Cade Hunter
C Chattanooga Lookouts| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+CIN | 429 | .196/.304/.296 | 7 | 14 | 26 | — | .148/.236/.214 |
| 2025 | 24 | AACIN | 243 | .219/.322/.324 | 4 | 2 | 41 | — | .181/.252/.258 |
| 2026 | 25 | AACIN | 321 | .227/.336/.363 | 8 | 5 | 61 | — | .196/.277/.301 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBCIN | 3 | .185/.261/.281 | 0 | 0 | 53 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBCIN | 44 | .187/.263/.285 | 1 | 1 | 55 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 28 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 308 | 357 | 577 | 934 | 269 | 353 | 25 | 7 | 406 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 400 | 571 | 867 | 1.438 | 467 | 500 | 19 | 24 | 586 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 178 | 149 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 347 | 356 | 702 | 128 | 279 | 24 | 13 | 321 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 251 | 212 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 75 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 245 | 357 | 410 | 768 | 165 | 326 | 30 | 12 | 346 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 429 | 368 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 136 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 196 | 304 | 296 | 600 | 101 | 288 | 32 | 11 | 280 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 243 | 210 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 68 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 322 | 324 | 646 | 105 | 304 | 28 | 12 | 298 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 321 | 273 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 98 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 227 | 336 | 363 | 699 | 136 | 318 | 31 | 11 | 318 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 28 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 259 | 286 | 519 | 804 | 259 | 310 | 32 | 4 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 21 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 429 | 647 | 1.076 | 353 | 356 | 29 | 14 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 178 | 156 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 278 | 282 | 560 | 96 | 244 | 31 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 251 | 222 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 101 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 189 | 277 | 302 | 579 | 113 | 286 | 40 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 429 | 384 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 172 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 148 | 236 | 214 | 450 | 65 | 250 | 40 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 243 | 221 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 252 | 258 | 510 | 77 | 268 | 34 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 321 | 286 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 119 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 196 | 277 | 301 | 577 | 105 | 295 | 37 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 49 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 477 | 804 | 227 | 333 | 31 | 8 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 49 | 41 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 341 | 449 | 683 | 1.132 | 341 | 407 | 22 | 14 | 483 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 378 | 70 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 156 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 185 | 275 | 288 | 564 | 103 | 274 | 36 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 429 | 361 | 86 | 9 | 0 | 15 | 52 | 117 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 238 | 353 | 388 | 741 | 150 | 305 | 27 | 12 | 336 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 429 | 384 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 172 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 148 | 236 | 214 | 450 | 65 | 254 | 40 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 429 | 368 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 136 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 196 | 304 | 296 | 600 | 101 | 288 | 32 | 11 | 280 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 243 | 221 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 252 | 258 | 510 | 77 | 272 | 34 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 243 | 210 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 68 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 322 | 324 | 646 | 105 | 304 | 28 | 12 | 298 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 321 | 286 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 119 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 196 | 277 | 301 | 577 | 105 | 305 | 37 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 321 | 273 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 98 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 227 | 336 | 363 | 699 | 136 | 318 | 31 | 11 | 318 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 49 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 477 | 804 | 227 | 330 | 31 | 8 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 429 | 379 | 70 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 156 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 185 | 275 | 288 | 563 | 103 | 269 | 36 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 429 | 382 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 172 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 149 | 236 | 215 | 451 | 65 | 250 | 40 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 243 | 220 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 252 | 259 | 511 | 77 | 268 | 34 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 321 | 286 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 119 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 196 | 277 | 301 | 577 | 105 | 295 | 37 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 429 | 382 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 172 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 149 | 236 | 215 | 451 | 65 | 250 | 40 | 8 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 243 | 220 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 82 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 252 | 259 | 511 | 77 | 268 | 34 | 8 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 321 | 286 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 119 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 196 | 277 | 301 | 577 | 105 | 295 | 37 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | CIN | 2% | 371 | 334 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 128 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 184 | 260 | 276 | 536 | 92 | 273 | 35 | 8 | 247 | 53 | -21 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | CIN | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 261 | 281 | 542 | 96 | 274 | 33 | 0 | 249 | 53 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | CIN | 27% | 164 | 147 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 186 | 262 | 280 | 542 | 94 | 274 | 34 | 8 | 249 | 55 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | CIN | 27% | 44 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 263 | 285 | 548 | 98 | 274 | 34 | 7 | 252 | 55 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 44 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 175 | 250 | 275 | 525 | 100 | 250 | 34 | 7 | 252 | 50 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 104 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 44 | 222 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 176 | 251 | 277 | 528 | 102 | 251 | 34 | 7 | 252 | 50 | -35 | +3 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1790 | 1599 | 287 | 50 | 2 | 31 | 140 | 653 | 40 | 33 | 12 | 179 | 263 | 271 | 534 | 92 | 277 | 36 | 8 | 241 | 50 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 104 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 237 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 179 | 263 | 270 | 533 | 91 | 276 | 36 | 8 | 241 | 50 | -36 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 321 PAwOBA .312 → .258 (−54)K% 30.5% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.80% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 2.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 22.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.61% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .312 → .258; ISO .136 → .111; BABIP .318 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 243 PAwOBA .291 → .229 (−62)K% 28.0% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.98% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.35% | ÷1.087 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.963 | ×0.920 | ×0.959 | ×0.998 | 20.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.092 | ×0.910 | ×0.959 | ×0.998 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.880 | ×0.959 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.021 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.20% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 100, K 102, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .291 → .229; ISO .105 → .082; BABIP .304 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Dayton Dragons · 429 PAwOBA .273 → .207 (−66)K% 31.7% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.70% | ÷1.006 | ×1.270 | — | — | 40.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.96% | ÷0.976 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.55% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.988 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.03% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.988 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.030 | ×0.850 | ×1.003 | ×0.988 | 0.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.02% | ÷1.285 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.86% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 88, 3B 106, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .273 → .207; ISO .101 → .067; BABIP .288 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADaytona Tortugas · 251 PAwOBA .338 → .252 (−86)K% 29.9% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.88% | ÷1.006 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.16% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.01% | ÷1.032 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.990 | 24.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×0.990 | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 5.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 117, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .338 → .252; ISO .165 → .113; BABIP .326 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Dayton Dragons · 178 PAwOBA .317 → .253 (−64)K% 23.6% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.60% | ÷0.975 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.92% | ÷1.020 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.36% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 21.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.74% | ÷1.027 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 2.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.850 | ×0.961 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷0.951 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.92% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 83, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .317 → .253; ISO .128 → .102; BABIP .279 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADaytona Tortugas · 28 PAwOBA .394 → .314 (−80)K% 25.0% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.021 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | — | — | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | — | — | 4.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.53% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | — | 9.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 103, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .394 → .314; ISO .269 → .218; BABIP .353 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Reds · 21 PAwOBA .571 → .411 (−160)K% 19.0% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.011 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 14.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.022 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 14.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.035 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 12.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.983 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 6.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 7.13% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .571 → .411; ISO .467 → .360; BABIP .500 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).