Austin Pope
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.3
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.11
FIP4.11
xFIP4.41
SIERA4.69
K%23.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.6%
IP35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5555
FB (58%)
SL (25%)
SI (8%)
CU (17%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 26 | 15 | 90 | 421 | 102 | 39 | 8 | 18.1% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 7.50 | 4.40 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 30 | 0 | 44 | 190 | 47 | 20 | 10 | 18.2% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 6.18 | 7.30 | -1.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | 48 | 0 | 67 | 287 | 84 | 23 | 6 | 24.4% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 3.65 | 3.03 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | 55 | 0 | 57 | 269 | 70 | 32 | 4 | 22.9% | 12.5% | 1.4% | 5.72 | 3.54 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 32 | 4 | 39 | 167 | 44 | 12 | 3 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 4.15 | 3.18 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.38 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | ATL | 35 | — | 35 | 148 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 40 | 170 | 38 | 18 | 5 | 22.1% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.01 | 3.57 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 35 | — | 35 | 146 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 23.3% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 23.2% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 4.19 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 32 | 14 | 4 | 23.0% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 4.28 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 30 | 13 | 4 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.36 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.54 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 196 | 19 | 302 | 1359 | 284 | 148 | 38 | 20.9% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 5.60 | 4.23 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 130 | 13 | 200 | 899 | 188 | 98 | 25 | 20.9% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 5.60 | 4.23 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Austin Pope (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.11 | 23.4% | 9.8% | 2.5% | — | 4.22 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 101 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 79 |
| JT Chargois R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.35 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 1.9% | .282 | 3.49 | 25.9% | 17.5% | 108 | +0.14 | 2.57 | 362 | 78 |
| R.J. Alvarez R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.01 | 21.0% | 8.0% | 1.2% | .306 | 4.62 | 24.0% | 12.9% | 89 | +1.61 | 3.01 | 302 | 77 |
| Heath Hembree R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | .292 | 4.09 | 27.3% | 18.8% | 162 | +0.40 | 2.67 | 382 | 76 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 76 |
| Dugan Darnell R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .368 | 3.14 | 25.3% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.39 | 2.49 | 238 | 76 |
| Greg Holland R 2028 · 3.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.19 | 25.4% | 13.0% | 1.1% | .316 | 3.45 | 26.4% | 14.2% | 104 | +0.26 | 1.94 | 268 | 76 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .417 | 2.29 | 18.7% | 12.7% | 59 | -2.01 | 1.94 | 131 | 73 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 73 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 73 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 73 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 2.0% | .340 | 3.98 | 21.8% | 13.6% | 94 | +0.38 | 2.68 | 177 | 73 |
| Connor Sadzeck R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .238 | 4.62 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 94 | +0.39 | 3.21 | 549 | 73 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.12 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .339 | 3.39 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.73 | 3.11 | 166 | 73 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.42 | 27.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .301 | 3.61 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 70 | +0.19 | 2.59 | 156 | 72 |
| Stephen Fife R 2028 · 3.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.10 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 3.65 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.55 | 3.10 | 179 | 72 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.29 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.26 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.97 | 2.80 | 155 | 72 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 72 |
| Louis Head R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.96 | 22.4% | 10.7% | 0.7% | .296 | 4.81 | 20.8% | 8.4% | 28 | +1.85 | 2.77 | 336 | 72 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.18 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .290 | 3.63 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.45 | 3.18 | 124 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.