Gabriel Rincones Jr.

RF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEFG #203Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AAPHI	258	.263/.358/.487	11	20	82	—	.215/.288/.365
2025	24	AAAPHI	506	.240/.374/.430	18	21	89	—	.216/.310/.361
2026	25	MLBPHI	89	.167/.205/.286	2	0	32	-0.9
2027PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBPHI	112	.223/.301/.373	3	3	88	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	27	MLBPHI	184	.223/.300/.372	5	4	88	-0.1
2029PROJ52% MLB	28	MLBPHI	200	.222/.299/.369	6	4	87	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.2M2030Arb-2$0.4M2031Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV93

K%38

Chase%37

Whiff%36

Z-Con%36

BB%33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsDrew Robinson (age 26) · Ryan Ward (age 26) · Marc Krauss (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .301 / .373

PA112

HR3

K%29

BB%8

BABIP296

ISO140

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT38

xAVG

100.150

POWER60

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

6490.1

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED41

Sprint

4627.3

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	319	281	67	18	1	10	33	79	4	8	3	238	327	416	743	178	295	25	10	332	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	214	178	47	13	2	5	28	55	8	24	3	264	388	444	832	180	356	26	13	375	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	101	82	24	6	1	2	17	28	2	15	2	293	426	463	889	171	423	28	17	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	258	224	59	15	1	11	30	66	3	20	7	263	358	487	845	223	324	26	12	372	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	36	30	5	1	0	0	4	8	1	3	0	167	286	200	486	33	217	22	11	234	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	90	77	21	4	0	2	11	7	1	9	0	273	371	403	773	130	275	8	12	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	412	99	22	1	18	80	114	8	21	5	240	374	430	804	189	283	23	16	359	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	89	84	14	4	0	2	2	29	2	0	0	167	205	286	490	119	222	33	2	218	32	-7	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.9
2026	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	179	157	39	11	0	6	16	45	5	2	1	248	337	433	770	185	308	25	9	343	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	29	24	6	1	0	1	5	6	0	1	0	250	379	417	796	167	294	21	17	361	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	89	84	14	4	0	2	2	29	2	0	0	167	205	286	490	119	222	33	2	218	34	-7	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	319	293	55	13	1	10	21	104	4	8	3	188	252	341	593	154	247	33	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	214	186	40	10	2	4	20	73	8	24	3	215	318	355	673	140	325	34	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	258	233	50	12	1	7	21	83	3	20	7	215	288	365	653	150	297	32	8	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	36	32	4	1	0	0	2	11	1	3	0	125	200	156	356	31	158	31	6	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	440	95	20	1	14	52	137	8	21	5	216	310	361	671	145	268	27	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	89	84	14	4	0	2	2	29	2	0	0	167	205	286	490	119	222	33	2	216	32	-7	+0	+0	-3	+2	-0.9
2026	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	179	162	35	10	0	4	11	54	5	2	1	216	287	352	638	136	293	30	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	29	26	5	1	0	1	3	8	0	1	0	192	276	346	622	154	254	28	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	634	571	112	27	3	16	48	211	14	47	8	196	275	338	613	142	278	33	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	634	541	138	37	4	17	78	162	14	47	8	255	363	433	796	177	333	26	12	357	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	384	345	71	17	1	10	31	122	5	32	7	206	281	348	629	142	282	32	