Austin Pope — OGILVIE

Austin Pope P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.10

FIP4.10

K%22.2%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%13.4%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

FB (58%)

SL (25%)

SI (8%)

CU (17%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	1	0	1	3	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	0.00	7.32	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	1	0	1	3	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	33.3%	-33.3%	0.0%	0.00	6.10	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	15	90	421	102	39	8	58%	3.5	18.1%	10.9%	7.1%	2.7%	7.50	4.43	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	15	90	421	102	39	8	58%	3.5	24.2%	9.3%	15.0%	1.9%	7.50	3.29	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	44	190	47	20	10	0%	1.5	18.2%	13.6%	4.6%	7.2%	6.18	7.21	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	44	190	47	20	10	0%	1.5	24.7%	10.5%	14.2%	5.3%	6.18	5.30	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	67	287	84	23	6	0%	1.4	23.9%	8.3%	15.6%	1.7%	3.65	3.04	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	67	287	84	23	6	0%	1.4	23.9%	8.3%	15.6%	1.7%	3.65	3.04	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	67	287	84	23	6	0%	1.4	29.3%	8.0%	21.3%	2.1%	3.65	2.79	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	55	0	57	269	70	32	4	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.7%	10.9%	1.5%	5.72	3.43	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	55	0	57	269	70	32	4	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.7%	10.9%	1.5%	5.72	3.43	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	55	0	57	269	70	32	4	0%	1.0	26.0%	11.9%	14.1%	1.5%	5.72	3.24	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	4	39	167	44	12	3	12%	1.2	22.0%	7.0%	15.0%	1.9%	4.15	3.17	+0.6
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	32	4	39	167	44	12	3	12%	1.2	22.0%	7.0%	15.0%	1.9%	4.15	3.17	+0.6
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	32	4	39	167	44	12	3	12%	1.2	26.3%	7.2%	19.2%	1.8%	4.15	2.77	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	2	9	1	1	0	0%	2.0	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.60	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	9	1	12	63	5	6	3	11%	1.3	6.6%	8.6%	-2.0%	5.2%	7.50	6.50	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	9	1	12	63	5	6	3	11%	1.3	6.6%	8.6%	-2.0%	5.2%	7.50	6.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	ATL	9	1	12	63	5	6	3	11%	1.3	7.9%	9.5%	-1.6%	4.8%	7.50	6.25	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ATL	23	0	24	101	22	9	3	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	2.6%	4.17	4.20	+0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	10	42	9	4	1	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	2.6%	4.17	4.20	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	52	11	5	1	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.4%	10.9%	2.2%	3.48	3.78	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		176	0	200	854	181	82	16	0%	1.1	20.3%	9.4%	10.9%	2.2%	3.48	3.78	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		201	20	309	1400	278	142	40	10%	1.5	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	2.9%	5.71	4.28	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	13	200	906	180	92	26	10%	1.5	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	2.9%	5.71	4.28	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Austin Pope (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.10	22.2%	8.9%	2.5%	—	4.20	22.2%	13.2%	24	+0.10	—	—	—
Heath Hembree R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	21.1%	7.2%	2.8%	.292	4.03	27.3%	18.8%	162	+0.29	2.58	382	80
R.J. Alvarez R 2018 · 3.01 FIP	27	SU	3.01	21.0%	8.0%	1.2%	.306	4.64	24.0%	12.9%	89	+1.63	3.01	302	76
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	76
JT Chargois R 2018 · 3.36 FIP	27	SU	3.36	24.4%	9.9%	2.0%	.282	3.48	25.9%	17.5%	108	+0.12	2.58	362	75
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	75
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	73
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	73
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	73
Dugan Darnell R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	22.6%	9.6%	4.1%	.302	3.25	23.1%	15.4%	94	-1.39	2.50	238	73
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	73
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	73
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	73
Louis Head R 2017 · 2.95 FIP	27	SU	2.95	22.4%	10.7%	0.7%	.296	4.80	20.8%	8.4%	28	+1.85	2.76	336	72
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	72
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	72
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	72
Kaleb Fleck R 2016 · 3.61 FIP	27	SU	3.61	21.6%	9.7%	2.0%	.340	3.97	21.8%	13.6%	94	+0.36	2.68	177	71
Greg Holland R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	29	SU	3.21	25.4%	13.0%	1.1%	.316	3.45	26.4%	14.2%	104	+0.24	1.97	268	71
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	71
Tyler Ferguson R 2021 · 4.15 FIP	27	SU	4.15	19.8%	9.1%	2.9%	.231	3.47	23.7%	10.6%	209	-0.68	2.57	421	71