Ryan Ramsey — OGILVIE

Ryan Ramsey P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION112 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%18.7%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 118 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	1	0	2	8	3	1	0	0%	2.0	37.5%	12.5%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.52	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	1	0	2	8	3	1	0	0%	2.0	37.5%	12.5%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	10	52	226	69	23	0	71%	3.7	21.7%	11.2%	10.5%	0.0%	3.83	2.69	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	10	52	226	69	23	0	71%	3.7	21.7%	11.2%	10.5%	0.0%	3.83	2.69	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	10	52	226	69	23	0	71%	3.7	30.5%	10.2%	20.4%	0.0%	3.83	1.76	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	11	89	354	97	30	4	50%	4.0	21.1%	9.7%	11.4%	1.5%	2.43	3.36	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	11	89	354	97	30	4	50%	4.0	21.1%	9.7%	11.4%	1.5%	2.43	3.36	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	22	11	89	354	97	30	4	50%	4.0	27.4%	8.5%	18.9%	1.1%	2.43	2.52	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	114	514	114	56	12	74%	4.2	18.5%	11.4%	7.1%	2.6%	5.70	4.41	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	114	514	114	56	12	74%	4.2	18.5%	11.4%	7.1%	2.6%	5.70	4.41	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	20	114	514	114	56	12	74%	4.2	22.2%	10.9%	11.3%	2.3%	5.70	3.94	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	27	20	112	504	108	61	18	74%	4.1	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	3.9%	5.88	5.13	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	27	20	112	504	108	61	18	74%	4.1	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	3.9%	5.88	5.13	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	KC	27	20	112	504	108	61	18	74%	4.1	21.4%	12.1%	9.3%	3.6%	5.88	4.78	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	KC	1	1	6	25	5	3	1	100%	5.9	18.7%	11.6%	7.1%	2.7%	4.84	4.84	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	KC	—	—	118	529	113	64	19	—	—	21.3%	12.1%	9.2%	3.5%	5.83	5.12	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	KC	19	19	116	491	94	55	13	100%	6.1	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	2.7%	4.77	4.76	+0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	KC	20	20	119	501	97	55	14	100%	5.9	19.4%	10.9%	8.5%	2.8%	4.75	4.76	+0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	KC	20	20	119	501	97	55	15	100%	5.9	19.4%	10.9%	8.5%	2.9%	4.78	4.82	+0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	KC	19	19	113	479	92	53	15	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.1%	8.2%	3.1%	4.87	4.94	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	KC	18	18	107	450	85	51	15	100%	5.9	18.9%	11.4%	7.5%	3.3%	5.02	5.11	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	KC	9	9	56	236	45	26	6	100%	6.2	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	2.5%	4.66	4.65	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	KC	13	13	78	329	64	36	9	100%	6.0	19.4%	10.9%	8.5%	2.6%	4.63	4.64	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	KC	15	15	92	388	75	42	10	100%	6.1	19.4%	10.9%	8.5%	2.7%	4.66	4.70	+0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	KC	16	16	94	397	76	44	11	100%	5.9	19.2%	11.1%	8.2%	2.8%	4.74	4.81	-0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	KC	15	15	92	388	73	44	12	100%	6.1	18.9%	11.4%	7.5%	3.0%	4.89	4.98	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		69	69	413	1744	335	194	48	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	2.7%	4.72	4.39	+2.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	162	94	23	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.1%	8.1%	2.7%	4.72	4.39	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		91	61	368	1606	312	174	38	67%	4.0	19.4%	10.9%	8.5%	2.4%	4.67	4.15	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	33	200	873	169	95	21	67%	4.0	19.4%	10.9%	8.5%	2.4%	4.67	4.15	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Ramsey (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	18.7%	11.6%	2.7%	—	4.78	19.3%	8.3%	354	-0.06	—	—	—
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	89
Bryan Radziewski L 2015 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.5%	2.0%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	106	82
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	82
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	82
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	81
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	81
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.79	18.9%	3.1%	13	+1.10	3.85	176	80
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	80
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	80
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	79
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	79
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	79
A.J. Block L 2021 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	22.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.262	5.74	20.1%	8.4%	51	+2.02	3.65	203	79
Cole Kirschsieper L 2023 · 5.07 FIP	22	SP-	5.07	15.2%	12.0%	3.2%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	105	78
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	77
Jake McSteen L 2021 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP-	5.05	16.8%	7.3%	4.5%	.322	5.18	19.2%	12.5%	172	+0.13	2.22	286	77
John Michael Bertrand L 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	14.8%	8.1%	1.5%	.294	4.33	14.1%	5.2%	345	+0.62	3.71	463	77
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	76
Dalton Sawyer L 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP-	4.11	20.6%	9.4%	2.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	160	75
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	107	19.2%	11.1%	1.13	4.83
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58