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	384	331	85	20	1	13	45	81	5	32	7	257	354	441	795	184	300	21	12	353	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	440	95	20	1	14	52	137	8	21	5	216	310	361	671	145	275	27	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	412	99	22	1	18	80	114	8	21	5	240	374	430	804	189	283	23	16	359	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	297	271	54	14	0	7	17	91	7	3	1	199	264	328	593	129	269	31	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	297	265	59	16	0	9	23	80	7	3	1	223	302	385	687	162	281	27	8	307	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	634	567	112	27	3	16	48	211	14	47	8	198	275	340	615	143	278	33	8	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	384	345	71	17	1	10	31	122	5	32	7	206	281	348	629	142	280	32	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	441	95	20	1	14	52	137	8	21	5	215	310	361	671	145	268	27	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	297	271	54	14	0	7	17	91	7	3	1	199	264	328	593	129	268	31	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	384	345	71	17	1	10	31	122	5	32	7	206	281	348	629	142	280	32	8	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	441	95	20	1	14	52	137	8	21	5	215	310	361	671	145	268	27	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	297	271	54	14	0	7	17	91	7	3	1	199	264	328	593	129	268	31	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	45%	347	310	68	15	1	9	28	103	6	8	2	221	299	366	665	145	296	30	8	299	88	-5	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	45%	112	100	22	5	0	3	9	33	2	3	1	223	301	373	674	150	296	29	8	302	88	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	373	333	73	16	1	10	30	110	7	9	2	221	299	365	664	144	295	29	8	298	88	-5	+1	-1	-4	+8	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	387	345	76	17	1	10	32	114	7	8	2	220	298	362	660	142	293	29	8	297	87	-6	+1	-2	-4	+8	-0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	386	346	76	17	1	10	31	113	6	6	2	219	296	358	654	139	291	29	8	294	85	-7	+0	-2	-4	+8	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	385	345	75	16	1	10	31	113	6	4	2	217	293	352	645	135	288	29	8	290	83	-8	+0	-3	-4	+8	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	184	164	36	8	0	5	15	54	3	4	1	223	300	372	673	150	295	29	8	301	88	-3	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	200	179	39	8	0	6	16	59	3	4	1	222	299	369	669	147	294	30	8	300	87	-3	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	199	178	39	8	0	6	16	58	3	3	1	221	297	365	662	144	291	29	8	297	85	-4	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	198	177	38	8	0	5	16	58	3	2	1	218	294	358	653	140	289	29	8	293	83	-4	+0	-2	-2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	870	782	166	36	0	24	65	258	14	13	4	212	285	350	635	138	281	30	7	290	80	-20	+1	-4	-12	+19	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	124	27	0	18	49	193	10	10	3	212	285	351	636	139	281	30	8	290	80	-15	+1	-3	-9	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3602	3219	682	155	10	94	292	1085	65	136	31	212	291	354	644	142	285	30	8	286	80	-37	+3	-8	-22	+41	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	123	28	2	17	53	196	12	25	6	212	291	355	646	143	285	30	8	286	80	-13	+1	-3	-8	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.5	984	25	16	215	286	355	-11	-4	-0.5	-0.4
/162	664	17	11	-7.1	-2.4	-0.3	pk7: -0
#5Rocky Nelson'49-'61 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,555 PA	2.3	1,555	31	7	241*	307*	388*	-27	-8	-1.9	-0.7
/162	664	13	3	-11.6	-3.5	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Rincones Jr. (OGILVIE)	26	30→38	60	40→41	57	219/297/363	144	296	7	6	30%	8%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Robinson 2018 · MLB	26	42→43	52→55	49→50	47	214/291/386	173	292	19	12	32%	10%	91	+0.6	219/295/370	151	353	16	13	39%	9%	88	+0.4	189/271/324	135	347	14	13	45%	10%	67	-0.4
●Ryan Ward 2024 · AAA	26	40→48	51→60	48→50	42	213/273/372	159	277	19	8	30%	7%	80	-0.1	227/283/409	182	281	23	11	27%	7%	93	+0.8	228/286/415	187	271	24	10	25%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Marc Krauss 2014 · MLB	26	43→51	49→50	44→45	50	218/299/369	151	278	16	7	27%	10%	89	+0.5	210/285/343	133	282	14	5	29%	9%	78	-0.3	193/270/317	124	264	14	2	31%	9%	67	-0.6
✕Quincy Hamilton 2024 · AAA	26	44→45	47→50	49→50	49	223/301/358	136	278	15	14	25%	9%	88	+0.4	197/272/334	137	257	14	11	28%	9%	72	-0.7	173/253/311	139	222	14	11	28%	9%	57	-1.1
✕Jason Martin 2022 · MLB	26	43→52	52→60	46→50	47	224/286/387	163	267	20	11	25%	8%	88	+0.5	236/298/422	186	299	23	9	28%	8%	101	+1.4	233/295/423	190	295	23	8	28%	8%	97	+0.8
✕Ruben Cardenas 2024 · AAA	26	41→43	50→55	41→50	42	212/273/363	152	285	19	8	32%	7%	78	-0.3	229/289/397	168	278	20	13	25%	6%	92	+0.7	230/284/427	197	249	27	16	20%	4%	95	+0.5
✕Daniel Palka 2018 · AAA	26	41→43	52→55	46→50	38	218/264/379	161	296	21	8	34%	6%	78	-0.3	218/275/398	180	285	25	4	32%	7%	88	+0.4	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕John Rave 2024 · AAA	26	43→47	45→50	49→55	45	214/282/337	123	301	14	13	32%	9%	76	-0.4	221/290/365	144	288	15	19	27%	9%	84	+0.2	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2024 · MLB	27	42→45	50	45→50	44	216/288/369	153	282	18	6	30%	8%	86	+0.3	191/259/345	154	252	19	4	31%	7%	70	-0.9	164/231/315	151	210	19	1	32%	6%	49	-1.5
✕Nick Maton 2024 · MLB	27	43→42	46→50	44→45	52	212/305/349	136	274	13	6	26%	11%	87	+0.4	216/304/361	145	275	17	5	26%	10%	90	+0.6	201/293/344	143	250	19	1	27%	10%	80	-0.0
✕Jason Cooper 2007 · AAA	26	40	50→55	45	40	209/268/365	155	285	18	6	32%	6%	77	-0.3	215/282/365	150	276	13	8	26%	7%	82	-0.0	216/291/378	162	266	13	7	23%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Taylor Trammell 2024 · MLB	26	43→48	53→55	50→55	49	221/307/396	175	292	21	17	31%	10%	99	+1.2	211/301/376	165	285	19	18	31%	10%	93	+0.8	195/291/359	164	260	19	18	31%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Danny Putnam 2009 · MLB	26	45→53	48→50	43→45	46	224/294/365	141	286	15	6	27%	8%	86	+0.3	221/282/360	139	280	16	9	26%	7%	81	-0.1	208/266/341	132	254	16	8	25%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Jabari Blash 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	53→60	46→50	43	201/285/373	172	278	21	10	35%	8%	86	+0.3	210/303/398	188	293	24	7	35%	10%	99	+1.2	202/308/391	189	286	24	5	36%	11%	97	+0.8
✕Jordan Patterson 2018 · MLB	26	45→50	48→55	47→50	38	225/285/377	152	310	15	8	31%	5%	86	+0.3	207/274/362	155	298	18	7	36%	5%	80	-0.2	190/263/346	157	278	20	5	37%	5%	69	-0.7
✕Tommy Giles 2010 · AA	26	42→40	53→55	41→40	43	222/282/395	173	287	21	5	30%	7%	89	+0.5	214/275/350	136	279	15	6	28%	7%	76	-0.4	177/239/292	114	221	13	2	26%	6%	47	-0.9
✕Brad Nelson 2009 · AAA	26	45→50	48→50	44→50	49	230/294/376	145	274	16	11	22%	8%	88	+0.5	212/274/357	145	249	18	6	22%	8%	77	-0.3	212/279/363	151	252	19	2	24%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Michael Toglia 2024 · MLB	25	38→40	50→55	46→45	45	200/273/354	154	273	19	6	33%	9%	76	-0.4	208/281/384	176	283	22	7	33%	9%	86	+0.3	205/279/388	183	275	23	7	34%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Wladimir Balentien 2010 · MLB	26	43→48	52→60	44→50	47	227/290/398	171	274	20	7	25%	8%	93	+0.8	239/293/422	183	285	22	11	24%	7%	99	+1.3	240/288/439	199	276	26	14	24%	6%	102	+1.1
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2024 · MLB	25	44→47	54→55	47→45	47	233/298/410	177	283	22	10	26%	8%	99	+1.2	215/280/367	152	258	18	7	24%	8%	82	-0.0	201/264/344	143	233	17	3	22%	7%	69	-0.5

Gabriel Rincones Jr.

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps