Logan Porter
C Salt Lake Bees| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29 | AAANYM | 292 | .267/.374/.453 | 10 | 3 | 78 | — | .209/.294/.329 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAASF | 286 | .212/.350/.316 | 6 | 2 | 55 | — | .190/.286/.275 |
| 2026 | 31 | AAALAA | 211 | .211/.317/.333 | 5 | 0 | 43 | — | .170/.250/.250 |
| 2027PROJ30% MLB | 32 | MLBLAA | 46 | .210/.293/.321 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ39% MLB | 33 | MLBLAA | 51 | .205/.287/.310 | 1 | 0 | 71 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 126 | 101 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 448 | 475 | 923 | 158 | 397 | 17 | 15 | 412 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 310 | 257 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 81 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 369 | 451 | 820 | 210 | 294 | 26 | 15 | 366 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 146 | 113 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 455 | 451 | 906 | 150 | 383 | 21 | 19 | 410 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 327 | 259 | 78 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 59 | 73 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 301 | 441 | 486 | 928 | 185 | 380 | 22 | 18 | 412 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 38 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 324 | 323 | 647 | 129 | 263 | 29 | 13 | 295 | 89 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | +1 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 448 | 379 | 88 | 16 | 0 | 13 | 60 | 113 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 232 | 343 | 377 | 720 | 145 | 291 | 25 | 13 | 325 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 292 | 247 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 82 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 267 | 374 | 453 | 827 | 186 | 354 | 28 | 13 | 366 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 231 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 350 | 316 | 666 | 104 | 270 | 24 | 16 | 307 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 211 | 180 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 317 | 333 | 651 | 122 | 248 | 21 | 11 | 297 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 38 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 324 | 323 | 647 | 129 | 263 | 29 | 13 | 295 | 86 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | +1 | 1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 126 | 109 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 336 | 358 | 694 | 119 | 304 | 25 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 310 | 271 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 108 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 278 | 325 | 603 | 148 | 242 | 35 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 146 | 122 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 372 | 361 | 733 | 107 | 342 | 26 | 13 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 327 | 278 | 69 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 90 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 248 | 355 | 399 | 754 | 151 | 321 | 28 | 12 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 38 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 324 | 323 | 647 | 129 | 263 | 29 | 13 | 300 | 89 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +9 | +1 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 448 | 399 | 78 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 136 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 275 | 303 | 579 | 108 | 258 | 30 | 9 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 292 | 258 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 209 | 294 | 329 | 624 | 120 | 312 | 35 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 247 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 286 | 275 | 561 | 85 | 244 | 29 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 211 | 188 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 80 | 211 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 126 | 109 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 336 | 358 | 694 | 119 | 329 | 25 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 126 | 101 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 317 | 448 | 475 | 923 | 158 | 397 | 17 | 15 | 412 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 310 | 271 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 108 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 278 | 325 | 603 | 148 | 247 | 35 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 310 | 257 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 81 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 369 | 451 | 820 | 210 | 294 | 26 | 15 | 366 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 400 | 99 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 128 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 247 | 358 | 383 | 741 | 135 | 332 | 27 | 12 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 473 | 372 | 112 | 26 | 0 | 13 | 87 | 103 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 301 | 446 | 476 | 921 | 175 | 381 | 22 | 18 | 411 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 430 | 84 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 147 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 195 | 279 | 305 | 584 | 109 | 264 | 30 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 486 | 410 | 94 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 65 | 124 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 342 | 373 | 715 | 144 | 289 | 26 | 13 | 323 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 292 | 258 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 209 | 294 | 329 | 624 | 120 | 314 | 35 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Mets | — | 292 | 247 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 82 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 267 | 374 | 453 | 827 | 186 | 354 | 28 | 13 | 366 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 247 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 286 | 275 | 561 | 85 | 258 | 29 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 231 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 350 | 316 | 666 | 104 | 270 | 24 | 16 | 307 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 211 | 188 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 80 | 216 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA RAW | Salt Lake Bees | — | 211 | 180 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 317 | 333 | 651 | 122 | 248 | 21 | 11 | 297 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 126 | 109 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 336 | 358 | 694 | 119 | 304 | 25 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 310 | 269 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 108 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 278 | 327 | 605 | 149 | 242 | 35 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 473 | 401 | 99 | 21 | 0 | 11 | 59 | 128 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 247 | 358 | 382 | 740 | 135 | 327 | 27 | 12 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 433 | 84 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 147 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 279 | 303 | 582 | 109 | 258 | 30 | 9 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 292 | 259 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 294 | 328 | 622 | 120 | 312 | 35 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 251 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 286 | 271 | 557 | 84 | 244 | 29 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 211 | 189 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 250 | 249 | 499 | 79 | 211 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 292 | 259 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 208 | 294 | 328 | 622 | 120 | 312 | 35 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 251 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 187 | 286 | 271 | 557 | 84 | 244 | 29 | 11 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 31 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 211 | 189 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 250 | 249 | 499 | 79 | 211 | 26 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB MLE | LAA | 30% | 261 | 232 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 71 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 294 | 322 | 616 | 111 | 277 | 27 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB CTX | LAA | 30% | 46 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 293 | 321 | 614 | 111 | 275 | 28 | 9 | 280 | 76 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 33 | MLB MLE | LAA | 39% | 130 | 115 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 288 | 311 | 599 | 105 | 272 | 28 | 9 | 274 | 71 | -4 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB CTX | LAA | 39% | 51 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 287 | 310 | 597 | 105 | 271 | 27 | 10 | 273 | 71 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 89 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 307 | 303 | 609 | 105 | 265 | 28 | 11 | 282 | 74 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +10 | +2 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 555 | 110 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 183 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 308 | 306 | 614 | 108 | 266 | 28 | 11 | 282 | 74 | -17 | +0 | -4 | +70 | +14 | 6.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2469 | 2156 | 444 | 81 | 5 | 53 | 246 | 731 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 206 | 299 | 322 | 621 | 116 | 281 | 30 | 10 | 278 | 74 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +14 | +7 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 116 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 65 | 192 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 204 | 299 | 319 | 617 | 114 | 277 | 30 | 10 | 278 | 74 | -19 | +0 | -6 | +28 | +14 | 1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 211 PAwOBA .294 → .232 (−62)K% 21.3% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.977 | ×0.962 | 17.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×0.962 | 2.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×0.962 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .294 → .232; ISO .122 → .089; BABIP .248 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 286 PAwOBA .304 → .249 (−55)K% 24.1% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.13% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.43% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 10.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.84% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.042 | ×0.972 | 20.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×1.042 | ×0.972 | 3.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.938 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.69% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.
Result: wOBA .304 → .249; ISO .104 → .084; BABIP .270 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASyracuse Mets · 292 PAwOBA .361 → .283 (−78)K% 28.1% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.08% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.36% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 9.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.85% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×1.008 | ×0.982 | 22.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.48% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.982 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×0.982 | 0.65% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 94, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .361 → .283; ISO .186 → .131; BABIP .354 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 448 PAwOBA .321 → .258 (−63)K% 25.2% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.22% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.18% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 20.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.89% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.60% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .321 → .258; ISO .145 → .111; BABIP .291 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 327 PAwOBA .405 → .331 (−74)K% 22.3% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.32% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.74% | ÷0.993 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 12.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.88% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.978 | 23.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×0.968 | ×0.978 | 7.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.968 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 4.65% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .405 → .331; ISO .185 → .160; BABIP .380 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 146 PAwOBA .403 → .333 (−70)K% 20.5% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.18% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 13.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.74% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.71% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.003 | 25.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.64% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.003 | 7.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .403 → .333; ISO .150 → .118; BABIP .383 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 310 PAwOBA .358 → .269 (−90)K% 26.1% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.13% | ÷1.013 | ×1.350 | — | — | 34.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.52% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 10.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.02% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 17.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.68% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.988 | ×0.820 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.95% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 6.31% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .358 → .269; ISO .210 → .158; BABIP .294 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Royals · 126 PAwOBA .400 → .288 (−112)K% 17.5% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 8.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.97% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | ×0.965 | 19.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×0.965 | 9.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×0.965 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.95% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .400 → .288; ISO .158 → .115; BABIP .397 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).