6Gary Bennett'95-'08 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,876 PA	2.8	1,876	22	6	232*	290*	317*	+33	+0	0.1	0.5
/162	664	8	2	+11.8	+0.0	0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaden Hopson (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	214/315/313	99	290	0	0	26%	9%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Phil Clarke 2024 · AA	26	46	41→40	49→45	51	224/305/321	97	267	9	7	19%	8%	81	-0.1	232/310/316	84	267	7	8	15%	9%	82	-0.0	233/317/297	64	264	5	6	13%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Trey Hair 2021 · A	26	47	42→55	49→45	42	228/284/338	109	299	8	9	26%	6%	76	-0.4	222/280/402	180	292	24	7	32%	6%	91	+0.6	206/265/400	195	255	29	5	32%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Michael Turconi 2024 · AA	25	47→46	43→45	51→50	52	225/312/342	117	299	9	7	26%	10%	88	+0.4	202/285/280	78	321	5	9	35%	10%	63	-1.3	181/268/228	47	308	2	9	38%	10%	44	-1.2
✕Zane Chavez 2014 · A	27	49	41→45	46→30	47	235/296/332	97	308	8	3	25%	8%	79	-0.2	227/277/331	104	291	10	5	24%	6%	72	-0.7	220/256/322	102	266	14	0	23%	4%	59	-0.6
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→40	43→40	51	220/312/326	106	290	9	4	26%	10%	85	+0.2	234/325/336	102	316	10	6	26%	11%	92	+0.7	234/334/325	91	316	9	5	26%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Austin Davidson 2019 · AA	26	47→42	44→45	48→45	47	232/292/357	125	281	11	7	21%	7%	83	+0.1	215/277/319	104	279	8	6	24%	7%	69	-0.9	187/254/267	80	250	5	1	26%	7%	47	-1.5
✕Logan Porter 2021 · A	26	47→52	39→45	49→40	45	221/290/313	92	308	5	6	28%	8%	73	-0.6	215/306/348	133	302	15	2	31%	10%	88	+0.4	216/309/337	121	301	13	2	30%	11%	84	+0.1
✕José Godoy 2021 · AAA	26	48	42→45	45→30	46	234/297/342	109	286	10	5	21%	7%	82	+0.0	226/273/325	99	292	10	4	25%	5%	69	-0.9	222/268/310	88	285	10	2	25%	5%	61	-0.6
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→40	41→45	46→45	42	213/265/308	95	265	8	8	23%	5%	62	-1.4	208/276/337	129	253	15	8	24%	6%	74	-0.5	206/307/310	103	242	10	6	18%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	44	43→45	46→50	49	209/295/322	113	300	9	7	31%	10%	78	-0.3	202/284/324	122	338	12	12	40%	8%	74	-0.5	184/271/307	123	316	12	13	42%	8%	62	-0.7
✕James Skelton 2012 · AA	26	44→54	40	49→50	55	211/302/304	93	275	6	12	24%	11%	76	-0.4	232/319/324	92	300	6	10	22%	10%	86	+0.3	261/373/310	49	333	0	4	18%	13%	103	+0.3
✕Matt Wallach 2012 · AA	26	44	43→45	46→40	49	217/288/331	114	252	11	5	19%	7%	76	-0.4	206/276/292	86	264	9	5	24%	7%	63	-1.3	185/254/243	58	245	8	2	26%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Casey Benjamin 2006 · A	25	49→51	40→45	44→45	55	231/315/328	97	288	6	7	21%	10%	86	+0.3	226/289/333	107	274	9	6	20%	8%	76	-0.4	219/281/326	107	261	10	5	20%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A	25	42→40	42→40	47→40	50	204/297/306	102	294	10	4	32%	11%	75	-0.5	204/276/298	94	277	9	5	28%	8%	65	-1.2	196/266/282	86	259	9	5	27%	8%	55	-1.5
✕Chris Kroski 2008 · A	26	44	43→45	45→40	41	216/271/332	116	288	9	4	28%	6%	70	-0.8	208/270/316	108	275	9	5	26%	7%	66	-1.1	169/241/276	107	228	8	0	28%	9%	45	-0.6
✕Brett Nicholas 2013 · A	25	48→50	41→50	47→40	41	234/278/332	99	297	7	6	24%	5%	72	-0.7	236/278/346	110	307	11	4	26%	4%	76	-0.4	232/278/364	132	290	14	2	25%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Wynston Sawyer 2017 · A	25	46	42→45	46→45	49	221/299/327	106	277	9	6	23%	8%	80	-0.2	220/291/325	105	291	8	5	26%	7%	76	-0.4	211/274/308	97	288	7	1	28%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Raffy Lopez 2014 · AA	26	45→51	42→50	44→40	48	220/280/331	111	266	9	3	21%	8%	73	-0.6	219/277/301	82	291	6	4	25%	7%	65	-1.2	206/262/333	127	268	15	3	28%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Bryce Windham 2022 · A	25	47	40	49→50	51	226/295/319	93	275	7	7	20%	9%	76	-0.4	217/287/302	85	274	5	8	21%	9%	69	-0.9	217/287/297	80	278	4	10	22%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Beau Taylor 2017 · AA	27	45→48	40→45	43→30	46	215/284/307	92	298	7	3	29%	8%	69	-0.9	222/297/324	102	314	9	3	29%	9%	78	-0.3	214/300/323	109	304	10	1	30%	10%	78	-0.2

Kaden Hopson

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps